黄金的下一个目标价位，2300，2500，3000？

金十数据2020-08-05

摸不清突破新高后黄金接下来到底会如何走？这些投行的分析或许可以参考。美国银行4月份的时候曾发布了一篇名为《美联储无法印制黄金》的报告，将18个月后的黄金价格目标从2000美元/盎司提高至3000美元/盎司。当时的金价还是1600美元左右，这个预测看上去有点危言耸听。但周三现货黄金一度涨至2035美元的高位，3000美元/盎司的目标价位似乎也不是那么遥不可及了；美国银行7月底就曾再度重申了这一...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

Kay1535
2020-08-06
Kay1535
美元很稳定，年通胀只有2~3个点？！呵呵，美元对黄金，年贬值超过8个点！未来还将更高！
宝武集团
2020-08-06
宝武集团
2300最桂价位投资
李李符
2020-08-06
李李符
[强] [强] [强]
玩主
2020-08-06
玩主
撸羊毛的节奏吧？
- 社区成长助手:
  终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引
zfr135
2020-08-05
zfr135
没有最高，只有更高
- 雪怀观察:
  恭喜中奖

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197905000?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c307757575ffe3d6ca9295ced646627f","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2020-08-05 15:41","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"1197905000","market":"fut","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"黄金的下一个目标价位，2300，2500，3000？","media":"金十数据","content":"<div>\n<p>摸不清突破新高后黄金接下来到底会如何走？这些投行的分析或许可以参考。\n\n美国银行4月份的时候曾发布了一篇名为《美联储无法印制黄金》的报告，将18个月后的黄金价格目标从2000美元/盎司提高至3000美元/盎司。当时的金价还是1600美元左右，这个预测看上去有点危言耸听。\n但周三现货黄金一度涨至2035美元的高位，3000美元/盎司的目标价位似乎也不是那么遥不可及了；美国银行7月底就曾再度重申了这一...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/63139\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"jssj","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>黄金的下一个目标价位，2300，2500，3000？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n黄金的下一个目标价位，2300，2500，3000？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-08-05 15:41 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/63139><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>摸不清突破新高后黄金接下来到底会如何走？这些投行的分析或许可以参考。\n\n美国银行4月份的时候曾发布了一篇名为《美联储无法印制黄金》的报告，将18个月后的黄金价格目标从2000美元/盎司提高至3000美元/盎司。当时的金价还是1600美元左右，这个预测看上去有点危言耸听。\n但周三现货黄金一度涨至2035美元的高位，3000美元/盎司的目标价位似乎也不是那么遥不可及了；美国银行7月底就曾再度重申了这一...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/63139\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"FT_SY_GC","symbol_name":"黄金","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/63139","article_id":"1197905000","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/c307757575ffe3d6ca9295ced646627f"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197905000","pubTimestamp":1596613292,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"jssj","name":"金十数据"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"摸不清突破新高后黄金接下来到底会如何走？这些投行的分析或许可以参考。\n\n美国银行4月份的时候曾发布了一篇名为《美联储无法印制黄金》的报告，将18个月后的黄金价格目标从2000美元/盎司提高至3000美","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"jin10.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{},"translate_title":"The next target price for gold, 2300, 2500, 3000?","themeId":"70cabc31fc72459eaf7c7d3e509067cc","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a021c03bb314916d83816127df54db20","symbols_score_info":{"GCmain":0.9},"content_text":"摸不清突破新高后黄金接下来到底会如何走？这些投行的分析或许可以参考。\n\n美国银行4月份的时候曾发布了一篇名为《美联储无法印制黄金》的报告，将18个月后的黄金价格目标从2000美元/盎司提高至3000美元/盎司。当时的金价还是1600美元左右，这个预测看上去有点危言耸听。\n但周三现货黄金一度涨至2035美元的高位，3000美元/盎司的目标价位似乎也不是那么遥不可及了；美国银行7月底就曾再度重申了这一价格预期。美国银行如此坚定看涨黄金的理由是什么呢？该行的宏观分析师、大宗商品分析师和技术分析师纷纷从他们的专业角度给出了回答。\n首先，从宏观环境来看，低利率和规模前所未有的货币和财政刺激措施有利于金价上涨。美银利率策略主管Mark Caban表示：\n\n “美联储在未来六个月都不会谈论通货膨胀的上行风险。我甚至担心他们在未来六年中都不会考虑抑制通胀上升，因此低利率可能会持续。”\n\n除了低利率将利好不生息的黄金资产外，该行大宗商品团队的迈克尔·哈特奈特（Michael Hartnett）还指出，前所未有规模的经济刺激措施也将提振金价，宽松的货币环境是金价上涨的有力助推因素。他说：\n\n “今年迄今已经宣布的货币和财政刺激措施总额达20万亿美元，占全球GDP的20％以上。其中包括8万亿美元的货币刺激政策和12万亿美元的财政刺激。它们会对资产价格产生影响。”\n\n3月金融市场崩盘的时候，多个金融资产的价格发生了暴跌。自3月低点以来，全球股票上涨了40％以上，市值增加了近30万亿美元；油价上涨了约70％-80％；相比之下，现货黄金今年以来还只上涨了38%。”\n从历史上看，十年前的黄金牛市也是美联储介入，营造出宽松的货币环境后才开启的。\n\n该行大宗商品和衍生品策略主管弗朗西斯科·布兰奇（Francisco Blanch）则指出，从需求端来看，金价上涨的支撑很坚实。他表示，到目前为止的黄金牛市还是一个由投资者主导的上涨。\n布兰奇指出，投资者对黄金的投资需求占总需求的比重已从第一季度的约25％增至第二季度的约45％，几乎增加了一倍。我们预计在接下来的6到12个月中，这种情况将继续下去。\n\n此外，布兰奇还指出疫情刚开始的一段时间，各国央行出于流动性考虑保留了现金，并减少了对黄金的购买。据世界黄金协会的数据，上半年全球各国央行总需求为233吨，较2019年创纪录的同期水平减少39%。自2009年以来，各国央行大量买入黄金一直是金价的支撑。\n现在这一需求端的支撑有望回归，下半年俄罗斯等国的央行都开始增加了对黄金的购买。俄罗斯央行的数据显示，俄罗斯6月黄金储备升至1307.9亿美元。白俄罗斯央行7月1日黄金储备为87.96亿美元，6月1日为78.79亿美元。\n\n此外，上半年珠宝需求下降的部分原因是商店关门和交通限制。以及消费者的收入下降也是一个重要原因。随着经济重启步伐加快，这些对黄金的消费需求也有望回升，\n从技术角度看，该行的金属策略师Michael Widmer稍微保守一点，认为黄金的目标价格为2500美元/盎司。他说：\n\n 从美元指数和十年期国债收益率的水平来看，如果美元指数达到90且实际利率为-2%，我们预计黄金将涨至2500美元/盎司。若美元指数为85且实际利率为-1.75%，或者美元指数为80且实际利率为-1.5%，我们对金价的预期也是开始2500美元/盎司。\n\n近期关注黄金的投行还有很多，美银给出的目标价格算是最高的，更多的投行对金价的下一个目标价位则是2300美元/盎司。