分析师：英伟达财报无论是好是坏，都会终结美股涨势

华尔街见闻02-19

将于本周公布的英伟达财报，或将扭转美股过去4个月来的强劲涨势。在标普突破5000点大关之际，有分析师警告：将于当地时间周三公布的英伟达业绩报告可能会给美股涨势“踩刹车”。因今年以来AI热潮持续发酵，对高风险看涨期权的押注已经飙升至多年来的最高水平，有衍生品市场专家向媒体表示，即使英伟达四季度业绩报告符合市场预期，也可能驱动主要股指下跌。看涨期权暴涨引发不安情绪去年以来美股一路高歌，投资者越来越依赖...

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精彩评论

里二外三
02-19
里二外三
华尔街见闻，一个大忽悠，山寨版。😂😂
007邦德
02-19
007邦德
说了还不如不说，是押注涨还是跌呢？要像巴菲特一样长期投资而不是重点放在期权上，这和看技术指标炒股一样的毛病，看似专业实则狗屁不通，如果模型能炒股那山猪能上树。
火火兔爸
02-19
火火兔爸
除了英伟达都是扯淡的

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href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3708526><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>将于本周公布的英伟达财报，或将扭转美股过去4个月来的强劲涨势。在标普突破5000点大关之际，有分析师警告：将于当地时间周三公布的英伟达业绩报告可能会给美股涨势“踩刹车”。因今年以来AI热潮持续发酵，对高风险看涨期权的押注已经飙升至多年来的最高水平，有衍生品市场专家向媒体表示，即使英伟达四季度业绩报告符合市场预期，也可能驱动主要股指下跌。看涨期权暴涨引发不安情绪去年以来美股一路高歌，投资者越来越依赖...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3708526\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"NVDA","symbol_name":"英伟达","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3708526","article_id":"1183745245","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/7308276753c5ff6ceaac8e2cceebffd3"],"rights":{"source":"live_wallstreetcn","url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3708526","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183745245","pubTimestamp":1708314758,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"live_wallstreetcn","name":"华尔街见闻"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"看涨期权暴涨引发不安情绪。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"wallstreetcn.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"translate_title":"Analyst: NVIDIA's financial report, whether good or bad, will end the rise of US 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Kochuba认为，一旦英伟达公布收益报告，整个期权市场的隐含波动率可能下降，英伟达相关个股的看涨期权价格随之下跌，并带动大盘回调。Kochuba解释道，因为当前期权市场隐含波动率的上升，建立在投资者想要对冲或投机“英伟达财报”的预期上，因此，当英伟达公布完财报后，隐含波动率就会走低。如果期权进入实值状态，期权做市商可能会被迫交割此前用于对冲的标的股票。Kochuba还在一份客户报告中表示：“任何看涨期权偏度较大的公司都可能会承受更大的抛压。”据悉，科技公司微软、AMD、Arm目前的看涨期权偏度都处于极端高值。美股涨势超过利润增长可以肯定的是，AI热潮是股市走高的主要动力，但这并不意味着交易者押注AI就能轻松获利。一边是美股主要股指纷纷创下历史新高，另一边是华尔街分析师下调了对2024年企业盈利增长的预期——美股整体的动态市盈率增速有所放缓，美股的涨势已经超越了盈利的增长，对市场“过热”的担忧增加。Kramer指出：“目前的股票交易靠的不是盈利动量（earnings momentum），而是估值扩张（multiple expansion）。”eToro的美国期权投资分析师布Bret Kenwell认为，英伟达因盈利门槛高而更难实现持续盈利：“（美股）这波涨势的速度其实是不可持续的——就英伟达这样的公司而言，它为盈利设置了一个相当高的门槛——但何时势头消退总是最难把握的部分。”","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[{"id":275697580806416,"gmtCreate":1708348174467,"gmtModify":1708348736387,"author":{"id":"3544518779726666","authorId":"3544518779726666","name":"里二外三","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3544518779726666","authorIdStr":"3544518779726666"},"htmlText":"华尔街见闻，一个大忽悠，山寨版。😂😂","listText":"华尔街见闻，一个大忽悠，山寨版。😂😂","text":"华尔街见闻，一个大忽悠，山寨版。😂😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/275697580806416","repostId":1183745245,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":275684720705656,"gmtCreate":1708328574363,"gmtModify":1708328720757,"author":{"id":"4096092219769990","authorId":"4096092219769990","name":"007邦德","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/981a278b33bda4404aa70ea6443d6a2d","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4096092219769990","authorIdStr":"4096092219769990"},"htmlText":"说了还不如不说，是押注涨还是跌呢？要像巴菲特一样长期投资而不是重点放在期权上，这和看技术指标炒股一样的毛病，看似专业实则狗屁不通，如果模型能炒股那山猪能上树。","listText":"说了还不如不说，是押注涨还是跌呢？要像巴菲特一样长期投资而不是重点放在期权上，这和看技术指标炒股一样的毛病，看似专业实则狗屁不通，如果模型能炒股那山猪能上树。","text":"说了还不如不说，是押注涨还是跌呢？要像巴菲特一样长期投资而不是重点放在期权上，这和看技术指标炒股一样的毛病，看似专业实则狗屁不通，如果模型能炒股那山猪能上树。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/275684720705656","repostId":1183745245,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":275726869880872,"gmtCreate":1708327688728,"gmtModify":1708327941842,"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a2963eb37c60c5d6d4a8dbcd266952","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3546249304196282","authorIdStr":"3546249304196282"},"htmlText":"除了英伟达都是扯淡的","listText":"除了英伟达都是扯淡的","text":"除了英伟达都是扯淡的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/275726869880872","repostId":1183745245,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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