苏伊士运河大堵船，中国厕纸、油价都要涨？

科普中国2021-03-30

谁能想到，苏伊士运河堵船，可能会影响你的钱包。3月23日，苏伊士运河发生“世纪大堵船”，一艘长约400米的巨轮堵在航道，至今已有一周时间。最新消息是巨轮重新上浮，但运河恢复畅通还需三天半。小伙伴们关心，在蝴蝶效应之下，会对中国产生什么影响？难道厕纸真的要因此涨价了吗？油价真的要上涨？其实，事情没想象中那么简单。油价要涨？NO，或迎年内首降作为全球最繁忙的海运路线之一，苏伊士运河为来往于亚洲、中东和...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

MUWY
2021-03-30
MUWY
涨
- 一茗王:
  会的
- MUWY:
  看好你
JanetXinru
2021-03-30
JanetXinru
必须大涨[财迷] [财迷]
- JanetXinru:
  点赞[开心][开心]
- JanetXinru:
  [财迷][财迷]

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179663446?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99745fb9d6b17b8eb8b364bdf05b6080","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2021-03-30 10:51","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"1179663446","market":"hk","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"苏伊士运河大堵船，中国厕纸、油价都要涨？","media":"科普中国","content":"<div>\n<p>谁能想到，苏伊士运河堵船，可能会影响你的钱包。3月23日，苏伊士运河发生“世纪大堵船”，一艘长约400米的巨轮堵在航道，至今已有一周时间。最新消息是巨轮重新上浮，但运河恢复畅通还需三天半。小伙伴们关心，在蝴蝶效应之下，会对中国产生什么影响？难道厕纸真的要因此涨价了吗？油价真的要上涨？其实，事情没想象中那么简单。油价要涨？NO，或迎年内首降作为全球最繁忙的海运路线之一，苏伊士运河为来往于亚洲、中东和...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/IiUXqE341W67u6uTmyPNPA\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1617072592152","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>苏伊士运河大堵船，中国厕纸、油价都要涨？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n苏伊士运河大堵船，中国厕纸、油价都要涨？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-30 10:51 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/IiUXqE341W67u6uTmyPNPA><strong>科普中国</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>谁能想到，苏伊士运河堵船，可能会影响你的钱包。3月23日，苏伊士运河发生“世纪大堵船”，一艘长约400米的巨轮堵在航道，至今已有一周时间。最新消息是巨轮重新上浮，但运河恢复畅通还需三天半。小伙伴们关心，在蝴蝶效应之下，会对中国产生什么影响？难道厕纸真的要因此涨价了吗？油价真的要上涨？其实，事情没想象中那么简单。油价要涨？NO，或迎年内首降作为全球最繁忙的海运路线之一，苏伊士运河为来往于亚洲、中东和...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/IiUXqE341W67u6uTmyPNPA\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":null,"symbol_name":null,"start_time":0,"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/IiUXqE341W67u6uTmyPNPA","article_id":"1179663446","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/99745fb9d6b17b8eb8b364bdf05b6080"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179663446","pubTimestamp":1617072687,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1617072592152","name":"科普中国"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"在蝴蝶效应之下，会对中国产生什么影响？","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"qq.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{},"translate_title":"Suez Canal is blocked, toilet paper and oil price in China will rise?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aca43762e6bde01dce53900a2a69755","symbols_score_info":{},"content_text":"谁能想到，苏伊士运河堵船，可能会影响你的钱包。3月23日，苏伊士运河发生“世纪大堵船”，一艘长约400米的巨轮堵在航道，至今已有一周时间。最新消息是巨轮重新上浮，但运河恢复畅通还需三天半。小伙伴们关心，在蝴蝶效应之下，会对中国产生什么影响？难道厕纸真的要因此涨价了吗？油价真的要上涨？其实，事情没想象中那么简单。油价要涨？NO，或迎年内首降作为全球最繁忙的海运路线之一，苏伊士运河为来往于亚洲、中东和欧洲的船只提供重要通道。据估计，约12%的世界贸易量由此通过，其中，通过这条运河的液化天然气、原油和成品油等能源出口占全球出口量的5%至10%。运河的阻塞已经对石油市场产生一定影响，消息传出后，原油价格一度出现跳涨，于是中国国内民众担心，国内油价是不是会继续上涨？其实并不会，反而国内油价近日可能迎来年内首次下降。国内油价每10个工作日调整一次，本轮调价窗口为3月31日24时。据金联创测算，截至3月29日第8个工作日，参考原油品种均价为63.62美元/桶，变化率为-5.26%，对应的汽柴油的零售价应下调230元/吨。因原油短期内走势难有较强的反弹支撑，本轮调价宽幅下调基调已定，这意味着国内成品油止步“九连涨”，即将迎来2021年内的首次下调。金联创燃料油分析师徐华丽对中新网记者分析称，从燃料油自身贸易和供需的角度来看，苏伊士运河是西区俄罗斯、地中海、西北欧等燃料油产地前往亚太消费地的重要通道，但目前来看亚太地区燃料油整体供应是较为充裕的，尤其是低硫燃料油，预计短期的船货延误不会造成显著的市场影响。3月24日，一艘拖船在重型货轮搁浅水域作业 图源：央视新闻卫生纸要涨价？这是真的因为纸浆运输可能受阻，全球卫生纸短缺的风险将再次上升。据报道，世界上最大的卫生纸木浆生产商之一巴西Suzano公司表示，运输集装箱的堵塞可能会导致向卫生纸生产商的交付延迟。如果问题持续恶化，全球卫生纸短缺将不可避免。难道受苏伊士运河堵塞影响，国内卫生纸要涨价了？国内卫生纸确实要涨价了，但根本原因还是原材料价格的上涨，而且涨价已经酝酿了一段时间。国内多家纸企日前宣布将涨价。国内生活用纸巨头中顺洁柔称，因原材料价格持续上涨，计划于4月1日开始对旗下生活用纸产品的价格进行大幅调整。