The S&P 500 hasn't fallen by at least 5% in nearly 200 sessions -- Here's what history says happens next

MarketWatch2021-08-20

It is the unbearable lightness of being for the S&P 500 index. The broad-market measure of a basket of 500 U.S. stocks has been preternaturally resistant to pullbacks of late, despite concerns about ...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

CokeNBeer
2021-08-20
CokeNBeer
Buy
- edgetrader:
  Buy what?
- CokeNBeer:
  Yes
Lanying
2021-08-20
Lanying
O
- Lanying:
  O
Chris1233
2021-08-20
Chris1233
Okkkkkkkokkoo
RXX
2021-08-20
RXX
Ok
NEWBIE
2021-08-20
NEWBIE
Be on guard....
- Chris1233:
  ookkk
- RXX:
  ok
hoa
2021-08-20
hoa
DCA then

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2160982795?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2021-08-20 08:30","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2160982795","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"The S&P 500 hasn't fallen by at least 5% in nearly 200 sessions -- Here's what history says happens next","media":"MarketWatch","content":"<div>\n<p>It is the unbearable lightness of being for the S&P 500 index.\nThe broad-market measure of a basket of 500 U.S. stocks has been preternaturally resistant to pullbacks of late, despite concerns about ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-hasnt-fallen-by-at-least-5-in-nearly-200-sessions-heres-what-history-says-happens-next-11629401149?mod=home-page\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1603348471595","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 hasn't fallen by at least 5% in nearly 200 sessions -- Here's what history says happens next</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 hasn't fallen by at least 5% in nearly 200 sessions -- Here's what history says happens next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-20 08:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-hasnt-fallen-by-at-least-5-in-nearly-200-sessions-heres-what-history-says-happens-next-11629401149?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It is the unbearable lightness of being for the S&P 500 index.\nThe broad-market measure of a basket of 500 U.S. stocks has been preternaturally resistant to pullbacks of late, despite concerns about ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-hasnt-fallen-by-at-least-5-in-nearly-200-sessions-heres-what-history-says-happens-next-11629401149?mod=home-page\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".SPX","symbol_name":"S&P 500 Index","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-hasnt-fallen-by-at-least-5-in-nearly-200-sessions-heres-what-history-says-happens-next-11629401149?mod=home-page","article_id":"2160982795","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160982795","pubTimestamp":1629419419,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1603348471595","name":"MarketWatch"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"It is the unbearable lightness of being for the S&P 500 index.\nThe broad-market measure of a basket ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"marketwatch.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SH":"标普500反向ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF"},"translate_title":"标普500在近200个交易日中没有至少下跌5%--以下是历史上说接下来会发生的事情","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"UPRO":0.9},"content_text":"It is the unbearable lightness of being for the S&P 500 index.\nThe broad-market measure of a basket of 500 U.S. stocks has been preternaturally resistant to pullbacks of late, despite concerns about the spread of the highly transmissible delta variant of COVID-19 and worries that the Federal Reserve's strategy to reduce its bond purchases may be be ill-timed.\nYet, the S&P 500 index has seen a largely uninterrupted ascent to such a degree that this Friday, absent a sharp sell off, will mark the 200th session without a drawdown of at least 5% from its recent peak, making the current stretch of levitation the longest such since 2016, when the market went 404 sessions without falling by at least 5% peak to trough.\nSource: Dow Jones Market Data\n\n\n\n\n\n\nIt is extremely rare for the market to enjoy such a period of relative effervescence. Indeed, such lengthy stretches without a 5% pullback or better have occurred on only eight occasions in the S&P 500 index, the attached table shows.\nThere clearly are reasons why the market is clambering higher in the recovery from COVID, set against a daunting wall of worry . Investors are jockeying between areas of the market that are expected to boost revenue and profit faster than the rest of the pack and those that are beaten down and might benefit from a fuller economic rebound from coronavirus.\nBuying on Monday helped the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 index produce their 35th and 49th record all-time closing highs of 2021, respectively. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite Index stands a little over 2.5% from its record high put in on Aug. 5.\n\nThere is, of course, a sense that the party for stocks can't last forever.\nSo, how does the market tend to perform in period after such a protracted bullish run?\nThe data set is very small but the S&P 500 has mostly climbed on a median basis, falling 1.2% in the following year but producing a median gain of 17.6% in a two-year period and 55% in the ensuing five-year period. The mean average return is better, showing a gain of 6.5%, 27.4% and 64%, respectively.