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2021-07-12

$UTime Limited(UTME)$fly pls..come

2021-07-09

$UTime Limited(UTME)$lai..shoot again.

2021-07-09

$UTime Limited(UTME)$come on guys.suport suport this stock.

2021-07-08

$UTime Limited(UTME)$show us u can win @AMC

2021-07-08

$UTime Limited(UTME)$utme gogogo

2021-06-21

Like n comment

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-13

Like and comment

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-13

Comment and like pls

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-10

$Vaccinex Inc.(VCNX)$gogoog

2021-06-08

K

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-07

ya//@SaidTheSky:Like and comment TQ

U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote>

2021-06-07

Like and comment

Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>

2021-06-07

Like and comment

U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote>

2021-06-04

Pls like comments.

Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-06-02

Hmm

Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>

2021-06-02

Zz

Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>

2021-06-01

Comment pls.tq

Here Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的 11 家 IPO</blockquote>

2021-06-01

Awesome

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-31

Hmm

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-29

O

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167927358","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182932266,"gmtCreate":1623550054655,"gmtModify":1634031913188,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182932266","repostId":"2143788705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186404013,"gmtCreate":1623516398132,"gmtModify":1634032188018,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like pls","listText":"Comment and like pls","text":"Comment and like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186404013","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1974,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183557355,"gmtCreate":1623337365477,"gmtModify":1631891465056,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VCNX\">$Vaccinex Inc.(VCNX)$</a>gogoog","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VCNX\">$Vaccinex Inc.(VCNX)$</a>gogoog","text":"$Vaccinex Inc.(VCNX)$gogoog","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183557355","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1974,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114578490,"gmtCreate":1623082828210,"gmtModify":1634037122898,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114578490","repostId":"1108033863","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1982,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115284521,"gmtCreate":1623005663863,"gmtModify":1634096323894,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ya//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575627204316921\">@SaidTheSky</a>:Like and comment TQ","listText":"ya//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575627204316921\">@SaidTheSky</a>:Like and comment TQ","text":"ya//@SaidTheSky:Like and comment TQ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115284521","repostId":"1106312903","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106312903","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622855773,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1106312903?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106312903","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental h","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>  <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>  <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li> </ul> Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</li><li>支付平台 Marqeta 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。</li><li>中国在线招聘平台看准计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。</li></ul>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</blockquote></p><p> Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p><p><blockquote>支付平台<b>市场</b>(MQ) 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。该公司的平台允许企业启动和管理自己的卡计划，向客户或最终用户发行卡，以及授权和结算交易。Marqeta 发展迅速，其客户中包括 Affirm (AFRM) 和 DoorDash (DASH) 等品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线招聘平台<b>看准</b>(BZ) 计划以 82 亿美元的市值筹集 8.64 亿美元。看准的核心产品BOSS直聘是一个移动原生平台，促进求职者和企业客户之间的直接聊天。该公司声称，根据MAUs，它是2020年中国最大的在线招聘平台。</blockquote></p><p> Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>心理健康服务提供者<b>LifeStance健康</b>(LFST) 计划以 61 亿美元的市值筹集 6.4 亿美元。LifeStance表示，它已经建立了美国最大的门诊心理健康平台之一，截至2021年3月31日，在27个州的73个MSA雇佣了3300多名持牌心理健康临床医生。尽管息税前利润在2021年第一季度变为负值，但该公司仍表现出增长。</blockquote></p><p> Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p><p><blockquote>以色列的<b>星期一网</b>(MNDY) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 4.9 亿美元。monday.com允许组织轻松构建适合其需求的软件应用程序和工作管理工具。截至2021年3月31日，它为190多个国家200多个行业的近128,000名客户提供服务。Salesforce 和 Zoom 计划同时投资 1.5 亿美元进行私募。</blockquote></p><p> BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>BPO供应商<b>口袋</b>（任务）计划以25亿美元的市值筹集3.04亿美元。TaskUs是一家数字商业服务外包商，提供数字客户体验服务、内容安全服务和人工智能运营。截至2020年12月31日，该公司盈利且增长强劲，拥有100多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>数据驱动营销平台<b>泽塔全球</b>(ZETA) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。该公司的 Zeta 营销平台利用身份数据，通过电子邮件、社交媒体、网络、聊天、联网电视、视频和其他渠道锁定、联系和吸引消费者。Zeta 盈利，为 1,000 多名客户提供服务，到 2020 年将提供大约 5 亿次广告展示。</blockquote></p><p> Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p><p><blockquote>在线奢侈品市场<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) 计划以 7.73 亿美元的市值筹集 1.12 亿美元。1stDibs连接古董、古董和当代家具、家居装饰、珠宝、手表、艺术和时尚的买家和卖家。2020 年，该市场在过去一年中有超过 58,000 名买家进行了购买，平均每年总购买金额超过 5,500 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线辅导平台<b>掌门教育</b>(ZME) 计划以 19 亿美元的市值筹集 4300 万美元。掌门教育表示，自2017年以来，按收入计算，它一直是中国最大的在线K-12辅导服务提供商，2020年市场份额为32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将对 6 家公司进行街头调查，多达 11 家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年6月3日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌6.0%，而标普500上涨11.6%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括Zoom Video (ZM) 和优步 (UBER)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 1.1%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 10.5%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Nexi 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-05 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>  <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>  <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li> </ul> Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</li><li>支付平台 Marqeta 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。</li><li>中国在线招聘平台看准计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。</li></ul>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</blockquote></p><p> Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p><p><blockquote>支付平台<b>市场</b>(MQ) 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。该公司的平台允许企业启动和管理自己的卡计划，向客户或最终用户发行卡，以及授权和结算交易。Marqeta 发展迅速，其客户中包括 Affirm (AFRM) 和 DoorDash (DASH) 等品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线招聘平台<b>看准</b>(BZ) 计划以 82 亿美元的市值筹集 8.64 亿美元。看准的核心产品BOSS直聘是一个移动原生平台，促进求职者和企业客户之间的直接聊天。该公司声称，根据MAUs，它是2020年中国最大的在线招聘平台。</blockquote></p><p> Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>心理健康服务提供者<b>LifeStance健康</b>(LFST) 计划以 61 亿美元的市值筹集 6.4 亿美元。LifeStance表示，它已经建立了美国最大的门诊心理健康平台之一，截至2021年3月31日，在27个州的73个MSA雇佣了3300多名持牌心理健康临床医生。尽管息税前利润在2021年第一季度变为负值，但该公司仍表现出增长。</blockquote></p><p> Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p><p><blockquote>以色列的<b>星期一网</b>(MNDY) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 4.9 亿美元。monday.com允许组织轻松构建适合其需求的软件应用程序和工作管理工具。截至2021年3月31日，它为190多个国家200多个行业的近128,000名客户提供服务。Salesforce 和 Zoom 计划同时投资 1.5 亿美元进行私募。</blockquote></p><p> BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>BPO供应商<b>口袋</b>（任务）计划以25亿美元的市值筹集3.04亿美元。TaskUs是一家数字商业服务外包商，提供数字客户体验服务、内容安全服务和人工智能运营。截至2020年12月31日，该公司盈利且增长强劲，拥有100多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>数据驱动营销平台<b>泽塔全球</b>(ZETA) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。该公司的 Zeta 营销平台利用身份数据，通过电子邮件、社交媒体、网络、聊天、联网电视、视频和其他渠道锁定、联系和吸引消费者。Zeta 盈利，为 1,000 多名客户提供服务，到 2020 年将提供大约 5 亿次广告展示。</blockquote></p><p> Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p><p><blockquote>在线奢侈品市场<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) 计划以 7.73 亿美元的市值筹集 1.12 亿美元。1stDibs连接古董、古董和当代家具、家居装饰、珠宝、手表、艺术和时尚的买家和卖家。2020 年，该市场在过去一年中有超过 58,000 名买家进行了购买，平均每年总购买金额超过 5,500 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线辅导平台<b>掌门教育</b>(ZME) 计划以 19 亿美元的市值筹集 4300 万美元。掌门教育表示，自2017年以来，按收入计算，它一直是中国最大的在线K-12辅导服务提供商，2020年市场份额为32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将对 6 家公司进行街头调查，多达 11 家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年6月3日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌6.0%，而标普500上涨11.6%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括Zoom Video (ZM) 和优步 (UBER)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 1.1%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 10.5%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Nexi 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ZME":"掌门教育","BZ":"BOSS直聘",".DJI":"道琼斯","DIBS":"1stdibs.com Inc.","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd.","ZETA":"Zeta Global Holdings Corp.","TASK":"TaskUs Inc.","LFST":"LifeStance Health Group, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","MQ":"Marqeta, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106312903","content_text":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.\nMental health services provider LifeStance Health(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.\nIsrael’s monday.com(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.\nBPO vendor TaskUs(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.\nData-driven marketing platform Zeta Global(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.\nOnline luxury goods marketplace 1stDibs(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.\nChinese online tutoring platform Zhangmen Education(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"TASK":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"ZETA":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"LFST":0.9,"MNDY":0.9,"ZME":0.9,"DIBS":0.9,"MQ":0.9,"BZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115284206,"gmtCreate":1623005602305,"gmtModify":1634096324016,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115284206","repostId":"1120164826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120164826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622951745,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1120164826?