5月或是整个市场的转折点：美联储的“天敌”来了！

华尔街见闻2021-05-13

作者：乐鸣引子在刚过去不久的美联储“放鸽子”会上，鲍威尔被问到两个尴尬的问题：现在通胀预期看起来上得很猛，万一通胀比就业先达标了，你咋办？你咋那么有信心这次通胀不会失控？不会像上世纪70年代一样？对于这两个问题，鲍威尔都不太高兴，因为问到了尴尬的痛点。如今痛点开始在数据上显现：5月12日周三晚8点半，美国劳工部公布了美国4月CPI。数据显示，不光是美国的整体CPI还是核心CPI，4月份增速都创出...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

Daniel_bao
2021-05-14
Daniel_bao
做作业。。。。。哈哈哈
ERIC2020520
2021-05-14
ERIC2020520
加息
- 或白:
  加息让世界收割美元吗，
ReO
2021-05-13
ReO
😁
刀锋战士阿尔法
2021-05-13
刀锋战士阿尔法
哎哟喂、哎哟喂、哎哟喂！挨了打的背着一个没挨打的！
Zongzi_xin
2021-05-13
Zongzi_xin
关注一下。。。。
- Daniel_bao:
  同关注
- Daniel_bao:
  嗯，同关注
经常被切韭菜
2021-05-13
经常被切韭菜
4月非农数据大幅下滑而cpi 涨幅惊人，美国人都在家拿援助那么开心，干嘛还去工作呢？那不去工作谁来生产啊？供需不平衡导致物价上涨这不是很正常吗？还有你看看人民币兑美元汇率，货物能不贵吗？而贸易逆差继续增长，还有之前特朗普加的税，都是美国人民在埋单，你没看最近新闻中美贸易要开谈了吗？证明拜登已经意识到问题所在，只要解决贸易战，增加人民工作，CPI就要下降了，要不再把美元回流提高利率CPI也能下降啊。
- 经常被切韭菜:
  这没可能做到，第一成本太高了，太贵了本国人也未必会买，第二条件太好了，不愿加班或者干这么累的活，第三工会就会搞死当地企业，通用就是一个例子。制造业回流只是一个政治题材
- 或白:
  特朗普是要美国制造业回流，增加就业机会，
- kevinz:
  我也觉得不是问题，挺正常的经济现象，美国也完全可以解决。这都是预料中的吧

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129245857?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af1d75a2b7a7bd95e0102711f4f871de","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2021-05-13 21:48","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"1129245857","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"5月或是整个市场的转折点：美联储的“天敌”来了！","media":"华尔街见闻","content":"<div>\n<p>作者：乐鸣引子在刚过去不久的美联储“放鸽子”会上，鲍威尔被问到两个尴尬的问题：现在通胀预期看起来上得很猛，万一通胀比就业先达标了，你咋办？你咋那么有信心这次通胀不会失控？不会像上世纪70年代一样？对于这两个问题，鲍威尔都不太高兴，因为问到了尴尬的痛点。如今痛点开始在数据上显现：5月12日周三晚8点半，美国劳工部公布了美国4月CPI。数据显示，不光是美国的整体CPI还是核心CPI，4月份增速都创出...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5月或是整个市场的转折点：美联储的“天敌”来了！</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5月或是整个市场的转折点：美联储的“天敌”来了！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2021-05-13 21:48 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者：乐鸣引子在刚过去不久的美联储“放鸽子”会上，鲍威尔被问到两个尴尬的问题：现在通胀预期看起来上得很猛，万一通胀比就业先达标了，你咋办？你咋那么有信心这次通胀不会失控？不会像上世纪70年代一样？对于这两个问题，鲍威尔都不太高兴，因为问到了尴尬的痛点。如今痛点开始在数据上显现：5月12日周三晚8点半，美国劳工部公布了美国4月CPI。数据显示，不光是美国的整体CPI还是核心CPI，4月份增速都创出...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".DJI","symbol_name":"道琼斯","start_time":0,"source_url":null,"article_id":"1129245857","we_media_id":"1084101182","thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/af1d75a2b7a7bd95e0102711f4f871de"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129245857","pubTimestamp":1620913695,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"华尔街见闻","introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"summary":"通胀爆了，就业萎靡……这叫啥来着？","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"translate_title":"May or the turning point of the whole market: the \"natural enemy\" of the Federal Reserve is coming!","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/547d7ca3cd61e4510bbbc845a4b9d4d9","symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9},"content_text":"作者：乐鸣引子在刚过去不久的美联储“放鸽子”会上，鲍威尔被问到两个尴尬的问题：现在通胀预期看起来上得很猛，万一通胀比就业先达标了，你咋办？