Brokers' take: DBS expects Singapore banks to benefit from rate-hike cycle, maintains 'buy' on UOB, OCBC

businesstimes2021-11-30

DBS Group Research has maintained "buy" on UOB and OCBC at target prices of S$31 and S$14 respectively, as it expects Singapore banks to benefit from the rate-hike cycle. The stance comes as DBS ...

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精彩评论

koolgal
2021-12-01
koolgal
This morning DBS reversed its down trend from yesterday's closing below 30.00 to 30.82 now. It is amazing to see the super quick turnaround! Let's monitor closely as the trading day has just started. Best of luck everyone!
- koolgal:
  I agree. Thanks for sharing
- VLY:
  prices can go either way still with d current uncertainties with omicron. so buy at dip n be prepared to hold LT for dividends.
- koolgal回复KoYu:
  👍😊
- koolgal:
  Wait for another dip
- koolgal:
  Yes it is interesting
MHh
2021-11-30
MHh
Anticipating bank share price to rise with rate hike but whether this will be delayed depends on omicron’s impact on the economy
pt83
2021-11-30
pt83
Did the bank stocks take a hit due to the curveballs from the new variants? Prices have fallen for consequentive 2 days, standing by to enter for the long haul ...
Fishman87
2021-11-30
Fishman87
To buy or not to buy
Desmond669
2021-11-30
Desmond669
Buy
- Fishman87:
  buy buy!!
Bull_Lion
2021-11-30
Bull_Lion
This is a bit bizarre - DBS recommending a buy onUOB and OCBC 😂
- op88:
  Yes, that's because they cannot recommend themselves due to a conflict of interest. Everything they say about ocbc and uob is applicable to dbs as well.😂
- meowmeow88:
  as good as recommending themselves [微笑]
- VandyNiuNiu:
  股灾 …