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120164826","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was publishe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>  <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>  <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>  <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在 Seeking Alpha 上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group 的股价已下跌约 30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整后 EBITDA 指引疲软（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的远期市盈率仍接近 100 倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock Editories，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>这个<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，ZG已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向 iHome 业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与 ZG 的抵押贷款部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门融合得很好。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG 似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一句话——很可怜。此外，第二季度指引疲软，该公司计划今年额外招聘 2,000 名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理性</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com的人，看看当前的“Zestimate”对我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家来说是多少。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量中排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与 Realtor.com 争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow 集团在房地产网站市场（至少根据独特访问量指标）的份额增加了 3 倍多：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一个页面然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的比较。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的类似网站评级中肯定还有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们可以说rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大和市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的……观点和活动需要转化为利润，这就是 Zillow 集团与其相当高的估值相比陷入困境的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow 于 5 月 4 日发布了第一季度每股收益报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP 每股净利润为 0.20 美元，超出预期 0.13 美元。收入为 12.2 亿美元，比上年增长 1.2 亿美元，同比增长 8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序的流量强劲，平均每月用户数量为 2.21 亿（同比增长 15%），第一季度访问量为 25 亿次（同比增长 19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>Q1 最有趣的细分市场是 iHome（或 ZG 评级“Zillow 提供的”），因为它约占收入的 57%，并且是 Zillow 指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）仅为平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome 业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向 iHome 几乎削弱了公司的主要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着 Zillow 的广告收入将面临更大的压力，而广告收入通常来自其 iHome 部门现在正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率仅为 4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前进</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导总额调整后 EBITDA（1.28 亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>会大幅下降</b>第一季度交付的调整后 EBITDA 总额为 1.81 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在 SEC 10-Q 文件中找到）为 259,346,000 股（同比增长高达 23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股份数量将继续增长至约 2.655 亿股（基于上述指引）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后 EBITDA 下降，完全稀释股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近进行了调整（请注意，自我 3 月份发表 Seeking Alpha 文章以来，该股已下跌约 30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7x。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>就 Zillow 的增长前景（或非增长）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较……）考虑到第二季度指引疲软。此外，我不清楚什么催化剂将是改善该公司未来极低的利润率。尤其是考虑到<b>Zillow 计划今年增聘 2,000 名员工</b>，使其员工人数增加了约40%。在我看来，当谈到提高利润率时，员工人数的增长将是一个重大的阻力。也就是说，Zillow 在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向 iHome 也意味着 ZG 现在面临着更多的宏观风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买 Zillow Group 的风险是一个近乎完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于 ZG 的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价是完美的，而且自那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了 30%，现在我将简单地给 ZG 一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>商品消息是，Zillow 的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成 5.51 亿美元的股票发行后，该季度末拥有 47 亿美元现金（高于 2020 年底的 39 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为 22.59 亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末2.655亿股稀释后的流通股，该公司的净现金估计为每股9.19美元。Zillow 可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接接触房地产市场而导致的较高风险状况。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可以瞬息万变，并可能抓住ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结与结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 Zillow 的第一季度报告无疑在连续基础上有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其已证明的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎完全不正常。尽管房地产市场火爆且高度升值，但第二季度调整后 EBITDA 环比下降……嗯，我就是看不懂现在的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对它感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以 ZG 的五年价格图表作为结尾，并指出我的 50 美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来发布的每股收益报告并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前的110美元水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-06 11:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>  <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>  <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>  <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在 Seeking Alpha 上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group 的股价已下跌约 30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整后 EBITDA 指引疲软（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的远期市盈率仍接近 100 倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock Editories，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>这个<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，ZG已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向 iHome 业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与 ZG 的抵押贷款部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门融合得很好。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG 似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一句话——很可怜。此外，第二季度指引疲软，该公司计划今年额外招聘 2,000 名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理性</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com的人，看看当前的“Zestimate”对我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家来说是多少。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量中排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与 Realtor.com 争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow 集团在房地产网站市场（至少根据独特访问量指标）的份额增加了 3 倍多：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一个页面然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的比较。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的类似网站评级中肯定还有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们可以说rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大和市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的……观点和活动需要转化为利润，这就是 Zillow 集团与其相当高的估值相比陷入困境的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow 于 5 月 4 日发布了第一季度每股收益报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP 每股净利润为 0.20 美元，超出预期 0.13 美元。收入为 12.2 亿美元，比上年增长 1.2 亿美元，同比增长 8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序的流量强劲，平均每月用户数量为 2.21 亿（同比增长 15%），第一季度访问量为 25 亿次（同比增长 19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>Q1 最有趣的细分市场是 iHome（或 ZG 评级“Zillow 提供的”），因为它约占收入的 57%，并且是 Zillow 指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）仅为平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome 业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向 iHome 几乎削弱了公司的主要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着 Zillow 的广告收入将面临更大的压力，而广告收入通常来自其 iHome 部门现在正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率仅为 4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前进</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导总额调整后 EBITDA（1.28 亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>会大幅下降</b>第一季度交付的调整后 EBITDA 总额为 1.81 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在 SEC 10-Q 文件中找到）为 259,346,000 股（同比增长高达 23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股份数量将继续增长至约 2.655 亿股（基于上述指引）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后 EBITDA 下降，完全稀释股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近进行了调整（请注意，自我 3 月份发表 Seeking Alpha 文章以来，该股已下跌约 30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7x。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>就 Zillow 的增长前景（或非增长）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较……）考虑到第二季度指引疲软。此外，我不清楚什么催化剂将是改善该公司未来极低的利润率。尤其是考虑到<b>Zillow 计划今年增聘 2,000 名员工</b>，使其员工人数增加了约40%。在我看来，当谈到提高利润率时，员工人数的增长将是一个重大的阻力。也就是说，Zillow 在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向 iHome 也意味着 ZG 现在面临着更多的宏观风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买 Zillow Group 的风险是一个近乎完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于 ZG 的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价是完美的，而且自那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了 30%，现在我将简单地给 ZG 一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>商品消息是，Zillow 的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成 5.51 亿美元的股票发行后，该季度末拥有 47 亿美元现金（高于 2020 年底的 39 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为 22.59 亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末2.655亿股稀释后的流通股，该公司的净现金估计为每股9.19美元。Zillow 可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接接触房地产市场而导致的较高风险状况。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可以瞬息万变，并可能抓住ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结与结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 Zillow 的第一季度报告无疑在连续基础上有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其已证明的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎完全不正常。尽管房地产市场火爆且高度升值，但第二季度调整后 EBITDA 环比下降……嗯，我就是看不懂现在的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对它感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以 ZG 的五年价格图表作为结尾，并指出我的 50 美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来发布的每股收益报告并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前的110美元水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"Z":"Zillow"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120164826","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.\nThat is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.\nYet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Zillow Group (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.