A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank

yahoo finance2021-04-07

Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration. ...

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精彩评论

CWONG
2021-04-07
CWONG
3 months later possible, but guess not within this month.
UTOtrader
2021-04-07
UTOtrader
Buy buy buy$$$$$ trending high up for more profits$$$$$ like me follow me$$$$$
DeJenerate
2021-04-07
DeJenerate
Oh no
erichosk
2021-04-07
erichosk
Omg! Bad news!
超群yibo
2021-04-07
超群yibo
Foundamental companies with cash flow to cushion the damage when correction hit
HoSayBo
2021-04-07
HoSayBo
[无语] consolidating

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239

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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-07 07:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html><strong>yahoo finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"SPY","symbol_name":"标普500ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html","article_id":"1108754268","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"yahoofinance_sg","url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"","selectors":"article, body","filters":"","directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108754268","pubTimestamp":1617750152,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"yahoofinance_sg","name":"Yahoo Finance"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Tr","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"yahoo.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"translate_title":"德意志银行表示，股市“显著”的“整合”可能只需要几个月的时间","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9},"content_text":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\nBut the one thing that has powered the S&P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.\n\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.\nChadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.\n\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.\nThus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.\nTheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.\nMeanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.\nAnd last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.\nBut if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.\n\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":341192134,"gmtCreate":1617789735128,"gmtModify":1634296502722,"author":{"id":"3579300323687385","authorId":"3579300323687385","name":"CWONG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3579300323687385","idStr":"3579300323687385"},"htmlText":"3 months later possible, but guess not within this month.&nbsp;","listText":"3 months later possible, but guess not within this month.&nbsp;","text":"3 months later possible, but guess not within this month.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341192134","repostId":1108754268,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108754268","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617750152,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108754268?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-07 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108754268","media":"yahoo finance","summary":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Tr","content":"<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.</p>\n<p>But the one thing that has powered the S&amp;P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.</p>\n<p>\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Chadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.</p>\n<p>\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.</p>\n<p>Thus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.</p>\n<p>TheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.</p>\n<p>And last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.</p>\n<p>But if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.</p>\n<p>\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-07 07:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html><strong>yahoo finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108754268","content_text":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\nBut the one thing that has powered the S&P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.\n\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.\nChadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.\n\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.\nThus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.\nTheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.\nMeanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.\nAnd last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.\nBut if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.\n\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":341306193,"gmtCreate":1617777716112,"gmtModify":1634296561747,"author":{"id":"3574547619690492","authorId":"3574547619690492","name":"UTOtrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82be6befb29ac8516e463638d3f659d5","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3574547619690492","idStr":"3574547619690492"},"htmlText":"Buy buy buy$$$$$ trending high up for more profits$$$$$ like me follow me$$$$$","listText":"Buy buy buy$$$$$ trending high up for more profits$$$$$ like me follow me$$$$$","text":"Buy buy buy$$$$$ trending high up for more profits$$$$$ like me follow me$$$$$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341306193","repostId":1108754268,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108754268","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617750152,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108754268?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-07 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108754268","media":"yahoo finance","summary":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Tr","content":"<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.</p>\n<p>But the one thing that has powered the S&amp;P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.</p>\n<p>\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Chadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.</p>\n<p>\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.</p>\n<p>Thus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.</p>\n<p>TheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.</p>\n<p>And last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.</p>\n<p>But if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.</p>\n<p>\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-07 07:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html><strong>yahoo finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108754268","content_text":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\nBut the one thing that has powered the S&P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.\n\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.\nChadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.\n\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.\nThus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.\nTheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.\nMeanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.\nAnd last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.\nBut if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.\n\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":341308003,"gmtCreate":1617777587602,"gmtModify":1634296562350,"author":{"id":"3576057464713338","authorId":"3576057464713338","name":"DeJenerate","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3576057464713338","idStr":"3576057464713338"},"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341308003","repostId":1108754268,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108754268","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617750152,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108754268?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-07 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108754268","media":"yahoo finance","summary":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Tr","content":"<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.</p>\n<p>But the one thing that has powered the S&amp;P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.</p>\n<p>\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Chadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.</p>\n<p>\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.</p>\n<p>Thus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.</p>\n<p>TheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.</p>\n<p>And last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.</p>\n<p>But if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.</p>\n<p>\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-07 07:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html><strong>yahoo finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108754268","content_text":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\nBut the one thing that has powered the S&P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.\n\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.\nChadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.\n\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.\nThus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.\nTheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.\nMeanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.\nAnd last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.\nBut if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.\n\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":341943489,"gmtCreate":1617775038641,"gmtModify":1634296572484,"author":{"id":"3575433293784452","authorId":"3575433293784452","name":"erichosk","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3575433293784452","idStr":"3575433293784452"},"htmlText":"Omg! Bad news!","listText":"Omg! Bad news!","text":"Omg! Bad news!