三天狂卷10亿元！《长津湖》碾压《战狼2》

中国证券报2021-10-03

这个国庆档让沉寂已久的电影院重新火爆起来。灯塔专业版数据显示，截至10月2日23时，国庆档两天累计票房达13.97亿元，而9月份全国票房仅为20.26亿元。其中，《长津湖》堪称“王者”，上映三天票房破10亿元，正式步入十亿票房俱乐部。截至21时35分，单日票房达4.27亿，打破《战狼2》创下的中国影史战争片单日票房纪录，目前已刷新12项中国影史纪录。《长津湖》受追捧与其高品质密不可分。《...

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精彩评论

3349aad3
2021-10-04
3349aad3
[开心]
Liaw_0430
2021-10-04
Liaw_0430
阅
ManekiApe
2021-10-04
ManekiApe
[爱你]
- 快乐玩美股:
  [财迷]
- 3349aad3:
  [可爱]
心灵gg
2021-10-04
心灵gg
的确很震撼
zh2021
2021-10-04
zh2021
[开心]
Jeffyi888
2021-10-03
Jeffyi888
战狼2的投资不到长津湖的二十分之一，要比回报率才对

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219

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两部影片竞争激烈，而今年国庆档则变成“一枝独秀”。\n《长津湖》在9月30日上映首日票房达2.06亿元，国庆档开始后，票房更是直线蹿升。10月1日-2日，票房分别为4.1亿元、4.35亿元。第二名的《我和我的父辈》一直落后2亿元左右的票房。\n排片方面，尽管《长津湖》全片时长近3个小时，但仍是影院优先排映的影片，10月2日其排片率高达45.9%，《我和我的父辈》的排片率仅为31.6%，10月3日排片情况相差无几。\n值得注意的是，灯塔专业版数据显示，《长津湖》已经打破12项中国影史纪录，包括中国影史战争片、剧情片等单日票房纪录。有评论指出，《长津湖》是国产战争片的“天花板”。\n\n图片来源：微博热搜\n截至10月2日，《长津湖》在猫眼和淘票票两家平台累计想看人数逾170万。《长津湖》相关话题更是频频登上微博热搜。\n《长津湖》被追捧与其高品质密不可分。《长津湖》由“主旋律专业户”博纳影业主控出品，吴京、易烊千玺领衔主演，其制作规模、投资规模、拍摄时间及演职人员数量创下中国影史纪录。\n对于《长津湖》的票房预期，市场存在不小的分歧。该片在灯塔专业版上的票房预测区间在34亿元-45亿元。其中有影评机构近期频繁调整预期，先是将该片的票房预期由38亿元上调至48亿元，并认为有机会冲击50亿元，9月28日又下调至40亿元。\n作为“国庆三部曲”系列的第三部，《我和我的父辈》亦颇有人气。该片集结了吴京、章子怡、徐峥、沈腾四大导演，延续了前作联合执导的模式以及小人物折射大时代的特色，借助于前作的成功铺垫，《我和我的父辈》目前在猫眼和淘票票两家平台累计想看人数逾48万。\n相比系列前两部影片平均30亿元的票房成绩，《我和我的父辈》的票房预期并不乐观，灯塔专业版上的预测票房区间为14.5亿元-20亿元。对此，业内人士表示，这个系列的口碑消耗太大，观众会产生审美疲劳。\n这两部国庆献礼影片被市场广泛看好，在其助力下，中金公司更是乐观预测，国庆档整体票房有望达49.32亿元，相比近两年国庆档或实现两位数正增长。\n业内人士表示，主旋律类型影片更容易在这个档期获得关注。同时，国庆档时间较长，其他类型高口碑影片如果可以和主旋律影片打出类型差异，也更有利于在市场较热时被“带飞”，收获好的票房成绩。\n相关上市公司有望获益\n作为国庆档的重要参与者，相关上市公司有望借此实现可观收益。\n中国电影和博纳影业押注主旋律题材影片，《我和我的父辈》和《长津湖》同一天上映。《长津湖》由博纳影业主控出品，中国电影、阿里影业亦是重要出品方。华东一家机构人士透露，中国电影在《长津湖》中是固定收益，对公司业绩帮助有限。\n《我和我的父辈》出品方情况颇为特殊，由中国电影主控出品，但对其他投资方一直秘而不宣，直至9月29日才予以披露。中国证券报记者注意到，除了吴京等几位导演旗下公司外，《我和我的父辈》出品阵容与中国电影近期出品的《峰爆》高度一致。北京某电影公司负责人透露，两部影片是捆绑投资。\n《五个扑水的少年》是国庆档唯一的青春题材片，出品方为光线传媒。\n此外，在动画类影片扎堆的国庆档中，万达电影主控出品了《皮皮鲁与鲁西西之罐头小人》，华谊兄弟则是《拯救甜甜圈：时空大营救》的重要出品方和发行方。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":867484581,"gmtCreate":1633308450155,"gmtModify":1633308450412,"author":{"id":"4090707198019820","authorId":"4090707198019820","name":"3349aad3","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867484581","repostId":2172964294,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":867574469,"gmtCreate":1633305158880,"gmtModify":1633305180144,"author":{"id":"3581752785253752","authorId":"3581752785253752","name":"Liaw_0430","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a8dcaa9f08727d3d1c7f0b9b2d3cb37","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"阅","listText":"阅","text":"阅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867574469","repostId":2172964294,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":867538433,"gmtCreate":1633298898516,"gmtModify":1633298898869,"author":{"id":"3578868505476065","authorId":"3578868505476065","name":"ManekiApe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01b0dba3b6dfae0fb19d68e3bcadaad3","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"[爱你]&nbsp;","listText":"[爱你]&nbsp;","text":"[爱你]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867538433","repostId":2172964294,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6081211,"gmtCreate":1633300017370,"gmtModify":1634722933979,"authorId":3574841454707089,"author":{"id":3574841454707089,"authorId":3574841454707089,"name":"快乐玩美股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/193d55dc3ae5d7357bea35e08f9288e8","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":867538433,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[财迷]","text":"[财迷]","html":"[财迷]"},{"id":6083256,"gmtCreate":1633308457591,"gmtModify":1634722742443,"authorId":4090707198019820,"author":{"id":4090707198019820,"authorId":4090707198019820,"name":"3349aad3","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":867538433,"type":1,"supId":6081211,"prevId":0,"content":"[可爱]","text":"[可爱]","html":"[可爱]"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":867592551,"gmtCreate":1633297634426,"gmtModify":1633297634426,"author":{"id":"3583668911828878","authorId":"3583668911828878","name":"心灵gg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32b3fa0744509cf45f2e0b088a521e5b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"的确很震撼","listText":"的确很震撼","text":"的确很震撼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867592551","repostId":2172964294,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":867254240,"gmtCreate":1633277019692,"gmtModify":1633277020108,"author":{"id":"3574387078391491","aut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