What Are The Best Growth Stocks To Watch For 2022?

Seeking Alpha2021-12-30

Summary2021 was a mixed year for growth stocks, and 2022 promises to be interesting as well.Macroeconomic conditions make it essential to choose growth positions wisely.I examine three compelling ...

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delvinYJ
2021-12-30
delvinYJ
Bullish on crwd! Dyodd.
- Gibbie:
  nice
- Eileena:
  oo
ashethen
2021-12-30
ashethen
Like please
1nquisit0
2021-12-30
1nquisit0
Please like
- ashethen:
  ok

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Many growth stocks took the roller coaster ride up and then troughed lower than they opened the year when the macroeconomic winds changed. The growth stocks that return to their previous highs and beyond will be those with scalability to be successful long-term, and it is going to be essential to choose wisely in 2022. There are several helpful metrics that investors can examine to make their picks. Below, I have called out three top growth stock picks for 2022, and each offers something different to its customers and investors.DigitalOceanDigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) provides cloud services to small and medium-sized businesses and individual developers. Year-to-date (YTD) DigitalOcean stock has returned over 90%.Data by YChartsIt has also pulled back sharply from its recent highs, which is an opportunity for investors to accumulate shares.DigitalOcean occupies a niche in the cloud services market, which is dominated by Amazon's (AMZN) AWS, Microsoft Azure (MSFT), and Google Cloud (GOOG). The Big Tech giants focus on large corporations with complex and expensive needs, while DigitalOcean focuses on businesses with 500 or fewer employees. DigitalOcean expects to have a total addressable market (TAM) of $116 billion by 2024 just from this pool of companies. Excellent customer support, straightforward pricing, and simple cloud solutions are the advantages that DigitalOcean offers to customers.DigitalOcean has accelerated its revenue growth in 2021 to 34%, and this growth should continue into 2022 and 2023. The company trades at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of just over 20.Chart created by author with data from Seeking AlphaThe company is also adjusted EBITDA positive and expects to generate $130 million in 2021 alone based on $427 million in total revenue. Because of this, DigitalOcean is currently long-term debt-free and had $590 million cash and equivalents on hand as of Q3 2021. This should allow the company to fund general operations without raising capital through further debt or equity financing for a significant period.Finally, DigitalOcean has a net retention rate (NRR) well above 100%. This high NRR means the company generates growing revenue from existing customers above any customer churn - a terrific sign. The company reports that the average revenue per user is up from $51.25 in Q4 2020 to $61.97 in Q3 2021.These combined metrics and opportunities make DigitalOcean one of the top growth picks for 2022.PagerDutyPagerDuty (PD) may be the least well-known of the three companies, although it is held in the ARK Innovation portfolio (ARKK). As of December 23, 2021, PagerDuty made up over 1.5% of the portfolio's total holdings. PagerDuty provides customers with a digital operations management platform. The stock is down more than 13% YTD as growth stocks have recently fallen out of favor due to macroeconomic conditions and sector valuation concerns.Data by YChartsFormer Amazon software engineers started PagerDuty in 2009, and I have covered the company in more detail in an article that can be found here.PagerDuty boasts over 14,400 paying customers, with 543 generating more than $100,000 annually as of October 31, 2021. Customers include more than 65% of the Fortune 100 across all sectors. While DigitalOcean is focused on the little guy, much of PagerDuty's success will hinge on the growth of large customers.As shown below, revenue is expected to reach $286 million in the current fiscal year on 34% growth.Chart created by author with data from Seeking AlphaPagerDuty also has a tremendous net retention rate of 124% at the last report and estimates its total TAM at $36 billion.The company is not EBITDA positive at this time and is spending very heavily on sales and marketing to achieve growth. The increase in large customers will be a crucial metric to watch for in subsequent quarters. The company's balance sheet is solid, although it does have $281 million in long-term debt to service.PagerDuty may be the highest risk and reward company of the three picks. The current market cap is $3.11 billion putting the forward P/S at just under 11.CrowdStrikeCrowdStrike (CRWD) investors have had a challenging year. The company is doing terrific, while the stock has struggled due to its valuation and unfavorable macroeconomic factors. YTD, the stock is just about even, with investors seeing significant gains evaporate rather quickly.Data by YChartsCrowdStrike is a cloud-based cybersecurity platform whose stated mission is \"we stop breaches.