This High-Yield Dividend Stock Might Be in Trouble

fool2021-03-23

Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are known for their high-yield dividends, andThe GEO Group(NYSE:GEO)is no exception. The company, which owns and manages 123 private domestic secure facilities ...

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精彩评论

Starcker
2021-03-23
Starcker
Why????
KinKat
2021-03-23
KinKat
OMG! A REIT which provides detention facilities! [惊吓]
Zhenghao
2021-03-23
Zhenghao
Wow
yigenxiaohai
2021-03-23
yigenxiaohai
Like and comment
- Nebhol:
  Done
- nakazatous:
  Ok
armypanda90
2021-03-23
armypanda90
Here comes the smoke bomb[呆住]
- Muan:
  noted
- IceColdFist:
  [惊讶]
LiJi
2021-03-23
LiJi
like my comment please
- PTKH:
  Done
- nakazatous:
  Okok

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The company, which owns and manages 123 private domestic secure facilities ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/22/this-high-yield-dividend-stock-might-be-in-trouble/\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":null,"symbol_name":null,"start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/22/this-high-yield-dividend-stock-might-be-in-trouble/","article_id":"1185868278","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185868278","pubTimestamp":1616471796,"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are known for their high-yield dividends, andThe GEO Group(NYS","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"fool.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{},"translate_title":"这种高收益的股息股可能会遇到麻烦","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{},"content_text":"Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are known for their high-yield dividends, andThe GEO Group(NYSE:GEO)is no exception. The company, which owns and manages 123 private domestic secure facilities and post-correctional residential facilities with 93,000 total beds in the United States, Australia, Africa, and the United Kingdom, offers a dividend with an annualized payout of $1 a share. At the company's current share price, that gives it a yield of around 12.6%.\nThat might sound great ... until you find out why the yield is so high. GEO Group's stock price has fallen by more than 32% in the last year, so despite payout cuts this year and last year, the yield remains high. I'm not that worried about the safety of GEO's dividend, but the company appears to be a classic dividend trap because its revenues are trending downward.\nThe hits keep on coming\nLast year was difficult for companies that operate private prisons. The COVID-19 pandemic meant extra costs to make prisons and immigrant detention centers safer for workers, inmates, and detainees. It also led to a drop in inmate populations.\nAccording to The Marshall Project, the number of people incarcerated in the U.S. fell from 1.3 million in March to 1.2 million by June. Prisons, in an effort to avoid bringing the coronavirus into their populations, stopped accepting new prisoners. Court closures meant fewer people were being sentenced, and parole officers were less active and sent fewer people back to prison for parole violations.\nOn top of that, with the change of government in Washington, this isn't the best of times to be in the private prison business. On Jan. 26, President Biden signedan executive orderdirecting the Justice Department not to renew its contracts with private prison operators.\nThe order applies to any private facilities connected with the Bureau of Prisons and the U.S. Marshals Service. It doesn't yet apply to all agencies. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, for example, has contracts with private companies, including the GEO Group, to detain undocumented immigrants.\nLooking at a recent investor presentation by the company, it's easy to see that the eventual result of Biden's policy could be a 27% cut to GEO Group's revenue.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: THE GEO GROUP\nEven before the executive order, the Bureau of Prisons chose not to renew its contracts with three GEO facilities; those contracts expire this quarter. The company said its remaining Bureau of Prisons contracts may also not be renewed as they come up.\nIn March, GEO learned that the Marshals Service would not renew its contract for the company's 222-bed Queens Detention Facility in New York. The facility generated $19 million annually in revenues, the company said.\nThe dividend may be safe, but the share price not so much\nYou have to give GEO credit for doing the smart thing, trimming its quarterlydividend29.2% to 34 cents a share last year and then again by 26.5% to 25 cents a share this year.\nWhile the cuts are concerning, the dividend appears well covered by the company's expected adjusted funds from operations (FFO) this year, which management said should be in the range of $1.98 per share to $2.08 per share.\nThe company's 2020 revenue of $2.35 billionwas down from the $2.47 billion it brought in for 2019, and net income of $113 million was down from $166 million the year before. In the fourth quarter, its revenue of $578.1 million was a 7% drop year over year. It was also the fourth consecutive quarter of top-line declines.\nREITs are better analyzed on the basis of their FFOs, and those metrics fell for GEO Group as well. The company reported yearly normalized FFO of $229.3 million, down from $260.7 million in 2019; adjusted FFO was $300.6 million, compared to $328.4 million in 2019. GEO's adjusted FFO last year was at its lowest level since 2016.\nGEO Group is fighting against trends\nUnlike some REITs that were adversely affected during the global pandemic by tenants that had difficulty paying the rent, GEO's customers are government agencies that always pay the rent on time.\nThe difficulty GEO faces is that the population of prisoners in its facilities has been dropping, and that trend appears likely to continue. That means reduced revenue, which to investors means the stock's share price could continue to drop, and also increases the likelihood that the company could cut its dividend further.\nTo some degree, the future revenue declines may have already been priced into the stock, but as an investor, I don't see upside for GEO Group any time soon.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":353894815,"gmtCreate":1616477745137,"gmtModify":1634525611002,"author":{"id":"3573471128996362","authorId":"3573471128996362","name":"Starcker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7acee337483141f2bba0cfe7ca2ae8c1","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573471128996362","authorIdStr":"3573471128996362"},"htmlText":"Why????","listText":"Why????","text":"Why????","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353894815","repostId":1185868278,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":353892095,"gmtCreate":1616477295017,"gmtModify":1616477295017,"author":{"id":"3577917165320806","authorId":"3577917165320806","name":"KinKat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05a5d7e664c9e14d1097e19f1846ce94","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577917165320806","authorIdStr":"3577917165320806"},"htmlText":"OMG! A REIT which provides detention facilities!&nbsp;[惊吓]&nbsp;","listText":"OMG! A REIT which provides detention facilities!&nbsp;[惊吓]&nbsp;","text":"OMG! A REIT which provides detention facilities! 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