This Indicator Is Signaling Trouble Ahead for the Stock Market

Barrons2021-10-29

The bond market is signaling some concern over economic growth. That could spell rough waters for stocks in the near term: a potential buying opportunity. The yield curve has flattened recently. The ...

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精彩评论

JeremyKok
2021-10-30
JeremyKok
Wait for tiger broker to drop to $3 then buy. This may blow over soon.
- SGboy:
  Agreed.
JayChoong
2021-10-29
JayChoong
[流泪]
ThECROW
2021-10-29
ThECROW
[弱]
lynlion
2021-10-29
lynlion
Good
Desmondong
2021-10-29
Desmondong
😓 only hope for tiger rise up asap
- Foxie:
  Ya…
DragonKC
2021-10-29
DragonKC
When stock markets are too greed . Time to be fearful . Happy investing.
- tkj:
  yes.

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That could spell rough waters for stocks in the near term: a potential buying opportunity.\nThe yield curve has flattened recently. The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-yield-curve-bonds-51635440287?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".SPX","symbol_name":"S&P 500 Index","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-yield-curve-bonds-51635440287?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","article_id":"1147983155","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147983155","pubTimestamp":1635484615,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1601382232898","name":"Barrons"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"The bond market is signaling some concern over economic growth. That could spell rough waters for st","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"barrons.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"translate_title":"这一指标预示着股市即将出现麻烦","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9},"content_text":"The bond market is signaling some concern over economic growth. That could spell rough waters for stocks in the near term: a potential buying opportunity.\nThe yield curve has flattened recently. The 10-year Treasury yield has fallen to 1.556% from its 2021 second-half high of 1.702%, hit a week ago, signifying that markets are less optimistic about economic demand and less concerned about the long-term inflation it could bring. Higher inflation, spurred in part by strong demand, means bond investors need higher yields to avoid losing money in real terms on the fixed payments they receive on the debt.\nThe 2-year yield, meanwhile, has risen to 0.49% from 0.46% a week ago, signaling that markets see the current surge in prices across the economy as lasting enough to force the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates. That would gradually reduce demand and inflation.\nFigures released Thursday show economic growth is slowing more than many people expected. In the third quarter, gross domestic product increased 2% from the second on a seasonally adjusted annual basis, while the consensus call among economists surveyed by FactSet had been for a 3.5% increase. Growth in the second quarter was 6.7%.\n“Clearly the curve flattening has been significant,” said Tony Bedikian, head of global markets at Citizens Banks. “It’s primarily driven by Fed rate hike expectations that have skyrocketed in the past few weeks.”\nThe difference in yield between 2-year and 10-year debt has fallen to 1.07 percentage points from about 1.24 points a week ago.\nThe stock market seems to have taken note of the bond market’s signal. Gains in the S&P 500 have slowed down. The index is up less than 1% in the past week, while it had gained just under 6% from its level on Oct. 4, the low point in a recent slump, through the close of trading a week ago.\nThe slowdown in gains could turn into a selloff if the yield curve remains flat for a little while longer. 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Those could be worth buying.\n“Fade the technical yield curve flattening and buy the dip in cyclical assets,” Marko Kolanovic, JPMorgan’s chief global markets strategist, said in a recent research note. Investors should note the message the bond market has been sending, but take it with a grain of salt.","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":857542648,"gmtCreate":1635552184946,"gmtModify":1635552186321,"author":{"id":"3567307840510045","authorId":"3567307840510045","name":"JeremyKok","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01b03a485f83b6b2615fad8ac9b87bf4","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3567307840510045","authorIdStr":"3567307840510045"},"htmlText":"Wait for tiger broker to drop to $3 then buy. This may blow over soon.","listText":"Wait for tiger broker to drop to $3 then buy. This may blow over soon.","text":"Wait for tiger broker to drop to $3 then buy. This may blow over soon.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857542648","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6392106,"gmtCreate":1635643987509,"gmtModify":1635643987543,"authorId":4093688471950400,"author":{"id":4093688471950400,"idStr":"4093688471950400","authorId":4093688471950400,"name":"SGboy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53fad8dabfd576c90fe8050483aa504f","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":857542648,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Agreed.","text":"Agreed.","html":"Agreed."}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857858163,"gmtCreate":1635518961053,"gmtModify":1635518979728,"author":{"id":"3574588141038438","authorId":"3574588141038438","name":"JayChoong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41a6a1e04b0b5eb370035731b150fb4a","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574588141038438","authorIdStr":"3574588141038438"},"htmlText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857858163","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857813129,"gmtCreate":1635517309750,"gmtModify":1635517313183,"author":{"id":"3583650394724849","authorId":"3583650394724849","name":"ThECROW","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3583650394724849","authorIdStr":"3583650394724849"},"htmlText":"[弱]&nbsp;","listText":"[弱]&nbsp;","text":"[弱]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857813129","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857352492,"gmtCreate":1635510754749,"gmtModify":1635510755006,"author":{"id":"3578479356531453","authorId":"3578479356531453","name":"lynlion","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a17741f12ada9d6c5ac249f5f862a3cf","vip":1,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578479356531453","authorIdStr":"3578479356531453"},"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857352492","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857385583,"gmtCreate":1635508846477,"gmtModify":1635508846586,"author":{"id":"4090723607026590","authorId":"4090723607026590","name":"Desmondong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b02ca0463679cdedf58104fb35598d0d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4090723607026590","authorIdStr":"4090723607026590"},"htmlText":"😓 only hope for tiger rise up asap&nbsp;","listText":"😓 only hope for tiger rise up asap&nbsp;","text":"😓 only hope for tiger rise up asap","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857385583","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6373299,"gmtCreate":1635513991430,"gmtModify":1635513991466,"authorId":3572988793196593,"author":{"id":3572988793196593,"idStr":"3572988793196593","authorId":3572988793196593,"name":"Foxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":857385583,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Ya…","text":"Ya…","html":"Ya…"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857388028,"gmtCreate":1635508531158,"gmtModify":1635508532236,"author":{"id":"3577178099298017","authorId":"3577178099298017","name":"DragonKC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f90c63c67a4e5f91e9dc0159f5b853ab","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577178099298017","authorIdStr":"3577178099298017"},"htmlText":"When stock markets are too greed . Time to be fearful . Happy investing.&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"When stock markets are too greed . Time to be fearful . Happy investing.&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"When stock markets are too greed . Time to be fearful . Happy investing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857388028","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6373022,"gmtCreate":1635512857619,"gmtModify":1635512857733,"authorId":3582020830270271,"author":{"id":3582020830270271,"idStr":"3582020830270271","authorId":3582020830270271,"name":"tkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4db3635974ce189ed8129eca6b5b618","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":857388028,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"yes.","text":"yes.","html":"yes."}],"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":159,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":5,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1147983155"}