These 6 overvalued stocks are making the S&P 500 look more pricey than it really is

MarketWatch2021-12-13

Why Apple, Amazon and other Big Tech heavyweights won’t be the 2020s’ big market winners. Agence France-Presse/Getty Images It’s impossible to know which stocks will dominate the stock market in a ...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

Chrissssy
2021-12-13
Chrissssy
Nicee
- Chrissssy:
  1
Chrissssy
2021-12-13
Chrissssy
Tell me your opinion about this news...
Kitsonlin
2021-12-13
Kitsonlin
Morning
- DannyPhan:
  Morning
Zlatan
2021-12-13
Zlatan
Ok
seojun
2021-12-13
seojun
Really....
- Kitsonlin:
  up
saimatkong
2021-12-13
saimatkong
Okay
- seojun:
  kkk
- Zlatan回复seojun:
  no
- saimatkong:
  .

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2190767133?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2021-12-13 06:58","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2190767133","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"These 6 overvalued stocks are making the S&P 500 look more pricey than it really is","media":"MarketWatch","content":"<div>\n<p>Why Apple, Amazon and other Big Tech heavyweights won’t be the 2020s’ big market winners.\nAgence France-Presse/Getty Images\nIt’s impossible to know which stocks will dominate the stock market in a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-a-good-bet-that-apple-amazon-and-other-big-tech-darlings-wont-be-the-2020s-big-market-winners-11639104266?mod=home-page\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1603348471595","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 6 overvalued stocks are making the S&P 500 look more pricey than it really is</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 6 overvalued stocks are making the S&P 500 look more pricey than it really is\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-13 06:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-a-good-bet-that-apple-amazon-and-other-big-tech-darlings-wont-be-the-2020s-big-market-winners-11639104266?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Why Apple, Amazon and other Big Tech heavyweights won’t be the 2020s’ big market winners.\nAgence France-Presse/Getty Images\nIt’s impossible to know which stocks will dominate the stock market in a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-a-good-bet-that-apple-amazon-and-other-big-tech-darlings-wont-be-the-2020s-big-market-winners-11639104266?mod=home-page\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"GOOGL","symbol_name":"谷歌A","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-a-good-bet-that-apple-amazon-and-other-big-tech-darlings-wont-be-the-2020s-big-market-winners-11639104266?mod=home-page","article_id":"2190767133","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2190767133","pubTimestamp":1639349926,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1603348471595","name":"MarketWatch"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Why Apple, Amazon and other Big Tech heavyweights won’t be the 2020s’ big market winners.\nAgence Fra","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"marketwatch.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","AMZN":"亚马逊","MSFT":"微软","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AAPL":"苹果","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"translate_title":"这6只被高估的股票让标普500看起来比实际更贵","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOGL":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"FB":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"AAPL":0.9},"content_text":"Why Apple, Amazon and other Big Tech heavyweights won’t be the 2020s’ big market winners.\nAgence France-Presse/Getty Images\nIt’s impossible to know which stocks will dominate the stock market in a decade’s time, but we can fairly confidently say which companies will not be on that list: stocks that currently top today’s market-cap ranking — namely Apple,Microsoft,Amazon.com,Alphabet (Google) and Meta Platforms (Facebook).\nThat’s because it’s rare for stocks at the top of the market-cap ranking to keep their status a decade later. Not only do they usually fall out of the top 10, they also underperform the market on average over the decade.\nThat’s according to an analysis conducted by Research Affiliates, the investment firm headed by Robert Arnott. To show the precarious position of the market’s “top dogs,” he calculated what happened over the decade of the 1980s to the 10 largest publicly traded companies at the beginning of that 10-year period. Eight of the 10 were not on 1990’s top-10 list, and all 10 on 1980’s list underperformed the world stock market over the subsequent decade.\nArnott found that the 1980s were not unique. He reached a similar result for the top stocks of the 1990s, 2000s, and 2010s. On average, a stock on any of these lists underperformed the market over the subsequent decade. In addition, there was between a 70% and 80% chance that any given stock would not be on the comparable list one decade hence.\nArnott illustrated these top companies’ underperformance in another way as well: He constructed a hypothetical portfolio that each year owned the world’s 10-largest companies. The performance of this portfolio is plotted in the chart below. Over the 40 years from the end of 1980 through the end of 2020, this portfolio lagged a buy-and-hold by 1.8 annualized percentage points.\n\nNumerous investment lessons can be drawn from Arnott’s fascinating results. One is that cap-weighting is not the optimal weighting scheme for your portfolio. Equal-weighting is one obvious alternative, and it has beaten cap-weighting: since 1971, according to data from S&P Dow Jones Indices, the equal-weighted version of the S&P 500 has outperformed the cap-weighted version by 1.5 annualized percentage points.\nArnott believes there are even better ways of weighting stocks in an index beyond equal weighting. His firm maintains a number of so-called fundamental indices that base a stock’s weight on fundamental characteristics such as sales, cash flow, dividends and book equity value.\n“Just six stocks — Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Tesla and Meta Platforms — account for 26% of the S&P 500’s total market cap”\nBut there’s another investment implication of Arnott’s data that I want to focus on: His results highlight the difficulties determining the valuation of a lopsided market.