你咋那么有信心这次通胀不会失控？不会像上世纪70年代一样？对于这两个问题，鲍威尔都不太高兴，因为问到了尴尬的痛点。如今痛点开始在数据上显现：5月12日周三晚8点半，美国劳工部公布了美国4月CPI。数据显示，不光是美国的整体CPI还是核心CPI，4月份增速都创出惊人记录。其中，美国4月整体CPI同比大增4.2%（市场预期3.6%），增速创2008年9月以来新高；4月核心CPI同比大增3%，创1996年1月以来最大增长。奔5%的通胀，可不是长期通胀平均2%可以忍受的，除非下个月就下来，表示这是“虚惊一场”，但是下个月大幅下滑的可能性目前看来不大。市场通过价格也传达了这一预期：2022年升息的可能性，在数据公布后已经高达100%。这反过来意味着，刚刚因为就业数据大幅不及预期而推迟的缩减QE时间，又再次被提前。这种被左右拉扯不知如何是好的感觉有点似曾相识，也是美联储最害怕的情景：通胀爆了，就业萎靡……这叫啥来着？市场开始不信美联储的说辞了早在今天数据公布之前，市场已经对美联储所谓长期通胀保持2%的说辞表示出了怀疑态度。纽约联邦储备银行公布的4月消费者调查（相当于美联储的“民调”）显示：随着经济从疫情引发的危机中复苏，美国消费者未来一年通胀的预期中值为3.4%，创2013年9月以来最高水平。对未来三年通胀的预期维持在3.1%不变。之所以美联储这么在乎通胀“民调”，是因为通胀最可怕的一点就是形成“民众共识”后螺旋上升。对于通胀的预期，可以粗略分成三个层次：1． 市场上金融产品所隐含的通胀预期；2．所谓经济学家们“共识”预测的通胀预（这两个层基本上跟美联储的预测是一致的）3． 民众的真实通胀预期。第三个层次决定了通胀自我实现的特点。如果经过了一段时间相对高的通胀（很可能高于2%），让美国工人认为生活成本提高了，需要加工资；让厂商认为需要提价才能应对更高的工资和各种成本，那通胀最终从2%+冲上5%，甚至是70年代的10%+都不是没有可能的。实际上，上一次美国CPI高达4.2%的时候，美联储的利率高达20%——正是70年代的滞胀时期。滞胀！？滞胀是美联储最害怕的“天敌”——在滞胀出现时，美联储政策就会失去主动权，进入完全被动状态。因为在这种情况下，美联储收紧政策，虽然可以控制通胀，但是经济受不了；但是如果放松政策救经济，通胀就上天了——左右不是人，无解；只能硬抗，让时间来慢慢消化，像70年代一样。虽然一个月的数据在理论上只是加剧了市场担心，不至于产生恐慌——毕竟去年4月份的美国确实是通缩状态，美联储所说的基数效应确实存在。图：去年4月美国通缩得厉害如果，五月数据可以回落到让市场可以接受的3%左右，那通胀预期还“有得救”；但如果下个月还维持4%左右，那美联储很可能需要赶紧“放鹰”，控制一下通胀预期。另外，就业方面虽然4月非农数据非常不理想(17.5199,-0.26,-1.46%)，但是有望在5月出现大幅改观，详见：拜登“觉醒”！5月美国就业可以破百万么？。意味着什么本次数据虽然令人震惊，但是仍属于“一次性”的性质——市场概率根据最新情况进行调整是非常正常的，100%加息概率也不代表一定发生，因为距离2022年底还有很长时间，中间还有很多数据会再次更改概率。尽管如此，这仍会让5月份数据变成一个“决胜点”。首先，去年5月份美国经济已经摆脱通缩，其通胀读数跟2020年剩下的月份差距不大，如果5月通胀再次高达4%左右，就不能再说是基数问题了——这时候美联储需要“表示表示”，否则通胀很有可能进入“自我实现”通道。另外，不管5月就业好还是不好，都已经“无所谓”了：好就表明通胀压力更大；不好说明滞胀越来越近了——怎么样对市场而言都是坏消息。这就是为什么美联储现在开始反复强调，就业现在需要盯住劳动参与率，因为不仅失业率数据“失灵了”，就连非农数据现在都不太好使了。5月或是整个市场的转折点。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":198130416,"gmtCreate":1620944887635,"gmtModify":1634195179067,"author":{"id":"3582075602912414","authorId":"3582075602912414","name":"Daniel_bao","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/013e1ddf403635b11f90f297ca14f63f","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3582075602912414","authorIdStr":"3582075602912414"},"htmlText":"做作业。。。。。哈哈哈","listText":"做作业。。。。。哈哈哈","text":"做作业。。。。。哈哈哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198130416","repostId":1129245857,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":198341177,"gmtCreate":1620938637899,"gmtModify":1620938637899,"author":{"id":"3553231417553161","authorId":"3553231417553161","name":"ERIC2020520","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb088dbd0225aaa433f6d2eb54db7ced","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eec1894d24f295622b8891594288edf1","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553231417553161","authorIdStr":"3553231417553161"},"htmlText":"加息","listText":"加息","text":"加息","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198341177","repostId":1129245857,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4336489,"gmtCreate":1621073177576,"gmtModify":1621073177576,"authorId":3520924686142735,"author":{"id":3520924686142735,"idStr":