\nInvestment Rationale\nLike many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.\nIndeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:\nSource:Statista\nBut of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:\nSource:SimilarWeb.com\nWhen it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.\nHowever, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.\nQ1 Earnings\nZillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).\nThe most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.\nHowever, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:\nSource: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report\nAs can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?\nGoing Forward\nThe chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:\nSource: Zillow's Q1 EPS report\nAt the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that will be down considerably from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.\nIn addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).\nValuation\nSo we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.\nYet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March Zillow: Take Profits), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.\nThat is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.\nMeantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.\nRisks\nThe risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.\nThe goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.\nThat compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.\nSummary & Conclusion\nWhile Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.\nI will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.\nData byYCharts","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"Z":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115284693,"gmtCreate":1623005561112,"gmtModify":1634096324137,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115284693","repostId":"1106312903","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106312903","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622855773,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1106312903?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106312903","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental h","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>  <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>  <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li> </ul> Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</li><li>支付平台 Marqeta 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。</li><li>中国在线招聘平台看准计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。</li></ul>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</blockquote></p><p> Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p><p><blockquote>支付平台<b>市场</b>(MQ) 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。该公司的平台允许企业启动和管理自己的卡计划，向客户或最终用户发行卡，以及授权和结算交易。Marqeta 发展迅速，其客户中包括 Affirm (AFRM) 和 DoorDash (DASH) 等品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线招聘平台<b>看准</b>(BZ) 计划以 82 亿美元的市值筹集 8.64 亿美元。看准的核心产品BOSS直聘是一个移动原生平台，促进求职者和企业客户之间的直接聊天。该公司声称，根据MAUs，它是2020年中国最大的在线招聘平台。</blockquote></p><p> Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>心理健康服务提供者<b>LifeStance健康</b>(LFST) 计划以 61 亿美元的市值筹集 6.4 亿美元。LifeStance表示，它已经建立了美国最大的门诊心理健康平台之一，截至2021年3月31日，在27个州的73个MSA雇佣了3300多名持牌心理健康临床医生。尽管息税前利润在2021年第一季度变为负值，但该公司仍表现出增长。</blockquote></p><p> Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p><p><blockquote>以色列的<b>星期一网</b>(MNDY) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 4.9 亿美元。monday.com允许组织轻松构建适合其需求的软件应用程序和工作管理工具。截至2021年3月31日，它为190多个国家200多个行业的近128,000名客户提供服务。Salesforce 和 Zoom 计划同时投资 1.5 亿美元进行私募。</blockquote></p><p> BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>BPO供应商<b>口袋</b>（任务）计划以25亿美元的市值筹集3.04亿美元。TaskUs是一家数字商业服务外包商，提供数字客户体验服务、内容安全服务和人工智能运营。截至2020年12月31日，该公司盈利且增长强劲，拥有100多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>数据驱动营销平台<b>泽塔全球</b>(ZETA) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。该公司的 Zeta 营销平台利用身份数据，通过电子邮件、社交媒体、网络、聊天、联网电视、视频和其他渠道锁定、联系和吸引消费者。Zeta 盈利，为 1,000 多名客户提供服务，到 2020 年将提供大约 5 亿次广告展示。</blockquote></p><p> Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p><p><blockquote>在线奢侈品市场<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) 计划以 7.73 亿美元的市值筹集 1.12 亿美元。1stDibs连接古董、古董和当代家具、家居装饰、珠宝、手表、艺术和时尚的买家和卖家。2020 年，该市场在过去一年中有超过 58,000 名买家进行了购买，平均每年总购买金额超过 5,500 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线辅导平台<b>掌门教育</b>(ZME) 计划以 19 亿美元的市值筹集 4300 万美元。掌门教育表示，自2017年以来，按收入计算，它一直是中国最大的在线K-12辅导服务提供商，2020年市场份额为32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将对 6 家公司进行街头调查，多达 11 家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年6月3日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌6.0%，而标普500上涨11.6%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括Zoom Video (ZM) 和优步 (UBER)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 1.1%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 10.5%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Nexi 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-05 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>  <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>  <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li> </ul> Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</li><li>支付平台 Marqeta 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。</li><li>中国在线招聘平台看准计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。</li></ul>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</blockquote></p><p> Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p><p><blockquote>支付平台<b>市场</b>(MQ) 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。该公司的平台允许企业启动和管理自己的卡计划，向客户或最终用户发行卡，以及授权和结算交易。Marqeta 发展迅速，其客户中包括 Affirm (AFRM) 和 DoorDash (DASH) 等品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线招聘平台<b>看准</b>(BZ) 计划以 82 亿美元的市值筹集 8.64 亿美元。看准的核心产品BOSS直聘是一个移动原生平台，促进求职者和企业客户之间的直接聊天。该公司声称，根据MAUs，它是2020年中国最大的在线招聘平台。</blockquote></p><p> Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>心理健康服务提供者<b>LifeStance健康</b>(LFST) 计划以 61 亿美元的市值筹集 6.4 亿美元。LifeStance表示，它已经建立了美国最大的门诊心理健康平台之一，截至2021年3月31日，在27个州的73个MSA雇佣了3300多名持牌心理健康临床医生。尽管息税前利润在2021年第一季度变为负值，但该公司仍表现出增长。</blockquote></p><p> Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p><p><blockquote>以色列的<b>星期一网</b>(MNDY) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 4.9 亿美元。monday.com允许组织轻松构建适合其需求的软件应用程序和工作管理工具。截至2021年3月31日，它为190多个国家200多个行业的近128,000名客户提供服务。Salesforce 和 Zoom 计划同时投资 1.5 亿美元进行私募。</blockquote></p><p> BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>BPO供应商<b>口袋</b>（任务）计划以25亿美元的市值筹集3.04亿美元。TaskUs是一家数字商业服务外包商，提供数字客户体验服务、内容安全服务和人工智能运营。截至2020年12月31日，该公司盈利且增长强劲，拥有100多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>数据驱动营销平台<b>泽塔全球</b>(ZETA) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。该公司的 Zeta 营销平台利用身份数据，通过电子邮件、社交媒体、网络、聊天、联网电视、视频和其他渠道锁定、联系和吸引消费者。Zeta 盈利，为 1,000 多名客户提供服务，到 2020 年将提供大约 5 亿次广告展示。</blockquote></p><p> Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p><p><blockquote>在线奢侈品市场<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) 计划以 7.73 亿美元的市值筹集 1.12 亿美元。1stDibs连接古董、古董和当代家具、家居装饰、珠宝、手表、艺术和时尚的买家和卖家。2020 年，该市场在过去一年中有超过 58,000 名买家进行了购买，平均每年总购买金额超过 5,500 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线辅导平台<b>掌门教育</b>(ZME) 计划以 19 亿美元的市值筹集 4300 万美元。掌门教育表示，自2017年以来，按收入计算，它一直是中国最大的在线K-12辅导服务提供商，2020年市场份额为32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将对 6 家公司进行街头调查，多达 11 家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年6月3日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌6.0%，而标普500上涨11.6%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括Zoom Video (ZM) 和优步 (UBER)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 1.1%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 10.5%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Nexi 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ZME":"掌门教育","BZ":"BOSS直聘",".DJI":"道琼斯","DIBS":"1stdibs.com Inc.","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd.","ZETA":"Zeta Global Holdings Corp.","TASK":"TaskUs Inc.","LFST":"LifeStance Health Group, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","MQ":"Marqeta, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106312903","content_text":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.\nMental health services provider LifeStance Health(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.\nIsrael’s monday.com(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.\nBPO vendor TaskUs(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.\nData-driven marketing platform Zeta Global(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.\nOnline luxury goods marketplace 1stDibs(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.\nChinese online tutoring platform Zhangmen Education(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"TASK":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"ZETA":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"LFST":0.9,"MNDY":0.9,"ZME":0.9,"DIBS":0.9,"MQ":0.9,"BZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116580727,"gmtCreate":1622811782969,"gmtModify":1634097792966,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like comments.&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like comments.&nbsp;","text":"Pls like comments.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116580727","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113714389,"gmtCreate":1622640692341,"gmtModify":1634099689505,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113714389","repostId":"1181132025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181132025","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622636387,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1181132025?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 20:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181132025","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"S&P futures flat as investors bide time until key economic reportsAMC led 'meme stocks' higher again","content":"<p><ul><li>S&amp;P futures flat as investors bide time until key economic reports</li></ul><ul><li>AMC led 'meme stocks' higher again</li></ul>The latest leg of a surge in so-called \"meme stocks\" stood out in early moves on Wall Street on Wednesday, while futures tracking the main stock indexes were broadly flat ahead of closely watched economic data this week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>标准普尔期货持平，投资者等待关键经济报告发布</li></ul><ul><li>AMC带领“模因股”再次走高</li></ul>周三华尔街早盘，所谓“模因股票”的最新一波飙升表现突出，而在本周备受关注的经济数据公布之前，追踪主要股指的期货普遍持平。