Doubting that we could be in a stock-market bubble? Here's the chart you need to see.

MarketWatch2021-11-13

A shocking week on the inflation front has left a dent in stocks, with major indexes set to deliver 1%-plus losses across the board. That’s even as some Wall Street strategists see little blocking ...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

TANJH
2021-11-14
TANJH
Pls like
Rocket2Mars
2021-11-13
Rocket2Mars
Ok
ACCY
2021-11-13
ACCY
Thank you! 👍
股市搜搜搜
2021-11-13
股市搜搜搜
Good
- JHFG:
  k
- 股市搜搜搜:
  Lol
MoonMoon
2021-11-13
MoonMoon
Pls like
- MoonMoon:
  Ok
Zlatan
2021-11-13
Zlatan
Ok
- Rocket2Mars:
  Ok

发表看法

247

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2182071013?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2021-11-13 07:17","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2182071013","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Doubting that we could be in a stock-market bubble? Here's the chart you need to see.","media":"MarketWatch","content":"<div>\n<p>A shocking week on the inflation front has left a dent in stocks, with major indexes set to deliver 1%-plus losses across the board. That’s even as some Wall Street strategists see little blocking ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/doubting-that-we-could-be-in-a-stock-market-bubble-heres-the-chart-you-need-to-see-11636719571?mod=home-page\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1603348471595","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Doubting that we could be in a stock-market bubble? Here's the chart you need to see.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDoubting that we could be in a stock-market bubble? Here's the chart you need to see.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-13 07:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/doubting-that-we-could-be-in-a-stock-market-bubble-heres-the-chart-you-need-to-see-11636719571?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A shocking week on the inflation front has left a dent in stocks, with major indexes set to deliver 1%-plus losses across the board. That’s even as some Wall Street strategists see little blocking ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/doubting-that-we-could-be-in-a-stock-market-bubble-heres-the-chart-you-need-to-see-11636719571?mod=home-page\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".IXIC","symbol_name":"NASDAQ Composite","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/doubting-that-we-could-be-in-a-stock-market-bubble-heres-the-chart-you-need-to-see-11636719571?mod=home-page","article_id":"2182071013","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2182071013","pubTimestamp":1636759045,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1603348471595","name":"MarketWatch"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"A shocking week on the inflation front has left a dent in stocks, with major indexes set to deliver ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"marketwatch.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"translate_title":"怀疑我们可能会陷入股市泡沫？这是你需要看的图表。","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9},"content_text":"A shocking week on the inflation front has left a dent in stocks, with major indexes set to deliver 1%-plus losses across the board. That’s even as some Wall Street strategists see little blocking further stock gains or that frequent year-end melt-up.\nYet the worry festers, such as for Nicolai Tangen, the manager of Norways’ $1.4 trillion sovereign-wealth fund, the biggest money pot in the world.\n“We’re looking at the degree of euphoria. With markets really panicky last year, we have entered a very euphoric phase, and we just need to consistently gauge the levels of euphoria,” Tangen said in a recent interview with Devin Banerjee, editor at large, business and finance for LinkedIn.\n“And then, of course, the real threat is inflation. If inflation really takes off, that’s going to be bad news both for our bond portfolio and for the equity portfolio. So, that’s where we have the laser focus,” added Tangen.\nIt’s a reminder that what some see as heady times for stocks aren’t going unnoticed.\nThat brings us to our call of the day from Michael O’Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading, who falls into that camp with his latest note entitled “In case there are bubble doubts.”\nHe writes: “Since the U.S. financial markets have achieved new levels of insanity, we want to make sure we document this moment in time for posterity’s sake. Apparently, we have not learned anything from the Equity, Housing and Credit bubbles that occurred between 1999 and 2008.\n“It can’t be any clearer than the fact that the S&P 500’s market capitalization is 177% of U.S. GDP,” adds O’Rourke, who provides this chart:\nJonesTrading/Bloomberg\nDuring the 2000 tech bubble, the S&P 500’s market capitalization peaked at 121% of nominal gross domestic product, he says.\n“That should paint a stark picture as to how expensive today’s market is relative to the last generational equity bubble,” says O’Rourke, who adds that the current level is also double the average reading of the past three decades and triple the valuation where the S&P 500 bottomed during the 2008-09 financial crisis.\n“Even with the greater inflationary bump to Nominal GDP, it would need to grow at 8% for a decade to return to the historic market cap to GDP average,” he says.\nJonesTrading/Bloomberg\n“The $3 trillion in crypto (whose only purpose appears to be speculation) is a clear illustration of an environment that knows no fear. Nonetheless, we are among the few who fear a 50% S&P 500 valuation drop that would bring the index’s market capitalization back in line with its average historic relationship to GDP,” he says.