“新欢”层出不穷！散户大打游击战，华尔街输定了？

格隆汇APP2021-06-09

散户逼空华尔街的好戏远未到散场之时。上周三，AMC收涨95.5%，之后至今的4个交易日，该股又累计下跌12%。你以为散户们又败了一场，没想到人家早就转移了阵地。昨夜，“散户新宠”Clover Health一度大涨超100%，美版拼多多Wish的母公司ContextLogicInc大涨50%；今日盘初，Clean Energy Fuels(CLNE.O)涨34%，ContextLogic(...

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精彩评论

Fred_6810
2021-06-12
Fred_6810
语不惊人死不休!
Youn7276
2021-06-10
Youn7276
刹了一只又一只！
啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦
2021-06-10
啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦
转移阵地的披着羊皮的机构，真散户一茬一茬的被割。
Ylychg
2021-06-10
Ylychg
很快就一地鸡毛
- Yuyi:
  果然
- Ylychg:
  😣
- Yuyi:
  😑
Santaurora
2021-06-09
Santaurora
信息时代，打破垄断。
- Simon00:
  [得意]
响亮平安行
2021-06-09
响亮平安行
外媒报道称，当地时间6月9日，美国总统拜登签署了一项行政令，撤销前总统特朗普在任期间对中国社交软件TikTok和微信的禁令。【不容易呀…政府花了将尽200亿美金外汇换来的，还有不停歇的购买美国石油，并且解决了石油工人就业和医保失业金，暂时且停止用人民币兑换美金，其实美国政府有方法监视微信（其国使用微信者都是QQ微信）】