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 29 points, or 0.08%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 3.75 points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 8:10，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 29 点，即 0.08%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 1.25 点，即 0.03%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 3.75 点，即 0.03%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62983bd4f06e2229211aece573ee8ed9\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源：Tiger Trade，美国东部时间 08:10</span></p></blockquote></p><p>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc&nbsp;surged 23% to $40 in premarket trading, eyeing a record high with its stock trading 11 times analysts' median target price.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线控股公司在盘前交易中飙升 23%，至 40 美元，其股价是分析师目标价中位数的 11 倍，有望创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>Later in the day, investors will turn to the Fed's Beige Book report, which will give a glimpse of the state of the economy based on conversations with business contacts.</p><p><blockquote>当天晚些时候，投资者将转向美联储的褐皮书报告，该报告将根据与商业联系人的对话，一窥经济状况。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(AMC)</b> – AMC surged 23.7% in premarket trading following yesterday’s 22.7% jump. That came after the movie theater operator raised more than $230 million in a share sale to hedge fund Mudrick Capital, which is said to have immediately sold those shares at a profit.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线（AMC）</b>- 继昨天上涨 22.7% 之后，AMC 在盘前交易中大涨 23.7%。此前，这家电影院运营商通过向对冲基金 Mudrick Capital 出售股票筹集了超过 2.3 亿美元，据说该基金立即出售了这些股票获利。</blockquote></p><p><b>BlackBerry&nbsp;(BB)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;BlackBerry's U.S.-listed shares rose about 20% in pre-market trading, bringing their total yearly gains to more than 75%.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓（BB）</b>– 黑莓在美国上市的股票在盘前交易中上涨约 20%，使其年度总涨幅超过 75%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Zoom Video&nbsp;(ZM)</b> – Zoom came in 33 cents a share ahead of estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.33 per share. The video communications platform company’s revenue beat analysts’ forecasts as well, and the company gave upbeat guidance even as more people return to offices. Zoom shares gained 0.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video（ZM）</b>– Zoom 每股收益超出预期 33 美分，季度收益为每股 1.33 美元。这家视频通信平台公司的收入也超出了分析师的预测，即使越来越多的人重返办公室，该公司也给出了乐观的指引。Zoom 股价盘前上涨 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tesla&nbsp;(TSLA)</b> – Tesla was reportedly told by the Securities and Exchange Commission, once in 2019 and once in 2020, that it had failed to properly approve tweets by CEO Elon Musk on two occasions. The Wall Street Journal cited documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, which point to one tweet about Tesla’s stock price and another about production levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉（TSLA）</b>– 据报道，特斯拉在 2019 年和 2020 年分别被美国证券交易委员会告知，该委员会曾两次未能正确批准首席执行官埃隆·马斯克的推文。《华尔街日报》援引了根据《信息自由法》获得的文件，其中一条推文是关于特斯拉股价的，另一条是关于生产水平的。</blockquote></p><p><b>Etsy&nbsp;(ETSY) </b>– The online crafts marketplace announced&nbsp;a deal to buy fashion resale company Depop&nbsp;for $1.625 billion. London-based Depop will continue to operate as a separate marketplace after the deal is completed. Etsy rose 1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Etsy（Etsy）</b>– 在线工艺品市场宣布以 16.25 亿美元收购时尚转售公司 Depop。交易完成后，总部位于伦敦的 Depop 将继续作为一个独立的市场运营。Etsy 盘前上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;(TSM)</b> – The chip maker has begun construction at a new chip plant in Arizona, according to Chief Executive Officer C.C. Wei. He said the planned factory remains on track to begin chip production in 2024.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电（TSM）</b>– 据首席执行官 C.C. 称，该芯片制造商已开始在亚利桑那州建设一家新芯片工厂。魏。他表示，计划中的工厂仍有望于 2024 年开始芯片生产。</blockquote></p><p><b>RLX Technology&nbsp;(RLX)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;RLX Technology reported&nbsp;Q1 revenues $366.1 million,up 48.2% YOY;Non-GAAP net income&nbsp;was&nbsp;$93.2 million, up 45.6% YOY.The&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surged&nbsp;9%&nbsp;in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>RLX科技（RLX）</b>– RLX科技公布第一季度营收为 3.661 亿美元，同比增长 48.2%；非 GAAP 净利润为 9320 万美元，同比增长 45.6%。该股在盘前交易中飙升 9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Moderna&nbsp;(MRNA)</b> – The drugmaker announced a partnership with life sciences company&nbsp;Thermo Fisher Scientific&nbsp;(TMO) to provide manufacturing and packaging services for Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine as it seeks to ramp up production.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代（MRNA）</b>- 该制药商宣布与生命科学公司赛默飞世尔科学公司（TMO）合作，为 Moderna 公司的 Covid-19 疫苗提供生产和包装服务，以提高产量。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lands’ End&nbsp;(LE)</b> – The apparel retailer reported an unexpected profit of 8 cents per share, compared to a consensus forecast for a 29 cents per share quarterly loss. Revenue also exceeded estimates, helped by a jump in digital sales. Lands’ End surged 6.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>土地尽头(LE)</b>– 这家服装零售商公布的每股意外利润为 8 美分，而市场普遍预测的季度亏损为每股 29 美分。得益于数字销售的激增，收入也超出了预期。Lands's End 在盘前交易中飙升 6.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ambarella&nbsp;(AMBA) </b>– Ambarella beat estimates by 6 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 23 cents per share. The maker of video chips and components also saw its revenue beat Street projections, boosted by strong growth in the company’s automotive business. It also gave an upbeat outlook. Ambarella rallied 4.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>安巴雷拉（AMBA）</b>– 安霸每股收益超出预期 6 美分，季度利润为每股 23 美分。这家视频芯片和零部件制造商的收入也超出了华尔街的预期，这得益于公司汽车业务的强劲增长。它还给出了乐观的前景。安霸在盘前上涨 4.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Advance Auto Parts&nbsp;(AAP)</b> – The auto parts retailer earned $3.34 per share for its latest quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $3.08 a share. Revenue came in above estimates as well. Comparable-store sales increased 24.7%, slightly better than the 23% consensus estimate. Advance Auto noted sales strength from both do-it-yourself and professional customers.</p><p><blockquote><b>先进汽车零部件 (AAP)</b>– 这家汽车零部件零售商最新季度每股收益为 3.34 美元，超过了市场普遍预期的每股 3.08 美元。收入也高于预期。可比商店销售额增长 24.7%，略高于 23% 的普遍预期。Advance Auto 注意到来自 DIY 和专业客户的销售实力。</blockquote></p><p><b>Hewlett Packard Enterprise</b>&nbsp;<b>(HPE)</b> – Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported a quarterly profit of 46 cents per share, beating estimates by 4 cents a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. The enterprise computing company posted its first year-over-year revenue growth since 2018, however it also reported a sequential decline in hardware profit margins. Its shares fell 1.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>慧与</b> <b>（惠普）</b>– 慧与公布季度利润为每股 46 美分，超出预期每股 4 美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。这家企业计算公司公布了自2018年以来的首次收入同比增长，但它也报告了硬件利润率的连续下降。其股价在盘前交易中下跌 1.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Cinemark&nbsp;(CNK),IMAX&nbsp;(IMAX) </b>– Goldman Sachs downgraded both stocks to “sell” from “neutral,” saying an expected movie box office recovery in 2021 and 2022 is already reflected in the prices of both stocks and that there are “heightened risks” to that recovery. Cinemark lost 2.8% in premarket action, while IMAX fell 2.5%</p><p><blockquote><b>Cinemark (CNK)、IMAX (IMAX)</b>- 高盛将这两只股票的评级从 “中性 ”下调至 “卖出 ”，称 2021 年和 2022 年电影票房的预期复苏已经反映在这两只股票的价格中，而且这种复苏存在 “增加的风险”。Cinemark 盘前下跌 2.8%，IMAX 下跌 2.5%</blockquote></p><p><b>Scotts Miracle-Gro&nbsp;(SMG)</b> – Scotts raised its full-year financial outlook, as it expects the pandemic-related boost in sales of lawn and garden products to continue even as the pandemic recedes. Scotts now expects full-year sales growth of 17% to 19%, compared to a prior estimate of 8% to 12%. Scotts shares added 1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>斯科茨奇迹-Gro (SMG)</b>– Scotts 上调了全年财务展望，因为它预计，即使疫情消退，与疫情相关的草坪和花园产品销售增长仍将持续。Scotts 目前预计全年销售额增长 17% 至 19%，而之前的预期为 8% 至 12%。斯科特股价在盘前交易中上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-02 20:19</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>S&amp;P futures flat as investors bide time until key economic reports</li></ul><ul><li>AMC led 'meme stocks' higher again</li></ul>The latest leg of a surge in so-called \"meme stocks\" stood out in early moves on Wall Street on Wednesday, while futures tracking the main stock indexes were broadly flat ahead of closely watched economic data this week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>标准普尔期货持平，投资者等待关键经济报告发布</li></ul><ul><li>AMC带领“模因股”再次走高</li></ul>周三华尔街早盘，所谓“模因股票”的最新一波飙升表现突出，而在本周备受关注的经济数据公布之前，追踪主要股指的期货普遍持平。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 29 points, or 0.08%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 3.75 points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 8:10，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 29 点，即 0.08%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 1.25 点，即 0.03%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 3.75 点，即 0.03%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62983bd4f06e2229211aece573ee8ed9\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源：Tiger Trade，美国东部时间 08:10</span></p></blockquote></p><p>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc&nbsp;surged 23% to $40 in premarket trading, eyeing a record high with its stock trading 11 times analysts' median target price.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线控股公司在盘前交易中飙升 23%，至 40 美元，其股价是分析师目标价中位数的 11 倍，有望创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>Later in the day, investors will turn to the Fed's Beige Book report, which will give a glimpse of the state of the economy based on conversations with business contacts.</p><p><blockquote>当天晚些时候，投资者将转向美联储的褐皮书报告，该报告将根据与商业联系人的对话，一窥经济状况。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(AMC)</b> – AMC surged 23.7% in premarket trading following yesterday’s 22.7% jump. That came after the movie theater operator raised more than $230 million in a share sale to hedge fund Mudrick Capital, which is said to have immediately sold those shares at a profit.