"3520924686142735","authorId":3520924686142735,"name":"或白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/783195a87794184cb529969f595d3aaf","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":198341177,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"加息让世界收割美元吗，","text":"加息让世界收割美元吗，","html":"加息让世界收割美元吗，"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":198952670,"gmtCreate":1620920597790,"gmtModify":1634195257630,"author":{"id":"3575590605777204","authorId":"3575590605777204","name":"ReO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c1f810ba185e2f2242f8e458e6734b2","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3575590605777204","authorIdStr":"3575590605777204"},"htmlText":"😁","listText":"😁","text":"😁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198952670","repostId":1129245857,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":198988484,"gmtCreate":1620918563748,"gmtModify":1620918563748,"author":{"id":"3460110757345179","authorId":"3460110757345179","name":"刀锋战士阿尔法","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b42e712665aa340c451811db44011a24","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/646756f1284a5a6480ed02cc4fa7d1d2","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3460110757345179","authorIdStr":"3460110757345179"},"htmlText":"哎哟喂、哎哟喂、哎哟喂！挨了打的背着一个没挨打的！","listText":"哎哟喂、哎哟喂、哎哟喂！挨了打的背着一个没挨打的！","text":"哎哟喂、哎哟喂、哎哟喂！挨了打的背着一个没挨打的！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198988484","repostId":1129245857,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":198991225,"gmtCreate":1620916876967,"gmtModify":1634195289889,"author":{"id":"3582886189119499","authorId":"3582886189119499","name":"Zongzi_xin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c64ded7a73c4b69648caff1c81d5683","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3582886189119499","authorIdStr":"3582886189119499"},"htmlText":"关注一下。。。。","listText":"关注一下。。。。","text":"关注一下。。。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198991225","repostId":1129245857,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4316645,"gmtCreate":1620917698111,"gmtModify":1635496091837,"authorId":3582075602912414,"author":{"id":3582075602912414,"idStr":"3582075602912414","authorId":3582075602912414,"name":"Daniel_bao","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/013e1ddf403635b11f90f297ca14f63f","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":198991225,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"同关注","text":"同关注","html":"同关注"},{"id":4318948,"gmtCreate":1620944872757,"gmtModify":1635495957987,"authorId":3582075602912414,"author":{"id":3582075602912414,"idStr":"3582075602912414","authorId":3582075602912414,"name":"Daniel_bao","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/013e1ddf403635b11f90f297ca14f63f","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":198991225,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"嗯，同关注","text":"嗯，同关注","html":"嗯，同关注"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":198074212,"gmtCreate":1620916229036,"gmtModify":1620916229036,"author":{"id":"3572851323258506","authorId":"3572851323258506","name":"经常被切韭菜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cb12c8ae78048664c3fecd16b0cd376","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572851323258506","authorIdStr":"3572851323258506"},"htmlText":"4月非农数据大幅下滑而cpi 