Microsoft Stock Is Boss, But it Would Be Even Better Lower

InvestorPlace2021-06-22

MSFT stock owners are reaping the rewards of excellent management. The stock market closed last week on a red note. The indices fell about 1% to close out a red week, but not for theNasdaq. Stocks ...

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精彩评论

IMRainmaker
2021-06-22
IMRainmaker
The boss for long term
JKLah
2021-06-22
JKLah
Hi
weixinpr
2021-06-22
weixinpr
great long term buy !
Bangaram
2021-06-22
Bangaram
Nice
ZYBC
2021-06-22
ZYBC
Strong moat great prospects. Long term buy
jimmylaw
2021-06-22
jimmylaw
Like comment I reply comment thanks
- 小红盛虎:
  done and pls reply

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The indices fell about 1% to close out a red week, but not for theNasdaq. Stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/msft-stock-microsoft-is-boss-but-even-better-lower/\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"MSFT","symbol_name":"微软","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/msft-stock-microsoft-is-boss-but-even-better-lower/","article_id":"1129393435","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129393435","pubTimestamp":1624346578,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1606302653667","name":"InvestorPlace"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"MSFT stock owners are reaping the rewards of excellent management.\n\nThe stock market closed last wee","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"investorplace.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"translate_title":"微软的股票是老大，但更低一点会更好","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9},"content_text":"MSFT stock owners are reaping the rewards of excellent management.\n\nThe stock market closed last week on a red note. The indices fell about 1% to close out a red week, but not for theNasdaq. Stocks likeMicrosoft(NASDAQ:MSFT) did better than the rest. MSFT stock is one tick away from an all-time high.\nIn fact, on Friday, it was higher than its prior closing high. Even though the stock has been on a tear, there isn’t extreme froth in it. That’s because management has been on point since Satya Nadella took over as CEO. Investors are reaping the rewards of a great adaptation strategy.\nMicrosoft grew its revenues 70% in the last four years and doubled its net income. These are impressive statistics that somewhat justify the price action. I said “somewhat” on purpose because I am cautious up here.\nMy reason for this is more extrinsic than Microsoft specific. I am confident that they will continue to fire on all cylinders. My concerns stem from the next six months of macroeconomic conditions.\nMSFT Stock and the Economy\nWe have had QE and stimulus programs running so long and so strong that I expect a let down. This patient has been on the heaviest drugs available, and getting off them is going to be painful. The economy is doing very well thanks in large part to government aid.\nFirst, the Federal Reserve is providing extreme liquidity. Their asset repurchase programs infuse $1.4 trillion a year. Second, the White House is tripling that in direct aid to its citizens. These measures are ending and the stock market will miss their impact.\nIn addition, we are in a weird inflation scenario. We all know that everything is more expensive than it’s ever been. Yet the CPI says otherwise, and the Fed is calling it transitory. I fear that there is something more sinister lurking. I don’t want to repeat the blindside of 2008, so it’s best to prep a bit.\nA Look at MSFT’s Chart\nMy forecast is that there will be a spending crimp going into 2022. If I am right, the indices should suffer and MSFT stock will have to work within that. The rising wedge that it has delivered since the pandemic bottom is very steep. It is up almost 100% since then and 210% from 2018. Even though I am confident of the fundamental reasons it is up here, I am leery about the technical setup.\nWhen stocks breakout they often revisit prior necklines. In this case, it has three different major pivot zones. None of them would look pretty if they come to fruition.\nFor the short term, I acknowledge the remaining potential upside. In the last six months, MSFT stock has had 15% rallies. Each faded half way before launching the next rally. This third one is still ongoing and could have another 6% left in it. Investors buying shares in size must be more confident about their timeline than I am.\nA Matter of Timing for MSFT Stock\nI understand the traditional long-term perspective, but that logic goes both ways. Patient investors often say that they aren’t trying to time entries. If so, then what’s the harm and waiting out a few ticks higher or lower?\nCall me crazy, but I’d rather start out on a positive note than to buy a top.\nMSFT stock has many strong support levels between here and the 2020 lows. I see buyers lurking in near $238 and $225 per share. Below that there is an even stronger consolidation zone through $200 per share. This stock would be a great buy if it goes there. The only scenario I have for that is if the whole market corrects.\nMeanwhile, it is imperative to take positions in tranches. Conviction should be lower than normal when the stock markets are this high. Being patient is prudent even if it means missing on some upside potential. In the long term, it works out better if we made smaller mistakes.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":129160407,"gmtCreate":1624365399309,"gmtModify":1634007246092,"author":{"id":"4087437757420620","authorId":"4087437757420620","name":"IMRainmaker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18fb455bb4d6638a7868eb281bc37d7c","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"The boss for long term","listText":"The boss for long term","text":"The boss for long term","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129160407","repostId":1129393435,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":129391621,"gmtCreate":1624356824663,"gmtModify":1634007357893,"author":{"id":"3573174104481531","authorId":"3573174104481531","name":"JKLah","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129391621","repostId":1129393435,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":129951620,"gmtCreate":1624353514360,"gmtModify":1631889835402,"author":{"id":"3575930014634928","authorId":"3575930014634928","name":"weixinpr","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bde4ed6126ee4cc39721af60d8790013","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"great long term buy !&nbsp;","listText":"great long term buy !&nbsp;","text":"great long term buy !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129951620","repostId":1129393435,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":129925969,"gmtCreate":1624353078451,"gmtModify":1634007387894,"author":{"id":"3574855965218634","authorId":"3574855965218634","name":"Bangaram","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c26643528d1c3fdd083336c2454f51e","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129925969","repostId":1129393435,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":129965578,"gmtCreate":1624352394494,"gmtModify":1631891236583,"author":{"id":"3582811370180794","authorId":"3582811370180794","name":"ZYBC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb88d1cd594aa6e13e8fba78fe9b6036","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Strong moat great prospects. Long term buy&nbsp;","listText":"Strong moat great prospects. Long term buy&nbsp;","text":"Strong moat great prospects. Long term buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129965578","repostId":1129393435,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":129931325,"gmtCreate":1624350258467,"gmtModify":1634007417673,"author":{"id":"3570772304712620","authorId":"3570772304712620","name":"jimmylaw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6c847ae11f03f4682632e6fa4016040","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Like comment I reply comment thanks","listText":"Like comment I reply comment thanks","text":"Like comment I reply comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129931325","repostId":1129393435,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4952719,"gmtCreate":1624350996356,"gmtModify":1635252173885,"authorId":3578134126413921,"author":{"id":3578134126413921,"authorId":3578134126413921,"name":"小红盛虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/043a9a9162274702cb29e8fbef057493","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":129931325,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"done and pls <u>reply</u>","text":"done and pls <u>reply</u>","html":"done and pls <u>reply</u>"}],"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":59,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.25.1","shortVersion":"4.25.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1129393435"}