The Chip Shortage Could Last Years. It Isn’t All Bad for Auto Stocks.

Barrons2021-08-17

The automotive-semiconductor shortage is constraining global car production, leading to low inventories and high prices for new and used vehicles. It could last for years. That isn’t all bad for car ...

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SXZX2026
2021-08-17
SXZX2026
Lead time is long
Alvin1975
2021-08-17
Alvin1975
Like pls
- Alvin1975:
  LiKe pls
WarenKong
2021-08-17
WarenKong
Like n comment
- Tigal80:
  yes
Narayanan
2021-08-17
Narayanan
Like
- Narayanan:
  Comment
- WarenKong:
  Like n comment

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It Isn’t All Bad for Auto Stocks.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-17 11:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-auto-stocks-51629133890?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The automotive-semiconductor shortage is constraining global car production, leading to low inventories and high prices for new and used vehicles. It could last for years. That isn’t all bad for car ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-auto-stocks-51629133890?mod=RTA\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"GM","symbol_name":"通用汽车","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-auto-stocks-51629133890?mod=RTA","article_id":"1176063500","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176063500","pubTimestamp":1629170268,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1601382232898","name":"Barrons"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"The automotive-semiconductor shortage is constraining global car production, leading to low inventor","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"barrons.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","F":"福特汽车","APTV":"Aptiv PLC"},"translate_title":"芯片短缺可能会持续数年。对汽车股来说，这并不全是坏事。","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"APTV":0.9,"F":0.9,"GM":0.9,"TSLA":0.9},"content_text":"The automotive-semiconductor shortage is constraining global car production, leading to low inventories and high prices for new and used vehicles. It could last for years. That isn’t all bad for car stocks, however. Still, it’s better to sell cars when consumers want them, instead of hoping that demand for new vehicles will remain when the chip shortage is eventually resolved.\nThe chip shortage is a result of many factors. For starters, car companies stopped ordering supplies at the onset of the pandemic. Cash conservation was of paramount importance as demand dried up. Consumer-electronics companies didn’t react as severely, and when car demand came back stronger than expected, the capacity for chips just wasn’t there.\nActs of God didn’t help either. Afire at a chip plant in Japan limited production. So did the cold weather snap in Texas. Now Covid is hurting production again in Malaysia.\n“Many, if not all, of these factors would appear to be transient,” writes RBC analyst Joe Spak in a Sunday research report. “There could be structural reasons why semi capacity may limit automotive production over the coming years.” Chips might be in short supply for a long time. He cites a couple of reasons.\nFirst is electric vehicles. EVs require more semiconductor technology, writes Spak. Managing power from batteries along with charging curves are all, essentially, computing problems. Autonomous-driving features increasingly common on cars also require lots of computing power.\nNext is what Spak calls “automotive inflexibility.” Automotive chips tend to be older, more-proven technology. The car business prioritizes reliability. But chip companies don’t like investing in older tech.\nAnother factor mentioned tangentially by Spak: the consumer-electronics industry isn’t going to shrink. It will demand more and more chips in the future.\nOne fix is for car companies to adopt new technology, but that will take time. He says that could benefit Aptiv(ticker: APTV)—a parts supplier that manages electrical architecture in vehicles. He rates the stock at Buy and has a $188 price target.\nSpak says global light-vehicle production could be limited to about 90 million cars a year for the foreseeable future—regardless of what vehicle demand turns out to be. That’s flat with average production from recent, pre-pandemic years. That means new vehicle inventories will be lower for longer. That isn’t all bad for the industry, though. That would mean better pricing for auto makers. Car companies would also build the nicest cars. The chip shortage has been good for vehicle mix.\nCar stocks are still doing well, despite the shortage. The mix and pricing benefits have far outweighed any negatives so far.Ford Motor(F) stock is up 53% year to date, better than the 18% and 16% comparable, respective returns of the S&P 500 index and Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nGeneral Motors(GM) stock is up 27% year to date. Still, GM stock is down almost 9% since the company gave disappointing earnings guidance for the second half of 2021 on its Aug. 4 earnings conference call. There are a few reasons for weaker-than-expected guidance, but the chip shortage is one of them.\nThe industry might benefit from low inventories, but investors still have to deal with volatility from the chip situation.\nThe biggest risk for the auto industry might be that car demand could dry up before the chip situation is resolved. 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