Top Wall Street Strategist Sees a Fast 10% Q4 Correction Coming

24/7 wall street2021-10-30

A plethora of acronyms are used in the financial world for a wide variety of items. Most investors are well aware of the FAANG stocks, which are the massive tech monsters that rule the market. In ...

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精彩评论

El_Nino
2021-11-01
El_Nino
Like pls
- KlWong:
  Ok
7a06b928
2021-10-31
7a06b928
G
- 7a06b928:
  G
AzriTan
2021-10-31
AzriTan
I’ll buy my favourite stocks on a 10% decline
- WBT13:
  👍
Jessemyne
2021-10-31
Jessemyne
Should I zen it out? Tune out the noise and just do my own thing? Hmmmmmm [What]
MHh
2021-10-31
MHh
Keep cash to bargain hunt if that happens!
- MHh:
  [Smile]
- tanpp2307:
  Agree absolutely!
traderray
2021-10-31
traderray
Say something will crash enough times, and eventually you'll be right. We should see how often they're right compared to wrong.
- BlueDaisy:
  Ya....
- Andaroo:
  true dat

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Most investors a","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"247wallst.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{},"translate_title":"华尔街顶级策略师预计第四季度将快速回调10%","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{},"content_text":"A plethora of acronyms are used in the financial world for a wide variety of items. Most investors are well aware of the FAANG stocks, which are the massive tech monsters that rule the market. In addition, one of the acronyms used to describe the constant rise in the stock markets, especially when the “buy the dip” crowd takes control after sizable selling, is FOMO, or fear of missing out.\nOne of the very newest acronyms to hit the market speak lexicon is TINA. That stands for “there is no alternative,” which is an explanation for the constant ascent of the stock market. Basically what it means is that, due to very low yields on bonds and cash, especially with mounting inflation, owning stocks (especially those that pay solid and predictable dividends) is the only way to stay ahead of the game.\nIf any one equity strategist across Wall Street has been right on the money over the past few years, it is Stifel’s head of Institutional Equity Strategy, Barry Bannister, and he is advising clients that we could be poised to have a TINA trap sell-off. We have covered his outstanding and prescient calls for years, and generally when he talks, we listen. Those who did so at the height of the sell-off in 2020 posted some massive gains.\nOn March 19, 2020, just four short days before the final surge of selling and investor capitulation on March 23, Bannister and his team dropped a prediction for a relief rally that would carry the S&P 500 to the 2,750 level by April 30. On March 23, the index hit an intraday low of 2,191, and it closed at 2,237.\nWe covered that incredibly bold prediction then, and while some were very skeptical of the call, Bannister made the prerequisite financial media rounds at the time giving his firm’s rationale for the prediction. In early April of 2020 as a surge of alarming news on the COVID-19 pandemic flooded the airwaves, Stifel came out and defended the call, telling clients to stand their ground. In the middle of April, as the rest of Wall Street was finally on board, Stifel raised the end-of-April target to 2,950. On April 30, in line with the laser-like call from Stifel, the S&P 500 closed at 2,912 after hitting an intraday high of 2,930 and after trading to 2,950 level the day before. In late May of 2020, Stifel once again raised the price target on the S&P 500 to 3,250 by August 30.\nOnce again, Bannister sees storm clouds on the horizon, and with good reason. Everything from stocks to gold, Treasury debt and oil and have been pushed higher. This is a result of a unique combination of the FOMO worries and the TINA mentality. In a new research report, Bannister and his team feel that a lightning-fast 10% correction could occur in the remaining months of the fourth quarter. The report noted this:\n\n Near-term in the fourth quarter of 2021, we note that equal-weighted cyclicals vs. defensives are very near the point at which P/E-driven S&P 500 corrections occur, and we see downside equating to the S&P 500 falling from 4,535 currently to ~4,000 (prior view 3,800), around a 10% correction in the fourth quarter as we see mid-cycle risks.\n\n\n Our target and concerns are based on slowing global liquidity and tighter financial conditions with a gradual but unwavering Fed exit (especially after the Fed Chair is named). 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Moreover, we see no actual bear market, which would be a 20% or more decline until fed funds is 1% (4 rate hikes), which fed funds futures indicate does not occur until 2024.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":849024636,"gmtCreate":1635718511469,"gmtModify":1635718511602,"author":{"id":"3579591519090572","authorId":"3579591519090572","name":"El_Nino","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b731af69caf76640812930188d9d2","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3579591519090572","authorIdStr":"3579591519090572"},"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849024636","repostId":1130019043,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6401040,"gmtCreate":1635722204899,"gmtModify":1635722204933,"authorId":3585862393512500,"author":{"id":3585862393512500,"idStr":"3585862393512500","authorId":3585862393512500,"name":"KlWong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b20610400ddcc33719ca6767c3e3fbde","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":849024636,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Ok","text":"Ok","html":"Ok"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":840575252,"gmtCreate":1635666033624,"gmtModify":1635666033808,"author":{"id":"3565920966285810","authorId":"3565920966285810","name":"7a06b928","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3565920966285810","authorIdStr":"3565920966285810"},"htmlText":"G","listText":"G","text":"G","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840575252","repostId":1130019043,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6396198,"gmtCreate":1635666040329,"gmtModify":1635666040420,"authorId":3565920966285810,"author":{"id":3565920966285810,"idStr":"3565920966285810","authorId":3565920966285810,"name":"7a06b928","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":840575252,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"G","text":"G","html":"G"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":840224211,"gmtCreate":1635651792308,"gmtModify":1635651792385,"author":{"id":"3556009150724705","authorId":"3556009150724705","name":"AzriTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc2dd3815c5b541b203633cd6793d099","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3556009150724705","authorIdStr":"3556009150724705"},"htmlText":"I’ll