\nO’Rourke reminds of us a “painful” 80% decline for the Nasdaq Composite between March 2000 and October 2002. “Just think, the broad tape is 50% more expensive today than March 2000,” he says.\nBack then, Amazon was a top internet company and highly regarded stock, but shares still slumped 95% between December 1999 and September 2001, he says.\nThe strategist goes on to point the finger at the Federal Reserve and other central banks for propping up markets. “Today, the world is no better than the one two decades ago, and it is arguably worse. It is simply that these extra trillions of dollars having entered the economy in a short period of time provide the pretense of a special time meriting unsustainable valuations,” he says.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":873964999,"gmtCreate":1636846469268,"gmtModify":1636846470634,"author":{"id":"3572430244287129","authorId":"3572430244287129","name":"TANJH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08f0a812db3886c7089d529cb706b8fa","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572430244287129","authorIdStr":"3572430244287129"},"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873964999","repostId":2182071013,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":873907593,"gmtCreate":1636817423708,"gmtModify":1636817423812,"author":{"id":"3578399462882565","authorId":"3578399462882565","name":"Rocket2Mars","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a98299f891ae0ae35c465cedc8c17d36","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578399462882565","authorIdStr":"3578399462882565"},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873907593","repostId":2182071013,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":873078006,"gmtCreate":1636814092723,"gmtModify":1636814092896,"author":{"id":"3579758808989513","authorId":"3579758808989513","name":"ACCY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a44626552831eb06aa01cf85dcaf7422","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3579758808989513","authorIdStr":"3579758808989513"},"htmlText":"Thank you! 👍","listText":"Thank you! 👍","text":"Thank you! 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873078006","repostId":2182071013,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":873054499,"gmtCreate":1636810047277,"gmtModify":1636810047435,"author":{"id":"3581591918943142","authorId":"3581591918943142","name":"股市搜搜搜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecb301544fcb1c72efc07593fdb9ebcf","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581591918943142","authorIdStr":"3581591918943142"},"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873054499","repostId":2182071013,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6565936,"gmtCreate":1636845316292,"gmtModify":1636845316394,"authorId":3581584136411536,"author":{"id":3581584136411536,"idStr":"3581584136411536","authorId":3581584136411536,"name":"JHFG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e048fb469b216f96902bba2f89b85c19","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":873054499,"type":1,"supId":6563856,"prevId":0,"content":"k","text":"k","html":"k"},{"id":6563856,"gmtCreate":1636810053378,"gmtModify":1636810053479,"authorId":3581591918943142,"author":{"id":3581591918943142,"idStr":"3581591918943142","authorId":3581591918943142,"name":"股市搜搜搜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecb301544fcb1c72efc07593fdb9ebcf","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":873054499,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Lol","text":"Lol","html":"Lol"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":879728249,"gmtCreate":1636775942445,"gmtModify":1636775942585,"author":{"id":"3581831647982295","authorId":"3581831647982295","name":"MoonMoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abc88bf78bc4fd17d5085b308a74c4d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581831647982295","authorIdStr":"3581831647982295"},"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879728249","repostId":2182071013,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6560052,"gmtCreate":1636775948122,"gmtModify":1636775948150,"authorId":3581831647982295,"author":{"id":3581831647982295,"idStr":"3581831647982295","authorId":3581831647982295,"name":"MoonMoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abc88bf78bc4fd17d5085b308a74c4d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":879728249,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Ok","text":"Ok","html":"Ok"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":879764626,"gmtCreate":1636774997740,"gmtModify":1636774997899,"author":{"id":"3586734124712023","authorId":"3586734124712023","name":"Zlatan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/851e5397e61566365d8aa47e422075b4","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3586734124712023","authorIdStr":"3586734124712023"},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879764626","repostId":2182071013,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6564679,"gmtCreate":1636817432169,"gmtModify":1636817432201,"authorId":3578399462882565,"author":{"id":3578399462882565,"idStr":"3578399462882565","authorId":3578399462882565,"name":"Rocket2Mars","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a98299f891ae0ae35c465cedc8c17d36","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":879764626,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Ok","text":"Ok","html":"Ok"}],"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":247,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2182071013"}