2020半年回顾：美股熔断秀、原油倒贴送、瑞幸咖啡退市

金融界2020-06-30

新冠肺炎疫情VS 1918年西班牙流感，874万毕业的大学生就业季VS 1929年的I need a job，弗洛伊德事件VS 1968年马丁路德金的《我有一个梦想》，A股千股跌停、美股熔断VS 2008年金融危机下的全球股灾，还有那连绵不绝的澳大利亚山火、苏莱曼尼被炸身亡的美伊硝烟，以及肆虐非洲、南亚、南美洲等地的蝗灾......2020年的上半年，全球开启了“困难模式”，黑天鹅与灰犀牛接踵而至...

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免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

阿呆宝
2020-07-03
阿呆宝
后疫时代开启！
风低吟
2020-06-30
风低吟
PDD的下场就是瑞幸咖啡，立帖为证
- 阿蛮_2995回复风低吟:
  这真是一个哈批，有本事做空
- 期权是什么:
  让时间的长河给你答案吧，
- 风低吟回复期权是什么:
  当年ofo是什么系？
- 期权是什么回复风低吟:
  pdd腾讯系的[笑哭]你搞笑呢还瑞幸下场
- 风低吟回复期权是什么:
  不做空任何股票，只做正股
独孤Time
2020-06-30
独孤Time
坑多多迟早要来一次大崩盘。
做时间的朋友吧
2020-06-30
做时间的朋友吧
荒诞人间

