巨亏50%！股神巴菲特首次押注印度就“栽了”

华尔街见闻2022-02-19

去年四季度亏损又扩大，何时盈利遥遥无期，“印度支付宝”Paytm股价再创新低，去年11月上市后暴跌61%，2018年投资3亿美元的巴菲特持仓价值直接腰斩。他投资的另一家巴西金融科技公司StoneCo上市后也跌55%，周五创新低。本周，“股神”巴菲特青睐的印度最大数字支付公司、被称为“印度版支付宝”的Paytm母公司One 97 Communications几乎每天都创下去年11月IPO上市以来的...

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免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

dd0101
2022-02-19
dd0101
幸亏没投资中国支付宝
- 夜袭女儿国:
  呵呵哪可就真破产了
BooyiBooyi
2022-02-19
BooyiBooyi
宁押孟买也不押A股
- 夜袭女儿国:
  明白人
特力哥
2022-02-19
特力哥
都不是神仙

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Holdings向Paytm母公司投资3亿美元，收购2.6%的股份或1702万股，平均收购价格为每股1279卢比，当时对Paytm母公司估值为100亿美元，巴菲特在印度的首次投资也带动了当地金融科技热潮。2021年11月18日Paytm在印度股市IPO上市时，伯克希尔哈撒韦趁机出售了140万股持股，售价为定在指导区间顶端的IPO发行价每股2150卢比，等于直接获利1600万美元，即收益68%。尽管Paytm在IPO首日暴跌27%，巴菲特剩余持股（1562万股或2.41%的母公司股权）仍价值3.3亿美元，高于三年前的投资成本。Paytm曾创下印度股市去年IPO规模纪录。但Paytm周五收跌近2%，股价不足834美元刷新上市以来最低，较IPO发行价暴跌逾61%，较上市几天后的52周新高1955卢比下跌57%。这也代表Paytm上市第一天起就处于“破发”状态。这令伯克希尔所持股份的市值刚刚超过130亿卢比，约合1.47亿美元，较约3亿美元的初始投资规模直接腰斩，亏损逾50%。持有Paytm母公司8.6%股份的创始人Vijay Shekhar Shams自公司上市以来净资产已缩水约15亿美元，也缩水不止50%。媒体还称，贝莱德、软银、阿里巴巴和加拿大养老金计划投资委员会都是Paytm的股东，这些机构也大多损失惨重。去年11月上市后Paytm股价大跌时，还有知情人士透露，贝莱德和加拿大养老金计划投资委员会增持了更多股票，但并不清楚具体的增持数量。去年四季度亏损扩大，盈利遥遥无期，巴菲特投资另一家巴西金融科技公司上市后也跌55%分析称，Paytm股价上市后惨跌与散户投资者丧失信心不无关系，该公司2010年创立至今尚未盈利，而且短期内都没有盈利迹象。外加俄乌局势令避险情绪高涨、全球科技股因美联储等主要央行即将收紧政策而杀估值，以及疫情消退不利于“居家经济股”等因素，Paytm未来困难重重。Paytm在2月5日发布的最新财报显示，截至去年12月底的公司2022财年第三季度，Paytm运营的综合收入同比增近89%至145.61亿卢比，但同期综合亏损为77.85亿卢比，较上年同期的亏损53.55亿卢比扩大了近46%。专家认为，在费用和管理费用增加的情况下，损失势必还会增加。财报发布后，一直唱衰Paytm且对其股价具有较大影响力的麦格理研究（Macquarie Research）第三次下调目标价，从每股900卢比砍掉22%至700卢比，并将公司2022至2026财年的亏损预期提高了39%至101%。该投行认为Paytm商业模式缺乏焦点和方向，实现盈利是巨大挑战。高盛对Paytm的观点整体看涨但较为矛盾，虽然将股票评级从“中性”上调至“买入”，但上周将目标价从每股1600卢比削减至1460卢比。高盛认为，Paytm的收入具有强劲增长前景，股价大跌后具备有吸引力的风险回报。该投行将Paytm的收入预期提高了7%至10%，并称2024至2025财年可能达到调整后EBITDA盈亏平衡，由于资产负债表强劲，公司不太需要再次融资。此外，摩根大通更为看好Paytm，1月研报将其评级为“增持”，设定了每股1850卢比目标价，显著高于高盛和麦格理等其他同行，理由是Paytm股价低于私人同类公司和全球竞争对手。公开资料显示，巴菲特旗下的伯克希尔哈撒韦在2018年用6亿美元接连投资了两家金融科技公司，Paytm之外还有巴西数字支付公司StoneCo，均由投资经理Todd 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