'Careful what you wish for': Hedge fund manager says Biden's spending plan could cause market crash akin to 1929

cnbc2021-01-15

KEY POINTS The comments come shortly after Biden outlined the details of a $1.9 trillion rescue package designed to support households and businesses through the coronavirus pandemic. David Neuhauser...

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Kliensberg
2021-01-17
Kliensberg
Looking forward
Bolun
2021-01-15
Bolun
To the moon
SJChai
2021-01-15
SJChai
希望听听大家的看法

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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Careful what you wish for': Hedge fund manager says Biden's spending plan could cause market crash akin to 1929\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-01-15 18:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/15/biden-covid-spending-plan-hedge-fund-manager-warns-of-market-crash-akin-to-1929.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nThe comments come shortly after Biden outlined the details of a $1.9 trillion rescue package designed to support households and businesses through the coronavirus pandemic.\nDavid Neuhauser...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/15/biden-covid-spending-plan-hedge-fund-manager-warns-of-market-crash-akin-to-1929.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".DJI","symbol_name":"道琼斯","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/15/biden-covid-spending-plan-hedge-fund-manager-warns-of-market-crash-akin-to-1929.html","article_id":"1179591835","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"cnbc_highlight","url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/15/biden-covid-spending-plan-hedge-fund-manager-warns-of-market-crash-akin-to-1929.html","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.ArticleHeader-headline{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.ArticleHeader-time, .Author-authorNameAndSocial a{#sourceStyle#;}","selectors":".PageBuilder-pageWrapper","filters":".ArticleHeader-eyebrow, .RelatedTags-relatedTags","directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179591835","pubTimestamp":1610704831,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"cnbc_highlight","name":"CNBC"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nThe comments come shortly after Biden outlined the details of a $1.9 trillion rescue pac","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"cnbc.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"translate_title":"“谨慎行事”:对冲基金经理说，比登的支出计划可能会导致类似1929年的市场崩盘","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9},"content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nThe comments come shortly after Biden outlined the details of a $1.9 trillion rescue package designed to support households and businesses through the coronavirus pandemic.\nDavid Neuhauser, managing director of Livermore Partners, told CNBC Friday that Biden's spending plan appeared to be an attempt to mimic the \"roaring 20's\" by getting people back into the workforce quickly.\n\"But beware, the 'roaring 20's' led to the 1929 stock market crash and the Great Depression. So, be careful what you wish for,\" he added.\n\nPresident-elect Joe Biden'sCovid spending plancould recreate the financial conditions seen in the run-up to the 1929 Wall Street crash, according to one hedge fund manager, with rising inflation potentially responsible for popping an \"epic\" stock market bubble.\nThe comments come shortly after Biden outlined the details of a $1.9 trillion rescue package designed to support households and businesses through the coronavirus pandemic.\nDavid Neuhauser, managing director of Livermore Partners, said that Biden’s spending plan appeared to be an attempt to mimic the “roaring 20′s” by getting people back into the workforce quickly.\n“But beware, the ’roaring 20’s′ led to the 1929 stock market crash and the Great Depression. So, be careful what you wish for,” he added.\nIf passed by the new Democratic-controlled Congress, the “American Rescue Plan” includes $1 trillion in direct relief for households, $415 billion to tackle the virus and roughly $440 billion for small businesses.\n“We not only have an economic imperative to act now — I believe we have a moral obligation,” Biden said Thursday, as he announced his plan from his transition headquarters in Delaware.\nThe former vice president is set to be inaugurated on Jan. 20.\nWhen asked whether investors should be concerned that the president-elect’s spending plan could lead to an event like the 1929 stock market crash, Neuhauser replied: “I think so.”\n“You are seeing this massive $1 trillion deficit spending due to a pandemic that has of course stopped the world in the past nine months and the goals of course are: ‘We are going to get a vaccine (and) we are going to come through this,’” Neuhauser told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe.”\n“We still don’t know the dynamics as to how fast and swiftly we come through this. We also don’t know what global growth will look like in the future years, too.”\nIn the wake of thestock market crash of Oct. 29, 1929, theS&P 500 fell 86% in less than three years and did not pass to its previous peak until 1954.\nNeuhauser cited expectations that U.S. GDP (gross domestic product) could grow by 6% in 2021, but warned growth was likely to normalize at a rate between 2% to 3% in subsequent years. An ageing U.S. demographic and massive corporate and government debt would also mean it is likely to be a “tough road ahead,” he said.\nInflation warning\nU.S. stock futureswere lower on Friday morning, with contracts tied to theDow Jones Industrial Averagedown 89 points, while the S&P and Nasdaq both traded in negative territory. Major U.S. indices are currently on pace to close lower week-to-date.\nNonetheless, the Dow and Nasdaq both registered a fresh all-time intraday high in the previous session, while the S&P closed around 0.81% off its record high.\n“The market is trying to figure out which narrative that they should go with. And for the past nine months, almost in a straight line, it’s been up in terms of equity markets,” Neuhauser said.\n“I think what ends up happening is (there) will so much be built into the market and (we) will eventually start to see factors of inflation take hold. Those are the things that ultimately pop the epic bubble.”\nEarlier this week, data showed that U.S. consumer prices increased in December amid an uptick in the cost of gasoline, but underlying inflation remained relatively tame. The U.S. Labor Department said Wednesday that its consumer price index rose 0.4% last month after gaining 0.2% in November.\nIn the 12 months through to December, CPI increased 1.4% after rising 1.2% in November. The figures were broadly in line with economists’ expectations.","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":334566615,"gmtCreate":1610897545337,"gmtModify":1703747098330,"author":{"id":"3567846245354832","authorId":"3567846245354832","name":"Kliensberg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e228857fdbe83cbdfd2cc179fe84ff8","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3567846245354832","authorIdStr":"3567846245354832"},"htmlText":"Looking forward&nbsp;","listText":"Looking forward&nbsp;","text":"Looking forward","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334566615","repostId":1179591835,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":334343056,"gmtCreate":1610711478475,"gmtModify":1703746453792,"author":{"id":"3558529187896911","authorId":"3558529187896911","name":"Bolun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89644570f191821abc5c8e1f9c6cf31d","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3558529187896911","authorIdStr":"3558529187896911"},"htmlText":"To the moon","listText":"To the moon","text":"To the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334343056","repostId":1179591835,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":334353387,"gmtCreate":1610709377849,"gmtModify":1703746439926,"author":{"id":"3569661690860590","authorId":"3569661690860590","name":"SJChai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d72bdf97fa99f365f04045b0a1ca285","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3569661690860590","authorIdStr":"3569661690860590"},"htmlText":"希望听听大家的看法","listText":"希望听听大家的看法","text":"希望听听大家的看法","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334353387","repostId":1179591835,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":17,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1179591835"}