Oil Falls as Biden, Allies Gather to Step Up Pressure on Moscow

Bloomberg2022-03-24

Oil slipped as traders weighed the impact of rising trading costs on the major exchanges while President Joe Biden is set to address the Russia-Ukraine war in Europe.Futures in New York fell to near $...

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shoude
2022-03-25
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The White House and European Union are close to a deal aimed at slashing the region’s dependence on Russian energy, although that may focus primarily on flows of natural gas.The market is also in the midst of a liquidity crunch, leaving prices vulnerable to big swings. Clearing houses have been increasing margins, effectively making it more expensive to trade the same amount of oil. On Thursday, ICE raised its margin requirement for Brent and gasoil futures by 19% after increasing Brent margins by 32% earlier this month.“Crude trading is choppy as we await further details from the Nato meeting today and see where Europe’s Red line will be to sanction Russian Energy,” said Rebecca Babin, senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Management. “The headline risk remains exceptionally high with liquidity remaining low.”Although many buyers are shunning Russian crude, especially former European purchasers, Asian users may be stepping in to take barrels at discounted rates. China’s refiners are discreetly purchasing cheap Russian oil, traders say, and India processors have also scooped up some of the volumes.Oil has rallied more than 50% this year, hitting the highest level since 2008 earlier this month, as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine threw global commodity markets into turmoil. While the U.S. and U.K. have already moved to bar flows of Russian crude, and IEA members are seeking to reduce their use of Russian oil and gas radically. But there’s greater reluctance among EU members to follow suit given the region’s higher dependence. Trafigura Group forecast this week that crude prices are set to keep rising, potentially hitting $150 a barrel.Markets rallied Wednesday on news that a Black Sea export terminal halted loadings following bad weather. Exports could be curtailed by 1 million barrels a day, further depriving the European market.In Brussels on Thursday, Biden will join back-to-back summits with NATO, the Group of Seven and the European Union. Then on Friday the president visits Poland, which is hosting the biggest number of displaced Ukrainians.As the war drags on, there’s a growing willingness on both sides to use Russian energy supplies as a weapon. 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