Palantir: Brace For Impact, Earnings Are Due Out Next Week

seekingalpha2021-08-06

Summary Palantir is scheduled to report its Q2 FY21 results on 12 August 2021. Investors should keep a close eye on its segment financials, customer count, and stock-based compensation expenses. Its ...

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精彩评论

KL8388
2021-08-07
KL8388
Up to the moon
Jypsy
2021-08-07
Jypsy
👍
CKAng
2021-08-06
CKAng
Buy!
Sumei
2021-08-06
Sumei
You really need to be able to withstand the roller coaster ride with palantir stock.I am long on Palantir as I think they have a good track record of winning five contracts. And they can only grow their commercial segment - with good marketing and perhaps less arrogance from their CEO.Also the stock based compensation seems to be pretty extreme - hopefully the stock price will eventually justify the executives’ pay…
- Viboon:
  [强]
TeaTea
2021-08-06
TeaTea
[What] [What]
神经蛙_9449
2021-08-06
神经蛙_9449
nice！[得意]

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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Brace For Impact, Earnings Are Due Out Next Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-06 10:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445540-palantir-brace-for-impact-earnings-are-due-out-next-week><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nPalantir is scheduled to report its Q2 FY21 results on 12 August 2021.\nInvestors should keep a close eye on its segment financials, customer count, and stock-based compensation expenses.\nIts ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445540-palantir-brace-for-impact-earnings-are-due-out-next-week\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"PLTR","symbol_name":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445540-palantir-brace-for-impact-earnings-are-due-out-next-week","article_id":"1110216837","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110216837","pubTimestamp":1628215361,"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir is scheduled to report its Q2 FY21 results on 12 August 2021.\nInvestors should kee","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"seekingalpha.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"translate_title":"Palantir：为冲击做好准备，收益将于下周公布","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9},"content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir is scheduled to report its Q2 FY21 results on 12 August 2021.\nInvestors should keep a close eye on its segment financials, customer count, and stock-based compensation expenses.\nIts revenue for the period is predicted to come in at $364 million.\n\nMichael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nPalantir (PLTR) will be reporting its Q2 earnings results on Thursday of next week. Investors will be curious to see if the company can continue growing its revenue at elevated rates this time as well. In addition to just tracking its top line figure, investors should also keep a close eye on its customer count, its stock-based compensation expenses, and its segment financials. These items will highlight the health of Palantir's growth trajectory and are likely going to influence its share price post-earnings. Let's take a closer look.\nKey Performance Indicators\nLet me start by saying that Palantir's stock-based compensation expense is a sore point amongst its shareholders. These expenses stood at $193.7 million in the last quarter and amounted to almost 56% of the company's revenue during the period. Bears feel that Palantir's management is treating these stock options as essentially free currency and investors are concerned about its dilutive effects. However, the situation isn't as dire as many believe it to be.\n(Source: BusinessQuant.com)\nI actually forecast Palantir's stock-based compensation expenses to gradually drop down to a quarterly run-rate of roughly $100 million, a near-48% decline from its Q1 levels. We don't yet know the timeline and the pace of this prospective drop -- will it occur in 2 quarters or 2 years? - but I explained in my prior article that much of Palantir's stock-based compensation expenses are behind us and things are only going to improve on this front.\nSo, investors should track this non-cash expense item when Palantir reports Q2 results next week. Needless to say that a significant sequential decline in these expenses will alleviate shareholders' concerns and quash bearish narratives along the way. Conversely, a dramatic rise in these expenses would be unexpected and it might well trigger a selloff in Palantir's shares.\nSecondly, Palantir has undertaken a slew of measures over the last 3-4 months to expand its customer base which should, in theory, drive the company's revenue growth over the coming years. These measures include offering a part of its platform for free to major enterprises, expanding its sales team and gradually transitioning from a multi-year upfront payment model to a subscription-based revenue model.\nA quick way to gauge the effectiveness of these campaigns and to measure Palantir's progress on this front, would be to track its customer count figure in its next 10Q filing. I estimate that Palantir's customer base will sequentially grow by 8% in Q2, slightly higher than 7% in Q1 due to these attractive initiatives, which will boost the company's customer count figure to 160.\n(Source: BusinessQuant.com)\nBifurcated Financials\nPalantir has two reportable segments, namely commercial and government, out of which the latter has accounted for the bulk of the company's overall revenue of late.\n(Source: BusinessQuant.com)\nI believe that there are essentially two catalysts that can catapult the company's government revenue higher in its upcoming earnings report.\nFirst, Palantir has roughly $36 million worth of new contracts, deals and agreements with US government agencies during its Q2 FY21 alone. To put things in perspective, this figure amounts to a significant 17% of Palantir's government revenue during Q1 FY21. Granted that the delivery timelines could vary for each of these deals, from a few months to possibly a few years, and this deal value won't fully translate into Q2 FY21 revenue. However, I contend that there's going to be at least some portion of this deal value that will get recognized as revenue in Palantir's Q2 results.\n(Source: BusinessQuant.com)\nSecondly, very few readers know that Palantir has benefited from the COVID-19 outbreak over the past 4-5 quarters. Government agencies across the world, used the company's analytics platforms to track the spread of the virus and to better manage their resources last year. Now that the delta variant of COVID-19 virus is spreading across the globe, Palantir could potentially benefit once again. The basis for this line of thinking is that prudent and proactive health agencies across the world would not leave any stone unturned to keep the spread of this new COVID-19 variant, in check, and subscribe to Palantir's platform as a result.