经历了“黑暗”一周，鲍威尔连任有点悬了？

华尔街见闻2021-10-01

美联储主席鲍威尔正在经历“黑暗”的一周。周一，因“炒股风波”持续发酵，美联储两大高官同日宣布辞职；周二，民主党重量级议员公开反对其连任美联储主席。与此同时，美国债务上限危机愈演愈烈，10月18日已经成为美国发生灾难性国债违约的可能时间点。伴随着愈发动荡的市场以及各方质疑，鲍威尔的连任之路或许注定不会平坦。百年来首次美联储两大高官同日辞职因“炒股风波”持续发酵，波士顿联储主席埃里克·...

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精彩评论

菜鸟小股民
2021-10-03
菜鸟小股民
鲍威尔是大鸽派，深得总统喜爱
泰格沫儿
2021-10-03
泰格沫儿
无论如何处理，都是他们内部的阴谋
wongps
2021-10-02
wongps
很好
夜袭女儿国
2021-10-02
夜袭女儿国
无论谁做那个位置，肯定是为美国股民考虑的，
Youn7276
2021-10-02
Youn7276
好
aiorbits
2021-10-02
aiorbits
这不扯了么

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Kaplan）于当地时间本周一先后宣布辞职。\n因在新冠疫情期间进行个人交易，与美联储在金融市场中的角色存在潜在冲突，罗森格伦及卡普兰此前遭到外界广泛批评。\n波士顿联储披露的信息显示，波士顿联储主席罗森格伦去年在房产投资市场交易活跃，持有价值15.1万至80万美元的房地产投资信托，这些信托基金持有按揭抵押贷款支持证券（MBS）。\n当美联储购买了近7000亿美元的MBS时，罗森格伦在四个房地产投资信托中进行了多达37笔单独的交易。\n\n“股神”卡普兰的交易更被外界所关注（诟病）。\n根据达拉斯联储提供的信息，达拉斯联储主席卡普兰在2020年进行了多次超过百万美元的股票交易，其拥有27项价值超过100万美元的股票、基金或另类资产。持股包括美股科技六大巨头中的五家：苹果、亚马逊、Alphabet、特斯拉和Facebook。\n披露信息同时显示，卡普兰同时还买卖了iShares浮动利率债券ETF，该ETF跟踪五年期以下债券的价格，并直接受到美联储利率政策和预期的影响。而卡普兰正是美联储在利率问题上拥有投票权的成员。\n\n除卡普兰和罗森格伦外，美联储主席鲍威尔也卷入“炒股风波”。\n据CNBC报道，鲍威尔在家族信托中持有125万至250万美元的美国市政债券。这些债券是在2019年之前购买的，但在美联储去年总体购买了213亿美元市政债券的同期一直持有，其家族信托于2016年购买的美国伊利诺伊州政府债券也“荣登”过美联储去年QE买债列表。\n对此美联储发言人回应称，鲍威尔本人对美联储购买哪些市政债券没有绝对发言权，对其家族信托的投资也没有发言权，上述三人的资产持有和交易情况均被美联储内部道德官员判定没有违反规则。\n美联储高官炒股或持仓引发争议，恰逢白宫决定是否任命鲍威尔连任美联储主席的关键时点。\n外界分析表示，对鲍威尔来说最棘手的问题将是解释为什么这两位（罗森格伦和卡普兰）必须辞职，而美联储主席则可以继续担任他的席位？\n“你的记录让我非常担忧”\n除了“炒股风波”外，民主党重量级议员的公开反对也让鲍威尔的连任之路的变得更加复杂。\n周二在国会参议院银行业委员会听证会上，曾参与美国总统竞选、对美联储主席任命有表决权的民主党参议员大佬伊丽莎白·沃伦公开表示，鲍威尔削弱了金融业监管和银行压力测试标准，是个“危险人物”，将反对他连任美联储主席。\n沃伦称，放松金融业监管可能会引发另一场灾难，美国银行业迄今为止能够避免重大问题是因为鲍威尔“很幸运”，但“运气总有用完的时候，2008年华尔街崩盘就是实例”。她称，2008年金融危机的种子是美联储等主要监管机构在此前几年播下，当时它们拒绝从严监管大型银行。\n\n “（鲍威尔）你的记录让我非常担忧。一次又一次，你的行为让我们的银行系统变得不那么安全。这让你成为领导美联储的危险人物，这就是我反对你被提名连任的原因。让你获得连任提名是不值得冒的风险。”\n\n结果或将很快浮出水面\n鲍威尔的任期将于明年2月到期，相关提名结果预计很快浮出水面。\n历史上，特朗普于2017年11月上旬任命鲍威尔为美联储主席；而奥巴马于2009年8月宣布支持伯南克的第二个任期；耶伦的美联储主席提名则于2013年10月上旬宣布。\n市场分析人士表示，尽管来自民主党“进步派”的反对声非常大，但鲍威尔的连任实际上更可能获得国会两党的共同支持，任何民主党“进步派”的提名人选都会遭到国会共和党的强烈反对，相关提名投票将非常艰难。\n在国会方面，重量级温和派民主党参议员泰斯特(Jon Tester)已经公开表示支持鲍威尔连任。此外，多位重量级共和党参议员，包括俄亥俄州共和党参议员波特曼(Rob Portman)、北卡罗来纳州共和党参议员提里斯（Thom Tillis）、堪萨斯州共和党参议员莫兰(Jerry Moran)等共和党成员都表示支持鲍威尔连任。\n“他将是最受两党支持的提名之一”，前美联储经济学家朱莉娅·科罗纳多(Julia Coronado)明确总结。\n支持提名鲍威尔的一个理由是，在美国经济和美联储人事的敏感时刻，领导层的变动可能带来不确定性。在两名联储主席辞职后，拜登政府急需填补美联储大量职位空缺。\n到目前为止，白宫对是否让鲍威尔连任保持沉默。白宫官员表示，“总统将继续与他的高级经济团队进行谨慎和深思熟虑的磋商，以及时任命一位美联储主席”，“总统将任命他认为在领导美联储方面最有效的候选人”。