通胀高企吓坏华尔街，小摩：明年将加息3次！

智通财经2021-12-13

有观点认为上周的通胀数据将为政策制定者在周二和周三的美联储会议上提出加快缩减资产购买规模，提前加息的做法奠定基础。在11月的会议上，美联储表示，计划每月减少150亿美元的购买资产购买，为在2022年年中结束购债奠定基础。然而，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔已经表示，是时候讨论加快几个月缩减购债，提前结束购债的问题了。在11月30日，他在国会听证会上表示，“目前，经济非常强劲，通胀也在上升”。随着11...

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2021-12-13
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href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/620527.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>有观点认为上周的通胀数据将为政策制定者在周二和周三的美联储会议上提出加快缩减资产购买规模，提前加息的做法奠定基础。\n在11月的会议上，美联储表示，计划每月减少150亿美元的购买资产购买，为在2022年年中结束购债奠定基础。然而，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔已经表示，是时候讨论加快几个月缩减购债，提前结束购债的问题了。在11月30日，他在国会听证会上表示，“目前，经济非常强劲，通胀也在上升”。\n随着11...</p>\n\n<a 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Kelly)在接受采访时表示。\n在此前，9月份的美联储会议点图中，大多数美联储官员预计首次加息将在2023年，少数官员预测首次加息在2022年。联邦基准利率的目标区间目前为0.0%-0.25%。美联储官员表示，预计每月至少维持600亿美元美国国债，和300亿美元房屋抵押债券购买。该预测低于10月份时800亿美元美国国债和400亿美元房屋抵押债券的购债规模。\n越来越多的投资者正在调高他们对加息的预期。投资者对美联储在明年3月的会议上加息25-50个基点的可能性升至34.2%，高于一周前的25.9%。5月份加息25-50个基点的可能性从一周前的38.4%升至43.2%，加息50-75个基点的可能性为13.1%。\nSGH Macro Advisors首席美国经济学家Tim 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