\nConsider the S&P 500 currently, in which just six stocks — Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Tesla and Meta Platforms — account for 26% of the index’s total market cap. Imagine a situation in which those six are overvalued while the other 494 stocks, on balance, are more fairly valued. In that case, the valuation ratios for the S&P 500 as a whole could paint a skewed picture.\nThis situation isn’t just hypothetical. The largest six stocks currently have an average price/earnings ratio of 62.0, according to FactSet, more than double the average across all stocks in the S&P 500 of 29.1 and almost triple its median P/E ratio of 21.4.\nIt’s possible, therefore, that the U.S. stock market isn’t as overvalued as we would otherwise think by focusing on valuation ratios for the S&P 500 as a whole.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":604536050,"gmtCreate":1639409767578,"gmtModify":1639411151234,"author":{"id":"3581992421704233","authorId":"3581992421704233","name":"Chrissssy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670519b0df7f01f6802e6a220a6fc578","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Nicee","listText":"Nicee","text":"Nicee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604536050","repostId":2190767133,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6966903,"gmtCreate":1639409784382,"gmtModify":1639409784461,"authorId":3581992421704233,"author":{"id":3581992421704233,"authorId":3581992421704233,"name":"Chrissssy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670519b0df7f01f6802e6a220a6fc578","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":604536050,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"1","text":"1","html":"1"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":604538780,"gmtCreate":1639409756292,"gmtModify":1639411149111,"author":{"id":"3581992421704233","authorId":"3581992421704233","name":"Chrissssy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670519b0df7f01f6802e6a220a6fc578","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","listText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","text":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604538780","repostId":2190767133,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":604365914,"gmtCreate":1639352023151,"gmtModify":1639352023330,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"Kitsonlin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4c50ef7ee78d822dd86b84cd4150c59","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604365914","repostId":2190767133,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6957320,"gmtCreate":1639356572270,"gmtModify":1639356572377,"authorId":3579724486389386,"author":{"id":3579724486389386,"authorId":3579724486389386,"name":"DannyPhan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8241cecd85e391f36a47705d16eb854d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":604365914,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Morning","text":"Morning","html":"Morning"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":604363240,"gmtCreate":1639351378653,"gmtModify":1639351378943,"author":{"id":"3586734124712023","authorId":"3586734124712023","name":"Zlatan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/851e5397e61566365d8aa47e422075b4","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604363240","repostId":2190767133,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":604369115,"gmtCreate":1639351216285,"gmtModify":1639351217000,"author":{"id":"4087771643270940","authorId":"4087771643270940","name":"seojun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bd9ce06b0a58d0a81582641f6566970","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Really....","listText":"Really....","text":"Really....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604369115","repostId":2190767133,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6955627,"gmtCreate":1639352017300,"gmtModify":1639352017389,"authorId":4088412711170620,"author":{"id":4088412711170620,"authorId":4088412711170620,"name":"Kitsonlin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4c50ef7ee78d822dd86b84cd4150c59","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":604369115,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>up</u>","text":"<u>up</u>","html":"<u>up</u>"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":604360305,"gmtCreate":1639351158507,"gmtModify":1639351158614,"author":{"id":"4098570453488480","authorId":"4098570453488480","name":"saimatkong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8d1b9ca3ba9544668bb6102b2970468","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Okay&nbsp;","listText":"Okay&nbsp;","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604360305","repostId":2190767133,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6955417,"gmtCreate":1639351223019,"gmtModify":1639360930303,"authorId":4087771643270940,"author":{"id":4087771643270940,"authorId":4087771643270940,"name":"seojun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bd9ce06b0a58d0a81582641f6566970","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":604360305,"type":1,"supId":6955390,"prevId":0,"content":"kkk","text":"kkk","html":"kkk"},{"id":6955464,"gmtCreate":1639351373282,"gmtModify":1639351373317,"authorId":3586734124712023,"author":{"id":3586734124712023,"authorId":3586734124712023,"name":"Zlatan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/851e5397e61566365d8aa47e422075b4","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":4087771643270940,"repliedAuthor":{"id":4087771643270940,"authorId":4087771643270940,"name":"seojun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bd9ce06b0a58d0a81582641f6566970","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":604360305,"type":1,"supId":6955390,"prevId":6955417,"content":"no","text":"no","html":"no"},{"id":6955390,"gmtCreate":1639351162460,"gmtModify":1639351162491,"authorId":4098570453488480,"author":{"id":4098570453488480,"authorId":4098570453488480,"name":"saimatkong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8d1b9ca3ba9544668bb6102b2970468","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":604360305,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":".","text":".","html":"."}],"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":97,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.26.2","shortVersion":"4.26.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2190767133"}