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":867294188,"gmtCreate":1633268512313,"gmtModify":1633270684350,"author":{"id":"3475493861288108","authorId":"3475493861288108","name":"菜鸟小股民","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"鲍威尔是大鸽派，深得总统喜爱","listText":"鲍威尔是大鸽派，深得总统喜爱","text":"鲍威尔是大鸽派，深得总统喜爱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867294188","repostId":2171955842,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":867398155,"gmtCreate":1633211994021,"gmtModify":1633211994021,"author":{"id":"3582103939409320","authorId":"3582103939409320","name":"泰格沫儿","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05442e0123df38fdd27b707be623d53d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"无论如何处理，都是他们内部的阴谋","listText":"无论如何处理，都是他们内部的阴谋","text":"无论如何处理，都是他们内部的阴谋","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867398155","repostId":2171955842,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":864512939,"gmtCreate":1633131265401,"gmtModify":1633131265782,"author":{"id":"4087277815327430","authorId":"4087277815327430","name":"wongps","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1d147b41cf6a28dfd46dd329bfe6c09","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"很好","listText":"很好","text":"很好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864512939","repostId":2171955842,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":864513840,"gmtCreate":1633130896614,"gmtModify":1633131698382,"author":{"id":"3556430317654104","authorId":"3556430317654104","name":"夜袭女儿国","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/981270b89fc3d1572f9537a8e19c6c9c","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"无论谁做那个位置，肯定是为美国股民考虑的，","listText":"无论谁做那个位置，肯定是为美国股民考虑的，","text":"无论谁做那个位置，肯定是为美国股民考虑的，","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864513840","repostId":2171955842,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":864594835,"gmtCreate":1633129736897,"gmtModify":1633129773614,"author":{"id":"3577393549070429","authorId":"3577393549070429","name":"Youn7276","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487c5c26a5e210d6b88adaeaba12329b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864594835","repostId":2171955842,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":864283225,"gmtCreate":1633105692607,"gmtModify":1633105692767,"author":{"id":"3572861058339164","authorId":"3572861058339164","name":"aiorbits","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5430cbf4ef6503c03b466f4bc195a332","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"这不扯了么","listText":"这不扯了么","text":"这不扯了么","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864283225","repostId":2171955842,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":119,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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