“2030年半数美国新车得是电动车”！拜登小目标意味什么

华尔街见闻2021-08-06

当地时间周四，美国总统拜登宣布，计划签署一项行政命令，要求到2030年，在美国新车销售中，电动车的比例必须达到40%-50%。其中电动车包括纯电动车，插电式混合动力车，和燃料电池电动车。这对于美国而言，是一个不容易实现的目标。据《巴伦周刊》报道，就目前来看，美国道路上只有大约200万辆电动汽车，2020年售出的汽车中只有2%是纯电动汽车。以通用汽车为例子，该公司2021年上半年在美国交付了130...

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精彩评论

富發
2021-08-06
富發
骗人
- 53570b80:
  [得意]
- 中长期投资者:
  [得意]
- 秀秀2:
  [笑哭]
雷鸟
2021-08-06
雷鸟
吹牛
- ming_5868:
  [贱笑]
jacky998
2021-08-06
jacky998
可以理解为特斯拉股票还会涨吗？
- 涓流入海:
  应该会涨很多。没有太多替代型产品
- BeGreedyMan:
  利好特斯拉

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Sosinov称，最快的充电器每个售价约为10万美元，这个价格不包括安装费。那么如果要达到5万个快速充电站，则预估需要100亿美元的投入。\n再者，汽车制造厂商也需要加大投入来设计和组装电动汽车，据《巴伦周刊》估算，这笔投入大概在220亿美元。以福特汽车为例，每年花费约50亿至70亿美元，维护和更新其500万至600万辆汽车的组装能力。特斯拉在过去几年已经花费了大约50亿美元，在中国、德国和美国的工厂组装了大约150万辆电动汽车。\n此外，锂矿产能预计也将得到大幅提升。2020年，全球开采约40万吨锂，尽管全球产量中只有约三分之一用于汽车，也足以为200万至300万辆电动汽车提供动力。但如果美国计划每年生产800万辆电动汽车，其他国家也同时增加电动车生产数量，那么世界每年将需要增加500万吨锂的开采，这对整个行业来说是13倍的巨大增长。\n在拜登新计划发布后，中金公司上调全球锂需求预测，预计2021-2025年动力电池领域需求年复合增长率将高达59%，全球锂需求有望从2021年的43万吨LCE增长至2025年的154万吨LCE，年复合增长率约38%。\n中国公司受益其中\n中信证券表示，拜登力推汽车电动化，支持力度不断加强，超出市场预期。中国电动化供应商，尤其是锂电池产业链最为完善且具备全球竞争力，成本优势十分明显：\n\n 考虑中国中上游环节，例如锂电、锂电材料、锂电设备、热管理、资源及加工等环节已经深度配套全球客户，且部分企业已经或者正在筹备于美国建厂，产业链中上游的中国优质供应商有望继续受益，尤其是特斯拉供应链，短期有望充分享受配套的业绩弹性，中长期看产品壁垒高、示范效应强，拥有更大的成长空间，值得重点关注。\n\n中金公司认为，该行政命令标志了美国将新能源汽车产业放到国家战略的高度，全球汽车电动化进程加速，产业链企业将从中受益：整车及零部件环节推荐头部新能源整车企业，和在电动智能化中领先的零部件企业，包括特斯拉供应链、热管理供应商、北美供应链。\n中金公司指出，美国当前本土电池规划产能与需求存在较大缺口，短中期仍需进口填补：\n\n 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