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OCBC\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-30 13:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/brokers-take-dbs-expects-singapore-banks-to-benefit-from-rate-hike-cycle-maintains><strong>businesstimes</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>DBS Group Research has maintained \"buy\" on UOB and OCBC at target prices of S$31 and S$14 respectively, as it expects Singapore banks to benefit from the rate-hike cycle.\nThe stance comes as DBS ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/brokers-take-dbs-expects-singapore-banks-to-benefit-from-rate-hike-cycle-maintains\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"D05.SI","symbol_name":"星展集团控股","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/brokers-take-dbs-expects-singapore-banks-to-benefit-from-rate-hike-cycle-maintains","article_id":"1198868777","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"lsy1607307803821","url":"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/brokers-take-dbs-expects-singapore-banks-to-benefit-from-rate-hike-cycle-maintains","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198868777","pubTimestamp":1638249651,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1607307803821","name":"The Business Times"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"DBS Group Research has maintained \"buy\" on UOB and OCBC at target prices of S$31 and S$14 respective","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"businesstimes.com.sg","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"D05.SI":"星展集团控股","U10.SI":"大华继显控股"},"translate_title":"券商观点：星展预计新加坡银行将从加息周期中受益，维持对大华银行、华侨银行的“买入”","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"D05.SI":0.9,"U10.SI":0.9},"content_text":"DBS Group Research has maintained \"buy\" on UOB and OCBC at target prices of S$31 and S$14 respectively, as it expects Singapore banks to benefit from the rate-hike cycle.\nThe stance comes as DBS economists now expect Fed rate hikes to be delivered earlier, with 2 rate hikes in the second half of 2022, if the economic momentum is maintained, followed by another 2 rate hikes in early 2023.\nWith that, DBS analyst Lim Rui Wen, in a industry focus report dated Nov 30, pointed to upsides to the banks' net interest margin (NIM) and earnings as soon as H2 FY2022, should the banks start to reprice loans on higher benchmark rates.\nAs reference, she noted that DBS's own management has guided for S$1.8 billion to S$2 billion of incremental net interest income for every 100 basis points (bps) of rate hike.\nIn reiterating \"buy\" on UOB and OCBC, Lim also remarked that the banks' current valuations of 1 time their FY2022 price-to-book estimates are \"inexpensive\".\nBesides, Singapore banks are favoured across Asean banks due to their high earnings visibility, dividend yields, and certainty of firm earnings and return-on-equity recovery, she added.\nBesides being Fed hike beneficiaries, Singapore banks can look forward to a potential writeback of provisions in FY2022, with every 10 bps decline in credit costs possibly providing a 5 to 6 per cent earnings upside in the period, Lim said.\nHigher dividends could be a potential catalyst, said Lim, who is anticipating \"further upside in dividends\" in FY2022 due to the banks' strong capital levels, which are above the management's comfortable operating range.\nAssuming a Common Equity Tier 1 comfortable operating range of 13 to 13.5 per cent, OCBC's excess capital is estimated to stand at S$4.6 billion to S$5.7 billion, or more than S$1 per share, while UOB's is estimated to be up to S$1.3 billion, or up to S$0.70 per share, she stated.\nNotwithstanding that, she said key risks to investing in the banks include a slower-than-expected economic recovery, resurgence of pandemic cases and lockdowns, higher-than-expected credit costs, and later-than-expected Fed hikes.\nThere are, however, some bright spots for 2022, as she expects sustainability related, renewable energy, data centre, healthcare, and logistics fields to continue providing areas of loan growth.\nRobust new mortgage bookings over FY2021 will also serve as a good pipeline for future drawdowns in FY2022, she said, further noting that UOB management also believes that regional loan growth will see increased traction in the future.\nMeanwhile, the banks' non-interest income will continue to support the banks' top line, she added, noting that fee income at DBS, OCBC and UOB has grown at a compound annual growth rate of 7 per cent, 5.2 per cent and 0.8 per cent respectively in the past 5 years.\nIn FY2022, Lim projects a 10 per cent year-on-year growth in the banks' fee income, with wealth management fees contributing as a key driver of the segment.\nTrading income, which continued to be mixed across the banks, will be a \"wild card\" in this segment, Lim said.\nFrom investment securities, DBS in H1 FY2021 recorded a net trading income of S$1.04 billion and net income of S$310 million, up 38 per cent and 58 per cent respectively from the same period in the previous year.\nOCBC's trading income in the first 9 months of FY2020 stood at S$611 million, up 2 per cent from the same period in the previous year, while its net income from investment securities stood S$200 million, down 16 per cent year on year.\nUOB's trading and investment income for 9M FY2020 was S$620m, down 15 per cent year on year.\nAs at noon on Tuesday (Nov 30), shares of UOB were trading at S$26.19, down 1.3 per cent or S$0.34, while OCBC shares were trading at S$11.26, down 0.7 per cent or S$0.08.\nDBS shares were trading at S$30.60, down 0.6 per cent or S$0.19.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":609780027,"gmtCreate":1638325903102,"gmtModify":1638341688029,"author":{"id":"3559581955535845","authorId":"3559581955535845","name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"This morning DBS reversed its down trend from yesterday's closing below 30.00 to 30.82 now.&nbsp; It is amazing to see the super quick turnaround!&nbsp; Let's monitor closely as the trading day has just started.&nbsp; Best of luck everyone!&nbsp;","listText":"This morning DBS reversed its down trend from yesterday's closing below 30.00 to 30.82 now.&nbsp; It is amazing to see the super quick turnaround!&nbsp; Let's monitor closely as the trading day has just started.&nbsp; Best of luck everyone!&nbsp;","text":"This morning DBS reversed its down trend from yesterday's closing below 30.00 to 30.82 now. It is amazing to see the super quick turnaround! Let's monitor closely as the trading day has just started. Best of luck everyone!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":30,"commentSize":28,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609780027","repostId":1198868777,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6811393,"gmtCreate":1638423876202,"gmtModify":1638423876202,"authorId":3559581955535845,"author":{"id":3559581955535845,"authorId":3559581955535845,"name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":609780027,"type":1,"supId":6805761,"prevId":0,"content":"I agree. Thanks for sharing","text":"I agree. Thanks for sharing","html":"I agree. Thanks for sharing"},{"id":6805761,"gmtCreate":1638402826590,"gmtModify":1638402826622,"authorId":4093240354819390,"author":{"id":4093240354819390,"authorId":4093240354819390,"name":"VLY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f9b54a6b10f5765d015d2c6d1cac0ad","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":609780027,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"prices can go either way still with d current uncertainties with omicron. so buy at dip n be prepared to hold LT for dividends.","text":"prices can go either way still with d current uncertainties with omicron. so buy at dip n be prepared to hold LT for dividends.","html":"prices can go either way still with d current uncertainties with omicron. so buy at dip n be prepared to hold LT for dividends."