加息后首度发声！美联储四高官：更多加息，峰值可能超过5%

华尔街见闻2022-11-06

加息步伐放缓，但利率峰值更高。在美联储11月升息后，美联储官员密集发声。官员们警告，必须继续加息才能遏制通胀，明年利率峰值有可能达到5%以上。里士满联储主席Thomas Barkin周五在接受采访时表示，为了将通胀降至目标水平，美联储需要采取一切必要措施，这可能将利率峰值推高至5%以上：我完全可以想象利率最终会超过5％，但对我来说，这不是一个既定的计划，而是我们为抗通胀所做努力的结果。明尼阿波利斯...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

Fred_6810
2022-11-06
Fred_6810
加到经济危机，
自由财富之路
2022-11-06
自由财富之路
美国经济肯定是夕阳产业，只是时间问题，所谓瘦死的骆驼比马大，需要时间慢慢消化。
石家庄赵子龙
2022-11-06
石家庄赵子龙
靠加息控制通胀，后期贷款利息要升多高，加息越加越高，控制个毛线。
T0000023960
2022-11-06
T0000023960
群🦅四起，鹰击长空。
挂挂13
2022-11-06
挂挂13
这美国经济到底是强劲还是衰退？怎么话都被一个人说完了？
- 啊啦雷:
  两年或者四年都处于不景气状态，之后的几十年会处于少见的高增长
- Alex_168:
  强

