财报前瞻：交付量大超预期，对特斯拉绩后股价是喜还是忧

智通财经2021-10-16

特斯拉将于美东时间10月20日美股盘后公布2021年第三季度业绩。尽管面临供应链挑战，特斯拉近日仍公布了超预期的第三季度汽车交付量，受此消息推动，该股股价上扬。在成本上涨背景下，第三季度乐观的交付数据能否转换成丰厚的利润，并进一步刺激特斯拉股价上涨?还是会提前透支投资者的乐观预期，使特斯拉股价在公布业绩后回调? 业绩预期市场预计，特斯拉第三季度营收为135.6亿美元，同比增长54.64%;每股...

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href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021101520474479fcade9&s=b><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>特斯拉将于美东时间10月20日美股盘后公布2021年第三季度业绩。尽管面临供应链挑战，特斯拉近日仍公布了超预期的第三季度汽车交付量，受此消息推动，该股股价上扬。\n在成本上涨背景下，第三季度乐观的交付数据能否转换成丰厚的利润，并进一步刺激特斯拉股价上涨?还是会提前透支投资者的乐观预期，使特斯拉股价在公布业绩后回调?\n业绩预期\n市场预计，特斯拉第三季度营收为135.6亿美元，同比增长54.64%;每股...</p>\n\n<a 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此外，特斯拉管理层还在公司第二季度致股东的信中提到了其他经营环境方面的挑战，包括港口拥堵。这些挑战可能会导致成本上升，利润率将承压。\n还有哪些要点值得关注?\n除了具体的收益数据之外，投资者还关注以下几方面。\n首先，投资者关注特斯拉是否将上调其2021年交付量指引。特斯拉给出的全年交付量指引一直在增长，从去年的约50万辆增加到今年的75万辆以上。然而，年初至今，特斯拉已经交付了62.7万辆汽车，仅在第三季度就交付了24.13万辆，目前看来，特斯拉今年的交付量指引显得过于保守。\n据悉，自2016年第四季度至今，特斯拉的交付量年复合增长率达到71%，近5个季度更是连续创下交付纪录。市场估计，特斯拉今年的交付量将在89万辆到90万辆之间。\n其次，在比特币时隔半年再度触及6万美元/枚大关的背景下，特斯拉持有的数字资产表现如何?今年早些时候，特斯拉向比特币投资了15亿美元。最近，加密货币网站Bitcoin Magazine指出，特斯拉持有的约43200个比特币的价值约为25亿美元，这意味着该公司从比特币投资中获得了10亿美元收益。\n截至今年第二季度，特斯拉持有的数字资产净值为13.11亿美元，比特币相关的减值损失为2300万美元。第一季度持有的数字资产净值为13.31亿美元。\n此外，投资者还关注特斯拉新车型的新进展。由于供应链短缺等问题，特斯拉一再推迟电动皮卡车Cybertruck、电动半挂卡车Semi和跑车Roadster等新车型的交付时间表。此前，马斯克透露，这些车型将于2023年开始生产。\n除了新车型外，特斯拉的完全自动驾驶(FSD)软件也备受投资者关注。知名科技分析师Gene Munster认为，十年之后，FSD每年带来的营业利润将超过1000亿美元，光是这项服务的市场价值就将达到8500亿美元。\n分析师怎么看?\nWedbush分析师Daniel Ives给予特斯拉“跑赢大盘”评级，目标价为1000美元。Ives认为，特斯拉9月份的交付数据预示着第四季度的电动汽车需求相当旺盛。此前，Ives指出，奥斯汀和柏林的工厂投入使用将显著扩大特斯拉的全球产能。\n杰富瑞分析师Philippe Houchois重申特斯拉“买入”评级，目标价从850美元上调至950美元。他将特斯拉2022-2023年的息税前利润预期上调了7%-9%。在进一步分析了第三季度的数据和即将启动的柏林工厂的各种信息后，Houchois认为特斯拉的产能将会提高，需求将持续。此外，他认为，由于特斯拉继续在“多个层面”挑战传统汽车制造商，几乎没有迹象表明传统汽车制造商正在缩小差距。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":827388254,"gmtCreate":1634420200143,"gmtModify":1634420235229,"author":{"id":"3577393549070429","authorId":"3577393549070429","name":"Youn7276","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487c5c26a5e210d6b88adaeaba12329b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577393549070429","authorIdStr":"3577393549070429"},"htmlText":"阅","listText":"阅","text":"阅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827388254","repostId":2175414852,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":827970351,"gmtCreate":1634397932156,"gmtModify":1634397932312,"author":{"id":"3579783453007050","authorId":"3579783453007050","name":"RomySKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3579783453007050","authorIdStr":"3579783453007050"},"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827970351","repostId":2175414852,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6222819,"gmtCreate":1634397939045,"gmtModify":1634633879761,"authorId":3579783453007050,"author":{"id":3579783453007050,"idStr":"3579783453007050","authorId":3579783453007050,"name":"RomySKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":827970351,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[微笑]","text":"[微笑]","html":"[微笑]"},{"id":6225637,"gmtCreate":1634434242870,"gmtModify":1634633630019,"authorId":3575263168543089,"author":{"id":3575263168543089,"idStr":"3575263168543089","authorId":3575263168543089,"name":"DYTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cde30c1273dc42fc6d656563b8d18fed","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":827970351,"type":1,"supId":6222819,"prevId":0,"content":"ok","text":"ok","html":"ok"}],"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":41,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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