特斯拉要凉凉了？08年大空头大举做空特斯拉

灰岩国际咨询 2021-05-18

相信很多读者都看过著名的好莱坞电影，“Big Short"，大空头这部电影描述了两批人马提前预知到金融危机的爆发，因此决心做空次级贷款。而其中大赚一笔的就是这个Dr Burry,他创建的Scion Capital大举做空次级贷款（subprime mortgages) 同时 Michael Burry也通过这次战役一战封神，经过了痛苦的三年亏损（这期间由于基金要不断的支付CDS的premium蒙受...

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精彩评论

股海摩西
2021-05-19
股海摩西
美刀600 一股，看谁先倒下就对了
华尔街小街
2021-05-19
华尔街小街
国人吹嘘中国市场的毛病啥时候能改？
乐_0966
2021-05-19
乐_0966
什么是做空啊
- 李育儒:
  向别人借来的股，转卖给他人（韭菜）
  
  如果这股除牌的话，股就不用还 = 全部赚到完
  
  但如果这股突然涨几十倍、百倍而被迫追加保证金的话 = 做空理论损失无限大
MyKhoo
2021-05-19
MyKhoo
Wow
剃豆啤
2021-05-19
剃豆啤
漂亮
Fred_6810
2021-05-18
Fred_6810
做空是他们的盈利模式。做空特斯拉的亏了多少？

发表看法

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Inc.）投入了相当大的空头赌注。从周一提交给监管机构的文件显示，截至3月31日，巴里的Scion资产管理公司持有认沽权大量的认沽期权（合800000股的空头，这也使Scion有权在未来的不明日期或之前出售特斯拉股票。特斯拉股价在一年的涨势推动该股上涨近700％之后，于1月26日收于883.09美元的历史新高。到三月底，它的价值缩水了四分之一，比周一收盘时的高点下跌了35％。大家都知道特斯拉之所以能够续命，谷底反弹的非常重要的原因是上海特斯拉厂以及巨大的中国消费力的支持。从一月的特斯拉股票价格来看，更多是像类似GME游戏驿站的案例一样，由于空头仓位过于拥挤而导致的更大规模的逼空（short squeeze)而这个情况下特斯拉的股价非但没有跌下来甚至创了新高。对特斯拉的押注不是Burry的第一次做空尝试，他之前在做空TSLA的交易中也亏损不少。而另一个看空TLSA的大空头James Chanos的做空TSLA的股票敞口也不得不在1月底打止损，来停止基金的亏损。Burry在12月初的一条被删除的推文中说，他持有大量电动车制造商的空头敞口。其中最大的空头敞口自然是特斯拉。Burry 甚至建议马斯克出售股票以筹集资金来救特斯拉，而当时TSLA股票的股价处于疯狂的泡沫中，亦处于当时处于Burry所说的“荒谬”的泡沫水平。特斯拉在四月下旬的财报显示，其第一季度获利创纪录，避免了行业芯片短缺，提高了汽车厂的制造水平，其中从特斯拉的财报中我们可以看到，TSLA的财报中，有四分之一的利润来自于销售比特币。另外四分之一来自于出售碳Credit，从侧面我们可以看到特斯拉本身的利润构成。然而，股价下跌标志着该公司现在所抗衡的崇高期望。在分析师的质疑中：特斯拉没有提供2021年车辆交付的具体估计。也就是核心的交付产能问题如何解决。我们无法知道Burry的Scion何时对特斯拉下了赌注，或是Scion Capital所持有的看跌期权的价格以及成本是多少以及公司为其付了多少钱。从13F文件来看，其空头头寸价值5.34亿美元，这可能是特斯拉在3月31日的股价乘以Scion所押注的股票数量而得出的。近期特斯拉仍然面对危机以及挑战。随着中国市场特斯拉车辆的质量堪忧以及产能问题逐渐爆发，而这关乎于特斯拉的最终命运。因为和其他的车商不同，特斯拉的业绩以及市场太过于依赖中国市场以及营收，在上海GIGA厂这张牌以及虚拟货币打完之后，TSLA究竟何去何从，从现在公司的运营策略来讲，我个人是偏悲观的。从特斯拉现在的营收结构来看，我很难对TSLA过度乐观。虽然短期特斯拉的确会进入一个巨大的股价调整期，但是毕竟特斯拉仍然拥有大量的粉丝以及消费者，这意味着超跌之后仍然会出现短期的买入套利机会。而这将很大程度上取决于Musk本人对于中国市场消费者的态度。如果产能这个老大难问题都迟迟拖着无法解决，那么900美金很可能将成为特斯拉的最高点。而疯狂执着与狗狗币的马斯克也最终成为狗头军师？随着加密货币的狂热，如果你经常登Twitter看Elon Musk的动态，你会发现他越来越不务正业了。这并不是件好事，与其天天去给什么狗狗币doge coin坐庄成为一个所谓币圈的“心灵导师”，倒不如扎实好好把特斯拉车主的权益保障了，把产能扎实地做好，才能把公司运作好，你们说呢？","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":197014641,"gmtCreate":1621410840083,"gmtModify":1634189376011,"author":{"id":"3580972018907173","authorId":"3580972018907173","name":"股海摩西","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b3b2e60ed720da92ef4a446dcdaaf4","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"美刀600 一股，看谁先倒下就对了","listText":"美刀600 一股，看谁先倒下就对了","text":"美刀600 一股，看谁先倒下就对了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197014641","repostId":1129099395,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":194788709,"gmtCreate":1621401129001,"gmtModify":1621402511684,"author":{"id":"3548833144199437","authorId":"3548833144199437","name":"华尔街小街","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21c453aa154a0385dea9bd3e2202b604","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"国人吹嘘中国市场的毛病啥时候能改？","listText":"国人吹嘘中国市场的毛病啥时候能改？","text":"国人吹嘘中国市场的毛病啥时候能改？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194788709","repostId":1129099395,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":194475232,"gmtCreate":1621397527426,"gmtModify":1631885394430,"author":{"id":"3576788794749777","authorId":"3576788794749777","name":"乐_0966","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb3170d3f962d89ccf7eaf81f69dce1b","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"什么是做空啊","listText":"什么是做空啊","text":"什么是做空啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194475232","repostId":1129099395,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4375936,"gmtCreate":1621402047910,"gmtModify":1631885394434,"authorId":3560736841816623,"author":{"id":3560736841816623,"authorId":3560736841816623,"name":"李育儒","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2c196ab620e62eba6f9dfcbc9464a6d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":194475232,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"向别人借来的股，转卖给他人（韭菜）\n<br><br>\n<br>如果这股除牌的话，股就不用还 = 全部赚到完\n<br><br>\n<br>但如果这股突然涨几十倍、百倍而被迫追加保证金的话 = 做空理论损失无限大","text":"向别人借来的股，转卖给他人（韭菜）\n<br><br>\n<br>如果这股除牌的话，股就不用还 = 全部赚到完\n<br><br>\n<br>但如果这股突然涨几十倍、百倍而被迫追加保证金的话 = 做空理论损失无限大","html":"向别人借来的股，转卖给他人（韭菜）\n<br><br>\n<br>如果这股除牌的话，股就不用还 = 全部赚到完\n<br><br>\n<br>但如果这股突然涨几十倍、百倍而被迫追加保证金的话 = 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