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341943489","repostId":1108754268,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108754268","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617750152,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108754268?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-07 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108754268","media":"yahoo finance","summary":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Tr","content":"<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.</p>\n<p>But the one thing that has powered the S&amp;P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.</p>\n<p>\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Chadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.</p>\n<p>\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.</p>\n<p>Thus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.</p>\n<p>TheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.</p>\n<p>And last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.</p>\n<p>But if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.</p>\n<p>\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-07 07:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html><strong>yahoo finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108754268","content_text":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\nBut the one thing that has powered the S&P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.\n\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.\nChadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.\n\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.\nThus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.\nTheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.\nMeanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.\nAnd last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.\nBut if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.\n\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":341952709,"gmtCreate":1617774454101,"gmtModify":1634296576628,"author":{"id":"3576231291459124","authorId":"3576231291459124","name":"超群yibo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6594cf6901beda8fdf0f00a0e5853f18","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3576231291459124","idStr":"3576231291459124"},"htmlText":"Foundamental companies with cash flow to cushion the damage when correction hit","listText":"Foundamental companies with cash flow to cushion the damage when correction hit","text":"Foundamental companies with cash flow to cushion the damage when correction hit","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341952709","repostId":1108754268,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108754268","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617750152,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108754268?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-07 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108754268","media":"yahoo finance","summary":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Tr","content":"<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.</p>\n<p>But the one thing that has powered the S&amp;P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.</p>\n<p>\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Chadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.</p>\n<p>\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.</p>\n<p>Thus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.</p>\n<p>TheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.</p>\n<p>And last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.</p>\n<p>But if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.</p>\n<p>\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-07 07:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html><strong>yahoo finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108754268","content_text":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\nBut the one thing that has powered the S&P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.\n\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.\nChadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.\n\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.\nThus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.\nTheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.\nMeanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.\nAnd last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.\nBut if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.\n\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":341956163,"gmtCreate":1617774277452,"gmtModify":1634296577788,"author":{"id":"3577273775400833","authorId":"3577273775400833","name":"HoSayBo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75258d10fa6a75acaa29bb93b8732c93","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3577273775400833","idStr":"3577273775400833"},"htmlText":"[无语]&nbsp;consolidating&nbsp;","listText":"[无语]&nbsp;consolidating&nbsp;","text":"[无语] consolidating","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341956163","repostId":1108754268,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108754268","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617750152,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108754268?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-07 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108754268","media":"yahoo finance","summary":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Tr","content":"<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.</p>\n<p>But the one thing that has powered the S&amp;P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.</p>\n<p>\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Chadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.</p>\n<p>\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.</p>\n<p>Thus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.</p>\n<p>TheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.</p>\n<p>And last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.</p>\n<p>But if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.</p>\n<p>\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA 'significant' stock market 'consolidation' may only be months away: Deutsche Bank\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-07 07:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html><strong>yahoo finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-significant-stock-market-consolidation-may-only-be-months-away-deutsche-bank-173851762.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108754268","content_text":"Nothing has been able to shake the new bull market in recent weeks — not a still elevated 10-year Treasury yield orthreats of higher taxeson the wealthy and corporations by the Biden administration.\nBut the one thing that has powered the S&P 500 beyond a record 4,000 — data that indicates a strong post COVID-19economic recovery is rapidly building— may turn out to ruin the rally. And it could play out within three months, warns widely followed Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chadha.\n\"Very near term, we expect equities to continue to be well supported by the acceleration in macro growth, and see buying by systematic strategies and buybacks driving a grind higher. But we expect a significant consolidation (-6% to -10%) as growth peaks over the next three months,\" Chadha wrote in a new research note on Tuesday.\nChadha calls out peaking ISM data — which has been coming in hot of late — as the potential trigger point for a steep market pullback.\n\"Our house economics forecast implies a flattening out of the ISMs at elevated levels beginning in Q2 (64) and continuing into Q3 (63). There are a number of considerations though that suggest the monthly ISMs peak more sharply over the next three months and slow in keeping with the historical inverted-V shaped pattern. We look for discretionary investor equity positioning to be pared with a peak in the ISMs and do not expect retail to buy the dip. We then see equities rallying back as our baseline remains for strong growth but only a gradual and modest rise in inflation,\" explains Chadha.\nThus far, investors are hardly positioned for any sizable spring/early summer swoon in stocks — with good reason as the economic data has been impressive.\nTheU.S. economy created 916,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. That crushed Wall Street estimates for a 660,000 increase. The gain has some economic forecasters tellingYahoo Finance Livethe economy could be on the verge of creating a million jobs a month very soon.\nMeanwhile, data fromIHS Markitand theInstitute for Supply Managementon activity in the services sector on Monday blew the doors off analyst estimates as the ISM's activity index surged to a record high, as Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland wrote in theMorning Briefnewsletter. IHS Markit's reading was the best in seven years, noted Udland.\nAnd last but not least,corporate profit estimatesfor the first quarter have continued to trend noticeably higher amid the acceleration in economic data.\nBut if economic data moderates as Chadha expects, the stock market could lose a key catalyst. That's not lost by Chadha's peers on Wall Street.\n\"Our view coming into 2021 was that earnings will drive markets higher and valuations will take a backseat, and actually be flat to down for the year. But the good news is actually starting to get priced in here, and we think it's going to become more challenging for investors and trickier,\" said Saira Malik, global equities chief investment officer and global portfolio manager at Nuveen, onYahoo Finance Live.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":239,"commentSize":84,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1108754268"}