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179800507?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c7529fdbb41cb6b3c19bcb2904f4970","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2022-11-06 11:09","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"1179800507","market":"sh","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"加息后首度发声！美联储四高官：更多加息，峰值可能超过5%","media":"华尔街见闻","content":"<div>\n<p>加息步伐放缓，但利率峰值更高。在美联储11月升息后，美联储官员密集发声。官员们警告，必须继续加息才能遏制通胀，明年利率峰值有可能达到5%以上。里士满联储主席Thomas Barkin周五在接受采访时表示，为了将通胀降至目标水平，美联储需要采取一切必要措施，这可能将利率峰值推高至5%以上：我完全可以想象利率最终会超过5％，但对我来说，这不是一个既定的计划，而是我们为抗通胀所做努力的结果。明尼阿波利斯...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3674217\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"wallstreetcn_api","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>加息后首度发声！美联储四高官：更多加息，峰值可能超过5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n加息后首度发声！美联储四高官：更多加息，峰值可能超过5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-06 11:09 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3674217><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>加息步伐放缓，但利率峰值更高。在美联储11月升息后，美联储官员密集发声。官员们警告，必须继续加息才能遏制通胀，明年利率峰值有可能达到5%以上。里士满联储主席Thomas Barkin周五在接受采访时表示，为了将通胀降至目标水平，美联储需要采取一切必要措施，这可能将利率峰值推高至5%以上：我完全可以想象利率最终会超过5％，但对我来说，这不是一个既定的计划，而是我们为抗通胀所做努力的结果。明尼阿波利斯...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3674217\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".SPX","symbol_name":"S&P 500 Index","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3674217","article_id":"1179800507","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c7529fdbb41cb6b3c19bcb2904f4970"],"rights":{"source":"wallstreetcn_api","url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3674217","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179800507","pubTimestamp":1667704167,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"wallstreetcn_api","name":"华尔街见闻"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"加息步伐放缓，但利率峰值更高。在美联储11月升息后，美联储官员密集发声。官员们警告，必须继续加息才能遏制通胀，明年利率峰值有可能达到5%以上。里士满联储主席Thomas Barkin周五在接受采访时表","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"wallstreetcn.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4581":"高盛持仓","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF"},"translate_title":"Speak for the first time after raising interest rates! Four senior officials of the Federal Reserve: More interest rate hikes, the peak may exceed 5%","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4af4b6a7d3673f75b4a593aeb6f2838","symbols_score_info":{"NQmain":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"DXD":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9},"content_text":"加息步伐放缓，但利率峰值更高。在美联储11月升息后，美联储官员密集发声。官员们警告，必须继续加息才能遏制通胀，明年利率峰值有可能达到5%以上。里士满联储主席Thomas Barkin周五在接受采访时表示，为了将通胀降至目标水平，美联储需要采取一切必要措施，这可能将利率峰值推高至5%以上：我完全可以想象利率最终会超过5％，但对我来说，这不是一个既定的计划，而是我们为抗通胀所做努力的结果。明尼阿波利斯联储行长Neel Kashkari则表示，最新的就业报告显示招聘情况“非常强劲”，这可能导致利率峰值“更高”：我们还有更多工作要做，希望能够给经济降温，使需求和供应达到平衡。今年3、4月时我预测利率会在今年9月见顶，最终峰值在4.9%左右。鉴于目前所掌握的信息，我预计利率会升到更高，至于会高多少，我也没有答案。芝加哥联储行长Charles Evans也持类似观点，其预计美联储利率峰值水平“将略高于” 9月的点阵图预测。波士顿联储主席Susan Collins则警告，现在判断利率应该达到多高还为时尚早，不能排除再进行一次大幅加息的可能性：由于利率目前处于可能导致经济增长减速的限制性水平，所以货币政策正在进入一个新的阶段，可能只需要进行较小幅度的利率调整。但不能排除再进行一次大幅加息的可能性。美联储本周连续第四次加息75个基点，将联邦基准利率上调至3.75％—4％。美联储主席鲍威尔在随后的记者会上表示，美联储将“有目的性地”调整利率至有效的限制性，最快将在12月放慢加息步伐，但是终端利率可能会高于9月时美联储的预期（4.6%）。由于鲍威尔没有给出具体预测数据，市场目前对美联储利率峰值存在争议。在FOMC会议前，华尔街对于美联储利率峰值的预测水平为5%左右。投资者押注美联储将在12月加息50个基点，利率则将在2023年年中达到5.1%左右的峰值。约翰霍普金斯大学经济学教授Jonathan Wright总结认为，考虑到美国实际利率依然接近于零，甚至仍为负值，美联储实现控制通胀所需的限制性立场还有很长的路要走。在FOMC会议后，华尔街也对美联储升息路径进行了调整，以反映“更慢但更高”的升息预期。野村现在预计美联储12月加息50个基点（此前为75个基点），明年2月加息50个基点，3月加息50个基点（此前为25个基点），5月加息25个基点（此前没有做出预期）。利率峰值将比之前的预测高出25个基点，上调至了5.50-5.75%。在野村看来，美联储的通胀斗争远未结束，可能还会有更多的大幅加息。鲍威尔在新闻发布会上的言论十分明确地指向鹰派立场，重中之重是美联储仍然打算继续加息，只是步伐有所放缓。因此，野村认为此轮加息周期将持续更长时间，利率峰值将处于更高水平。美国前财政部长、哈佛大学名誉校长Lawrence Summers则认为，鉴于美国经济依然强劲，美联储可能需要将利率提高至6%或更高，以控制通胀。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":664968434,"gmtCreate":1667732609728,"gmtModify":1667732612239,"author":{"id":"3563140991934227","authorId":"3563140991934227","name":"Fred_6810","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbe236f23155302a4dcecbf04d2e9040","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"加到经济危机，","listText":"加到经济危机，","text":"加到经济危机，","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664968434","repostId":1179800507,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":664985150,"gmtCreate":1667716008971,"gmtModify":1667716011750,"author":{"id":"3447258680782140","authorId":"3447258680782140","name":"自由财富之路","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cdc53929b69f8b806e35f1372121ca4","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6295840391b9cdc17115677ba51429c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"美国经济肯定是夕阳产业，只是时间问题，所谓瘦死的骆驼比马大，需要时间慢慢消化。","listText":"美国经济肯定是夕阳产业，只是时间问题，所谓瘦死的骆驼比马大，需要时间慢慢消化。","text":"美国经济肯定是夕阳产业，只是时间问题，所谓瘦死的骆驼比马大，需要时间慢慢消化。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664985150","repostId":1179800507,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":664985952,"gmtCreate":1667715688777,"gmtModify":1667716826220,"author":{"id":"3528864063300262","authorId":"3528864063300262","name":"石家庄赵子龙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3df8fc0bbfea93998b3cfab776b0d005","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"靠加息控制通胀，后期贷款利息要升多高，加息越加越高，控制个毛线。","listText":"靠加息控制通胀，后期贷款利息要升多高，加息越加越高，控制个毛线。","text":"靠加息控制通胀，后期贷款利息要升多高，加息越加越高，控制个毛线。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664985952","repostId":1179800507,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":664982340,"gmtCreate":1667714198180,"gmtModify":1667714203495,"author":{"id":"3550206607346427","authorId":"3550206607346427","name":"T0000023960","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/043d4035b367f060dbcca041a10dbcd1","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"群🦅四起，鹰击长空。","listText":"群🦅四起，鹰击长空。","text":"群🦅四起，鹰击长空。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664982340","repostId":1179800507,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":664983720,"gmtCreate":1667707916360,"gmtModify":1667708883579,"author":{"id":"3574798334916416","authorId":"3574798334916416","name":"挂挂13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05865f77ae641e5b242bcb1171066ae0","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"这美国经济到底是强劲还是衰退？怎么话都被一个人说完了？","listText":"这美国经济到底是强劲还是衰退？怎么话都被一个人说完了？","text":"这美国经济到底是强劲还是衰退？怎么话都被一个人说完了？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664983720","repostId":1179800507,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7728153,"gmtCreate":1667812077546,"gmtModify":1667812091561,"authorId":4103012405740810,"author":{"id":4103012405740810,"authorId":4103012405740810,"name":"啊啦雷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d6bc0eecd5e2ab29d590759c3fdfd3","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.23","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":664983720,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"两年或者四年都处于不景气状态，之后的几十年会处于少见的高增长","text":"两年或者四年都处于不景气状态，之后的几十年会处于少见的高增长","html":"两年或者四年都处于不景气状态，之后的几十年会处于少见的高增长"},{"id":7727067,"gmtCreate":1667733805914,"gmtModify":1667733816137,"authorId":4121094350684710,"author":{"id":4121094350684710,"authorId":4121094350684710,"name":"Alex_168","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8f435f162ea22605d050594b0b7fcc9","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.10.13","exceedPercentage":"93.92%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":664983720,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"强","text":"强","html":"强"}],"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":20,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":8,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.25.1","shortVersion":"4.25.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1179800507"}