美股牛市摇摇欲坠，是即将终结还是暂时回调？

金十数据2021-03-11

美股牛市是即将终结还是暂时回调？投资者最应该关心的是另一个风险…… 近期美股的下跌让人怀疑“美股牛市”已经摇摇欲坠。持续11年之久的美股牛市究竟是要迎来终结，还是仅仅只是短暂回调？针对上述争议，Real Investment Advice的分析师兰斯·罗伯茨（Lance Roberts）对美股市场进行了分析，他的分析基于一个重要的前提： “ 牛市产生于悲观，增长于怀疑，终结于兴奋。” ...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

乌拉乌拉吼
2021-03-12
乌拉乌拉吼
能不能别再发金十数据写的新闻了？？@老虎证券
欲穷千里目
2021-03-12
欲穷千里目
即使你已经嗅到熊市气息，遥望到熊市的阴霾，也不要过早地做空。因为可能还有好长一段路才到熊市的地界。
- 欲穷千里目回复skyteeth:
  金融ETF XLF、基建股ROAD等等
- skyteeth回复欲穷千里目:
  比如呢？
- 欲穷千里目:
  在通胀收益股和基建投资计划受益股方向建一部分仓，应该是今年比较好的选择。
- skyteeth:
  现在就是轻仓观望
美吹1
2021-03-12
美吹1
垃圾想骗我买大a的垃圾票做梦吧
阿三哥
2021-03-12
阿三哥
要点脸吧
蓝白红黑的间条衫
2021-03-12
蓝白红黑的间条衫
要点睑吧！😂
一茗王
2021-03-11
一茗王
[财迷]

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156665265?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/144fcf63ccaceb7d59c371695c704fb3","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2021-03-11 10:36","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"1156665265","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"美股牛市摇摇欲坠，是即将终结还是暂时回调？","media":"金十数据","content":"<div>\n<p>美股牛市是即将终结还是暂时回调？投资者最应该关心的是另一个风险……\n\n近期美股的下跌让人怀疑“美股牛市”已经摇摇欲坠。持续11年之久的美股牛市究竟是要迎来终结，还是仅仅只是短暂回调？\n针对上述争议，Real Investment Advice的分析师兰斯·罗伯茨（Lance Roberts）对美股市场进行了分析，他的分析基于一个重要的前提：\n\n “\n 牛市产生于悲观，增长于怀疑，终结于兴奋。”\n\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/71570\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"jssj","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股牛市摇摇欲坠，是即将终结还是暂时回调？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股牛市摇摇欲坠，是即将终结还是暂时回调？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-11 10:36 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/71570><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美股牛市是即将终结还是暂时回调？投资者最应该关心的是另一个风险……\n\n近期美股的下跌让人怀疑“美股牛市”已经摇摇欲坠。持续11年之久的美股牛市究竟是要迎来终结，还是仅仅只是短暂回调？\n针对上述争议，Real Investment Advice的分析师兰斯·罗伯茨（Lance Roberts）对美股市场进行了分析，他的分析基于一个重要的前提：\n\n “\n 牛市产生于悲观，增长于怀疑，终结于兴奋。”\n\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/71570\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".SPX","symbol_name":"S&P 500 Index","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/71570","article_id":"1156665265","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/144fcf63ccaceb7d59c371695c704fb3"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156665265","pubTimestamp":1615430184,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"jssj","name":"金十数据"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"美股牛市是即将终结还是暂时回调？投资者最应该关心的是另一个风险……\n\n近期美股的下跌让人怀疑“美股牛市”已经摇摇欲坠。持续11年之久的美股牛市究竟是要迎来终结，还是仅仅只是短暂回调？\n针对上述争议，R","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"jin10.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"translate_title":"The bull market in U.S. stocks is tottering. Is it coming to an end or a temporary correction?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9febe16c9ec5c923a276d9e77db74d74","symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9},"content_text":"美股牛市是即将终结还是暂时回调？投资者最应该关心的是另一个风险……\n\n近期美股的下跌让人怀疑“美股牛市”已经摇摇欲坠。持续11年之久的美股牛市究竟是要迎来终结，还是仅仅只是短暂回调？\n针对上述争议，Real Investment Advice的分析师兰斯·罗伯茨（Lance Roberts）对美股市场进行了分析，他的分析基于一个重要的前提：\n\n “\n 牛市产生于悲观，增长于怀疑，终结于兴奋。”\n\n他表示，尽管美股牛市是否结束存在争议，但几乎没有争议的一点是，美股投资者现在非常“兴奋”。从散户交易者过度买入看涨期权，到追逐市场上做空最多的股票，美股投资者的状态甚至可以用“狂热来形容”。\n从资产配置也可看出美股投资者当前的状态。如下图所示，基金经理的现金配置比例降至3.8%，为2013年3月以来的最低水平。\n\n对股票和大宗商品的配置达到2011年2月以来的最高水平。\n\n许多投资者都在承担着高于正常水平的风险。\n\nRoberts表示，他们从上周开始看到，大部分投资者从动量交易轮换至追求价值股。他认为这种轮换很可能类似于“刚跳出煎锅又跳进了火里”。\n数据显示，目前的小盘股价值比过去20年的任何时候都要高。由于这类股票与长期均值极度偏离，并且被严重高估，最终的价值回归将是残酷的。\n\n同样的情况也出现在罗素2000指数的周线图上，该指数也增加了中型股敞口。由于这些股票的估值甚至远高于最乐观的经济前景，因此出现下跌的风险很高。\n\n经济重新开放和板块轮换的典型代表是能源股。就像小盘价值和罗素2000指数一样，能源股也极度超买，并偏离了长期均值。\n从历史经验来看，当出现价值回归时，情况都非常惨烈，这一次不太可能有所不同。\n中期指标也释放出令人担心的信号。例如资金流动，尽管过去几个月市场“表面上”很活跃，但资金流动继续走弱。\n去年11月初，随着“买入信号”的触发，Roberts建议增加投资组合中的股票敞口。然而，从2月份开始，这一信号发生了逆转，导致价格持续下行。\n虽然市场确实可能在短期内反弹，但“资金流动”的下降，以及“卖出信号”的出现，确实增加了Roberts对市场在未来一个月左右出现更大跌幅的担忧。\n\n他的买入信号存在一个问题，它并不能预测下跌的幅度。例如，2020年9月和10月出现“卖出信号”后，美股出现两次10%的下跌。而去年3月份的信号则导致美股在3周内暴跌35%。\n他表示，鉴于MACD也出现卖出信号，肯定存在更大幅度下跌的风险。