发表看法

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原油期货跌成负数在新冠肺炎疫情的冲击下，A股被迫延迟开市1天，但是没想到的是A股等来的却是超3000股跌停的表现，自2015年以来，A股已经创下了21次千股跌停的纪录，而美股在时隔半个月后也见顶回落，并在3月开始愈演愈烈的原油价格战中创下了4次熔断纪录，股神巴菲特惊呼活久见，A股股民对于熔断的回忆在时隔4年后再度被唤起，不过庆幸的是美股又一次反弹创下了历史新高，选择死扛的人迎来了解套的机会，只是对于原油价格战冲击下的原油宝投资者来说，-37美元成为了永远的痛......3、谁关闭了我常去的餐饮店&电影院？代表：海底捞、西贝、万达电影、华谊兄弟如果说疫情冲击下最大的输家是谁，想要外出改善伙食的餐饮店、欣赏好剧的电影院是重要的候选者。当疫情在春节期间变得日益严峻时，以海底捞为首的餐饮店被迫关闭了所有线下门店，筹划上市的西贝老板更是卖惨声称支撑不到三个月，只是它们在得到银行的授信融资和复工后宣布涨价，最后在消费者的吐槽声中才取消并发出致歉声明。同样在春节期间错过大生意的还有春节档的电影厂商们，《唐人街探案3》、《姜子牙》等影片相继撤档，错过春节大票房的上市公司一季报亏损累累，万达电影在去年巨亏47.3亿后一季报再亏6亿，华谊兄弟2.2亿卖房求生寻求保壳，博纳影业副总裁的坠楼身亡、导演贾樟柯的一句\"行业之悲\"，道出了电影人正在经历的疫情寒冬。4、李佳琦带火网红经济 五菱汽车封神地摊经济代表：李佳琦、薇娅、星期六、五菱汽车虽然线下的餐饮店、电影院正在垂死挣扎，但是店门口的地摊以及线上销售是不一样的风景。在国家不将占道经营、马路市场、流动摊贩列为文明城市测评考核内容后，满是人间烟火气的地摊经济悄然崛起，五菱汽车则是发布了一款“地摊神车”跟上了地摊经济的风口，短短三个交易日便暴涨超过两倍，引来了广汽集团、江淮汽车等车企加入到地摊经济的宣传中，小商品城则被股民戏称为全宇宙最适合摆摊的地方，“白天炒股晚上摆摊”似乎也成为了它们的发家致富之路。而另一方面，线上直播的网红们也是乘势而起，沾薇娅就涨，贴李佳琦即飙成为投资网红经济概念股的不二法门，但是更为疯狂的，是星期六、引力传媒、梦洁股份等公司的一份份减持函，当然，还有像邀请刘涛直播带货后股价反而停滞不前的克明面业们......5、大佬们的冰火两重天：巴菲特割肉、孙正义下课、马斯克很忙、黄峥PK马云对于众多富豪来说，他们的生活也是截然不同，巴菲特在2月抄底、4月割肉航空股后承认对航空公司股的估值犯了“可以理解的错误”，一季度更是亏损近500亿美元，不过他仍凭借着美股二季度的反弹赚了400亿美元扭转颓势，全球航空业今年或亏损843亿美元的预测正在验证他的观点正在成为现实，而孙正义今年的表现更加水逆，去年刚投入70亿元人民币的“欧洲支付宝”Wirecard 宣布破产，之前已有电商平台Brandless和明星创业公司OneWeb倒闭，所投公司的接连踩雷让他在软银的股东大会上宣布退出阿里巴巴董事会，再造一个阿里的梦想受到了打击。当然，马斯克和黄峥为首的大佬们上演的是截然不同的光景，马斯克很忙应该是资本市场上必不可少的话题，上海特斯拉工厂建成、布局太阳能屋顶、Space X的第10批星链互联网卫星呼之欲出都是他上半年的精彩杰作，特斯拉市值更是超越丰田成为全球车企的老大，不过他的嘴炮功夫也不敢恭维，戏称“聪明人都去搞金融，巴菲特做了错误示范”、怒怼世界首富贝佐斯是抄袭狗成为了吃瓜群众的话题；而黄峥则是凭借着突破千亿美元市值的拼多多超越马云成为中国第二大富豪，目前仅次于马化腾，将拼多多打造成电商业的又一个奇迹。6、互联网群雄逐鹿港股市场：腾讯、阿里谁是股王？美团KO中石油、网易京东回归今年上半年的港股市场，成为了众多互联网上市公司角逐的主战场，凭借疫情期间火爆的云游戏概念的腾讯控股，开始对阿里巴巴重新发起了股王争夺战，截至今日港股收盘，腾讯控股已反超阿里巴巴2600亿港元，而国内第三大市值的互联网公司美团点评突破了万亿港元大关，超过了被股民吐槽的“大烂臭”前浪中国石油。除了港股互联网公司市值的一路高歌外，以互联网为首的中概股归港上市成为了大趋势，网易、京东在6月先后敲响了香港二次上市的钟声，还有拼多多、百度等互联网公司纷纷传出了回港上市的传闻。7、昔日创业板一哥乐视网黯然退市万泰生物、斯达半导成新十倍股相较于互联网江湖的明争暗斗，曾经头顶互联网概念、贵为创业板一哥的乐视网如今已经进入退市整理阶段，2015年创造29个连续涨停的暴风集团如今年报难产，暂停上市甚至退市的风险如影随形，上半年以来，已有神州A退、退市华业、退市保千、退市锐电黯然离场，乐视退、天宝退、龙力退、天茂退、退市美都处于退市整理期，业绩连续三年亏损、股价低于1元成为了退市的重要推手；但是沉舟侧畔千帆过，病树前头万木春，今年上半年仍有不少新上市的牛股交出了傲人的答卷，万泰生物、斯达半导分别以连续26个、23个涨停板跻身十倍股行列，前者更是跻身新股连板前十的队伍中，当然，投资者更加期望的是，它们不要步入乐视网、暴风集团的后尘......8、造假风云：瑞幸咖啡退市、Wirecard破产、獐子岛扇贝迷局破案、北京文化起内讧当独角兽演变成毒角兽，当一场内讧扒开公司的黑幕，当扇贝6年逃了4次时，资本市场必不可少的造假大戏又出现了，瑞幸咖啡曾以成立一年半即上市成为全球最快IPO公司，如今自曝22亿造假，上市刚过一年便黯然退市，Wirecard账面上19亿欧元现金不翼而飞申请破产，让孙正义再度水逆；贱卖世纪文化引发前任董事娄晓曦与现任董事长宋歌的矛盾，更把欺诈发行债券、职务侵占等四大罪状公之于世，直指公司系统性财务造假；如果没有证监会动用卫星系统，獐子岛的《扇贝去哪儿》或许仍会继续上演......9、股市不相信战争、爱情&犯罪 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