\n瑞银认为，黄金价格可能在短期内超涨，风险情景是涨至2300美元/盎司，金价在2000美元/盎司附近交投可能将成为“新常态”。\n花旗表示，短期金价目标为2100美元/盎司，预计未来6至12个月将达到2300美元/盎司。\n高盛也将12个月黄金价格预期从先前的2000美元/盎司上调到2300美元/盎司，白银价格预期从先前的22美元/盎司上调至30美元/盎司。\n澳新银行表示，高度建设性背景下，我行将6-12个月目标价提高至2300美元/盎司，在可预见的未来实际收益率为负。该行认为：\n\n “黄金仍然对利率和通胀高度敏感，地缘政治紧张局势以及对全球复苏停滞的担忧也增强了其吸引力。但如果未来几个季度经济景气好转，投资者需求持续增长的障碍可能会使通往2300美元预期的道路变得艰难。”\n\n附金十独家整理投行预期：","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":945788854,"gmtCreate":1596680193778,"gmtModify":1704213157601,"author":{"id":"3500875970099663","authorId":"3500875970099663","name":"Kay1535","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3500875970099663","authorIdStr":"3500875970099663"},"htmlText":"美元很稳定，年通胀只有2~3个点？！呵呵，美元对黄金，年贬值超过8个点！未来还将更高！","listText":"美元很稳定，年通胀只有2~3个点？！呵呵，美元对黄金，年贬值超过8个点！未来还将更高！","text":"美元很稳定，年通胀只有2~3个点？！呵呵，美元对黄金，年贬值超过8个点！未来还将更高！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/945788854","repostId":1197905000,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":945799458,"gmtCreate":1596668169974,"gmtModify":1704213112464,"author":{"id":"3514068381898040","authorId":"3514068381898040","name":"宝武集团","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4254873f7d4928b268d7a42338f74512","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75944ad144f2566ba526ce9b292d3cd2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3514068381898040","authorIdStr":"3514068381898040"},"htmlText":"2300最桂价位投资","listText":"2300最桂价位投资","text":"2300最桂价位投资","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/945799458","repostId":1197905000,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":945799135,"gmtCreate":1596667965127,"gmtModify":1704213111430,"author":{"id":"3498644606033549","authorId":"3498644606033549","name":"李李符","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3498644606033549","authorIdStr":"3498644606033549"},"htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强] [强] [强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/945799135","repostId":1197905000,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":945706196,"gmtCreate":1596661499715,"gmtModify":1704213103345,"author":{"id":"3558294840040900","authorId":"3558294840040900","name":"玩主","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ae40dbd8adfb2dbeab39419639c9ba","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3558294840040900","authorIdStr":"3558294840040900"},"htmlText":"撸羊毛的节奏吧？","listText":"撸羊毛的节奏吧？","text":"撸羊毛的节奏吧？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/945706196","repostId":1197905000,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":2725736,"gmtCreate":1596677340836,"gmtModify":1596677340836,"authorId":3527667803686145,"author":{"id":3527667803686145,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorId":3527667803686145,"name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":945706196,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/934879903\">老虎社区创作指引</a>","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/934879903\">老虎社区创作指引</a>","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/934879903\">老虎社区创作指引</a>"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":945414123,"gmtCreate":1596637858562,"gmtModify":1704213016733,"author":{"id":"3460375476193700","authorId":"3460375476193700","name":"zfr135","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faba8aae0822dd371d0ca5f34a98a5cd","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3460375476193700","authorIdStr":"3460375476193700"},"htmlText":"没有最高，只有更高","listText":"没有最高，只有更高","text":"没有最高，只有更高","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/945414123","repostId":1197905000,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":2730673,"gmtCreate":1596780498715,"gmtModify":1596780498715,"authorId":3534841124006277,"author":{"id":3534841124006277,"idStr":"3534841124006277","authorId":3534841124006277,"name":"雪怀观察","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4337838e57beec6b4a7dbed926b694fe","vip":2,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":945414123,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"恭喜中奖","text":"恭喜中奖","html":"恭喜中奖"}],"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":29,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.4","shortVersion":"4.29.4","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1197905000"}