《大空头》原型连发警告：恶性通胀已酝酿十年

腾讯美股2021-02-22

周末，美国著名投资人、电影《大空头》原型布里就一个主题在社交平台上连续发文多条，警告的主题就是——恶性通货膨胀。布里连珠炮一样地引述了大量《财富的消亡》原文，有心者不难看出，文中描述的魏玛德国，与今日的美国颇有众多神似。“人们都说我上次没有警告他们，但事实是我警告了，却没有人听。因此，我这次要立此存照。我现在依然在警告，依然没有人听，但是我至少留下了证据。”周末，美国著名投资人、电影《大空头》原型...

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精彩评论

Fred_6810
2021-02-27
Fred_6810
空投一直没挣钱💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰，急死了，可以了解。就是小便不懂。
jianguang
2021-02-24
jianguang
啊弥陀佛
琴心明月
2021-02-23
琴心明月
货币如此放水，恶性通胀早晚的事
平凡交易员
2021-02-23
平凡交易员
说说你对这篇新闻的看法...
Appler
2021-02-23
Appler
这个大空头前段时间做空特斯拉亏得很惨，哈哈哈哈
虎生虎虎虎生威
2021-02-23
虎生虎虎虎生威
如我所同

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Money），而布里这次就在社交平台上推荐了这部著作。布里最近在许多问题上都有发言，颇为忙碌，比如他指责Robinhood、看好铀等等，但是他依然要抽出时间来强调这一点，建议大家都了解一下魏玛德国，尤其是其恶性通货膨胀的历史，并且连续发文“盖楼”，显然是有着明确的用意的。以下就是当日时间周日晚间，布里的连续发文。“美国政府正在以其带有现代货币理论色彩的政策创造通货膨胀。债务对国内生产总值比率高企，M2货币供应量增长，而零售销售额和采购经理人指数却依然在V形复苏中。数以万亿计的刺激资金，加上经济的重启，都将推动需求猛增，导致劳动力和供应链成本升破天际。”接下来，布里连珠炮一样地引述了大量《财富的消亡》原文，有心者不难看出，文中描述的魏玛德国，与今日的美国颇有众多神似。“通货膨胀到了成熟阶段，就会形成一场悖论，拥有自己显而易见，绝不会被弄错的各种特质。其中之一就是巨大的财富，至少那些受到青睐的人会暴富。一夜之间，横财从天而降……城市里到处都游荡着漫无目的的，放纵的青年人。”“德国价格稳定，企业和股市都一派繁荣。马克对美元和其他货币的汇率一段时间内其实是上扬的，在全球大通胀的前夜，马克甚至曾经短暂居于最强势货币的位置。”“与财富比肩而立的，是穷人空空如也的口袋。许多人依然被排斥在宽松货币的圈子之外，他们虽然也希望雨露均沾，但是却不得其门而入。犯罪率在飞涨。”“通观整个时代，可以看到大众的心情其实是日趋低落的，他们被推动着一路狂奔，到了喘不上气的地步，却看不到有什么明确的目标，这让他们感到疲惫和厌倦，与此同时，目睹着自己辛辛苦苦爬上的地位正在滑落，而别人却变得暴富，这更让他们感到深深的恐惧。”“几乎任何一种企业都能够赚钱，倒闭和破产的案例数量微乎其微。这场繁荣打断了企业正常的物竞天择进程，使得那些本该被淘汰的二三流的，效率低下的企业也得以存活下来。”“投机虽然并不能使得德国的总财富有任何的增加，却成为了最活跃的生意之一。几乎每一个阶层都满心狂热，想要加入进去。包括电梯司机在内，每个人都成为了市场玩家。”“柏林证券交易所的交易周转率如此之高，以至于金融行业的簿记工作都跟不上了……交易所被迫每周关闭若干天，来处理积压订单。”“1922年夏季，世界上全部流通的马克大约有1900亿，而到了1923年11月，1900亿马克已经不够购买一份报纸或者一张电车票了。这是总崩溃看上去最惊人的部分，不过金钱财富损失的主体，发生的时间其实还要早得多。”“这些年来，整个结构一直在静静地向着总崩溃的方向自我建构。德国的通货膨胀周期不是持续了一年，而是整整九年，前面八年都是酝酿，只有一年是总崩溃。”布里的结论是，美国的2010年到2021年，也完全可能是同样的“酝酿期”，余下的问题只是：总崩溃何时来到？","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":366344668,"gmtCreate":1614400515654,"gmtModify":1703477315779,"author":{"id":"3563140991934227","authorId":"3563140991934227","name":"Fred_6810","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbe236f23155302a4dcecbf04d2e9040","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3563140991934227","authorIdStr":"3563140991934227"},"htmlText":"空投一直没挣钱💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰，急死了，可以了解。就是小便不懂。","listText":"空投一直没挣钱💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰，急死了，可以了解。就是小便不懂。","text":"空投一直没挣钱💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰，急死了，可以了解。就是小便不懂。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366344668","repostId":1140389351,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":363156540,"gmtCreate":1614116500280,"gmtModify":1634551145098,"author":{"id":"3561947625505294","authorId":"3561947625505294","name":"jianguang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba8bad94c928a5789228b91d99514252","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561947625505294","authorIdStr":"3561947625505294"},"htmlText":"啊弥陀佛","listText":"啊弥陀佛","text":"啊弥陀佛","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363156540","repostId":1140389351,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":363905512,"gmtCreate":1614089071136,"gmtModify":1614089071136,"author":{"id":"3540178508833738","authorId":"3540178508833738","name":"琴心明月","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8be11f6998268cdacf558edeba359e9e","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3540178508833738","authorIdStr":"3540178508833738"},"htmlText":"货币如此放水，恶性通胀早晚的事","listText":"货币如此放水，恶性通胀早晚的事","text":"货币如此放水，恶性通胀早晚的事","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363905512","repostId":1140389351,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":369759495,"gmtCreate":1614077612617,"gmtModify":1614077612617,"author":{"id":"3568540247200871","authorId":"3568540247200871","name":"平凡交易员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51a8dfc8a699bca9f57e7794ad9b0c86","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3568540247200871","authorIdStr":"3568540247200871"},"htmlText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","listText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","text":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369759495","repostId":1140389351,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":369460799,"gmtCreate":1614071346811,"gmtModify":1614071346811,"author":{"id":"3558788711643304","authorId":"3558788711643304","name":"Appler","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3558788711643304","authorIdStr":"3558788711643304"},"htmlText":"这个大空头前段时间做空特斯拉亏得很惨，哈哈哈哈","listText":"这个大空头前段时间做空特斯拉亏得很惨，哈哈哈哈","text":"这个大空头前段时间做空特斯拉亏得很惨，哈哈哈哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369460799","repostId":1140389351,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":369436582,"gmtCreate":1614069136146,"gmtModify":1614069136146,"author":{"id":"3510917629190397","auth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