buy my favourite stocks on a 10% decline","listText":"I’ll buy my favourite stocks on a 10% decline","text":"I’ll buy my favourite stocks on a 10% decline","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840224211","repostId":1130019043,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6396791,"gmtCreate":1635670896513,"gmtModify":1635670896548,"authorId":3573351657200487,"author":{"id":3573351657200487,"idStr":"3573351657200487","authorId":3573351657200487,"name":"WBT13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c32eff74d0ce173f7e10df861c0ee416","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":840224211,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"👍","text":"👍","html":"👍"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":840264379,"gmtCreate":1635650849721,"gmtModify":1635650849844,"author":{"id":"3572319379588082","authorId":"3572319379588082","name":"Jessemyne","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6252e2c2d2486e6000e4f9a349488762","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572319379588082","authorIdStr":"3572319379588082"},"htmlText":"Should I zen it out? Tune out the noise and just do my own thing? Hmmmmmm [What]&nbsp;","listText":"Should I zen it out? Tune out the noise and just do my own thing? Hmmmmmm [What]&nbsp;","text":"Should I zen it out? Tune out the noise and just do my own thing? Hmmmmmm [What]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840264379","repostId":1130019043,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":840298042,"gmtCreate":1635647522734,"gmtModify":1635647523507,"author":{"id":"4091758936365950","authorId":"4091758936365950","name":"MHh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54b2feced9ef5dcc9e95997d1f4db280","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4091758936365950","authorIdStr":"4091758936365950"},"htmlText":"Keep cash to bargain hunt if that happens!","listText":"Keep cash to bargain hunt if that happens!","text":"Keep cash to bargain hunt if that happens!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840298042","repostId":1130019043,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6393911,"gmtCreate":1635651156269,"gmtModify":1635651156298,"authorId":4091758936365950,"author":{"id":4091758936365950,"idStr":"4091758936365950","authorId":4091758936365950,"name":"MHh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54b2feced9ef5dcc9e95997d1f4db280","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":840298042,"type":1,"supId":6393899,"prevId":0,"content":"[Smile]","text":"[Smile]","html":"[Smile]"},{"id":6393899,"gmtCreate":1635651097162,"gmtModify":1635651097227,"authorId":3585983433962847,"author":{"id":3585983433962847,"idStr":"3585983433962847","authorId":3585983433962847,"name":"tanpp2307","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4cb1adebe779f631f65a6b4332f7bc5","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":840298042,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Agree absolutely! ","text":"Agree absolutely! ","html":"Agree absolutely! "}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":840655446,"gmtCreate":1635645354547,"gmtModify":1635646376664,"author":{"id":"4087990794849240","authorId":"4087990794849240","name":"traderray","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/922f90761f17e559247419b3df5c9407","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4087990794849240","authorIdStr":"4087990794849240"},"htmlText":"Say something will crash enough times, and eventually you'll be right. We should see how often they're right compared to wrong.","listText":"Say something will crash enough times, and eventually you'll be right. We should see how often they're right compared to wrong.","text":"Say something will crash enough times, and eventually you'll be right. We should see how often they're right compared to wrong.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840655446","repostId":1130019043,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6399372,"gmtCreate":1635695003545,"gmtModify":1635695003651,"authorId":3582677971530678,"author":{"id":3582677971530678,"idStr":"3582677971530678","authorId":3582677971530678,"name":"BlueDaisy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0747094283743978b62fb8b1ee2cf44c","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":840655446,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Ya....","text":"Ya....","html":"Ya...."},{"id":6393413,"gmtCreate":1635648294763,"gmtModify":1635648294870,"authorId":3575199303759784,"author":{"id":3575199303759784,"idStr":"3575199303759784","authorId":3575199303759784,"name":"Andaroo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/634c9b9f18158d4a4e497249bdbe8fd5","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":840655446,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"true <u>dat</u>","text":"true <u>dat</u>","html":"true <u>dat</u>"}],"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":764,"commentSize":114,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.1","shortVersion":"4.29.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1130019043"}