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Retail investors fight guerrilla warfare, will Wall Street lose?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bca8c683431e248527a3200a0ad1b91","symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9},"content_text":"散户逼空华尔街的好戏远未到散场之时。\n上周三，AMC收涨95.5%，之后至今的4个交易日，该股又累计下跌12%。你以为散户们又败了一场，没想到人家早就转移了阵地。\n昨夜，“散户新宠”Clover Health一度大涨超100%，美版拼多多Wish的母公司ContextLogicInc大涨50%；今日盘初，Clean Energy Fuels(CLNE.O)涨34%，ContextLogic(WISH.O)涨20%，Clover Health(CLOV.O)涨15%。\n在之前几次大规模散户逼空中，Clover Health闻所未闻，这家公司到底什么来头？\n1 散户“新宠”：Clover Health\nClover Health是一家Medicare Advantage保险公司，成立于2013年。所谓Medicare Advantage，是美国医保面向65岁以上老人的医保计划，由CMS转移支付保费给商业保险公司运营。\n2020年10月，Clover以37亿美元的价格与查马斯·帕里哈皮蒂亚旗下的空白支票公司进行反向合并，从而成为一家美股上市公司。\n上市之前，Clover曾在2014年至2019年间获得过六轮融资，前期的明星投资人包括First Round Capital，红杉基金和 Greenoaks Capital等。\n2月份，Clover Health受到做空机构Hindenburg Research的指控。在做空报告中，这家机构声称Clover Health是一家“破碎的企业”。此后，该股在一个月内股价累计跌幅超过50%。\n但在达到股价低点之后，该股开始出现上涨势头。昨晚之前，Clover Health相比3月的股价低点已经累计上涨了超过60%。\nClover Health上涨的原因仍然与WSB论坛有关。\n华尔街机构Hindenburg Research对Clover Health的做空引起了推特和WSB论坛里散户的注意，Clover Health因此成为论坛热点话题。\n\n而根据S3 Partners的数据，在过去一个月内，做空这只股票的比率增加了约25%，使得该公司有43.5%的流通股遭到卖空。\n作为对比，AMC院线在上周三大涨之时，也只有超过20%的流通股被做空。\nClover已经成为美国各个交易所中被卖空最多的股票之一，这让它成为WSB论坛中当之无愧的明星股。周二，关于Clover的讨论在WSB论坛吸引了超过1000万的参与者，超过AMC，成为论坛中最火热的话题。\n巨大的空头仓位让散户们无所畏惧地买入，他们寄希望于通过抬高股价，迫使做空Clover的对冲基金不得不从市场上买回股票。在这个过程中股价进一步抬高，一批空头们爆仓退场，前期买入的散户赚得盆满钵满，大获全胜，这就是所谓的逼空。\n数据显示，仅在昨夜，空头们在Clover上就损失5亿美元。\n从游戏驿站到Rocket Companies，再到AMC院线，现在又轮到了Clover和Wish。本来应该是散户与空头们多空对峙的一场阵地战，活生生被散户们玩成了游击战。\n来自WSB论坛的散户们发帖为号，打一枪换一个地方，让靠割韭菜为生的华尔街大佬们摸不着头脑，一个个成了被收割的对象，这合理吗？\n2 华尔街谁说了算？\n事实上是合理的。美股散户之所以有如此大的力量，使得他们足以与掌握金融霸权的华尔街大佬抗衡，原因是多方面的。\n首先要归功于移动互联网时代，散户规模的扩大使得权重上升。互联网券商Robinhood等的推出使大量年轻人涌入股市，原因是这些互联网基因更强的炒股软件手续费更低甚至免费，界面、交互等更符合次世代的习惯和审美。\n其次，疫情导致的居家隔离和政府补贴为散户提供了充足的时间和弹药。2020年疫情时，美联储货币超发程度创下历史之最，极低的借贷成本和溢出的流动性推高了各种资产的价格。政府为普通民众提供的数千美元补贴也大部分流入了股市。\n最后，投机性极强、对旧秩序抱有敌意的年轻散户们通过WSB论坛和社交软件们聚集起来，他们有充裕的时间、精力和金钱，因此抱起团来制造了一起又一起风暴。\n以往在金融领域，华尔街始终说一不二，但移动互联网使得一切发生了变数。比特币对传统货币制度的挑战，散户对传统金融基础设施的挑战，使华尔街无法再任意妄为。\n回到昨夜大涨的焦点股票Clover，按照以往的惯例，被华尔街空头们盯上的股票多半没什么好果子吃。股价一路向南，最后退市，公司破产清算，空头们则在这个过程中大赚一笔。\n但事实上，这些公司并非无可救药。从市场角度分析，Market Realist分析师Anuradha Garg预计，医疗保险的普及率将从2020年的36%上升到2025年的50%。\n2019年，Medicare Advantage保险计划的支出为2700亿美元，预计2025年这项数字将增长至5900亿美元，这对Clover来说将是一个巨大的机会。\n并且，Clover的市场份额增长速度也远远快于大多数同行。2019年的数据显示，该公司共有41143名会员，预计2021年将增长至27.3万，2023年则翻倍增长至58.9万。\n另外，风险投资人Chamath Palihapitiya也预计Clover将在2023年实现整体盈利。Clover表示，预计公司营收将从2021年的8.8亿美元增长至2023年的17亿美元。\n随着美国逐渐从纸质医疗记录转向电子医疗记录，Clover基于网络的Clover Assistant应用程序也有望获得成功。此外，Clover还与沃尔玛、CVS健康、Walgreens、克罗格和好市多等多家零售巨头建立了合作关系。\n昨夜大涨的Wish同样如此。这家公司依赖中国供货，号称美版“拼多多”，主要销售各种平价、折扣商品。\n2020年，Wish营业收入为25.4亿美元，同比增长33.67%。净亏损达7.45亿美元，相比2019年1.3亿美元的亏损大幅扩大。\nWish的亏损主要是由于市场、销售和管理费用大幅上升31%，达到了20亿美元，这来自于它在脸书、拳赛和湖人队等之上所做的广告。\n\n但Wish已经一度成为下载量最大的全球购物应用程序，长期跻身北美电商平台榜单的前十之列，月活用户量超过1亿，每天卖出超过180万件商品。\n移动互联网时代，Wish有望在沃尔玛、亚马逊等超级玩家身后另辟蹊径，成为又一家有影响力的电商巨头。\n做空这样两家有相当潜力的公司，虽然不合理，但在以往华尔街掌握绝对话语权的时代是可以的。\n然而，在如今散户崛起的背景下，这显然不太明智。\n3 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