通胀究竟是不是暂时的？欧洲央行和德国央行公开吵架了

华尔街见闻2021-11-21

目前高企的通胀是否只是暂时现象？就这一问题，欧洲央行行长和德国央行行长近日在同一场合发表了“针锋相对”的看法。周五，在法兰克福一场银行业会议上，德国央行行长、欧央行管理委员会委员魏德曼(Jens Weidmann)对通胀问题发出了警告，他表示，欧洲高通胀持续的时间可能会比预期的要久，鉴于通胀前景存在相当大的不确定性，货币政策不应将当前非常扩张的立场维持太久。而就在几个小时前，在这同一场会议上，...

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BabyShark222
2021-11-21
BabyShark222
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BabyShark222
2021-11-21
BabyShark222
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The European Central Bank and the Bundesbank have openly quarreled","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7f338b8b2c4c81bee5e2bf92c5fbc7f","symbols_score_info":{"TNmain":0.9,"UBmain":0.9,"ZBmain":0.9,"ZFmain":0.9,"ZNmain":0.9,"ZTmain":0.9},"content_text":"目前高企的通胀是否只是暂时现象？就这一问题，欧洲央行行长和德国央行行长近日在同一场合发表了“针锋相对”的看法。\n周五，在法兰克福一场银行业会议上，德国央行行长、欧央行管理委员会委员魏德曼(Jens Weidmann)对通胀问题发出了警告，他表示，欧洲高通胀持续的时间可能会比预期的要久，鉴于通胀前景存在相当大的不确定性，货币政策不应将当前非常扩张的立场维持太久。\n而就在几个小时前，在这同一场会议上，欧央行行长拉加德就通胀问题重申了她一直以来的看法。拉加德表示，利率制定者应该保持“耐心”，避免过早收紧政策，尽管欧元区通胀飙升是“不受欢迎和痛苦的”：\n\n “在面临暂时性或供应驱动型通胀冲击时，我们绝不能仓促采取过早的紧缩措施。”\n\n10月份，欧元区通胀率达到4.1%，创下十三年新高，远高于欧洲央行2%的目标。随着通胀不断升温，一些投资者也开始押注欧洲央行将在明年加息。\n但拉加德表示，推动通胀上升的许多因素，如能源价格飙升和供应链瓶颈，“可能会在中期内消退”，这意味着“明年加息的条件非常不可能得到满足”。\n而魏德曼则认为，为了稳定通胀预期，政策制定者需要重申：“如果需要维护价格稳定，那么整个货币政策必须正常化。”\n魏德曼指出，欧洲央行已成为欧元区各国政府的最大债权人，购买了价值近欧元区国内生产总值三分之一的主权债务。他表示:\n\n “各国央行将越来越多地承受来自政府和金融市场的压力，要求它们保持货币政策扩张性的时间，超过维持物价稳定所需的时间。”\n\n欧央行内部分歧巨大\n这场“隔空对话”暴露了欧洲央行政策制定者之间存在的分歧，而目前这家央行正站在政策的十字路口上。\n魏德曼上个月宣布将于12月卸任，届时距任期届满还有6年。有分析认为，魏德曼提前离职部分原因是他对欧洲央行政策感到失望。\n魏德曼自2011年5月起担任德国央行行长，也是欧洲央行管理委员会中任职时间最长、最为“鹰派”的成员之一，他一直对欧洲央行奉行的超宽松货币政策提出直言不讳批评。\n因他坚决反对欧央行超宽松货币政策，前欧央行行长德拉吉还曾称魏德曼“Nein zu allem”（德语“拒绝一切”）。\n欧洲央行将于下月召开货币政策会议，届时将决定明年购买多少债券，并发布新的通胀预测。\n目前市场普遍预计，欧洲央行下月开会时将宣布其1.85万亿欧元的紧急抗疫购债计划（PEPP）将于2022年3月到期，但预计欧央行将通过加大其较长期资产购买计划的力度，来缓解对债券市场的潜在影响。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":872632864,"gmtCreate":1637500094138,"gmtModify":1637500094138,"author":{"id":"3571552996196002","authorId":"3571552996196002","name":"BabyShark222","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571552996196002","authorIdStr":"3571552996196002"},"htmlText":"唉","listText":"唉","text":"唉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872632864","repostId":2184745840,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6667156,"gmtCreate":1637500115661,"gmtModify":1637500115689,"authorId":3571552996196002,"author":{"id":3571552996196002,"idStr":"3571552996196002","authorId":3571552996196002,"name":"BabyShark222","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":872632864,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"唉","text":"唉","html":"唉"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":872632322,"gmtCreate":1637500080556,"gmtModify":1637500080556,"author":{"id":"3571552996196002","authorId":"3571552996196002","name":"BabyShark222","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571552996196002","authorIdStr":"3571552996196002"},"htmlText":"羨慕","listText":"羨慕","text":"羨慕","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872632322","repostId":2184745840,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":55,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.4","shortVersion":"4.29.4","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2184745840"}