Global EV battery industry will be 'sold out' by 2025: BofA

Yahoo Finance2021-07-21

According to a Bank of America Global Research (BAC) report, there is a looming threat of the global battery supply for electric vehicles (EVs) running dry by as early as 2025. “Our updated EV battery...

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精彩评论

Soksok
2021-07-21
Soksok
Good
tanks09
2021-07-21
tanks09
Died.. focus on solar farms
- TimTamPrata:
  Huat
- tanks09:
  Huat!
- TimTamPrata:
  Huat
- tanks09:
  Huat
Greenbull18
2021-07-21
Greenbull18
[Surprised]
MengKeng
2021-07-21
MengKeng
EV demand will be high, driving EV shares as well
- p3aceboi:
  [Smile]
edgetrader
2021-07-21
edgetrader
No more batteries?
BellaEng
2021-07-21
BellaEng
Really?!

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154

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BofA Global Research lifted its estimated global penetrations for all EVs, including battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), to 23%, 40%, and 67% for 2025, 2030, and 2040, respectively.</p>\n<p>BofA Global research cited a higher likelihood of more stringent regulation on CO2 emissions for regular cars by 2030, increased BEV volume targets by major OEMs over the past six months, and upward revisions to EV penetration forecasts for the U.S. market as being key reasons for its bullish view on EVs.</p>\n<p>“We forecast the global operating rates of EV battery will rise to about 121% by 2030, based on announced capacity so far, implying another round of substantial CapEx cycles will likely kick in the next 2-3 years,” the report added.</p>\n<p>The BofA report noted that the potential swing factors for the future of EVs in the U.S. lie in regulations and stimulus. 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BofA Global Research lifted its estimated global penetrations for all EVs, including battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), to 23%, 40%, and 67% for 2025, 2030, and 2040, respectively.\nBofA Global research cited a higher likelihood of more stringent regulation on CO2 emissions for regular cars by 2030, increased BEV volume targets by major OEMs over the past six months, and upward revisions to EV penetration forecasts for the U.S. market as being key reasons for its bullish view on EVs.\n“We forecast the global operating rates of EV battery will rise to about 121% by 2030, based on announced capacity so far, implying another round of substantial CapEx cycles will likely kick in the next 2-3 years,” the report added.\nThe BofA report noted that the potential swing factors for the future of EVs in the U.S. lie in regulations and stimulus. Under the bull-case scenario, BofA’s U.S. auto team forecasts that EV penetration in the U.S. market would rise to about 25% and 50% in 2025 and 2030, respectively, compared with the base case of 7% and 20% during the same period.\nThe bull case assumes around $450 billion in federal stimulus, or a subsidy of $10,000 for each of 45 million EVs sold. Accordingly, this suggests that the global operating rates of EV batteries could reach nearly 83% by 2024, likely pulling forward an impending battery shortage by as much as a year compared to the base scenario, the report said.\nThe drop in demand for oil and gasoline throughout the pandemic coincided with significant gains for renewables, with solar and wind up by 19% and 10% respectively for 2020. 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