维达纸业（北京）也表示，由于原材料价格的不断上涨，导致生产成本急剧增加，计划于4月1日起针对维达品牌部分产品进行第一轮价格调整。3月初，金红叶纸业也发了涨价函，自3月1日起对清风销售的单品进行价格调整。卓创资讯分析师常俊婷向中新网记者介绍，中国木浆进口依存度在60%以上，2020年前11个月中国针叶浆进口量下降1.44%。所以，如果苏伊士运河堵塞短时间内解决不了，将给原本就供应偏紧的纸浆添 “一把火”，你手里的厕纸还真面临更大的涨价压力。对中国经济影响如何？商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院国际市场研究所副所长白明对中新网记者表示，苏伊士运河长时间堵塞，对于中国经济来说总体上不是好事，最主要的是冲击中欧之间的产业链和供应链。因为中国的沿海地区很多商品通过苏伊士运河转运到欧洲，而且中国从欧洲进口的汽车等产品也要走苏伊士运河。有分析指出，苏伊士运河事件对中国影响最大的，应该是集装箱运费或大幅上涨。光大期货能源化工总监钟美燕指出，随着该运河大堵塞，亚洲地区集装箱紧缺问题更为严重，进而导致集运价格快速增长，物流成本提升。苏伊士运河塞船走不了，绕道好望角又太远，铁路运输成为了“香饽饽”。据报道，国内一些国际物流服务平台近日以来收到大量中欧班列运输的咨询。虽然中欧班列的运输成本比海运高出50%，但与空运相比还是要低很多。白明指出，中欧班列确实能缓解一部分压力，让中国的进出口商的选择更多一些，此时中国更应发挥中欧班列的作用，克服苏伊士运河塞船的拖累和不利影响。据德国保险巨头安联集团估算，苏伊士运河堵塞或令全球贸易每周损失60亿美元至100亿美元。希望这场“史上最贵的堵船”早日结束，让世界贸易长舒一口气，也让励志的挖掘机小哥能好好歇歇。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":355228103,"gmtCreate":1617077235402,"gmtModify":1634522783457,"author":{"id":"3576813410818539","authorId":"3576813410818539","name":"MUWY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92305636835297c69cb75aa0ac5a56ad","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"涨","listText":"涨","text":"涨","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355228103","repostId":1179663446,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3919303,"gmtCreate":1617084658040,"gmtModify":1635746623335,"authorId":3576808490333004,"author":{"id":3576808490333004,"authorId":3576808490333004,"name":"一茗王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb488b40ca1e9b06bfd387f3acf02dcc","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":355228103,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"会的","text":"会的","html":"会的"},{"id":3919311,"gmtCreate":1617084744447,"gmtModify":1635746622901,"authorId":3576813410818539,"author":{"id":3576813410818539,"authorId":3576813410818539,"name":"MUWY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92305636835297c69cb75aa0ac5a56ad","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":355228103,"type":1,"supId":3919303,"prevId":0,"content":"看好你","text":"看好你","html":"看好你"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":355293182,"gmtCreate":1617072734746,"gmtModify":1634522807520,"author":{"id":"3573976318383866","authorId":"3573976318383866","name":"JanetXinru","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6684e4383a1bbe361c14eb7ce56ede5f","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"必须大涨[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"必须大涨[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"必须大涨[财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355293182","repostId":1179663446,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3918012,"gmtCreate":1617072748466,"gmtModify":1635746710764,"authorId":3573976318383866,"author":{"id":3573976318383866,"authorId":3573976318383866,"name":"JanetXinru","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6684e4383a1bbe361c14eb7ce56ede5f","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":355293182,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"点赞[开心][开心]","text":"点赞[开心][开心]","html":"点赞[开心][开心]"},{"id":3918015,"gmtCreate":1617072758721,"gmtModify":1635746710445,"authorId":3573976318383866,"author":{"id":3573976318383866,"authorId":3573976318383866,"name":"JanetXinru","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6684e4383a1bbe361c14eb7ce56ede5f","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":355293182,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[财迷][财迷]","text":"[财迷][财迷]","html":"[财迷][财迷]"}],"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.25.1","shortVersion":"4.25.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1179663446"}