\nKeeping these two catalysts in mind, I estimate that Palantir's government segment will maintain its pace of sequential revenue growth of 10% during Q2 (the same pace as reported in Q1) and its revenue for the period will rise to approximately $229 million.\nNext, Palantir's commercial segment may post an acceleration in its growth momentum on a sequential basis. As we saw earlier in the article, the company has rolled out a number of initiatives in recent months to expand its footprint in the private sector. Unless these initiatives turn out to be completely ineffective, they're likely to bring in additional revenue for the company. So, I estimate Palantir's sequential revenue growth in its commercial segment to accelerate from 0.6% in Q1, to 2% in Q2. This would put Palantir's commercial revenue at roughly $135 million for the quarter.\n(Source: BusinessQuant.com)\nOverall, I forecast Palantir's Q2 revenue to be $364.7 million during Q2. Coincidentally, this figure is very close to the Street's revenueestimatesfor the company's upcoming results, varying from $360 million to $363.2 million.\nFinal Thoughts\nIt's worth noting that Palantir has topped the Street's revenue estimates in all three of its last three quarters. So, from a purely statistical standpoint, the data analytics company is likely to outperform analyst estimates once again in its upcoming earnings report.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nHaving said that, there's much more to Palantir than just its top line revenue figure. While I'm bullish on the company as we head into its earnings, I suggest that investors closely monitor its customer count figure, its stock-based compensation expenses, and its segment financials in its upcoming earnings report. These items can reveal the health of Palantir's growth momentum, and are likely going to determine where the shares head next. Good Luck!","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":891326907,"gmtCreate":1628337754209,"gmtModify":1633751583673,"author":{"id":"3576828470442075","authorId":"3576828470442075","name":"KL8388","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Up to the moon","listText":"Up to the moon","text":"Up to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891326907","repostId":1110216837,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":893435674,"gmtCreate":1628294811198,"gmtModify":1631888967237,"author":{"id":"3567239827558758","authorId":"3567239827558758","name":"Jypsy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66e331c670eb88443b88c6bdb76224cf","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893435674","repostId":1110216837,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":893969088,"gmtCreate":1628229883844,"gmtModify":1631890632415,"author":{"id":"3556604830864724","authorId":"3556604830864724","name":"CKAng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a7638688c06787a79008bb2d8ef3aa9","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Buy!","listText":"Buy!","text":"Buy!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893969088","repostId":1110216837,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":893057018,"gmtCreate":1628223761934,"gmtModify":1631887098497,"author":{"id":"3566259831309087","authorId":"3566259831309087","name":"Sumei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae0a2af1baf6b07a87ffdf41ea17959a","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"You really need to be able to withstand the roller coaster ride with palantir stock.I am long on Palantir as I think they have a good track&nbsp;record of winning five contracts. And they can only grow their commercial segment - with good marketing and perhaps less arrogance from their CEO.Also the stock based compensation seems to be pretty extreme -&nbsp;hopefully the stock price will eventually justify the executives’ pay…&nbsp;","listText":"You really need to be able to withstand the roller coaster ride with palantir stock.I am long on Palantir as I think they have a good track&nbsp;record of winning five contracts. And they can only grow their commercial segment - with good marketing and perhaps less arrogance from their CEO.Also the stock based compensation seems to be pretty extreme -&nbsp;hopefully the stock price will eventually justify the executives’ pay…&nbsp;","text":"You really need to be able to withstand the roller coaster ride with palantir stock.I am long on Palantir as I think they have a good track record of winning five contracts. And they can only grow their commercial segment - with good marketing and perhaps less arrogance from their CEO.Also the stock based compensation seems to be pretty extreme - hopefully the stock price will eventually justify the executives’ pay…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893057018","repostId":1110216837,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5445710,"gmtCreate":1628242480078,"gmtModify":1631887098496,"authorId":4087270675600580,"author":{"id":4087270675600580,"authorId":4087270675600580,"name":"Viboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d09f36a9730d96a3396498f4bc5453b","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":893057018,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[强]","text":"[强]","html":"[强]"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":893060854,"gmtCreate":1628221704478,"gmtModify":1633752455022,"author":{"id":"3585371187062638","authorId":"3585371187062638","name":"TeaTea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ba458c0dbadcba9dd68f0f70cddf937","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"[What]&nbsp;[What]&nbsp;","listText":"[What]&nbsp;[What]&nbsp;","text":"[What] [What]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893060854","repostId":1110216837,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":893099697,"gmtCreate":1628218861919,"gmtModify":1631889245594,"author":{"id":"3571475232560528","authorId":"3571475232560528","name":"神经蛙_9449","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f07f95eaf5012b75bfa75f419ece2a7f","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"nice！[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"nice！[得意]&nbsp;","text":"nice！[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893099697","repostId":1110216837,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":74,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":2,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.25.1","shortVersion":"4.25.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1110216837"}