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线（AMC）</b>- 继昨天上涨 22.7% 之后，AMC 在盘前交易中大涨 23.7%。此前，这家电影院运营商通过向对冲基金 Mudrick Capital 出售股票筹集了超过 2.3 亿美元，据说该基金立即出售了这些股票获利。</blockquote></p><p><b>BlackBerry&nbsp;(BB)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;BlackBerry's U.S.-listed shares rose about 20% in pre-market trading, bringing their total yearly gains to more than 75%.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓（BB）</b>– 黑莓在美国上市的股票在盘前交易中上涨约 20%，使其年度总涨幅超过 75%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Zoom Video&nbsp;(ZM)</b> – Zoom came in 33 cents a share ahead of estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.33 per share. The video communications platform company’s revenue beat analysts’ forecasts as well, and the company gave upbeat guidance even as more people return to offices. Zoom shares gained 0.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video（ZM）</b>– Zoom 每股收益超出预期 33 美分，季度收益为每股 1.33 美元。这家视频通信平台公司的收入也超出了分析师的预测，即使越来越多的人重返办公室，该公司也给出了乐观的指引。Zoom 股价盘前上涨 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tesla&nbsp;(TSLA)</b> – Tesla was reportedly told by the Securities and Exchange Commission, once in 2019 and once in 2020, that it had failed to properly approve tweets by CEO Elon Musk on two occasions. The Wall Street Journal cited documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, which point to one tweet about Tesla’s stock price and another about production levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉（TSLA）</b>– 据报道，特斯拉在 2019 年和 2020 年分别被美国证券交易委员会告知，该委员会曾两次未能正确批准首席执行官埃隆·马斯克的推文。《华尔街日报》援引了根据《信息自由法》获得的文件，其中一条推文是关于特斯拉股价的，另一条是关于生产水平的。</blockquote></p><p><b>Etsy&nbsp;(ETSY) </b>– The online crafts marketplace announced&nbsp;a deal to buy fashion resale company Depop&nbsp;for $1.625 billion. London-based Depop will continue to operate as a separate marketplace after the deal is completed. Etsy rose 1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Etsy（Etsy）</b>– 在线工艺品市场宣布以 16.25 亿美元收购时尚转售公司 Depop。交易完成后，总部位于伦敦的 Depop 将继续作为一个独立的市场运营。Etsy 盘前上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;(TSM)</b> – The chip maker has begun construction at a new chip plant in Arizona, according to Chief Executive Officer C.C. Wei. He said the planned factory remains on track to begin chip production in 2024.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电（TSM）</b>– 据首席执行官 C.C. 称，该芯片制造商已开始在亚利桑那州建设一家新芯片工厂。魏。他表示，计划中的工厂仍有望于 2024 年开始芯片生产。</blockquote></p><p><b>RLX Technology&nbsp;(RLX)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;RLX Technology reported&nbsp;Q1 revenues $366.1 million,up 48.2% YOY;Non-GAAP net income&nbsp;was&nbsp;$93.2 million, up 45.6% YOY.The&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surged&nbsp;9%&nbsp;in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>RLX科技（RLX）</b>– RLX科技公布第一季度营收为 3.661 亿美元，同比增长 48.2%；非 GAAP 净利润为 9320 万美元，同比增长 45.6%。该股在盘前交易中飙升 9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Moderna&nbsp;(MRNA)</b> – The drugmaker announced a partnership with life sciences company&nbsp;Thermo Fisher Scientific&nbsp;(TMO) to provide manufacturing and packaging services for Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine as it seeks to ramp up production.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代（MRNA）</b>- 该制药商宣布与生命科学公司赛默飞世尔科学公司（TMO）合作，为 Moderna 公司的 Covid-19 疫苗提供生产和包装服务，以提高产量。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lands’ End&nbsp;(LE)</b> – The apparel retailer reported an unexpected profit of 8 cents per share, compared to a consensus forecast for a 29 cents per share quarterly loss. Revenue also exceeded estimates, helped by a jump in digital sales. Lands’ End surged 6.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>土地尽头(LE)</b>– 这家服装零售商公布的每股意外利润为 8 美分，而市场普遍预测的季度亏损为每股 29 美分。得益于数字销售的激增，收入也超出了预期。Lands's End 在盘前交易中飙升 6.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ambarella&nbsp;(AMBA) </b>– Ambarella beat estimates by 6 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 23 cents per share. The maker of video chips and components also saw its revenue beat Street projections, boosted by strong growth in the company’s automotive business. It also gave an upbeat outlook. Ambarella rallied 4.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>安巴雷拉（AMBA）</b>– 安霸每股收益超出预期 6 美分，季度利润为每股 23 美分。这家视频芯片和零部件制造商的收入也超出了华尔街的预期，这得益于公司汽车业务的强劲增长。它还给出了乐观的前景。安霸在盘前上涨 4.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Advance Auto Parts&nbsp;(AAP)</b> – The auto parts retailer earned $3.34 per share for its latest quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $3.08 a share. Revenue came in above estimates as well. Comparable-store sales increased 24.7%, slightly better than the 23% consensus estimate. Advance Auto noted sales strength from both do-it-yourself and professional customers.</p><p><blockquote><b>先进汽车零部件 (AAP)</b>– 这家汽车零部件零售商最新季度每股收益为 3.34 美元，超过了市场普遍预期的每股 3.08 美元。收入也高于预期。可比商店销售额增长 24.7%，略高于 23% 的普遍预期。Advance Auto 注意到来自 DIY 和专业客户的销售实力。</blockquote></p><p><b>Hewlett Packard Enterprise</b>&nbsp;<b>(HPE)</b> – Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported a quarterly profit of 46 cents per share, beating estimates by 4 cents a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. The enterprise computing company posted its first year-over-year revenue growth since 2018, however it also reported a sequential decline in hardware profit margins. Its shares fell 1.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>慧与</b> <b>（惠普）</b>– 慧与公布季度利润为每股 46 美分，超出预期每股 4 美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。这家企业计算公司公布了自2018年以来的首次收入同比增长，但它也报告了硬件利润率的连续下降。其股价在盘前交易中下跌 1.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Cinemark&nbsp;(CNK),IMAX&nbsp;(IMAX) </b>– Goldman Sachs downgraded both stocks to “sell” from “neutral,” saying an expected movie box office recovery in 2021 and 2022 is already reflected in the prices of both stocks and that there are “heightened risks” to that recovery. Cinemark lost 2.8% in premarket action, while IMAX fell 2.5%</p><p><blockquote><b>Cinemark (CNK)、IMAX (IMAX)</b>- 高盛将这两只股票的评级从 “中性 ”下调至 “卖出 ”，称 2021 年和 2022 年电影票房的预期复苏已经反映在这两只股票的价格中，而且这种复苏存在 “增加的风险”。Cinemark 盘前下跌 2.8%，IMAX 下跌 2.5%</blockquote></p><p><b>Scotts Miracle-Gro&nbsp;(SMG)</b> – Scotts raised its full-year financial outlook, as it expects the pandemic-related boost in sales of lawn and garden products to continue even as the pandemic recedes. Scotts now expects full-year sales growth of 17% to 19%, compared to a prior estimate of 8% to 12%. Scotts shares added 1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>斯科茨奇迹-Gro (SMG)</b>– Scotts 上调了全年财务展望，因为它预计，即使疫情消退，与疫情相关的草坪和花园产品销售增长仍将持续。Scotts 目前预计全年销售额增长 17% 至 19%，而之前的预期为 8% 至 12%。斯科特股价在盘前交易中上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","RLX":"雾芯科技",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BB":"黑莓","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线","ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","TSM":"台积电",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181132025","content_text":"S&P futures flat as investors bide time until key economic reportsAMC led 'meme stocks' higher againThe latest leg of a surge in so-called \"meme stocks\" stood out in early moves on Wall Street on Wednesday, while futures tracking the main stock indexes were broadly flat ahead of closely watched economic data this week.At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 29 points, or 0.08%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 3.75 points, or 0.03%.*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc surged 23% to $40 in premarket trading, eyeing a record high with its stock trading 11 times analysts' median target price.Later in the day, investors will turn to the Fed's Beige Book report, which will give a glimpse of the state of the economy based on conversations with business contacts.Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:AMC Entertainment (AMC) – AMC surged 23.7% in premarket trading following yesterday’s 22.7% jump. That came after the movie theater operator raised more than $230 million in a share sale to hedge fund Mudrick Capital, which is said to have immediately sold those shares at a profit.BlackBerry (BB) – BlackBerry's U.S.-listed shares rose about 20% in pre-market trading, bringing their total yearly gains to more than 75%.Zoom Video (ZM) – Zoom came in 33 cents a share ahead of estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.33 per share. The video communications platform company’s revenue beat analysts’ forecasts as well, and the company gave upbeat guidance even as more people return to offices. Zoom shares gained 0.6% in the premarket.Tesla (TSLA) – Tesla was reportedly told by the Securities and Exchange Commission, once in 2019 and once in 2020, that it had failed to properly approve tweets by CEO Elon Musk on two occasions. The Wall Street Journal cited documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, which point to one tweet about Tesla’s stock price and another about production levels.Etsy (ETSY) – The online crafts marketplace announced a deal to buy fashion resale company Depop for $1.625 billion. London-based Depop will continue to operate as a separate marketplace after the deal is completed. Etsy rose 1% in the premarket.Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) – The chip maker has begun construction at a new chip plant in Arizona, according to Chief Executive Officer C.C. Wei. He said the planned factory remains on track to begin chip production in 2024.RLX Technology (RLX) – RLX Technology reported Q1 revenues $366.1 million,up 48.2% YOY;Non-GAAP net income was $93.2 million, up 45.6% YOY.The shares surged 9% in premarket trading.Moderna (MRNA) – The drugmaker announced a partnership with life sciences company Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) to provide manufacturing and packaging services for Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine as it seeks to ramp up production.Lands’ End (LE) – The apparel retailer reported an unexpected profit of 8 cents per share, compared to a consensus forecast for a 29 cents per share quarterly loss. Revenue also exceeded estimates, helped by a jump in digital sales. Lands’ End surged 6.6% in premarket trading.Ambarella (AMBA) – Ambarella beat estimates by 6 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 23 cents per share. The maker of video chips and components also saw its revenue beat Street projections, boosted by strong growth in the company’s automotive business. It also gave an upbeat outlook. Ambarella rallied 4.9% in the premarket.Advance Auto Parts (AAP) – The auto parts retailer earned $3.34 per share for its latest quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $3.08 a share. Revenue came in above estimates as well. Comparable-store sales increased 24.7%, slightly better than the 23% consensus estimate. Advance Auto noted sales strength from both do-it-yourself and professional customers.Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) – Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported a quarterly profit of 46 cents per share, beating estimates by 4 cents a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. The enterprise computing company posted its first year-over-year revenue growth since 2018, however it also reported a sequential decline in hardware profit margins. Its shares fell 1.8% in premarket trading.Cinemark (CNK),IMAX (IMAX) – Goldman Sachs downgraded both stocks to “sell” from “neutral,” saying an expected movie box office recovery in 2021 and 2022 is already reflected in the prices of both stocks and that there are “heightened risks” to that recovery. Cinemark lost 2.8% in premarket action, while IMAX fell 2.5%Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) – Scotts raised its full-year financial outlook, as it expects the pandemic-related boost in sales of lawn and garden products to continue even as the pandemic recedes. Scotts now expects full-year sales growth of 17% to 19%, compared to a prior estimate of 8% to 12%. Scotts shares added 1% in premarket action.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"RLX":0.9,"ETSY":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"BB":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":608,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113738203,"gmtCreate":1622639768602,"gmtModify":1634099699218,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Zz","listText":"Zz","text":"Zz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113738203","repostId":"1181132025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181132025","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622636387,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1181132025?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 20:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181132025","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"S&P futures flat as investors bide time until key economic reportsAMC led 'meme stocks' higher again","content":"<p><ul><li>S&amp;P futures flat as investors bide time until key economic reports</li></ul><ul><li>AMC led 'meme stocks' higher again</li></ul>The latest leg of a surge in so-called \"meme stocks\" stood out in early moves on Wall Street on Wednesday, while futures tracking the main stock indexes were broadly flat ahead of closely watched economic data this week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>标准普尔期货持平，投资者等待关键经济报告发布</li></ul><ul><li>AMC带领“模因股”再次走高</li></ul>周三华尔街早盘，所谓“模因股票”的最新一波飙升表现突出，而在本周备受关注的经济数据公布之前，追踪主要股指的期货普遍持平。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 29 points, or 0.08%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 3.75 points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 8:10，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 29 点，即 0.08%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 1.25 点，即 0.03%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 3.75 点，即 0.03%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62983bd4f06e2229211aece573ee8ed9\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源：Tiger Trade，美国东部时间 08:10</span></p></blockquote></p><p>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc&nbsp;surged 23% to $40 in premarket trading, eyeing a record high with its stock trading 11 times analysts' median target price.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线控股公司在盘前交易中飙升 23%，至 40 美元，其股价是分析师目标价中位数的 11 倍，有望创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>Later in the day, investors will turn to the Fed's Beige Book report, which will give a glimpse of the state of the economy based on conversations with business contacts.</p><p><blockquote>当天晚些时候，投资者将转向美联储的褐皮书报告，该报告将根据与商业联系人的对话，一窥经济状况。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(AMC)</b> – AMC surged 23.7% in premarket trading following yesterday’s 22.7% jump. That came after the movie theater operator raised more than $230 million in a share sale to hedge fund Mudrick Capital, which is said to have immediately sold those shares at a profit.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线（AMC）</b>- 继昨天上涨 22.7% 之后，AMC 在盘前交易中大涨 23.7%。此前，这家电影院运营商通过向对冲基金 Mudrick Capital 出售股票筹集了超过 2.3 亿美元，据说该基金立即出售了这些股票获利。</blockquote></p><p><b>BlackBerry&nbsp;(BB)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;BlackBerry's U.S.-listed shares rose about 20% in pre-market trading, bringing their total yearly gains to more than 75%.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓（BB）</b>– 黑莓在美国上市的股票在盘前交易中上涨约 20%，使其年度总涨幅超过 75%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Zoom Video&nbsp;(ZM)</b> – Zoom came in 33 cents a share ahead of estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.33 per share. The video communications platform company’s revenue beat analysts’ forecasts as well, and the company gave upbeat guidance even as more people return to offices. Zoom shares gained 0.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video（ZM）</b>– Zoom 每股收益超出预期 33 美分，季度收益为每股 1.33 美元。这家视频通信平台公司的收入也超出了分析师的预测，即使越来越多的人重返办公室，该公司也给出了乐观的指引。Zoom 股价盘前上涨 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tesla&nbsp;(TSLA)</b> – Tesla was reportedly told by the Securities and Exchange Commission, once in 2019 and once in 2020, that it had failed to properly approve tweets by CEO Elon Musk on two occasions. The Wall Street Journal cited documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, which point to one tweet about Tesla’s stock price and another about production levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉（TSLA）</b>– 据报道，特斯拉在 2019 年和 2020 年分别被美国证券交易委员会告知，该委员会曾两次未能正确批准首席执行官埃隆·马斯克的推文。《华尔街日报》援引了根据《信息自由法》获得的文件，其中一条推文是关于特斯拉股价的，另一条是关于生产水平的。</blockquote></p><p><b>Etsy&nbsp;(ETSY) </b>– The online crafts marketplace announced&nbsp;a deal to buy fashion resale company Depop&nbsp;for $1.625 billion. London-based Depop will continue to operate as a separate marketplace after the deal is completed. Etsy rose 1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Etsy（Etsy）</b>– 在线工艺品市场宣布以 16.25 亿美元收购时尚转售公司 Depop。交易完成后，总部位于伦敦的 Depop 将继续作为一个独立的市场运营。Etsy 盘前上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;(TSM)</b> – The chip maker has begun construction at a new chip plant in Arizona, according to Chief Executive Officer C.C. Wei. He said the planned factory remains on track to begin chip production in 2024.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电（TSM）</b>– 据首席执行官 C.C. 称，该芯片制造商已开始在亚利桑那州建设一家新芯片工厂。魏。他表示，计划中的工厂仍有望于 2024 年开始芯片生产。</blockquote></p><p><b>RLX Technology&nbsp;(RLX)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;RLX Technology reported&nbsp;Q1 revenues $366.1 million,up 48.2% YOY;Non-GAAP net income&nbsp;was&nbsp;$93.2 million, up 45.6% YOY.The&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surged&nbsp;9%&nbsp;in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>RLX科技（RLX）</b>– RLX科技公布第一季度营收为 3.661 亿美元，同比增长 48.2%；非 GAAP 净利润为 9320 万美元，同比增长 45.6%。该股在盘前交易中飙升 9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Moderna&nbsp;(MRNA)</b> – The drugmaker announced a partnership with life sciences company&nbsp;Thermo Fisher Scientific&nbsp;(TMO) to provide manufacturing and packaging services for Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine as it seeks to ramp up production.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代（MRNA）</b>- 该制药商宣布与生命科学公司赛默飞世尔科学公司（TMO）合作，为 Moderna 公司的 Covid-19 疫苗提供生产和包装服务，以提高产量。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lands’ End&nbsp;(LE)</b> – The apparel retailer reported an unexpected profit of 8 cents per share, compared to a consensus forecast for a 29 cents per share quarterly loss. Revenue also exceeded estimates, helped by a jump in digital sales. Lands’ End surged 6.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>土地尽头(LE)</b>– 这家服装零售商公布的每股意外利润为 8 美分，而市场普遍预测的季度亏损为每股 29 美分。得益于数字销售的激增，收入也超出了预期。Lands's End 在盘前交易中飙升 6.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ambarella&nbsp;(AMBA) </b>– Ambarella beat estimates by 6 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 23 cents per share. The maker of video chips and components also saw its revenue beat Street projections, boosted by strong growth in the company’s automotive business. It also gave an upbeat outlook. Ambarella rallied 4.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>安巴雷拉（AMBA）</b>– 安霸每股收益超出预期 6 美分，季度利润为每股 23 美分。这家视频芯片和零部件制造商的收入也超出了华尔街的预期，这得益于公司汽车业务的强劲增长。它还给出了乐观的前景。安霸在盘前上涨 4.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Advance Auto Parts&nbsp;(AAP)</b> – The auto parts retailer earned $3.34 per share for its latest quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $3.08 a share. Revenue came in above estimates as well. Comparable-store sales increased 24.7%, slightly better than the 23% consensus estimate. Advance Auto noted sales strength from both do-it-yourself and professional customers.</p><p><blockquote><b>先进汽车零部件 (AAP)</b>– 这家汽车零部件零售商最新季度每股收益为 3.34 美元，超过了市场普遍预期的每股 3.08 美元。收入也高于预期。可比商店销售额增长 24.7%，略高于 23% 的普遍预期。Advance Auto 注意到来自 DIY 和专业客户的销售实力。</blockquote></p><p><b>Hewlett Packard Enterprise</b>&nbsp;<b>(HPE)</b> – Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported a quarterly profit of 46 cents per share, beating estimates by 4 cents a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. The enterprise computing company posted its first year-over-year revenue growth since 2018, however it also reported a sequential decline in hardware profit margins. Its shares fell 1.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>慧与</b> <b>（惠普）</b>– 慧与公布季度利润为每股 46 美分，超出预期每股 4 美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。这家企业计算公司公布了自2018年以来的首次收入同比增长，但它也报告了硬件利润率的连续下降。其股价在盘前交易中下跌 1.