后知后觉？为何美国科技股崩了

华尔街见闻2021-12-17

12月16日周四，“三巫日”到来的前一天。周三还普涨的科技股们崩了，并将一众股指拉低。三巫日：股票指数期货、期权和个股期权同时到期的日子。美股三权到期日为3、6、9、12月的第三个周五。华尔街见闻提及，周三美联储FOMC会后，科技股意外坚挺。包括FAANMG和特斯拉在内的龙头科技股集体收涨，推动科技股为重的纳斯达克100指数收涨2.35%，跑赢大盘并成为表现最好的指数。然而，到了周四，...

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精彩评论

离尘破
2021-12-18
离尘破
每只票都有它的强势期和弱势期。电动三傻经过几个周期我个人觉得理想过35小鹏过55蔚来过45就可以随便做空了。短期一两年之内这三傻不会超过这个价格太多。
芝麻计划首席执行官
2021-12-18
芝麻计划首席执行官
这就叫崩了？那岂不是A股天天崩了？标题党哗众取宠[弱]
- Demonbuster:
  nice
- 小小仙女:
  Like
Youn7276
2021-12-18
Youn7276
阅
Fred_6810
2021-12-17
Fred_6810
不入流的小便。这种胡说八道的文章也发。不看苹果，微软 pe多少？
- Fred_6810:
  关键是小便专业太烂，这种文章也发出来。影响老虎的专业声誉
- Youn7276:
  好
- 左伞:
  人家小编又不挣股票钱，人家靠写文章挣钱，不啥流量高就舔啥吗[吃瓜]
- 雪崩:
  崩？崩个锤子。用这么久都打不下去，就是震荡了。后面创新高又要震惊
vf100
2021-12-17
vf100
就是涨多了
ahui887798
2021-12-17
ahui887798
跌了找原因，涨了也找原因，跌了是涨多了的原因！
- Youn7276:
  好

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Why did American technology stocks collapse","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91f26944915a1d38e8afdf2a1b364121","symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0,"AMZN":0,"FB":0,"GOOG":0,"GOOGL":0,"MSFT":0},"content_text":"12月16日周四，“三巫日”到来的前一天。周三还普涨的科技股们崩了，并将一众股指拉低。\n\n 三巫日：股票指数期货、期权和个股期权同时到期的日子。美股三权到期日为3、6、9、12月的第三个周五。\n\n华尔街见闻提及，周三美联储FOMC会后，科技股意外坚挺。包括FAANMG和特斯拉在内的龙头科技股集体收涨，推动科技股为重的纳斯达克100指数收涨2.35%，跑赢大盘并成为表现最好的指数。\n然而，到了周四，科技股相关板块独跌，芯片股跑输大盘。纳斯达克100指数在周四大幅回撤2.6%，创9月来最大跌幅，抹平前一交易日2.4%的涨幅；费城半导体指数也抹去了美联储会后涨幅，跌超4%，创为5月以来最差表现。\n市场上有分析指出，交易员们的“后知后觉”或是这一反转走势的“幕后真凶”。\n\n市场价格表现是市场共识的体现，短期市场共识受市场情绪所影响，而短期市场情绪又极易受各类因素影响，出现大幅波动，从而导致市场短期的不合理定价。这就使得，在大多数情况下可以当做经济“晴雨表”的股票市场，对于某些特定事件的反应可能具有一定的“滞后性”。\n据彭博社统计，过去16次美联储会议决议发布后，标普500指数有10次在两个交易日内出现了反转行情；债券市场的走势也在11月FOMC会议后出现了反转。\n回顾本轮美国科技股的反转行情，华尔街见闻提及，周三，在FOMC会议公布前为股市最坏情况做好了对冲基金交易员们，在鲍威尔的发布会后发现世界末日并没有来临，自己似乎“过度对冲风险”了。于是他们纷纷转过头平仓掉看跌期权，解除对冲引发γ挤压走高，推动美股的市场情绪彻底走出了低点，上演盘中大逆转。\n\n后知后觉，到了周四，交易员们缓过神来发现不对劲了，这事儿没那么简单啊。\n12月16日，National Securities 的首席市场策略师 Art Hogan 在就表示：\n\n “昨天是令人放松的一天。然而，到了今天，我们又要开始思考，我们应如何为下个季度或明年做好准备？如果预期利率温和上升，那市场将如何表现？思考完这些问题，就必须给高估值的成长股更低一点的估值了。”\n\n因此，市场上有声音认为，周四科技股的大跌是对鲍威尔利率政策的“延时反应”，利率上升的前景打压了很多“投机类”股票的估值。\n据彭博社统计，高盛追踪的一篮子尚未盈利的科技股，在周四整体下跌了超过4%。该指数自1月来下跌了24%，创2014年以来最差表现。\n同时，在Adobe糟糕的四季度财报表现、苹果将招兵买马自研无线芯片的消息流出后，很多分析师动摇了对科技股未来的信心，对其未来开始产生了怀疑。他们担心，未来这条赛道或将过于拥挤，竞争或将愈发激烈，导致科技行业公司未来的利润增长愈发缓慢，从而撑不起当下的高估值。\nCornerstone Macro 的期权主管 Danny Kirsch 表示：\n\n “Adobe 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那岂不是A股天天崩了？标题党 哗众取宠[弱]&nbsp;","listText":"这就叫崩了？ 那岂不是A股天天崩了？标题党 哗众取宠[弱]&nbsp;","text":"这就叫崩了？ 那岂不是A股天天崩了？标题党 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