美国散户逼空大戏还有续集？下个目标或已暴露

金十数据2021-01-26

华尔街空头并未完全投降，美国散户逼空大戏可能尚未结束，下一个目标或已暴露。美国散户“逼死”大空头的戏码这几天震惊了华尔街，也成为金融圈茶余饭后的谈资。然而，这场散户逼空大戏仍未结束。美国散户靠一只股票打败两家机构在短短的几天内，美国散户靠着一只股票，接连打败了两家大型投资机构。上周五，投资公司香橼和散户已经有过一次交锋。香橼在1月19日表示，Game Stop将在日内迅速跌回20美元，触动了散户的...

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精彩评论

翡翠今生珠寶
2021-01-27
翡翠今生珠寶
还是a股的机构牛逼
- 社区成长助手:
  终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引
跳跃的星球
2021-01-27
跳跃的星球
警告做空的危险
打工者精神支柱
2021-01-27
打工者精神支柱
现在散户当家作主了
- 社区成长助手:
  终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引
2021发发发啊
2021-01-27
2021发发发啊
对资本发起的战争？
- 社区成长助手:
  终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引
小虎牙100
2021-01-26
小虎牙100
能?
身体健康
2021-01-26
身体健康
小盘股而已，大盘股干试试？有本事来a股，涨停跌停小散无路可跑。
- 社区成长助手:
  终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引
- 金牛夫人:
  哈哈😄

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Left表示：“抛开价格变动不提，我最震惊的是做出这些决定时的思考过程，任何理性的人都知道这种交易行为是不会长久的。”相比香橼，对冲基金Melvin在与散户的这场“战争”中损失更为惨重，香橼丢的更多是面子，可Melvin却已经伤及筋骨。该基金一直以来坚持做空包括GameStop在内的多只妖股，但散户的狂热超乎了该基金的意料，让它损失惨重，不得不向外求援。下图为该基金持有的看跌期权。据华尔街日报，目前为止已经有两家对冲基金对其伸出了援手——对冲基金Citadel和Point72预计将向Melvin投资27.5亿美元，帮助Melvin继续稳定运营下去。其中，Citadel将出资20亿美元，Point72则出资7.5亿美元。2021年对于Melvin来说是开年不利，仅在2021年前三周，它就损失了30%。Melvin年初的资产为125亿美元，是近年来华尔街表现最好的对冲基金之一。Melvin以投资广泛、积极进取而闻名，它的投资有时构成了该基金的大部分收益，这在行业中是一种罕见的现象。自2014年成立以来，该公司的平均年回报率为30%，尽管它收取的绩效费最高可达投资收益的30%。因此，当得知它被散户“击败”后，其客户和交易员都感到难以置信。GameStop究竟是“何方神圣”？GameStop是一只濒临退市的股票，其股价从2016年的28美元一路跌到2019年底的3美元。据说GameStop是去年被做空得最多的股票。FactSet的数据显示，该股票的空头净额占股票流通量的比例最高时超过140%。在GameStop被逼得快要破产，面临退市的情况下，一些人开始鼓励散户买入该公司的股票和期权。受到Reddit用户的推动，Game Stop的股价在今年实现了245%的上涨。散户的狂热让空头吃尽了苦头。2019年，大空头迈克尔•伯里（Michael Burry）就表示，正在通过他的基金Scion Asset Management做多GameStop。接着，他的接班人在2019年8月发布了一篇新闻稿，敦促GameStop回购2.38亿美元的股票，并在Seeking Alpha上发布了一篇文章，警告做空GameStop的危险。2019年8月至10月期间，该股出现了上涨。然后在2020年4月13日，据Reddit的用户elder Hedgehog的帖子所说，GameStop 84%的股票都被卖空了，揭露用户持有的GameStop股票正被经纪商出借给空头。于是，Reddit的用户开始向做空者开战。今年1月，宠物电商公司Chewy的联合创始人瑞恩·科恩（Ryan Cohen）加入了其董事会，并透露自己正持有GameStop 580万股股份，让GameStop的股价当日飙升24%。科恩在Chewy上的成功让人们对GameStop又燃起了希望。随后越来越多散户开始看多GameStop，虽然这种行为受到不少批评，但在科恩带来的希望下，散户对机构的战争也正式打响了。GameStop的股价在2020年最后四个月开始稳步上涨，越来越多的Reddit散户加入了多头大军，他们还有一个行为守则：永不出售，永不投降。到2021年1月12号，GameStop的股价涨到了接近20美元，空头们也终于坐不住了，开始大力买入GameStop止损。GameStop股价两天内从20美元涨到14日的40美元，翻了一倍。金十在早上的文章中也提到，截至周一，GameStop的疯狂仍在持续，它在盘中一度大涨140%，最高触及159.18美元，较去年4月低点2.57美元累涨超60倍，今年迄今也已翻六倍。但盘中又回吐日内全部涨幅、一度转为下跌，最终收涨约18%，收于76.79美元。GameStop的股价1月以来的涨幅超过300%。根据S3 Partners编制的数据，做空GME的投资者今年已经损失了17.4亿美元。值得注意的是，到这时，空头们依然没有完全投降，GameStop的空头净额占股票流通量的比例从两周前的142%下降到了139%，这意味着类似的逼空大戏可能还有续集。S3 Partners董事总经理Ihor Dusaniwsky也表示，GameStop做空比例继续维持高位，说明尽管有不少空头的仓位遭遇轧空，但是又有新的做空力量涌入。美国散户的下个目标已经暴露？目前为止，在专业分析师群体中，看空GameStop的声音仍然占据多数。他们能够列出很多看空GameStop的理由，比如估值过高，它的股价是远期EBITDA的40倍；去年12月其整体营收销售下降了9％，它的市场份额正在输给沃尔玛和亚马逊等竞争者。但是，就目前阶段来看，去探究GameStop到底有没有被高估似乎意义不大。因为在散户眼里，GameStop当前有没有被高估并不重要，只有像香橼还有Melvin这样的大型机构才会关注估值。他们压根就不关心股票的估值，他们更喜欢跟随潮流。正如Oanda高级市场分析师Edward 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