高盛唱多美股！标普冲到4300点也“不奇怪”

华尔街见闻2023-02-06

高盛认为，不管是基本面还是技术面，美股的上涨行情或将继续。不管外界唱空美股的声音多强烈，高盛认为，从现在的基本面和技术面来看，标普500还有上涨空间，可以冲到4300点。高盛对冲基金负责人Tony Pasquariello在最新的报告中指出，美国通胀的逐步降低以及劳动力市场的韧性，说明了经济软着陆可能性，同时欧洲避免衰退的预期升温叠加中国经济的复苏，标普500的涨势还没结束，...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

OKEx尊敬的用户
2023-02-06
OKEx尊敬的用户
高盛，啧啧啧，末日战车发车了
乐美
2023-02-06
乐美
高盛反买，别墅靠海
黎蜀
2023-02-06
黎蜀
高盛？兄弟们快跑
核桃露之六个核桃
2023-02-06
核桃露之六个核桃
跑，不解释
超超_6103
2023-02-06
超超_6103
完了，高盛反买，要崩盘了
Mayday.
2023-02-06
Mayday.
掩护队友撤退?

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190847975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2023-02-06 16:31","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"1190847975","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"高盛唱多美股！标普冲到4300点也“不奇怪”","media":"华尔街见闻","content":"<div>\n<p>高盛认为，不管是基本面还是技术面，美股的上涨行情或将继续。不管外界唱空美股的声音多强烈，高盛认为，从现在的基本面和技术面来看，标普500还有上涨空间，可以冲到4300点。高盛对冲基金负责人Tony Pasquariello在最新的报告中指出，美国通胀的逐步降低以及劳动力市场的韧性，说明了经济软着陆可能性，同时欧洲避免衰退的预期升温叠加中国经济的复苏，标普500的涨势还没结束，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>高盛唱多美股！标普冲到4300点也“不奇怪”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛唱多美股！标普冲到4300点也“不奇怪”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2023-02-06 16:31 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>高盛认为，不管是基本面还是技术面，美股的上涨行情或将继续。不管外界唱空美股的声音多强烈，高盛认为，从现在的基本面和技术面来看，标普500还有上涨空间，可以冲到4300点。高盛对冲基金负责人Tony Pasquariello在最新的报告中指出，美国通胀的逐步降低以及劳动力市场的韧性，说明了经济软着陆可能性，同时欧洲避免衰退的预期升温叠加中国经济的复苏，标普500的涨势还没结束，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".DJI","symbol_name":"道琼斯","start_time":0,"source_url":"","article_id":"1190847975","we_media_id":"1084101182","thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190847975","pubTimestamp":1675672302,"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"华尔街见闻","introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"summary":"高盛认为，不管是基本面还是技术面，美股的上涨行情或将继续。不管外界唱空美股的声音多强烈，高盛认为，从现在的基本面和技术面来看，标普500还有上涨空间，可以冲到4300点。高盛对冲基金负责人Tony P","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念"},"translate_title":"Goldman Sachs sings more American stocks! It is \"not surprising\" that S&P rushed to 4300 points","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d011bfeedf0bd383c0523f76031b8e60","symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9},"content_text":"高盛认为，不管是基本面还是技术面，美股的上涨行情或将继续。不管外界唱空美股的声音多强烈，高盛认为，从现在的基本面和技术面来看，标普500还有上涨空间，可以冲到4300点。高盛对冲基金负责人Tony Pasquariello在最新的报告中指出，美国通胀的逐步降低以及劳动力市场的韧性，说明了经济软着陆可能性，同时欧洲避免衰退的预期升温叠加中国经济的复苏，标普500的涨势还没结束，Pasquariello解释道：美国1月ISM服务业指数创2020年中以来最大单月升幅；美国1月非农就业报告显示，劳动力需求依然旺盛；美国CPI连续三月增长放缓，市场相信美联储稳处减速加息的正轨；欧洲能源危机的可能性降低，衰退或将避免，尽管许多科技公司四季度财报显示盈利能力堪忧，但综合来看，我们相信宏观基本面支持美股继续上涨。Pasquariello指出，周四对冲基金的回补推动了纳斯达克指数上涨3.3%，这将继续成为推动美股上涨的驱动力，据高盛Prime部门计算，2月3日当日的对冲基金空头回补为2015年11月以来规模最大的一次，甚至超过了2021年1月的散户狂潮。截至发稿，今年以来，标普500涨近9%，纳斯达克涨近15%，道琼斯涨近3%。基本面和技术面均支持美股继续反弹从美联储的态度来看，Pasquariello认为美联储不会再为通胀感到焦虑，且市场已经普遍接受了美联储将使得利率维持在5%的水平，因此其未来不会对市场的走势产生太多的影响，Pasquariello称：美联储是否对通胀感到焦虑？不。有什么可以改变他们将在5月份完成5%的看法吗？没有。他们是否仍然认为需要使劳动力市场降温才能实现他们的目标？不。虽然市场都很想知道未来几次议息会议美联储的表态，但有一点是肯定的，他们会将利率维持在5%的高位一段时间。从公司盈利角度来看，Pasquariello指出第四季度的财报显示出个大公司收支不平衡的特点，但不少公司都已制定了削减开支的措施，且市场对这些公司的预期已处于低位，2024年可以实现更好的每股收益增长：从各大公司去年第二季度财报来看，出人意料的好，这说明并没有硬着陆，但第三季度出人意料的糟糕，也就是利润率被挤压已经成为现实，那时这些公司的股价已经处于底部，相较于前两个季度，第四季度财报的特点为收支不平衡，因此各大开始降本增效，实现自救，我相信自救的故事会有美好的结局。从技术面来看，Pasquariello认为，在经历了财报季、大量数据“轰炸”的一周，标普500仍处于非常好的技术状态，这也会奠定未来标普500继续走强的趋势，Pasquariello表示：正如我们一直强调的，在疫情后，不确定性增加的情况下，技术分析尤为重要。从传统的分析来看，包括突破50天和200天移动平均线，以及上破熊市趋势线或从长周期来看，标普500已处于上升通道。