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Cinemark&nbsp;(CNK),IMAX&nbsp;(IMAX) </b>– Goldman Sachs downgraded both stocks to “sell” from “neutral,” saying an expected movie box office recovery in 2021 and 2022 is already reflected in the prices of both stocks and that there are “heightened risks” to that recovery. Cinemark lost 2.8% in premarket action, while IMAX fell 2.5%</p><p><blockquote><b>Cinemark (CNK)、IMAX (IMAX)</b>- 高盛将这两只股票的评级从 “中性 ”下调至 “卖出 ”，称 2021 年和 2022 年电影票房的预期复苏已经反映在这两只股票的价格中，而且这种复苏存在 “增加的风险”。Cinemark 盘前下跌 2.8%，IMAX 下跌 2.5%</blockquote></p><p><b>Scotts Miracle-Gro&nbsp;(SMG)</b> – Scotts raised its full-year financial outlook, as it expects the pandemic-related boost in sales of lawn and garden products to continue even as the pandemic recedes. Scotts now expects full-year sales growth of 17% to 19%, compared to a prior estimate of 8% to 12%. Scotts shares added 1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>斯科茨奇迹-Gro (SMG)</b>– Scotts 上调了全年财务展望，因为它预计，即使疫情消退，与疫情相关的草坪和花园产品销售增长仍将持续。Scotts 目前预计全年销售额增长 17% 至 19%，而之前的预期为 8% 至 12%。斯科特股价在盘前交易中上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-02 20:19</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>S&amp;P futures flat as investors bide time until key economic reports</li></ul><ul><li>AMC led 'meme stocks' higher again</li></ul>The latest leg of a surge in so-called \"meme stocks\" stood out in early moves on Wall Street on Wednesday, while futures tracking the main stock indexes were broadly flat ahead of closely watched economic data this week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>标准普尔期货持平，投资者等待关键经济报告发布</li></ul><ul><li>AMC带领“模因股”再次走高</li></ul>周三华尔街早盘，所谓“模因股票”的最新一波飙升表现突出，而在本周备受关注的经济数据公布之前，追踪主要股指的期货普遍持平。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 29 points, or 0.08%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 3.75 points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 8:10，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 29 点，即 0.08%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 1.25 点，即 0.03%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 3.75 点，即 0.03%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62983bd4f06e2229211aece573ee8ed9\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源：Tiger Trade，美国东部时间 08:10</span></p></blockquote></p><p>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc&nbsp;surged 23% to $40 in premarket trading, eyeing a record high with its stock trading 11 times analysts' median target price.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线控股公司在盘前交易中飙升 23%，至 40 美元，其股价是分析师目标价中位数的 11 倍，有望创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>Later in the day, investors will turn to the Fed's Beige Book report, which will give a glimpse of the state of the economy based on conversations with business contacts.</p><p><blockquote>当天晚些时候，投资者将转向美联储的褐皮书报告，该报告将根据与商业联系人的对话，一窥经济状况。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(AMC)</b> – AMC surged 23.7% in premarket trading following yesterday’s 22.7% jump. That came after the movie theater operator raised more than $230 million in a share sale to hedge fund Mudrick Capital, which is said to have immediately sold those shares at a profit.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线（AMC）</b>- 继昨天上涨 22.7% 之后，AMC 在盘前交易中大涨 23.7%。此前，这家电影院运营商通过向对冲基金 Mudrick Capital 出售股票筹集了超过 2.3 亿美元，据说该基金立即出售了这些股票获利。</blockquote></p><p><b>BlackBerry&nbsp;(BB)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;BlackBerry's U.S.-listed shares rose about 20% in pre-market trading, bringing their total yearly gains to more than 75%.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓（BB）</b>– 黑莓在美国上市的股票在盘前交易中上涨约 20%，使其年度总涨幅超过 75%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Zoom Video&nbsp;(ZM)</b> – Zoom came in 33 cents a share ahead of estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.33 per share. The video communications platform company’s revenue beat analysts’ forecasts as well, and the company gave upbeat guidance even as more people return to offices. Zoom shares gained 0.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video（ZM）</b>– Zoom 每股收益超出预期 33 美分，季度收益为每股 1.33 美元。这家视频通信平台公司的收入也超出了分析师的预测，即使越来越多的人重返办公室，该公司也给出了乐观的指引。Zoom 股价盘前上涨 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tesla&nbsp;(TSLA)</b> – Tesla was reportedly told by the Securities and Exchange Commission, once in 2019 and once in 2020, that it had failed to properly approve tweets by CEO Elon Musk on two occasions. The Wall Street Journal cited documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, which point to one tweet about Tesla’s stock price and another about production levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉（TSLA）</b>– 据报道，特斯拉在 2019 年和 2020 年分别被美国证券交易委员会告知，该委员会曾两次未能正确批准首席执行官埃隆·马斯克的推文。《华尔街日报》援引了根据《信息自由法》获得的文件，其中一条推文是关于特斯拉股价的，另一条是关于生产水平的。</blockquote></p><p><b>Etsy&nbsp;(ETSY) </b>– The online crafts marketplace announced&nbsp;a deal to buy fashion resale company Depop&nbsp;for $1.625 billion. London-based Depop will continue to operate as a separate marketplace after the deal is completed. Etsy rose 1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Etsy（Etsy）</b>– 在线工艺品市场宣布以 16.25 亿美元收购时尚转售公司 Depop。交易完成后，总部位于伦敦的 Depop 将继续作为一个独立的市场运营。Etsy 盘前上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;(TSM)</b> – The chip maker has begun construction at a new chip plant in Arizona, according to Chief Executive Officer C.C. Wei. He said the planned factory remains on track to begin chip production in 2024.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电（TSM）</b>– 据首席执行官 C.C. 称，该芯片制造商已开始在亚利桑那州建设一家新芯片工厂。魏。他表示，计划中的工厂仍有望于 2024 年开始芯片生产。</blockquote></p><p><b>RLX Technology&nbsp;(RLX)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;RLX Technology reported&nbsp;Q1 revenues $366.1 million,up 48.2% YOY;Non-GAAP net income&nbsp;was&nbsp;$93.2 million, up 45.6% YOY.The&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surged&nbsp;9%&nbsp;in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>RLX科技（RLX）</b>– RLX科技公布第一季度营收为 3.661 亿美元，同比增长 48.2%；非 GAAP 净利润为 9320 万美元，同比增长 45.6%。该股在盘前交易中飙升 9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Moderna&nbsp;(MRNA)</b> – The drugmaker announced a partnership with life sciences company&nbsp;Thermo Fisher Scientific&nbsp;(TMO) to provide manufacturing and packaging services for Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine as it seeks to ramp up production.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代（MRNA）</b>- 该制药商宣布与生命科学公司赛默飞世尔科学公司（TMO）合作，为 Moderna 公司的 Covid-19 疫苗提供生产和包装服务，以提高产量。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lands’ End&nbsp;(LE)</b> – The apparel retailer reported an unexpected profit of 8 cents per share, compared to a consensus forecast for a 29 cents per share quarterly loss. Revenue also exceeded estimates, helped by a jump in digital sales. Lands’ End surged 6.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>土地尽头(LE)</b>– 这家服装零售商公布的每股意外利润为 8 美分，而市场普遍预测的季度亏损为每股 29 美分。得益于数字销售的激增，收入也超出了预期。Lands's End 在盘前交易中飙升 6.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ambarella&nbsp;(AMBA) </b>– Ambarella beat estimates by 6 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 23 cents per share. The maker of video chips and components also saw its revenue beat Street projections, boosted by strong growth in the company’s automotive business. It also gave an upbeat outlook. Ambarella rallied 4.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>安巴雷拉（AMBA）</b>– 安霸每股收益超出预期 6 美分，季度利润为每股 23 美分。这家视频芯片和零部件制造商的收入也超出了华尔街的预期，这得益于公司汽车业务的强劲增长。它还给出了乐观的前景。安霸在盘前上涨 4.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Advance Auto Parts&nbsp;(AAP)</b> – The auto parts retailer earned $3.34 per share for its latest quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $3.08 a share. Revenue came in above estimates as well. Comparable-store sales increased 24.7%, slightly better than the 23% consensus estimate. Advance Auto noted sales strength from both do-it-yourself and professional customers.</p><p><blockquote><b>先进汽车零部件 (AAP)</b>– 这家汽车零部件零售商最新季度每股收益为 3.34 美元，超过了市场普遍预期的每股 3.08 美元。收入也高于预期。可比商店销售额增长 24.7%，略高于 23% 的普遍预期。Advance Auto 注意到来自 DIY 和专业客户的销售实力。</blockquote></p><p><b>Hewlett Packard Enterprise</b>&nbsp;<b>(HPE)</b> – Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported a quarterly profit of 46 cents per share, beating estimates by 4 cents a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. The enterprise computing company posted its first year-over-year revenue growth since 2018, however it also reported a sequential decline in hardware profit margins. Its shares fell 1.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>慧与</b> <b>（惠普）</b>– 慧与公布季度利润为每股 46 美分，超出预期每股 4 美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。这家企业计算公司公布了自2018年以来的首次收入同比增长，但它也报告了硬件利润率的连续下降。其股价在盘前交易中下跌 1.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Cinemark&nbsp;(CNK),IMAX&nbsp;(IMAX) </b>– Goldman Sachs downgraded both stocks to “sell” from “neutral,” saying an expected movie box office recovery in 2021 and 2022 is already reflected in the prices of both stocks and that there are “heightened risks” to that recovery. Cinemark lost 2.8% in premarket action, while IMAX fell 2.5%</p><p><blockquote><b>Cinemark (CNK)、IMAX (IMAX)</b>- 高盛将这两只股票的评级从 “中性 ”下调至 “卖出 ”，称 2021 年和 2022 年电影票房的预期复苏已经反映在这两只股票的价格中，而且这种复苏存在 “增加的风险”。Cinemark 盘前下跌 2.8%，IMAX 下跌 2.5%</blockquote></p><p><b>Scotts Miracle-Gro&nbsp;(SMG)</b> – Scotts raised its full-year financial outlook, as it expects the pandemic-related boost in sales of lawn and garden products to continue even as the pandemic recedes. Scotts now expects full-year sales growth of 17% to 19%, compared to a prior estimate of 8% to 12%. Scotts shares added 1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>斯科茨奇迹-Gro (SMG)</b>– Scotts 上调了全年财务展望，因为它预计，即使疫情消退，与疫情相关的草坪和花园产品销售增长仍将持续。Scotts 目前预计全年销售额增长 17% 至 19%，而之前的预期为 8% 至 12%。斯科特股价在盘前交易中上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","RLX":"雾芯科技",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BB":"黑莓","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线","ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","TSM":"台积电",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181132025","content_text":"S&P futures flat as investors bide time until key economic reportsAMC led 'meme stocks' higher againThe latest leg of a surge in so-called \"meme stocks\" stood out in early moves on Wall Street on Wednesday, while futures tracking the main stock indexes were broadly flat ahead of closely watched economic data this week.At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 29 points, or 0.08%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 3.75 points, or 0.03%.