Are we in a bubble? How founder of world’s largest hedge fund says 2021 stock market stacks up

MarketWatch2021-02-23

Ray Dalio’s bubble indicator says the 2021 market ranks in the 77th percentile in his ‘bubble indicator’ The stock market is feeling awfully frothy to some investors lately, a fact that has helped to ...

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精彩评论

Acella
2021-02-25
Acella
I too think too much money have been printed.
Mccoy
2021-02-24
Mccoy
It is a cycle of ups and downs.
Jessemyne
2021-02-24
Jessemyne
Too much paper money being printed
i8jc8i
2021-02-24
i8jc8i
1 more move before the big one? 🤔
Edkoo
2021-02-23
Edkoo
Hope the bubble is a fake one
RKT
2021-02-23
RKT
May be one more opportunity on its way

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How founder of world’s largest hedge fund says 2021 stock market stacks up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-23 11:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/are-we-in-a-bubble-how-founder-of-worlds-largest-hedge-fund-says-2021-stock-market-stacks-up-11614010302?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Ray Dalio’s bubble indicator says the 2021 market ranks in the 77th percentile in his ‘bubble indicator’\nThe stock market is feeling awfully frothy to some investors lately, a fact that has helped to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/are-we-in-a-bubble-how-founder-of-worlds-largest-hedge-fund-says-2021-stock-market-stacks-up-11614010302?mod=home-page\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".SPX","symbol_name":"S&P 500 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‘bubble indicator’\nThe stock market is feeling awfully frothy to some investors lately, a fact that has helped to weigh on the market’s bullish sentiment in the past week or so, but a report by Ray Dalio implies that equities aren’t as bubblicious as one might think.\n“In brief, the aggregate bubble gauge is around the 77th percentile today for the US stock market overall. In the bubble of 2000 and the bubble of 1929 this aggregate gauge had a 100th percentile read,” wrote Dalio in a blog post published on Monday on LinkedIn.\n\nRAY DALIO\nDalio is the founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge-fund firm, which has made him a billionaire and comments consistent attention grabbers.\nThe hedge-fund investor says that he created an indicator to help him determine whether the stock market is in a bubble, which he defines as an unsustainably high price, by using six measures:\n\nHow high are prices relative to traditional measures?\nAre prices discounting unsustainable conditions?\nHow many new buyers (i.e., those who weren’t previously in the market) have entered the market?\nHow broadly bullish is sentiment?\nAre purchases being financed by high leverage?\nHave buyers made exceptionally extended forward purchases (e.g., built inventory, contracted forward purchases, etc.) to speculate or protect themselves against future price gains?\n\nVIA RAY DALIO\nBased on those factors, and using data that go back to the 1910s, Dalio’s indicator suggests that markets are frothy but not necessarily in a bubble by his definition.\nDalio’s note comes as stock-market investors are wrestling with rising bonds yields, with the 10-year Treasury note flirts with its highest level in about a year as investors brace for rising inflation and recovery in the economy that has been swooning from the COVID-19 pandemic.\nFiscal spending and market-favorable policies have been factors that investors have argued have kept the Dow Jones Industrial Average,the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite Index at or near record highs, despite valuations since as absurdly rich by some measures.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":361935199,"gmtCreate":1614183897411,"gmtModify":1634550805253,"author":{"id":"3563150446821026","authorId":"3563150446821026","name":"Acella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2712c4bb0bfbec4d2773e012189db3bc","vip":1,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3563150446821026","authorIdStr":"3563150446821026"},"htmlText":"I too think too much money have been printed.","listText":"I too think too much money have been printed.","text":"I too think too much money have been 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downs.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363147649","repostId":1116870824,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":363181000,"gmtCreate":1614103376200,"gmtModify":1634551157450,"author":{"id":"3572319379588082","authorId":"3572319379588082","name":"Jessemyne","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6252e2c2d2486e6000e4f9a349488762","vip":1,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572319379588082","authorIdStr":"3572319379588082"},"htmlText":"Too much paper money being printed&nbsp;","listText":"Too much paper money being printed&nbsp;","text":"Too much paper money being printed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363181000","repostId":1116870824,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":363102202,"gmtCreate":1614097469106,"gmtModify":1634551171432,"author":{"id":"3573819672175631","authorId":"3573819672175631","name":"i8jc8i","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c90f217a4292943787b6942c3b1bcc6e","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573819672175631","authorIdStr":"3573819672175631"},"htmlText":"1 more move before the big one? 🤔","listText":"1 more move before the big one? 🤔","text":"1 more move before the big one? 🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363102202","repostId":1116870824,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":363364507,"gmtCreate":1614094752309,"gmtModify":1631884064864,"author":{"id":"3571553731131894","authorId":"3571553731131894","name":"Edkoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2e4ed1cfd0d4b6da6fb44059bfd8d4a","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571553731131894","authorIdStr":"3571553731131894"},"htmlText":"Hope the bubble is a fake one&nbsp;","listText":"Hope the bubble is a fake one&nbsp;","text":"Hope the bubble is a fake one","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363364507","repostId":1116870824,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":363972037,"gmtCreate":1614092445829,"gmtModify":1631884064862,"author":{"id":"3574492541167448","authorId":"3574492541167448","name":"RKT","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4257e394d8e8b96c3ca68aa06f560402","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574492541167448","authorIdStr":"3574492541167448"},"htmlText":"May be one more opportunity on its way","listText":"May be one more opportunity on its way","text":"May be one more opportunity on its way","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363972037","repostId":1116870824,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":109,"commentSize":32,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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