最担心的事发生了：关键数据爆了美股崩了，中国如何应对？

中国基金报2021-05-13

在通胀忧虑不断升高之际，北京时间12日晚间，全球的投资人都在关心美国公布的一个数据——4月CPI。这是一个观察通货膨胀的重要指标，而投资者担心通胀飙升可能促使美联储重新考虑目前宽松的货币政策。结果数据出来，投资人们都被惊呆了，美国4月CPI增速大幅高于市场预期，创金融危机以来最高！美国4月CPI同比增4.2%超预期创2008年9月以来最高值 5月12日周三晚8点半，美国劳工部公布了美国4月...

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免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

西部波浪卷
2021-05-13
西部波浪卷
也就是说目前美股只是暂时回调[财迷]
Ysw16888
2021-05-13
Ysw16888
赞我回复我
- 林癸源:
  [真香] [真香]
- MUWY:
  回复
- UTOtrader:
  buy buy buy
PTingL
2021-05-13
PTingL
[微笑]
赞我的今年账户翻十倍
2021-05-13
赞我的今年账户翻十倍
安心啦，还有一波
VersaillesLi
2021-05-13
VersaillesLi
[开心] [开心] [开心]
- Arislee:
  Iiii
NELSONCY
2021-05-13
NELSONCY
是好是坏啊?
- VersaillesLi:
  [流泪] [流泪] [流泪]
- Arislee:
  Oooo

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\n数据出来之后，投资者日益担心通胀不断上扬将会促使各大央行收紧货币政策。\n科技股再次下跌并领跌大盘。纳指跌超2%，道指跌近500点，标普500跌超1.6%！\n\n华尔街正在刮起一波快速疯狂转向价值股的风潮，长期来的宠儿科技股却走上了下坡路。纵观全球市场，与经济增长相关的股票俱都表现出色，大宗商品的上涨将债券市场的通胀预期推向15年新高。\n\n较高的通货膨胀预期往往对价值股有利，因为通常伴随着更快的经济增长和更高的债券收益率。与此同时，科技股的长期前景因为较高的利率而被削弱。过去一个月中，能源，材料和金融板块领跑标普500指数。科技股表现最差。\n即曾笑称价值基金经理没客户的Sanford C． Bernstein策略师在周五一份报告中表示，价值股“还有很多弹药。”他们在一份报告中写道：“价值股仍是现在市场上投资者最不拥挤的领域。从长远看，这种轮动并非只是长期跑输的价值股短暂翻盘。”\n在此之前，桥水基金创始人达里奥周二警告称，拜登的财政刺激加剧通胀和美元贬值的风险。\n他认为，美国政府大手笔的支出增加了通货膨胀和美元贬值的风险。达里奥说，拜登政府的经济议程，包括3月份签署的1.9万亿美元的Covid-19救援法案，以及2.3万亿美元的基础设施支出提案，有可能导致大量资金流入经济，从而产生泡沫。\n他还预测，债券买家不会有足够的需求来购买新的政府债券，这将导致美联储继续其扩张性政策。\n高盛集团首席经济学家表示，即将到来的美国通胀率上升很可能是暂时的，而不是一个持久现象。Hatzius认为，在发达经济体经历了多年低迷的价格压力之后，现在越来越多迹象表明通货膨胀率正在上升。调查数据显示，半导体、钢铁、木材和棉花等各种原材料都出现库存紧张。大宗商品价格上涨是否会推动消费物价持续上升，这是决策者和投资者面临的关键问题。美联储目前每月购买1200亿美元的债券，并表示将继续以这种速度购买债券，直到在就业和通胀目标方面取得实质性的进一步进展为止。\n奎尔情报公司（Quill Intelligence）称，美元作为储备货币的地位岌岌可危，非常看好黄金、白银和铂金。即使在美国经济明显复苏，新的新冠肺炎病例下降，政府继续通过财政和货币刺激向金融体系注入流动性，最终的结果是美元的贬值，丧失全球储备货币地位。“如果美联储坚持做鸵鸟，把头埋进沙子里，同时每个月推出1200亿美元的量化宽松政策，就像我们处于萧条时期一样，那么我们就仍处于紧急状态。其他国家的货币最终可能向美元发起挑战”。\n中国如何应对？ 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