},{"id":6797900,"gmtCreate":1638349765841,"gmtModify":1638349765841,"authorId":3559581955535845,"author":{"id":3559581955535845,"authorId":3559581955535845,"name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":4087897820136310,"repliedAuthor":{"id":4087897820136310,"authorId":4087897820136310,"name":"KoYu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/715c833bbcc81bc178f7ef0bc997acb2","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":609780027,"type":1,"supId":6794431,"prevId":6797803,"content":"👍😊","text":"👍😊","html":"👍😊"},{"id":6797894,"gmtCreate":1638349731894,"gmtModify":1638349731894,"authorId":3559581955535845,"author":{"id":3559581955535845,"authorId":3559581955535845,"name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":609780027,"type":1,"supId":6797433,"prevId":0,"content":"Wait for another <u>dip</u>","text":"Wait for another <u>dip</u>","html":"Wait for another <u>dip</u>"},{"id":6797890,"gmtCreate":1638349714712,"gmtModify":1638349714712,"authorId":3559581955535845,"author":{"id":3559581955535845,"authorId":3559581955535845,"name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":609780027,"type":1,"supId":6797658,"prevId":0,"content":"Yes it is interesting","text":"Yes it is interesting","html":"Yes it is interesting"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":609850563,"gmtCreate":1638267569337,"gmtModify":1638267570397,"author":{"id":"4091758936365950","authorId":"4091758936365950","name":"MHh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54b2feced9ef5dcc9e95997d1f4db280","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Anticipating bank share price to rise with&nbsp;rate hike but whether this will be delayed depends on omicron’s impact on the economy&nbsp;","listText":"Anticipating bank share price to rise with&nbsp;rate hike but whether this will be delayed depends on omicron’s impact on the economy&nbsp;","text":"Anticipating bank share price to rise with rate hike but whether this will be delayed depends on omicron’s impact on the economy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609850563","repostId":1198868777,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":609142445,"gmtCreate":1638257940317,"gmtModify":1638259291224,"author":{"id":"3579716456169639","authorId":"3579716456169639","name":"pt83","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e748d477cf5569dacd7db9e300a6f437","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Did the bank stocks take a hit due to the curveballs from the new variants? Prices have fallen for consequentive 2 days, standing by to enter for the long haul ...&nbsp;","listText":"Did the bank stocks take a hit due to the curveballs from the new variants? Prices have fallen for consequentive 2 days, standing by to enter for the long haul ...&nbsp;","text":"Did the bank stocks take a hit due to the curveballs from the new variants? Prices have fallen for consequentive 2 days, standing by to enter for the long haul ...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609142445","repostId":1198868777,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":609165213,"gmtCreate":1638253567631,"gmtModify":1638253567631,"author":{"id":"3582054811433109","authorId":"3582054811433109","name":"Fishman87","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"To buy or not to buy","listText":"To buy or not to buy","text":"To buy or not to buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609165213","repostId":1198868777,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":609116608,"gmtCreate":1638251070181,"gmtModify":1638251070344,"author":{"id":"3562118563279867","authorId":"3562118563279867","name":"Desmond669","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2484115c94d3471cb46f20ea7598b4a","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609116608","repostId":1198868777,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6781743,"gmtCreate":1638253580829,"gmtModify":1638253580929,"authorId":3582054811433109,"author":{"id":3582054811433109,"authorId":3582054811433109,"name":"Fishman87","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":609116608,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"buy buy!!","text":"buy buy!!","html":"buy buy!!"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":609137785,"gmtCreate":1638250404657,"gmtModify":1638251465686,"author":{"id":"3573540190522229","authorId":"3573540190522229","name":"Bull_Lion","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97c7d011186160cd333508e7d9191f74","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"This is a bit bizarre - DBS recommending a buy onUOB and OCBC 😂","listText":"This is a bit bizarre - DBS recommending a buy onUOB and OCBC 😂","text":"This is a bit bizarre - DBS recommending a buy onUOB and OCBC 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609137785","repostId":1198868777,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6797881,"gmtCreate":1638349651855,"gmtModify":1638349651983,"authorId":3574822974272118,"author":{"id":3574822974272118,"authorId":3574822974272118,"name":"op88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73f76cc499e67a889d889e3fa03fb30f","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":609137785,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Yes, that's because they cannot recommend themselves due to a conflict of interest.&nbsp; Everything they say about ocbc and uob is applicable to dbs as well.😂","text":"Yes, that's because they cannot recommend themselves due to a conflict of interest.&nbsp; Everything they say about ocbc and uob is applicable to dbs as well.😂","html":"Yes, that's because they cannot recommend themselves due to a conflict of interest.&nbsp; Everything they say about ocbc and uob is applicable to dbs as well.😂"},{"id":6784057,"gmtCreate":1638271103482,"gmtModify":1638271103515,"authorId":4091674547333280,"author":{"id":4091674547333280,"authorId":4091674547333280,"name":"meowmeow88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9e0c95f88993b5f06fcd816677a1a2f","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":609137785,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"as good as recommending themselves  [微笑]","text":"as good as recommending themselves  [微笑]","html":"as good as recommending themselves  [微笑]"},{"id":6781767,"gmtCreate":1638253811714,"gmtModify":1638253811747,"authorId":3567632820339337,"author":{"id":3567632820339337,"authorId":3567632820339337,"name":"VandyNiuNiu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":609137785,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"股灾 … ","text":"股灾 … ","html":"股灾 … "}],"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":34,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; 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