The S&P 500 could have 16% upside through the end of 2022, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says

Markets insider2021-12-30

The S&P 500 could surge 16% in 2022 to 5,600, according to a note from Fundstrat's Tom Lee.He pointed out that since 1938, returns have been strong for stocks in the year after a 27% gain."Our S&P 500...

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精彩评论

Mumaizah
2021-12-30
Mumaizah
Pls like
HermioneG
2021-12-30
HermioneG
Awesome!
- lawrencegb:
  nice
canoboi
2021-12-30
canoboi
Like and comment..thanks
- Mumaizah:
  ok
- TW1:
  Gd
- WDnemo:
  ok

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But that estimate could be too conservative, according to a Wednesday note from Fundstrat.With the S&P 500 up nearly 30% in 2021, a historical analysis of past market returns suggests gains could extend higher into next year. Since 1938, the stock market has generated an average and median annual gain of 12% and 16%, respectively, in the year following a rise of at least 27%, according to Lee.Those potential gains would send the S&P 500 to between 5,400 and 5,600. \"Most years post +27% gains are actually very good...thus, we believe our base case of S&P 500 5,100 is conservative,\" he said.The rise in stocks isn't just being driven by momentum. It's also being buoyed by a strong economic backdrop and rising corporate profits. \"The rise in equities, in our view, has been justified by the substantial economic resilience coupled with tremendous operating leverage of businesses,\" Lee explained.Still, despite the bright outlook, the Fundstrat team is expecting significant turbulence in 2022, especially in the first half of the year. 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