摩根大通给出灾难性场景：国际油价可能涨至380美元

华尔街见闻2022-07-02

如果俄罗斯每天减产500万桶，未必会过度损害俄罗斯经济，但受苦的却是西方国家。油价还会涨吗？在摩根大通看来，如果极端情况发生，国际油价将会达到每桶380美元的高位。摩根大通的分析师警告说，如果美国和欧洲的制裁促使俄罗斯实施报复性减产，全球油价可能会达到每桶380美元。目前，七国集团正在敲定一个复杂的机制来限制俄罗斯石油的价格。但摩根大通认为，俄罗斯有能力在不过度损害经济的情况下将每日原油产量削减...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

新建文件夹2
2022-07-03
新建文件夹2
现在心慈手软以后会吃大亏
- 铭发:
  🦴
GJQ硕果累累
2022-07-03
GJQ硕果累累
不对吧？应该1000美金左右吖！
大家乐99
2022-07-02
大家乐99
真的不可想象
etonzh
2022-07-02
etonzh
摩根作为资本，是吸血鬼
T598796878
2022-07-02
T598796878
每桶1000美元

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156965600?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba0e918dfd4ec815c4f78fc4cfc3ea3e","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2022-07-02 09:30","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","id":"1156965600","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"摩根大通给出灾难性场景：国际油价可能涨至380美元","media":"华尔街见闻","content":"<div>\n<p>如果俄罗斯每天减产500万桶，未必会过度损害俄罗斯经济，但受苦的却是西方国家。油价还会涨吗？在摩根大通看来，如果极端情况发生，国际油价将会达到每桶380美元的高位。摩根大通的分析师警告说，如果美国和欧洲的制裁促使俄罗斯实施报复性减产，全球油价可能会达到每桶380美元。目前，七国集团正在敲定一个复杂的机制来限制俄罗斯石油的价格。但摩根大通认为，俄罗斯有能力在不过度损害经济的情况下将每日原油产量削减...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663655\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>摩根大通给出灾难性场景：国际油价可能涨至380美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n摩根大通给出灾难性场景：国际油价可能涨至380美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-02 09:30 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663655><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>如果俄罗斯每天减产500万桶，未必会过度损害俄罗斯经济，但受苦的却是西方国家。油价还会涨吗？在摩根大通看来，如果极端情况发生，国际油价将会达到每桶380美元的高位。摩根大通的分析师警告说，如果美国和欧洲的制裁促使俄罗斯实施报复性减产，全球油价可能会达到每桶380美元。目前，七国集团正在敲定一个复杂的机制来限制俄罗斯石油的价格。但摩根大通认为，俄罗斯有能力在不过度损害经济的情况下将每日原油产量削减...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663655\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"JPM","symbol_name":"摩根大通","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663655","article_id":"1156965600","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba0e918dfd4ec815c4f78fc4cfc3ea3e"],"rights":{"source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663655","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156965600","pubTimestamp":1656725457,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"highlight_wallstreetcn","name":"华尔街见闻"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"如果俄罗斯每天减产500万桶，未必会过度损害俄罗斯经济，但受苦的却是西方国家。油价还会涨吗？在摩根大通看来，如果极端情况发生，国际油价将会达到每桶380美元的高位。摩根大通的分析师警告说，如果美国和欧","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"wallstreetcn.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通"},"translate_title":"JPMorgan Chase gives a disastrous scenario: the international oil price may rise to $380","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a52753efbc94474568eff16a6f8c9d5","symbols_score_info":{"UKOILmain":0.9,"JPM":0.9},"content_text":"如果俄罗斯每天减产500万桶，未必会过度损害俄罗斯经济，但受苦的却是西方国家。油价还会涨吗？在摩根大通看来，如果极端情况发生，国际油价将会达到每桶380美元的高位。摩根大通的分析师警告说，如果美国和欧洲的制裁促使俄罗斯实施报复性减产，全球油价可能会达到每桶380美元。目前，七国集团正在敲定一个复杂的机制来限制俄罗斯石油的价格。但摩根大通认为，俄罗斯有能力在不过度损害经济的情况下将每日原油产量削减500万桶。然而，对于世界其他大部分地区来说，结果可能是灾难性的。摩根大通认为，如果俄罗斯每日供应减少300万桶将使基准伦敦原油价格升至190美元，而最坏的情况下，俄罗斯减产500万桶可能意味着原油价格将飙涨至380美元。摩根大通认为：而连锁很可能会通过减产原油、减少出口而给西方带来痛苦。欧美各国对俄罗斯的能源制裁似乎并未达到预期的效果：伴随着制裁加码，俄罗斯石油价格不降反升。俄罗斯政府数据显示，俄罗斯乌拉尔石油相对于布伦特原油的价格实际上已经升值。5月中旬至6月中旬，乌拉尔石油价格达到平均每桶87.49美元，环比上涨了近20%。虽然仍远低于布伦特油价，但两者之间的差距已大幅缩小。来自亚洲的强劲需求支撑了俄罗斯原油的出口。统计数据显示，在6月的前13天，通过Transneft PJSC运营的管道和俄罗斯港口设施的石油出口量平均为462万桶/日，仅略低于5月同期水平。除了亚洲买家支撑外，OPEC有限的增产能力也提振俄罗斯油价。