从斐波那契回撤水平来看，标普已经从2022年1月的历史高点跌至2022年10月的低点，回撤幅度达到了50%，这是一个关键指标，意味着反弹或许从那时开始了。此外，Pasquariello指出，重新“杀回来”的美国散户，将继续推动美股的上涨，去年“大赢家”——空头，在今年开年成了最大的输家：我们刚刚见证了2015年11月以来规模最大的一次空头回补，甚至超过了2021年1月的散户狂潮，散户在年内新一轮市场反弹行情中的参与度明显要比以往更高。这使我们认为今年的情况将于去年大相径庭，去年赚的盆满钵满的空头，在今年或将铩羽而归。媒体1月29日报道称，数据机构S3 Partners主管预测分析的董事总经理Ihor Dusaniwsky表示，目前损失惨重的空头正在积极减仓。在去年获利约3000亿美元之后，截至企业1月26日，今年空头累计亏损约810亿美元。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":622590098,"gmtCreate":1675699060114,"gmtModify":1675699062582,"author":{"id":"3509358375830340","authorId":"3509358375830340","name":"OKEx尊敬的用户","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c3d8298274789d91e30872552042fa2","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"高盛，啧啧啧，末日战车发车了","listText":"高盛，啧啧啧，末日战车发车了","text":"高盛，啧啧啧，末日战车发车了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622590098","repostId":1190847975,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":622502822,"gmtCreate":1675697467466,"gmtModify":1675697469619,"author":{"id":"3437614532855457","authorId":"3437614532855457","name":"乐美","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"高盛反买，别墅靠海","listText":"高盛反买，别墅靠海","text":"高盛反买，别墅靠海","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622502822","repostId":1190847975,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":622501738,"gmtCreate":1675696392524,"gmtModify":1675696394551,"author":{"id":"3546476378917733","authorId":"3546476378917733","name":"黎蜀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea0802041f69ade9e87dc19d8f569da9","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"高盛？兄弟们快跑","listText":"高盛？兄弟们快跑","text":"高盛？兄弟们快跑","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622501738","repostId":1190847975,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":622274350,"gmtCreate":1675694667072,"gmtModify":1675694672875,"author":{"id":"3457693762553934","authorId":"3457693762553934","name":"核桃露之六个核桃","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/8b1bf22bde9fce607036494276fa5b98","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"跑，不解释","listText":"跑，不解释","text":"跑，不解释","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622274350","repostId":1190847975,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":622248085,"gmtCreate":1675685057147,"gmtModify":1675685059248,"author":{"id":"3492787339030986","authorId":"3492787339030986","name":"超超_6103","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e178c9f28079df8f96fc5ef22800a38f","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"完了，高盛反买，要崩盘了","listText":"完了，高盛反买，要崩盘了","text":"完了，高盛反买，要崩盘了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622248085","repostId":1190847975,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":622240519,"gmtCreate":1675682926332,"gmtModify":1675683254324,"author":{"id":"3568799504364738","authorId":"3568799504364738","name":"Mayday.","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d189411e3cd4d6a0279a7405dbd1fc5b","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"掩护队友撤退?","listText":"掩护队友撤退?","text":"掩护队友撤退?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622240519","repostId":1190847975,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":8,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":4,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.25.1","shortVersion":"4.25.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1190847975"}