美联储：疫情复燃危及经济复苏

FTChinese2020-07-30

美联储(Federal Reserve)警告称，世界最大经济体的命运将“在很大程度上取决于疫情进程”。与此同时，美国央行延长了应对国际美元短缺的措施。为期两天的会议周三结束后，联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)没有对货币政策做出重大调整，仍将利率维持在接近零的水平，并承诺在必要时采取更多措施支持经济复苏。不过，美联储的确宣布，与其他一些央行的紧急互换额度将延长至2021年第一季度末，并为海外货币当局...

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国际新韭菜
2020-07-31
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Reserve)警告称，世界最大经济体的命运将“在很大程度上取决于疫情进程”。与此同时，美国央行延长了应对国际美元短缺的措施。为期两天的会议周三结束后，联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)没有对货币政策做出重大调整，仍将利率维持在接近零的水平，并承诺在必要时采取更多措施支持经济复苏。不过，美联储的确宣布，与其他一些央行的紧急互换额度将延长至2021年第一季度末，并为海外货币当局提供临时回购安排，以便其用美国国债换取美元。“这些安排是于2020年3月设立的，目的是缓解新型冠状病毒肺炎（COVID-19，即2019冠状病毒病）疫情冲击所导致的全球美元融资市场压力，并减轻这种压力对国内及海外家庭和企业信贷供应的影响，”美联储表示，“延长这些安排有助于通过维持这些重要的流动性支持来保持全球美元融资市场近期的改善。”“此外，这类……回购安排在公开市场出售证券之外再提供一个临时性的美元来源，有助于支持美国国债市场的平稳运行。”美联储举行货币政策会议之际，美元汇率本周跌至两年低点，原因是全美新冠病例激增，使投资者对美国经济5月开始的时断时续复苏的可持续性失去信心。周三，衡量美元对一篮子货币汇率的美元指数下跌0.4%，使其月度跌幅达到约4%。与此同时，金价在本周达到的新高位企稳，交易价为每盎司1960美元。对避险资产的需求也压低了美国短期国债收益率，表明国债价格上涨。对政策更为敏感的两年期美国国债的收益率目前为0.13%，而基准10年期美国国债收益率小幅升至0.58%。美国国债的实际收益率（从债券名义收益率中剔除对消费者价格走势的预期）也在继续下降，跌至2012年以来未见的低位。投资者将此归因于这样一个预期升温，即不断恶化的经济前景将迫使美联储在可预见的将来维持宽松货币政策。消息公布后，美国股市扩大早些时候的涨幅，标普500(S&P 500)指数上涨1%。该指数收盘上涨1.24%。纽约证券公司Academy Securities首席宏观策略师彼得•齐尔(Peter Tchir)表示，美联储自3月以来成功推动金融市场强劲复苏，这意味着目前提供额外支持的必要性不大。“考虑到股市、债市和信贷市场所处的位置，他们现在再采取更激进行动就不寻常了，”他表示，“我很难相信，对于他们目前所采取的措施，他们还能说些什么来提振市场的信心。”在联邦公开市场委员会开会之前，美联储官员在一系列公开干预中警告称，疫情复燃正对美国经济从疫情大流行及抗疫封锁的最初冲击中的复苏构成威胁。美联储理事莱尔•布雷纳德(Lael Brainard)曾警告称，经济活动可能出现“二次探底”，达拉斯联邦储备银行(Dallas Fed)行长罗伯特•卡普兰(Robert Kaplan)恳请美国人戴口罩，并遵循医疗指引，称这是帮助经济的最有效政策。美联储主席杰伊•鲍威尔(Jay Powell)在6月下旬的讲话中也强调了“遏制疫情”的重要性。译者/何黎","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":942495360,"gmtCreate":1596187794650,"gmtModify":1704211671535,"author":{"id":"3553124838915664","authorId":"3553124838915664","name":"国际新韭菜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5b63085fab0f1ceb3e0ac73d71d50ea","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553124838915664","authorIdStr":"3553124838915664"},"htmlText":"等换届吧","listText":"等换届吧","text":"等换届吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/942495360","repostId":2055053580,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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