“美元为王”又将重现？2022年涨幅有望创六年来最高纪录

金十数据2021-12-17

在截至2016年美元指数四年累计上涨28%后，买入美元、卖出几乎所有其他货币或将再次成为投资者在2022年的口头禅。市场人士预计，美元明年将迎来六年来最大年度涨幅，主要推动因素将是鹰派的美联储。瑞穗银行驻新加坡经济和战略主管Vishnu Varathan表示： “美元全面走强，这是投资者应该做好的准备。尽管新兴市场的各家央行选择加息，但这不足以抵消美联储可能采取的行动，商品货币可能会...

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虎琊
2021-12-17
虎琊
信你个鬼
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The increase in 2022 is expected to be the highest in six years","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70832addf6229db46949dbbadb7d4485","symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SH":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"DDM":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9},"content_text":"在截至2016年美元指数四年累计上涨28%后，买入美元、卖出几乎所有其他货币或将再次成为投资者在2022年的口头禅。\n市场人士预计，美元明年将迎来六年来最大年度涨幅，主要推动因素将是鹰派的美联储。瑞穗银行驻新加坡经济和战略主管Vishnu Varathan表示：\n\n “美元全面走强，这是投资者应该做好的准备。尽管新兴市场的各家央行选择加息，但这不足以抵消美联储可能采取的行动，\n 商品货币可能会遭遇更大规模的抛售。”\n\n根据美国银行本月公布的一项调查显示，投资者对美元的头寸和看法是自2015年以来最为乐观的。在今年，美元兑十国集团货币走强，Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index（追踪美元兑全球10种其他货币的汇价）同期上涨5.7%，接近2020年7月以来的最高水平。\n虽然在周四美联储的决定与市场预期基本一致后，Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index收跌0.2%，但投资者表示，任何类似下跌都可能是短暂的。\n三井住友德思资产管理有限公司（Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management Co.）表示，看好美元兑日元，并称由于日本央行在通胀疲弱的情况下努力实现货币政策正常化，美元将表现出色。该行高级基金经理Kei Yamazaki表示：\n\n “预计美联储在2023年开始收缩其资产负债表，这将支撑美元。美联储政策正常化是合理的，因为美国经济增长速度超过了其他国家。鉴于美联储未来的政策方向，预计美元将进一步走强。”\n\n另据澳大利亚国民银行（National Australia Bank Ltd.,NAB）称，虽然市场已经考虑到美联储将多次加息的因素，但其中仍存在进一步鹰派信息被消化的空间。该行表示，相比之下，欧元和英镑将受到能源价格上涨和欧洲央行鸽派的拖累。NAB驻悉尼高级外汇策略师Rodrigo Catril表示：\n\n “2022年的风险在于，美联储将加息四次而非三次，这将提振美元走强。在这种情况下，我们认为欧元兑美元将在1.10，英镑兑美元将低于1.30。”\n\n此外，基金经理也在押注美元兑多数新兴货币保持上升趋势，认为美国国债收益率上升可能会令许多发展中国家的经常项目赤字承压。\n其中，加拿大丰业银行驻新加坡策略师Qi Gao表示，虽然该行的基本预期不是全面买入美元，但他认为，印度、韩国和泰国的货币将是最脆弱的。Gao表示：\n\n “就卢比而言，该货币将面临资本外流和油价反弹的压力。”","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":690794159,"gmtCreate":1639706983500,"gmtModify":1639708234706,"author":{"id":"3557455323607292","authorId":"3557455323607292","name":"虎琊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0995a39178d8512115e4e0e1619b14dd","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3557455323607292","authorIdStr":"3557455323607292"},"htmlText":"信你个鬼","listText":"信你个鬼","text":"信你个鬼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690794159","repostId":2192940727,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7017656,"gmtCreate":1639707005408,"gmtModify":1639707005491,"authorId":3557455323607292,"author":{"id":3557455323607292,"idStr":"3557455323607292","authorId":3557455323607292,"name":"虎琊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0995a39178d8512115e4e0e1619b14dd","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":690794159,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[流泪]","text":"[流泪]","html":"[流泪]"}],"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2192940727"}