Don't expect stock market volatility to subside in 2022

MarketWatch2021-12-24

A volatility storm 'usually takes years to exhaust itself': DataTrek's Colas Bumpy road.Oli Scarff/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images Get ready for another year of above average stock-market volatility...

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精彩评论

RussiaBear
2021-12-24
RussiaBear
Yes
RussiaBear
2021-12-24
RussiaBear
Yes
Simplehuman
2021-12-24
Simplehuman
Correction is healthy to ensure stable growth
- Tonica:
  haha
SSVC
2021-12-24
SSVC
Ok Appreciate your comments and response Thanks
CubTrader
2021-12-24
CubTrader
Good

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But as the chart shows, volatility can run above or below average for years, he noted.\nHe observed that the first Gulf War in 1991 caused a spike in volatility that lasted only 18 months, while the period from the 1997 Asia Crisis through the dot-com bubble of 2000, 9/11 and Iraq War from 2003 saw the VIX remain over 19.5 for the better part of seven years. And the global financial crisis of 2008 and the subsequent eurozone debt crisis of 2010-2014 kept U.S. equity volatility elevated for five years.\nThat said, the \"bear case\" for volatility, which is therefore bullish for stocks, rests with corporate-earnings power, Colas said, reiterating that DataTrek expects Wall Street's 2022 estimates to prove too low, with upside earnings surprises likely to keep equity prices stable or rising. The bull case for volatility, which would be bearish for stocks, rests with the uncertainties around economic growth and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy as it addresses inflation, he said.\nMajor stock indexes are on track for strong gains in 2021 despite historically elevated volatility. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 17.5% for the year to date, while the S&P 500 has advanced 25.8% and the Nasdaq Composite is up 21.5%.\n\"We expect 2022 to look a lot like 2021 in terms of market churn because, well, the investment issues are largely the same: Pandemic concerns, inflation, etc.,\" Colas wrote. \"U.S. equities can do well in that environment; 2021 shows that. We just need corporate earnings to come through, and we remain confident they will.\"","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":698855814,"gmtCreate":1640348984448,"gmtModify":1640349707200,"author":{"id":"3574705475519697","authorId":"3574705475519697","name":"RussiaBear","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba6bd6c50341114ec81a00e78a3357df","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698855814","repostId":2193140885,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698855344,"gmtCreate":1640348955746,"gmtModify":1640349707193,"author":{"id":"3574705475519697","authorId":"3574705475519697","name":"RussiaBear","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba6bd6c50341114ec81a00e78a3357df","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698855344","repostId":2193140885,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698197229,"gmtCreate":1640314790204,"gmtModify":1640315782397,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Correction is healthy to ensure stable growth","listText":"Correction is healthy to ensure stable growth","text":"Correction is healthy to ensure stable growth","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698197229","repostId":2193140885,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7096578,"gmtCreate":1640316571912,"gmtModify":1640316572023,"authorId":4093583449913140,"author":{"id":4093583449913140,"authorId":4093583449913140,"name":"Tonica","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698197229,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>haha</u>","text":"<u>haha</u>","html":"<u>haha</u>"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698100169,"gmtCreate":1640312175877,"gmtModify":1640313619703,"author":{"id":"3574906731000207","authorId":"3574906731000207","name":"SSVC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/545a5ea462ff4ac7cc100bd3d8d97f72","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Ok Appreciate your comments and response Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Ok Appreciate your comments and response Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Ok Appreciate your comments and response Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698100169","repostId":2193140885,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698342130,"gmtCreate":1640310591838,"gmtModify":1640310944564,"author":{"id":"3552620505563005","authorId":"3552620505563005","name":"CubTrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf7145f19b342af15e8d455a8e30aaa8","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698342130","repostId":2193140885,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":48,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.25.1","shortVersion":"4.25.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2193140885"}