加密货币机构频频申请破产，加密货币将失去意义？

第一财经2022-12-07

2022年对加密行业来说是风雨飘摇的一年。2022年对加密行业来说可谓风雨飘摇的一年：加密货币价值节节败退，比特币近期一度跌至约1.6万美元，加密货币Luna更是全面崩溃。同时，加密货币机构相继破产，继全球第二大加密货币投资平台FTX爆雷后，虚拟货币贷款平台BlockFi也因持有FTX很大的风险敞口，突然申请破产。为加密货币投资者提供高利率的借贷平台Celsius早在今年7月就申请了破产保护。...

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精彩评论

LNM888
2022-12-07
LNM888
Ok
JunT
2022-12-07
JunT
这些破产的加密币机构是人为因素导致和加密币的本质无关，就像当年的安然、雷曼兄弟，贪婪和非法的行为到处都在，当年你能说华尔街终将消失？不要把个别人为的问题来说成是加密币的原因混淆概念和是非
- 壹碗:
  6
- 超富美少女:
  加油
- renyi122:
  [开心] [开心] [开心] [开心]
- 幸运无畏虎:
  愿你全力以赴且满载而归。
- 哆頭散幹的ZHAO:
  [微笑]

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11月10日，一枚比特币的价值一度创下历史新高逾68000美元，到2022年开年时，跌至4万多美元一枚。随后，在今年春季的全球市场集体暴跌下，加密货币市场遭遇了崩溃式打击，高通胀和利率上涨都令投资者感到恐慌。7月1日，比特币跌破2万美元，约为年初价值的一半。同期，道琼斯工业指数仅下跌15%。11月8日，FTX的暴雷给了比特币最后一击，其价值进一步跌至1.6万美元一线，进入12月后小幅反弹至1.7万美元上方，但较年初跌幅仍高达约70%。不少分析师认为，比特币价格明年还将继续下跌。Mobius Capital Partners的联合创始人默比乌斯（Mark Mobius）在12月初接受媒体采访时称，比特币此前已跌破17000美元的技术支撑位，预计2023年还将暴跌40%，跌破1万美元。默比乌斯曾在今年稍早成功预测比特币将跌破2万美元。对于这次再度预测比特币将跌破1万美元，他给出的理由是，美联储持续紧缩的货币政策和不断上涨的利率。因为随着利率上升，购买比特币或其他加密货币的吸引力会降低，因为持有这些加密货币并不会产生利息。此外，他称，美联储持续大幅加息收紧货币政策，使得流通的美元减少，投资者变得更难参与加密货币交易。“随着加密货币价格暴跌和流动性枯竭，更多加密货币机构将走向破产。”他警告称。渣打也预计明年比特币可能跌至5000美元左右。在近期发布的名为“2023年金融市场的意外”的报告中，渣打的全球研究主管罗伯森（Eric Robertsen）列举了可能会出现的、被市场低估的一些行情，比特币再度暴跌也是其中之一。“虽然这些情况看似有些极端，但它们在未来一年发生的概率不是零，可能性远远超出市场的预测。”罗伯森还认为，“随着加密货币进一步下跌，更多的加密公司和投资者会选择退出，黄金可能会反弹30%至2250美元/盎司。”更有一些分析师认为，加密货币“已死”或将“失去意义”。根据研究机构Chainalysis的数据，通过加密货币自动取款机流入的资金总额从2021年1月的3.49亿美元降至今年10月的2.3亿美元。全球加密货币总市值也由去年11月的3万亿美元缩水至大约9000亿美元。瑞穗分析师多莱夫（Dan Dolev）表示，在FTX遭遇困境后，“我认为加密货币已死，FTX的事情教会投资者的是，有些东西某一天可能会成为全世界最有价值的，但第二天可能就变得一文不值，我认为消费者对此会非常、非常害怕。”他的看法甚至还得到了欧央行的赞同。欧洲央行市场基础设施和支付司司长宾德赛尔（Ulrich Bindseil）和分析师舍夫（Jürgen Schaaf）在一篇名为《比特币的背水一战》的博文中对比特币进行了强烈批评，称这种加密货币正走在“失去意义的道路上”。在他们看来，比特币不符合投资模式，也不适合作为支付手段。“比特币的概念设计和技术缺陷使其在作为支付手段时存在问题：真实的比特币交易是繁琐、缓慢和昂贵的，比特币从未大量用于现实世界中的合法交易。”他们称，“比特币也不适合作为投资标的，因为它不产生现金流（如房地产）或分红（如股票），也不能被用于生产（如大宗商品）或提供社会福利（如黄金）。比特币的市场估值纯粹基于投机。”他们的结论是，“既然比特币既不适合作为支付系统，也不适合作为投资标存在，那么它不应该被合法化。”欧盟可能会在明年2月投票通过《加密资产市场监管条例》（MiCA），对总部位于欧盟的加密货币机构施加新的监管要求。欧盟欧洲证券和市场管理局（ESMA）的风险分析负责人科恩（Steffen 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