涨幅惊人，美国人都在家拿援助那么开心，干嘛还去工作呢？那不去工作谁来生产啊？供需不平衡导致物价上涨这不是很正常吗？还有你看看人民币兑美元汇率，货物能不贵吗？而贸易逆差继续增长，还有之前特朗普加的税，都是美国人民在埋单，你没看最近新闻中美贸易要开谈了吗？证明拜登已经意识到问题所在，只要解决贸易战，增加人民工作，CPI就要下降了，要不再把美元回流提高利率CPI也能下降啊。","listText":"4月非农数据大幅下滑而cpi 涨幅惊人，美国人都在家拿援助那么开心，干嘛还去工作呢？那不去工作谁来生产啊？供需不平衡导致物价上涨这不是很正常吗？还有你看看人民币兑美元汇率，货物能不贵吗？而贸易逆差继续增长，还有之前特朗普加的税，都是美国人民在埋单，你没看最近新闻中美贸易要开谈了吗？证明拜登已经意识到问题所在，只要解决贸易战，增加人民工作，CPI就要下降了，要不再把美元回流提高利率CPI也能下降啊。","text":"4月非农数据大幅下滑而cpi 涨幅惊人，美国人都在家拿援助那么开心，干嘛还去工作呢？那不去工作谁来生产啊？供需不平衡导致物价上涨这不是很正常吗？还有你看看人民币兑美元汇率，货物能不贵吗？而贸易逆差继续增长，还有之前特朗普加的税，都是美国人民在埋单，你没看最近新闻中美贸易要开谈了吗？证明拜登已经意识到问题所在，只要解决贸易战，增加人民工作，CPI就要下降了，要不再把美元回流提高利率CPI也能下降啊。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198074212","repostId":1129245857,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4336646,"gmtCreate":1621075694611,"gmtModify":1621075694611,"authorId":3572851323258506,"author":{"id":3572851323258506,"idStr":"3572851323258506","authorId":3572851323258506,"name":"经常被切韭菜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cb12c8ae78048664c3fecd16b0cd376","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":198074212,"type":1,"supId":4336497,"prevId":0,"content":"这没可能做到，第一成本太高了，太贵了本国人也未必会买，第二条件太好了，不愿加班或者干这么累的活，第三工会就会搞死当地企业，通用就是一个例子。制造业回流只是一个政治题材","text":"这没可能做到，第一成本太高了，太贵了本国人也未必会买，第二条件太好了，不愿加班或者干这么累的活，第三工会就会搞死当地企业，通用就是一个例子。制造业回流只是一个政治题材","html":"这没可能做到，第一成本太高了，太贵了本国人也未必会买，第二条件太好了，不愿加班或者干这么累的活，第三工会就会搞死当地企业，通用就是一个例子。制造业回流只是一个政治题材"},{"id":4336497,"gmtCreate":1621073280515,"gmtModify":1621073280515,"authorId":3520924686142735,"author":{"id":3520924686142735,"idStr":"3520924686142735","authorId":3520924686142735,"name":"或白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/783195a87794184cb529969f595d3aaf","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":198074212,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"特朗普是要美国制造业回流，增加就业机会，","text":"特朗普是要美国制造业回流，增加就业机会，","html":"特朗普是要美国制造业回流，增加就业机会，"},{"id":4321763,"gmtCreate":1620955608456,"gmtModify":1620955608456,"authorId":3574943523442146,"author":{"id":3574943523442146,"idStr":"3574943523442146","authorId":3574943523442146,"name":"kevinz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":198074212,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"我也觉得不是问题，挺正常的经济现象，美国也完全可以解决。这都是预料中的吧","text":"我也觉得不是问题，挺正常的经济现象，美国也完全可以解决。这都是预料中的吧","html":"我也觉得不是问题，挺正常的经济现象，美国也完全可以解决。这都是预料中的吧"}],"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":75,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":2,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1129245857"}