美联储面临的最大威胁：核心CPI在两周内将达到4%？

智通财经网2021-06-02

“美元流动性泛滥”之类的报道近日疯狂刷屏。上周，美联储逆回购工具一度创下了4850亿美元的纪录高位。有人担心，美联储回购工具的大幅使用或迫使美联储在6月的会议上上调超额准备金率5个基点。虽然鲍威尔已经重复数百遍这并不暗示着美联储宽松的政策要转向，但可能不足以平息市场恐慌。事实上，美联储货币政策可能存在更大的威胁，北欧联合银行上周写道，美联储在6月10日发布的5月通胀报告将非常有可能是一个“...

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精彩评论

d63a8e4
2021-06-02
d63a8e4
好高
- 121711b8:
  [微笑] [微笑]
甜甜圈大
2021-06-02
甜甜圈大
股神巴菲特
Ericpang122
2021-06-02
Ericpang122
总体来说经济过热不是不好事还是谨慎点

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18:40","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"美联储面临的最大威胁：核心CPI在两周内将达到4%？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2140416949","media":"智通财经网","summary":"“美元流动性泛滥”之类的报道近日疯狂刷屏。上周，美联储逆回购工具一度创下了4850亿美元的纪录高位。\n\n有人担心，美联储回购工具的大幅使用或迫使美联储在6月的会议上上调超额准备金率5个基点。虽然鲍威尔","content":"<p>“美元流动性泛滥”之类的报道近日疯狂刷屏。上周，美联储逆回购工具一度创下了4850亿美元的纪录高位。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0991ce9046f207d4130716b72c2b2b02\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>有人担心，美联储回购工具的大幅使用或迫使美联储在6月的会议上上调超额准备金率5个基点。虽然鲍威尔已经重复数百遍这并不暗示着美联储宽松的政策要转向，但可能不足以平息市场恐慌。</p>\n<p>事实上，美联储货币政策可能存在更大的威胁，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0N4T.UK\">北欧联合银行</a>上周写道，美联储在6月10日发布的5月通胀报告将非常有可能是一个“震惊”的消息，因为当前汽车和货车使用量在以50%的年增长率增长，住房租金年增长率存在潜在的上涨空间。</p>\n<p>对于那些还没有了解二手车市场情况的人，这里有一张Mannheim二手车指数的图表可供参考：</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9760ce507bb6caf12156a19fc79326ca\" tg-width=\"857\" tg-height=\"912\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>据Apartment List的数据显示，住房租金在经历了一段时间的下滑后，这个CPI和PCE篮子中的关键组成部分突然暴涨。美国全国租金中值刚刚创下有记录以来的最高涨幅。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6d5ea7fbded6605c2bf42d32832ec86\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这张图表促使北欧<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASBC\">联合银行</a>作出一个预测：“不排除美国5月核心CPI通胀达到4%”，<b>若这一幕出现，恐将导致市场对美联储的“暂时性通胀”理论失去信任，甚至连民主党政客也要求美联储开始缩减购债规模。 </b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/880ca75b3087a5e56e0a38dc72a8cc50\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>当然，有可能情况没那么糟糕，甚至会转向好的一面，一些人已经开始关注下一个阶段的价格下跌，例如近日大宗商品价格有下行趋势。分析师指出需求增长存在放缓的初步迹象，供给也将开始增加，价格可能最终会温和上涨，随之而来的是良性通胀。</p>\n<p>以木材和住房供给为例：此前木材新订单高于产量、库存下降，一度引发价格飙升；但是现在，木材产量已经追上了订单，木材库存趋于稳定。许多经济学家，其中包括美联储，预计这种模式将在经济的其他领域重演。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1af1f2f95edcf3700e6feda7edddd67b\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储面临的最大威胁：核心CPI在两周内将达到4%？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-02 18:40 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/486893.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“美元流动性泛滥”之类的报道近日疯狂刷屏。上周，美联储逆回购工具一度创下了4850亿美元的纪录高位。\n\n有人担心，美联储回购工具的大幅使用或迫使美联储在6月的会议上上调超额准备金率5个基点。虽然鲍威尔已经重复数百遍这并不暗示着美联储宽松的政策要转向，但可能不足以平息市场恐慌。\n事实上，美联储货币政策可能存在更大的威胁，北欧联合银行上周写道，美联储在6月10日发布的5月通胀报告将非常有可能是一个“...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/486893.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d404e53536bd5bd25337ed01def7224","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/486893.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2140416949","content_text":"“美元流动性泛滥”之类的报道近日疯狂刷屏。上周，美联储逆回购工具一度创下了4850亿美元的纪录高位。\n\n有人担心，美联储回购工具的大幅使用或迫使美联储在6月的会议上上调超额准备金率5个基点。虽然鲍威尔已经重复数百遍这并不暗示着美联储宽松的政策要转向，但可能不足以平息市场恐慌。\n事实上，美联储货币政策可能存在更大的威胁，北欧联合银行上周写道，美联储在6月10日发布的5月通胀报告将非常有可能是一个“震惊”的消息，因为当前汽车和货车使用量在以50%的年增长率增长，住房租金年增长率存在潜在的上涨空间。\n对于那些还没有了解二手车市场情况的人，这里有一张Mannheim二手车指数的图表可供参考：\n\n据Apartment List的数据显示，住房租金在经历了一段时间的下滑后，这个CPI和PCE篮子中的关键组成部分突然暴涨。美国全国租金中值刚刚创下有记录以来的最高涨幅。\n\n这张图表促使北欧联合银行作出一个预测：“不排除美国5月核心CPI通胀达到4%”，若这一幕出现，恐将导致市场对美联储的“暂时性通胀”理论失去信任，甚至连民主党政客也要求美联储开始缩减购债规模。 \n\n当然，有可能情况没那么糟糕，甚至会转向好的一面，一些人已经开始关注下一个阶段的价格下跌，例如近日大宗商品价格有下行趋势。分析师指出需求增长存在放缓的初步迹象，供给也将开始增加，价格可能最终会温和上涨，随之而来的是良性通胀。\n以木材和住房供给为例：此前木材新订单高于产量、库存下降，一度引发价格飙升；但是现在，木材产量已经追上了订单，木材库存趋于稳定。许多经济学家，其中包括美联储，预计这种模式将在经济的其他领域重演。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4546283,"gmtCreate":1622636915539,"gmtModify":1635391260156,"authorId":3584839794199440,"author":{"id":3584839794199440,"idStr":"3584839794199440","authorId":3584839794199440,"name":"121711b8","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":113452586,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[微笑] [微笑]","text":"[微笑] [微笑]","html":"[微笑] 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还是谨慎点","listText":"总体来说经济过热不是不好事 还是谨慎点","text":"总体来说经济过热不是不好事 还是谨慎点","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113485998","repostId":2140416949,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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