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":838558289,"gmtCreate":1629420704841,"gmtModify":1631889528574,"author":{"id":"3581722811684208","authorId":"3581722811684208","name":"CokeNBeer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d83481d848bfcbe3dc2d701ebc1e6ce0","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581722811684208","authorIdStr":"3581722811684208"},"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838558289","repostId":2160982795,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5585391,"gmtCreate":1629421668982,"gmtModify":1631889528581,"authorId":3570751249933438,"author":{"id":3570751249933438,"idStr":"3570751249933438","authorId":3570751249933438,"name":"edgetrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d0e920d94a7891f4c6393f3e5510ccc","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":838558289,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Buy what?","text":"Buy what?","html":"Buy what?"},{"id":5585187,"gmtCreate":1629420721225,"gmtModify":1631889528570,"authorId":3581722811684208,"author":{"id":3581722811684208,"idStr":"3581722811684208","authorId":3581722811684208,"name":"CokeNBeer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d83481d848bfcbe3dc2d701ebc1e6ce0","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":838558289,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Yes","text":"Yes","html":"Yes"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":838551144,"gmtCreate":1629420636588,"gmtModify":1633684994375,"author":{"id":"3571641801586244","authorId":"3571641801586244","name":"Lanying","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44079e6feb39117800ea99462f8cae40","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571641801586244","authorIdStr":"3571641801586244"},"htmlText":"O","listText":"O","text":"O","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838551144","repostId":2160982795,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5585172,"gmtCreate":1629420642119,"gmtModify":1635147361419,"authorId":3571641801586244,"author":{"id":3571641801586244,"idStr":"3571641801586244","authorId":3571641801586244,"name":"Lanying","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44079e6feb39117800ea99462f8cae40","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":838551144,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"O","text":"O","html":"O"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":838524295,"gmtCreate":1629420492217,"gmtModify":1631892134456,"author":{"id":"3586558475553764","authorId":"3586558475553764","name":"Chris1233","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91b62810815621977e2e6cc6da25ff49","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3586558475553764","authorIdStr":"3586558475553764"},"htmlText":"Okkkkkkkokkoo","listText":"Okkkkkkkokkoo","text":"Okkkkkkkokkoo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838524295","repostId":2160982795,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":838522941,"gmtCreate":1629420338683,"gmtModify":1631888917910,"author":{"id":"3581914245836452","authorId":"3581914245836452","name":"RXX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4b5a03d25bea5fa50ec0dd0a11e9e39","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581914245836452","authorIdStr":"3581914245836452"},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838522941","repostId":2160982795,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":838567620,"gmtCreate":1629420058960,"gmtModify":1633685004740,"author":{"id":"3573124416025977","authorId":"3573124416025977","name":"NEWBIE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3efe20248e6d34805e6c7befc3ae66a0","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573124416025977","authorIdStr":"3573124416025977"},"htmlText":"Be on guard....","listText":"Be on guard....","text":"Be on guard....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838567620","repostId":2160982795,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5585128,"gmtCreate":1629420486390,"gmtModify":1631895201131,"authorId":3586558475553764,"author":{"id":3586558475553764,"idStr":"3586558475553764","authorId":3586558475553764,"name":"Chris1233","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91b62810815621977e2e6cc6da25ff49","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":838567620,"type":1,"supId":5585083,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>ookkk</u>","text":"<u>ookkk</u>","html":"<u>ookkk</u>"},{"id":5585083,"gmtCreate":1629420334250,"gmtModify":1631895201122,"authorId":3581914245836452,"author":{"id":3581914245836452,"idStr":"3581914245836452","authorId":3581914245836452,"name":"RXX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4b5a03d25bea5fa50ec0dd0a11e9e39","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":838567620,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"ok","text":"ok","html":"ok"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":838567996,"gmtCreate":1629420047315,"gmtModify":1631891412486,"author":{"id":"3576020103442242","authorId":"3576020103442242","name":"hoa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fde20263e39879236fafd316b76c363","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576020103442242","authorIdStr":"3576020103442242"},"htmlText":"DCA then","listText":"DCA then","text":"DCA then","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838567996","repostId":2160982795,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":75,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2160982795"}