外媒头条：尚未触底？空头策略师继续唱空美股

市场资讯2022-01-25

全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、受奥米克戎疫情的影响美国商业活动几乎停滞2、痛苦尚未结束诸多空头策略师继续唱空美股3、美联储会议前夕美元多头收缩战线为鸽派声明做对冲准备4、谷歌被华盛顿特区起诉侵犯用户隐私另有三个州准备起诉5、安联首席经济顾问：美股或尚未触底美联储需大胆行动才能控制通胀6、美银策略师：央行数字美元的推出看起来“不可避免”受奥米克戎疫情的影响美国商业活动...

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Short strategists continue to sing short US stocks","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73f7af4a54a9848e69e914180ddda49c","symbols_score_info":{"BAC":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"ZTmain":0.9,"ZNmain":0.9,"ZFmain":0.9,"ZBmain":0.9,"UBmain":0.9,"TNmain":0.9,"EBON":0.89,"SPY":0.6,".DJI":0.6,".IXIC":0.6},"content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、受奥米克戎疫情的影响 美国商业活动几乎停滞2、痛苦尚未结束 诸多空头策略师继续唱空美股3、美联储会议前夕美元多头收缩战线 为鸽派声明做对冲准备4、谷歌被华盛顿特区起诉侵犯用户隐私 另有三个州准备起诉5、安联首席经济顾问：美股或尚未触底 美联储需大胆行动才能控制通胀6、美银策略师：央行数字美元的推出看起来“不可避免”受奥米克戎疫情的影响 美国商业活动几乎停滞IHS Markit周一公布的数据显示，12月综合采购经理指数初值下滑6.2个点，至18个月低点50.8。数据高于50暗示扩张。服务业指标同样跌至2020年7月以来的最低水平，劳动力短缺和员工缺勤令服务业活动承压。制造业指数跌幅相比之下较为温和，但是指数仍旧为2020年10月以来的新低，供应链依然不畅，产出受限。“产出受到奥米克戎的影响比需求受到的影响大得多，新业务流入的强劲增长暗示一旦限制得以缓和，增速就会重新恢复，”IHS Markit首席商业经济学家Chris Williamson表示。痛苦尚未结束 诸多空头策略师继续唱空美股预测到股市惨跌的策略师表示，痛苦尚未结束。标普500指数周一盘中从近期纪录高位下跌逾10%。瑞穗国际、美国银行的空头策略师纷纷警告称，在美联储即将加息之际，市场将伴随经济增长势头减弱出现新一轮下跌。“等市场适应美联储撤出宽松政策、盈利放缓和联邦刺激措施大幅减少的现实，未来几个月可能会开启更多下行空间，”Ned Davis Research首席美国策略师Ed Clissold表示。他去年底预测股市会出现两位数跌幅，现在预测会从1月初触及的峰值回落20%。瑞穗策略师此前预期股市二季度可能下跌10%至15%。他们指出，随着“紧缩恐慌”势头升温，标普500指数可能再跌12%。美联储会议前夕美元多头收缩战线 为鸽派声明做对冲准备在美联储本周即将召开会议之际，投机者以18个多月来最快速度解除美元多头头寸，美元步步攀升令这些多头错失行情。根据商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）的最新数据，美元兑主要货币的投机性净多头头寸创下2020年6月以来最大降幅。不过，美元近期却有所攀升，经济学家预期美联储将在周三结束的利率会议上发出3月加息及今年晚些时候缩表的信号。货币市场已经完全消化了美联储3月加息25个基点的可能性，并预计2022年全年会加息四次。虽然近来这种紧缩周期的前景提振了美元，但过于激进的利率预期使涨势能否持续面临威胁，一旦美联储采取更为缓慢的紧缩步调，美元调头下跌的可能性上升。谷歌被华盛顿特区起诉侵犯用户隐私 另有三个州准备起诉北京时间1月24日晚间消息，据报道，华盛顿特区总检察长卡尔·拉辛（Karl Racine）今日起诉谷歌，称其“欺骗性位置跟踪行为”侵犯了用户隐私。拉辛的办公室在一份声明中还称，作为两党追究谷歌隐私责任计划的一部分，另外三个州的总检察长也计划对谷歌提起诉讼。拉辛说：“谷歌错误地让消费者相信，改变他们的账户和设备设置，就可以保护自己的隐私，对谷歌可以访问的个人数据进行控制。”“但事实上，与谷歌的说法相反，谷歌继续系统性地监视用户，并从用户数据中获利。谷歌大胆的失实陈述行为，显然侵犯了消费者的隐私。”安联首席经济顾问：美股或尚未触底 美联储需大胆行动才能控制通胀安联首席经济顾问穆罕默德-埃里安周一表示，近期的市场下挫可能尚未触底，同时美联储需要“大胆”才能控制通胀。“如果你有钱投资，请稍等一下。可能有更好的切入点，”埃里安称。埃里安认为，美联储“失去了对通胀的控制”，导致市场在关于央行应采取什么措施来抑制通胀压力方面存在不确定性。他表示，分析人士现在看到了各种各样可能的政策立场，缺乏明确性会“破坏市场并破坏经济”。与此同时，埃里安表示，市场仍在适应新的经济现实，因美联储将准备自2018年以来的首次加息。美银策略师：央行数字美元的推出看起来“不可避免”美国银行称，美国有可能在2025至2030年间推出数字美元。策略师Alkesh Shah和Andrew 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