根据法国总统马克龙的信息，阿联酋和沙特两国几乎无法增加石油产量：阿联酋的生产能力已经达到极限；沙特的日产量只能增加15万桶；两国在六个月内没有太大增产能力。俄罗斯石油价格的持续上涨使得欧美能源制裁陷入尴尬的境地。在近日举行的七国集团（G7）领导人峰会上，G7领导人宣布对俄制裁新举措，同意对俄罗斯石油和天然气进口设置价格上限。可能的措施包括禁止向运载俄罗斯石油的油轮提供海运服务，除非这些石油的售价低于某一特定价格。支持者称，该提案将实现两个目标：减少俄罗斯的石油销售以及降低国际油价。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":681171614,"gmtCreate":1656822334142,"gmtModify":1704865823303,"author":{"id":"3520426307620642","authorId":"3520426307620642","name":"新建文件夹2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad2d17d456da8886e60f00f9593305d9","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3520426307620642","authorIdStr":"3520426307620642"},"htmlText":"现在心慈手软以后会吃大亏","listText":"现在心慈手软以后会吃大亏","text":"现在心慈手软以后会吃大亏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681171614","repostId":1156965600,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7517152,"gmtCreate":1656892891770,"gmtModify":1656892893306,"authorId":4087417063812210,"author":{"id":4087417063812210,"idStr":"4087417063812210","authorId":4087417063812210,"name":"铭发","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e76cab24cc6c958eb47e5e666b30776e","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":681171614,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"🦴","text":"🦴","html":"🦴"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":681158068,"gmtCreate":1656801756858,"gmtModify":1704865789422,"author":{"id":"4116046787655190","authorId":"4116046787655190","name":"GJQ硕果累累","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4116046787655190","authorIdStr":"4116046787655190"},"htmlText":"不对吧？应该1000美金左右吖！","listText":"不对吧？应该1000美金左右吖！","text":"不对吧？应该1000美金左右吖！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681158068","repostId":1156965600,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":681128390,"gmtCreate":1656770436911,"gmtModify":1704865772429,"author":{"id":"3552899696582047","authorId":"3552899696582047","name":"大家乐99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/871c9578e621cb85dc6ca8d6d043906e","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3552899696582047","authorIdStr":"3552899696582047"},"htmlText":"真的不可想象","listText":"真的不可想象","text":"真的不可想象","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681128390","repostId":1156965600,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":681186195,"gmtCreate":1656746042721,"gmtModify":1704865740111,"author":{"id":"3475964475366893","authorId":"3475964475366893","name":"etonzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3475964475366893","authorIdStr":"3475964475366893"},"htmlText":"摩根作为资本，是吸血鬼","listText":"摩根作为资本，是吸血鬼","text":"摩根作为资本，是吸血鬼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681186195","repostId":1156965600,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":681186024,"gmtCreate":1656745261370,"gmtModify":1704865739591,"author":{"id":"3577594850729354","authorId":"3577594850729354","name":"T598796878","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577594850729354","authorIdStr":"3577594850729354"},"htmlText":"每桶1000美元","listText":"每桶1000美元","text":"每桶1000美元","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681186024","repostId":1156965600,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":39,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":11,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.2","shortVersion":"4.29.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1156965600"}