但他怀疑，短期内的下跌仍将遇到买家接盘，因为看涨的势头依然存在。然而，如果有什么突发事情“惊动”了市场，仍有可能出现进一步的下跌，因此风险管理仍是关键。\n那么，几周前开始的调整是否已经结束了呢？目前看涨和看跌双方都有充足的理由坚持自己的观点。看涨者认为，另一项刺激法案的通过将给市场和经济带来短期的提振。而看跌者认为，从极度繁荣到估值过高，一切都构成了长期威胁。\n不过，“多头”仍控制着市场。目前，长期的牛市趋势仍未改变。下图是标普500指数的月线图，始于2009年的牛市趋势仍未改变。如果要回落到这一趋势线下方，美股还有近30%的跌幅。\n\n然而，真正的问题是，考虑到相对于长期均值的极端偏离，市场在当前水平上是否仍具有可持续性？\n对于那些喜欢类比的人来说，历史上最具可比性的时期是1998-1999年的市场“融涨”。在那期间，市场从支撑位反弹，然后开始了60%的“融涨”，最终在2000年见顶。目前，标普500指数从去年3月份的低点也上涨了近60%。\n\nRoberts并没有给出一个明确的答案，而是建议投资者继续持有略高于正常水平的现金，并继续做好基本的风险管理控制。因此，在接下来的几周内，他认为投资者需要做好以下三点：\n\n 1、卖出那些根本不起作用的头寸。对于那些既没有在市场上涨时跟着上涨，有没有在市场下跌时提供支撑的头寸，要尽早承认错误，平掉这些头寸，也就是截断亏损。\n\n\n 2、将有利头寸调整至合适的权重，简单来说就是让利润奔跑。\n\n\n 3、保留现金，以便将来有机会以更好的价位进场。\n\n当市场上涨时，“看跌”的担忧往往会被忽视，但这并不意味着它们是无效的。不幸的是，等到“羊群”意识到整体情绪的转变时，往往都已经太晚了。\n他表示，去预测未来的市场走势毫无意义，不管牛市结束与否，投资者应该关注的是市场的变化。而目前投资者面临的最大风险就是“故意对市场变化视而不见”，等开始重视时却为时已晚。要知道，在1999年和2007年，也没有人认为“牛市已死”。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":328163773,"gmtCreate":1615507261292,"gmtModify":1703490084318,"author":{"id":"3472627178943263","authorId":"3472627178943263","authorIdStr":"3472627178943263","name":"乌拉乌拉吼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17caf803d139c2d02bc6453422586925","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"能不能别再发金十数据写的新闻了？？<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/36992157811200\">@老虎证券</a>","listText":"能不能别再发金十数据写的新闻了？？<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/36992157811200\">@老虎证券</a>","text":"能不能别再发金十数据写的新闻了？？@老虎证券","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328163773","repostId":1156665265,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":328369569,"gmtCreate":1615496709251,"gmtModify":1703489943318,"author":{"id":"50887377119176","authorId":"50887377119176","authorIdStr":"50887377119176","name":"欲穷千里目","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/758b9b8084e47c4174126c3cfadb79af","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a8758340a08196056f8bc1e54805193","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"即使你已经嗅到熊市气息，遥望到熊市的阴霾，也不要过早地做空。因为可能还有好长一段路才到熊市的地界。","listText":"即使你已经嗅到熊市气息，遥望到熊市的阴霾，也不要过早地做空。因为可能还有好长一段路才到熊市的地界。","text":"即使你已经嗅到熊市气息，遥望到熊市的阴霾，也不要过早地做空。因为可能还有好长一段路才到熊市的地界。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328369569","repostId":1156665265,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3782303,"gmtCreate":1615563611014,"gmtModify":1615563611014,"authorId":50887377119176,"author":{"id":50887377119176,"authorId":50887377119176,"name":"欲穷千里目","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/758b9b8084e47c4174126c3cfadb79af","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"f48104d3aff74204841356e6c91c4d07-1","templateUuid":"f48104d3aff74204841356e6c91c4d07","name":"周度最佳创作者","description":"每周获得最佳精华帖的创作者","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/271475ceaf67d40016c8cfa16c08c8b3","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a6336061b9ba82ba9177c7ec476f5f2","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.21","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":2004},"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3512565093501867,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3512565093501867,"authorId":3512565093501867,"name":"skyteeth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5456f2b4b0b4aefa5ca236830c6e715","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":328369569,"type":1,"supId":3781484,"prevId":3782106,"content":"金融ETF XLF、基建股ROAD等等","text":"金融ETF XLF、基建股ROAD等等","html":"金融ETF XLF、基建股ROAD等等"},{"id":3782106,"gmtCreate":1615562588175,"gmtModify":1615562588175,"authorId":3512565093501867,"author":{"id":3512565093501867,"authorId":3512565093501867,"name":"skyteeth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5456f2b4b0b4aefa5ca236830c6e715","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":50887377119176,"repliedAuthor":{"id":50887377119176,"authorId":50887377119176,"name":"欲穷千里目","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/758b9b8084e47c4174126c3cfadb79af","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"f48104d3aff74204841356e6c91c4d07-1","templateUuid":"f48104d3aff74204841356e6c91c4d07","name":"周度最佳创作者","description":"每周获得最佳精华帖的创作者","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/271475ceaf67d40016c8cfa16c08c8b3","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a6336061b9ba82ba9177c7ec476f5f2","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.21","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":2004},"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":328369569,"type":1,"supId":3781484,"prevId":3782086,"content":"比如呢？","text":"比如呢？","html":"比如呢？"