How Can Anyone Believe the Fed's Fantasyland Economic Projections?

The Street2021-03-18

The Fed's Dot Plot of interest rate projections is another exercise in silliness. Dot Plot TheDot Plot is a summary of where the FOMC members see future interest rates. It's unanimous there will be ...

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精彩评论

浅水蛟龙
2021-03-18
浅水蛟龙
What the hell happened to Nasdaq again?
- Dankel:
  It goes down further.. Haha
Alex5Low
2021-03-18
Alex5Low
Nice
Khay
2021-03-18
Khay
So is it saying we're being managed by a bunch of people who likes to fantasise?
Lty1098
2021-03-18
Lty1098
Like n comment please
Alvinwong
2021-03-18
Alvinwong
Like and comment
Bll
2021-03-18
Bll
Like and comment pls
- Bobs:
  like my reply too
- Bll:
  Done

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And by a 14-4 supermajority there will not be hikes in 2022.\nIn 2023, the expectations are 11-7. Two brave souls actually think the Fed will hike 4 times in 2023. [Note: a reader commented that foolish is a better word than brave. I agree.]\nLonger Run Silliness\nThe longer run is a real hoot. A majority think rates will be 2.5% to 3.0%.\nUS National Debt is over $28 trillion. Click here to see a continually updatedDebt Clockas in every second.\nThree Percent Interest On $28 Trillion\nThree percent of $28 trillion is $840,000,000,000. That's $840 billion annually.\nSome debt will be long-term financed lower, but $28 trillion isn't constant.\nAnd what about future recessions?\nThese projections are nothing more than economic silliness.\nRepeated Error\nFinally, please note Fed hubris. TheFed is Making the Same Inflation Mistakeonce again.","kind":"news","is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":327304470,"gmtCreate":1616056499390,"gmtModify":1703496971649,"author":{"id":"3566383397179750","authorId":"3566383397179750","name":"浅水蛟龙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b99c9414bb99fc299608c2e49dc1400","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3566383397179750","authorIdStr":"3566383397179750"},"htmlText":"What the hell happened to Nasdaq again?","listText":"What the hell happened to Nasdaq again?","text":"What the hell happened to Nasdaq again?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327304470","repostId":1186476082,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3825958,"gmtCreate":1616067622751,"gmtModify":1635752644248,"authorId":3573623220650432,"author":{"id":3573623220650432,"idStr":"3573623220650432","authorId":3573623220650432,"name":"Dankel","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/084a34a7e85f0f077a0253b0ee1a1dbc","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327304470,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"It goes down further.. <u>Haha</u>","text":"It goes down further.. <u>Haha</u>","html":"It goes down further.. <u>Haha</u>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327977568,"gmtCreate":1616055803954,"gmtModify":1703496958601,"author":{"id":"3573605058210233","authorId":"3573605058210233","name":"Alex5Low","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91c0a9b191e603633179d74642ce314e","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573605058210233","authorIdStr":"3573605058210233"},"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327977568","repostId":1186476082,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327972105,"gmtCreate":1616055541407,"gmtModify":1703496954588,"author":{"id":"3575509965500620","authorId":"3575509965500620","name":"Khay","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7697911666e72aa44cf5e42a7288913f","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3575509965500620","authorIdStr":"3575509965500620"},"htmlText":"So is it saying we're being managed by a bunch of people who likes to fantasise?","listText":"So is it saying we're being managed by a bunch of people who likes to fantasise?","text":"So is it saying we're being managed by a bunch of people who likes to fantasise?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327972105","repostId":1186476082,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327979896,"gmtCreate":1616055170615,"gmtModify":1703496947993,"author":{"id":"3573201360768736","authorId":"3573201360768736","name":"Lty1098","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0123641e5b1e8993162711702dcb0f22","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573201360768736","authorIdStr":"3573201360768736"},"htmlText":"Like n comment please","listText":"Like n comment please","text":"Like n comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327979896","repostId":1186476082,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327979107,"gmtCreate":1616055169609,"gmtModify":1703496948166,"author":{"id":"3566564994472271","authorId":"3566564994472271","name":"Alvinwong","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3566564994472271","authorIdStr":"3566564994472271"},"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and 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pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327979065","repostId":1186476082,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3824449,"gmtCreate":1616055270585,"gmtModify":1635752720316,"authorId":3568088277380321,"author":{"id":3568088277380321,"idStr":"3568088277380321","authorId":3568088277380321,"name":"Bobs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0baddb25bd90adbcf2d0e0cb488bb334","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327979065,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"like my reply too","text":"like my reply too","html":"like my reply too"},{"id":3824458,"gmtCreate":1616055318422,"gmtModify":1635752719819,"authorId":3575152525326279,"author":{"id":3575152525326279,"idStr":"3575152525326279","authorId":3575152525326279,"name":"Bll","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b372fc92d67296f5ba36af78d1d6e935","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327979065,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Done","text":"Done","html":"Done"}],"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":17,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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