Goldman says don’t bail on the Big Tech giants because of antitrust fears

cnbc2021-07-15

Big Tech investors have little reason to worry about the Biden administration’s antitrust efforts andnew executive order, according to Goldman Sachs. Hoping to determine how large a threat ...

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精彩评论

走在雨中
2021-07-15
走在雨中
“没有竞争的资本主义不是资本主义。这是剥削”
Jayden_Mok
2021-07-15
Jayden_Mok
Nice
Dave Fu
2021-07-15
Dave Fu
Good
- natashakoh:
  good
- Jayden_Mok:
  done

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Instead, “the sensitivity of Big Tech valuations to an antitrust risk factor is not statistically significant and is actually slightly positive.”\nTo model the relationship between antitrust risk and the performance of Big Tech stocks, Kostin observed how the stocks performed during times when a greater number of people were using Google to search for terms related to antitrust action.\nHe found that increases and decreases in the pace of antitrust queries on Google had no statistical relationship to the performance of Big Tech stocks. In other words, spikes and swoons in public interest in antitrust issues, a proxy for an administration’s effort to break up companies or industries, have no impact on how well those stocks have performed in the past.\nAs a counterexample, Kostin showed that changes in the equal-weight Nasdaq 100 valuations has a far more pronounced impact on the stock price of large tech companies.\nThe news may come as welcome relief to a coalition of investors who have been poring over the Biden administration’s plans for companies likeAmazon, Alphabet, Apple andFacebook.\nThe president last Fridaysigned a new executive orderaimed at cracking down on alleged anti-competitive practices in Big Tech.\n“Capitalism without competition isn’t capitalism. It’s exploitation,” Biden said at the White House in a speech before signing the directive.\nThe order included 72 actions and recommendations that involve more than a dozen federal agencies, and is intended to craft the thinking around corporate monopolization and antitrust law.\nThose actions and recommendations included urging the Federal Trade Commission to “challenge prior bad mergers” and the Federal Communications Commissions torestore “net neutrality” rulesthat were undone during the Trump administration.\nKostin noted that investors who are still wary of Biden’s hand in Big Tech should be on the lookout for material downgrades and price target reductions from Wall Street as a leading indicator.\n“Curbing market share and/or restricting pricing power are behavioral remedies a regulator could impose, provided they were not overturned by a court,” he wrote. “Arguably, if analysts were truly concerned about imminent antitrust intervention, they would likely be cutting 2022 sales and profit estimates. However, indexed 2022 sales revisions YTD for major Tech firms vs. the S&P 500 suggest analysts take a relatively benign view of the impact of regulatory risk.”\nBig Tech has thus far posted strong overall performance in 2021, but has varied on a stock-by-stock basis.\nFacebook is up 27.2%, Amazon is up 13.7% and Google-parentAlphabetis up 46.2%.Applehas gained 12.3% since January and is up about 14% over the last month.","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":147139621,"gmtCreate":1626340027363,"gmtModify":1626340027363,"author":{"id":"3528737361716173","authorId":"3528737361716173","name":"走在雨中","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3528737361716173","authorIdStr":"3528737361716173"},"htmlText":"“没有竞争的资本主义不是资本主义。这是剥削”","listText":"“没有竞争的资本主义不是资本主义。这是剥削”","text":"“没有竞争的资本主义不是资本主义。这是剥削”","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147139621","repostId":1140409904,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":147027414,"gmtCreate":1626321786938,"gmtModify":1633927868500,"author":{"id":"3576464901855543","authorId":"3576464901855543","name":"Jayden_Mok","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576464901855543","authorIdStr":"3576464901855543"},"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147027414","repostId":1140409904,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":147083229,"gmtCreate":1626319855161,"gmtModify":1633927887748,"author":{"id":"3582630305022272","authorId":"3582630305022272","name":"Dave Fu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3582630305022272","authorIdStr":"3582630305022272"},"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147083229","repostId":1140409904,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5225516,"gmtCreate":1626320302680,"gmtModify":1635228842648,"authorId":3587084460048577,"author":{"id":3587084460048577,"idStr":"3587084460048577","authorId":3587084460048577,"name":"natashakoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07bbec74cc10ccbf46fae40575bff41e","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":147083229,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>good</u>","text":"<u>good</u>","html":"<u>good</u>"},{"id":5225695,"gmtCreate":1626321796063,"gmtModify":1635228828367,"authorId":3576464901855543,"author":{"id":3576464901855543,"idStr":"3576464901855543","authorId":3576464901855543,"name":"Jayden_Mok","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":147083229,"type":1,"supId":5225516,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>done</u>","text":"<u>done</u>","html":"<u>done</u>"}],"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":87,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.4","shortVersion":"4.29.4","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1140409904"}