},{"id":3782086,"gmtCreate":1615562474812,"gmtModify":1615562474812,"authorId":50887377119176,"author":{"id":50887377119176,"authorId":50887377119176,"name":"欲穷千里目","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/758b9b8084e47c4174126c3cfadb79af","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"f48104d3aff74204841356e6c91c4d07-1","templateUuid":"f48104d3aff74204841356e6c91c4d07","name":"周度最佳创作者","description":"每周获得最佳精华帖的创作者","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/271475ceaf67d40016c8cfa16c08c8b3","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a6336061b9ba82ba9177c7ec476f5f2","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.21","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":2004},"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":328369569,"type":1,"supId":3781484,"prevId":0,"content":"在通胀收益股和基建投资计划受益股方向建一部分仓，应该是今年比较好的选择。","text":"在通胀收益股和基建投资计划受益股方向建一部分仓，应该是今年比较好的选择。","html":"在通胀收益股和基建投资计划受益股方向建一部分仓，应该是今年比较好的选择。"},{"id":3781484,"gmtCreate":1615559674270,"gmtModify":1615559674270,"authorId":3512565093501867,"author":{"id":3512565093501867,"authorId":3512565093501867,"name":"skyteeth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5456f2b4b0b4aefa5ca236830c6e715","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":328369569,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"现在就是轻仓观望","text":"现在就是轻仓观望","html":"现在就是轻仓观望"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":328968852,"gmtCreate":1615479963576,"gmtModify":1703489810493,"author":{"id":"3577377479597027","authorId":"3577377479597027","authorIdStr":"3577377479597027","name":"美吹1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"垃圾&nbsp; &nbsp;想骗我买大a的垃圾票&nbsp; 做梦吧","listText":"垃圾&nbsp; &nbsp;想骗我买大a的垃圾票&nbsp; 做梦吧","text":"垃圾 想骗我买大a的垃圾票 做梦吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328968852","repostId":1156665265,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":328989050,"gmtCreate":1615479040570,"gmtModify":1703489793073,"author":{"id":"3543490871793404","authorId":"3543490871793404","authorIdStr":"3543490871793404","name":"阿三哥","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"要点脸吧","listText":"要点脸吧","text":"要点脸吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328989050","repostId":1156665265,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":328980904,"gmtCreate":1615479001108,"gmtModify":1703489792038,"author":{"id":"3546057439648684","authorId":"3546057439648684","authorIdStr":"3546057439648684","name":"蓝白红黑的间条衫","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64ded5db61c69b7abc937bc62d16afdd","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"要点睑吧！😂","listText":"要点睑吧！😂","text":"要点睑吧！😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328980904","repostId":1156665265,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":321656789,"gmtCreate":1615431942541,"gmtModify":1703488971837,"author":{"id":"3576808490333004","authorId":"3576808490333004","authorIdStr":"3576808490333004","name":"一茗王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb488b40ca1e9b06bfd387f3acf02dcc","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321656789","repostId":1156665265,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":11,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":9,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.26.2","shortVersion":"4.26.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1156665265"}