\" Cybersecurity is an enormous challenge for enterprises of all sizes. The federal government is also looking to shore up systems across departments. The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) recently selected CrowdStrike as a powerful platform for endpoint protections across government agencies.CISA is on the front lines when it comes to defending our country's most critical assets against the persistent and evolving threats that nation-state and eCrime adversaries present,\"said George Kurtz, co-founder, and chief executive officer of CrowdStrike.\"Improving our nation's defenses and cyber resiliency requires strong collaboration between the government and the private sector. This partnership will arm CISA and government agencies with CrowdStrike's powerful technology and elite human expertise to stop sophisticated attacks and protect our nation's critical infrastructure.\"CrowdStrike has some of the best SaaS metrics around. When it comes to growth, few can match CrowdStrike's 75% CAGR over the last five years, inclusive of this fiscal year's guidance.Chart created by author with data from Seeking AlphaAnnual recurring revenue (ARR) also reached the $1.5 billion mark in Q3 fiscal 2022, an impressive milestone for the company. To achieve this growth, CrowdStrike is spending efficiently on marketing. One measure of sales and marketing spending efficiency is the SaaS Magic Number. The Magic Number is calculated by taking the increase in quarterly ARR and dividing it by the quarter's sales and marketing expenses. A Magic Number over 0.75 is seen as efficient, and CrowdStrike reported a 1.3 as of October 31, 2021.Gross margins are expanding, and subscription gross margin is approaching 80%, pointing to scalability. There is plenty of room for scaling with an estimated TAM of $116 billion by 2025.The recent pullback makes the valuation metrics much more attractive. The company now has a forward P/S ratio of under 34. Analysts are also turning bullish on the stock once again.Honorable Mention: The Trade DeskI would be remiss not to mention The Trade Desk (TTD) in this article.Data by YChartsYTD, the stock is up approximately 22%, although this is skewed due to the downturn in late December 2020. Digital advertising spending is exploding, and the company has a tremendous TAM as a demand-side platform. The platform is not reliant upon 3rd-party cookies. Revenue growth took a step back in 2020 as advertisers cut back on spending; however, it has come roaring back in 2021.Chart created by author with data from Seeking AlphaThe company has generated $383 million in cash from operations over the TTMs, has a gross margin near 80%, is long-term debt-free, and has nearly $800 million in cash and short-term investments on hand. This will allow the company to fund general operations and puts it in a great position to make acquisitions if need be.The Trade Desk's potential is no secret as it currently trades at nearly 40 times sales. Still, if Q4 2021 is the record-setting quarter many of us expect, the stock could take off, and the company could reward investors appreciably over the next five years.Data by YChartsThree Growth Stocks For 2022All three growth plays above have unique positives and challenges. DigitalOcean had a terrific 2021 and is uniquely positioned in the cloud computing space. Cloud computing is also one of the most competitive arenas. PagerDuty was down in 2021 and is underfollowed, but may have the highest upside of the three, albeit with likely the most significant risk. CrowdStrike is the most established and most prominent company with the highest revenue growth and terrific SaaS metrics. It also has the highest valuation and has finished 2021 flat after riding the roller coaster. All three have significant potential for market-beating gains in 2022.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":692102611,"gmtCreate":1640866103797,"gmtModify":1640866103797,"author":{"id":"3563779363423782","authorId":"3563779363423782","name":"delvinYJ","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3563779363423782","authorIdStr":"3563779363423782"},"htmlText":"Bullish on crwd! Dyodd.","listText":"Bullish on crwd! Dyodd.","text":"Bullish on crwd! 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