*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc surged 23% to $40 in premarket trading, eyeing a record high with its stock trading 11 times analysts' median target price.Later in the day, investors will turn to the Fed's Beige Book report, which will give a glimpse of the state of the economy based on conversations with business contacts.Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:AMC Entertainment (AMC) – AMC surged 23.7% in premarket trading following yesterday’s 22.7% jump. That came after the movie theater operator raised more than $230 million in a share sale to hedge fund Mudrick Capital, which is said to have immediately sold those shares at a profit.BlackBerry (BB) – BlackBerry's U.S.-listed shares rose about 20% in pre-market trading, bringing their total yearly gains to more than 75%.Zoom Video (ZM) – Zoom came in 33 cents a share ahead of estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.33 per share. The video communications platform company’s revenue beat analysts’ forecasts as well, and the company gave upbeat guidance even as more people return to offices. Zoom shares gained 0.6% in the premarket.Tesla (TSLA) – Tesla was reportedly told by the Securities and Exchange Commission, once in 2019 and once in 2020, that it had failed to properly approve tweets by CEO Elon Musk on two occasions. The Wall Street Journal cited documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, which point to one tweet about Tesla’s stock price and another about production levels.Etsy (ETSY) – The online crafts marketplace announced a deal to buy fashion resale company Depop for $1.625 billion. London-based Depop will continue to operate as a separate marketplace after the deal is completed. Etsy rose 1% in the premarket.Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) – The chip maker has begun construction at a new chip plant in Arizona, according to Chief Executive Officer C.C. Wei. He said the planned factory remains on track to begin chip production in 2024.RLX Technology (RLX) – RLX Technology reported Q1 revenues $366.1 million,up 48.2% YOY;Non-GAAP net income was $93.2 million, up 45.6% YOY.The shares surged 9% in premarket trading.Moderna (MRNA) – The drugmaker announced a partnership with life sciences company Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) to provide manufacturing and packaging services for Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine as it seeks to ramp up production.Lands’ End (LE) – The apparel retailer reported an unexpected profit of 8 cents per share, compared to a consensus forecast for a 29 cents per share quarterly loss. Revenue also exceeded estimates, helped by a jump in digital sales. Lands’ End surged 6.6% in premarket trading.Ambarella (AMBA) – Ambarella beat estimates by 6 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 23 cents per share. The maker of video chips and components also saw its revenue beat Street projections, boosted by strong growth in the company’s automotive business. It also gave an upbeat outlook. Ambarella rallied 4.9% in the premarket.Advance Auto Parts (AAP) – The auto parts retailer earned $3.34 per share for its latest quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $3.08 a share. Revenue came in above estimates as well. Comparable-store sales increased 24.7%, slightly better than the 23% consensus estimate. Advance Auto noted sales strength from both do-it-yourself and professional customers.Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) – Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported a quarterly profit of 46 cents per share, beating estimates by 4 cents a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. The enterprise computing company posted its first year-over-year revenue growth since 2018, however it also reported a sequential decline in hardware profit margins. Its shares fell 1.8% in premarket trading.Cinemark (CNK),IMAX (IMAX) – Goldman Sachs downgraded both stocks to “sell” from “neutral,” saying an expected movie box office recovery in 2021 and 2022 is already reflected in the prices of both stocks and that there are “heightened risks” to that recovery. Cinemark lost 2.8% in premarket action, while IMAX fell 2.5%Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) – Scotts raised its full-year financial outlook, as it expects the pandemic-related boost in sales of lawn and garden products to continue even as the pandemic recedes. Scotts now expects full-year sales growth of 17% to 19%, compared to a prior estimate of 8% to 12%. Scotts shares added 1% in premarket action.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"RLX":0.9,"ETSY":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"BB":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":731,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119951711,"gmtCreate":1622514887433,"gmtModify":1634100913013,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment pls.tq","listText":"Comment pls.tq","text":"Comment pls.tq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119951711","repostId":"1105273964","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105273964","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622511256,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105273964?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 09:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的 11 家 IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105273964","media":"Barron's","summary":"The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac, which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its ","content":"<p>The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股市场最近为那些能够在公司上市前获得股票的投资者带来了一些巨大的首日收益。</blockquote></p><p>But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.<i>Barron’s</i>looked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能得到这类机会。大多数散户投资者必须等到公司开始公开交易才能购买股票。<i>巴伦</i>查看过去 12 个月内上市的企业，寻找一些表现强劲的企业。</blockquote></p><p>First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们搜索通过传统首次公开募股上市的公司：这意味着我们过滤掉了与特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并的企业。然后，我们搜索了在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克上市的公司。我们还关注市值至少为 10 亿美元的实体。我们将搜索范围缩小到股票发行价总回报率最高的公司..</blockquote></p><p>That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .</p><p><blockquote>这样我们就有了11个名字。排名第一的是 CureVac（股票代码：CVAC），这是 screen 上表现最好的 IPO，总回报率为 596.75%。CureVac专注于信使RNA或mRNA技术，这是几个领先的新冠肺炎疫苗项目的基础。这家德国生物技术公司 8 月份以每股 16 美元的价格上市，首日股价飙升 249%，收于 55.90 美元。一月份，CureVac 与拜耳达成协议，加速其 Covid-19 候选疫苗的开发和供应。该公司基于 mRNA 的 Covid-19 疫苗目前正在进行临床试验，2b/3 期数据预计将于今年夏天公布。自首次公开募股以来，该股已上涨近一倍，周五收于 111.48 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的表现并不一定取决于第一天交易的成功。我们名单上的四家公司交易失败了，这意味着它们的股票在交易第一天就跌破了IPO价格。</blockquote></p><p>Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.</p><p><blockquote>典型案例：以星综合航运（ZIM）。这家轻资产航运公司于 1 月份上市，发行价为 15 美元，但当天收盘价为 11.50 美元。然而，到 5 月 19 日，以星公布第一季度收益为 5.896 亿美元，即每股收益 5.35 美元，其股价上涨了 295%。该公司还宣布派发每股 2 美元的特别现金股息。根据 FactSet 的数据，以星是过去 12 个月中表现第二好的 IPO，总回报率为 209.33%。周五收盘价为 46.40 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Another example isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading<b>.</b>Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.</p><p><blockquote>另一个例子是 isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors (ASO)：该公司于 10 月份上市，发行价为 13 美元，公开交易首日收盘价为 12.99 美元<b>.</b>Academy上市时盈利，这在IPO市场上实属罕见。今年 3 月，该公司报告称，截至 1 月 30 日的第四财季，其净利润增长 416%，达到 9150 万美元，即每股 97 美分。自 IPO 以来，其股价已上涨近两倍，周五交易价格为 36.53 美元。FactSet 表示，Academy Sports 排名第三，发行价总回报率为 181%。</blockquote></p><p>Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dedc209ede147958c015d3a586bb587\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"606\">Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的涨幅这些公司都是去年上市的，与 IPO 价格相比，总回报率很高。属于这一类别的还有 Corsair Gaming (CRSR)，这是一家为游戏玩家生产性能装备的加州公司，以及总部位于迪拜的 Dyalla Group (YALA)，后者生产一款在中东和北非使用的名为 Yalla 的语音聊天应用程序。在 9 月份 IPO 表现不佳后，这两只股票都强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p>Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.</p><p><blockquote>一些上榜的公司在首次亮相时股价飙升，但此后股价下跌。尽管如此，这些公司仍在盈利。</blockquote></p><p>ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce&nbsp;went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.</p><p><blockquote>考虑 BigCommerce (BIGC)，它提供云电子商务平台，供 SkullCandy、Savannah Bee Co 和 Cleveland Cavaliers 等客户使用。 BigCommerce 于 8 月上市，发行价为 24 美元，股价飙升 201%当天，收于 72.27 美元。自 IPO 以来，由于更广泛的技术抛售，该公司股价已下跌近 25%。</blockquote></p><p>The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司报告了一些积极的进展，例如 2 月份的一项交易，该交易将使 BigCommerce 客户能够在沃尔玛市场上直接销售。该公司还公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩。根据 FactSet 的数据，BigCommerce 的总回报率接近 127%。</blockquote></p><p>Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.</p><p><blockquote>其他公司自上市以来股价也大幅上涨。 Dream Finders Homes (DFH) 在高增长市场设计、建造和销售房屋，1 月份以每股 13 美元的价格首次交易时就已经盈利。首日股价飙升 61%，至 20.95 美元。3月份房价以2005年以来最快的速度增长，这对房地产股有所帮助。Dream Finders 股价自 IPO 以来已上涨近 52%，周五交易价格为 31.77 美元。Dream Finders 的发行价总回报率为 144.38%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的 11 家 IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的 11 家 IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-01 09:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股市场最近为那些能够在公司上市前获得股票的投资者带来了一些巨大的首日收益。</blockquote></p><p>But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.<i>Barron’s</i>looked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能得到这类机会。大多数散户投资者必须等到公司开始公开交易才能购买股票。<i>巴伦</i>查看过去 12 个月内上市的企业，寻找一些表现强劲的企业。</blockquote></p><p>First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们搜索通过传统首次公开募股上市的公司：这意味着我们过滤掉了与特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并的企业。然后，我们搜索了在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克上市的公司。我们还关注市值至少为 10 亿美元的实体。我们将搜索范围缩小到股票发行价总回报率最高的公司..</blockquote></p><p>That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .</p><p><blockquote>这样我们就有了11个名字。排名第一的是 CureVac（股票代码：CVAC），这是 screen 上表现最好的 IPO，总回报率为 596.75%。CureVac专注于信使RNA或mRNA技术，这是几个领先的新冠肺炎疫苗项目的基础。这家德国生物技术公司 8 月份以每股 16 美元的价格上市，首日股价飙升 249%，收于 55.90 美元。一月份，CureVac 与拜耳达成协议，加速其 Covid-19 候选疫苗的开发和供应。该公司基于 mRNA 的 Covid-19 疫苗目前正在进行临床试验，2b/3 期数据预计将于今年夏天公布。自首次公开募股以来，该股已上涨近一倍，周五收于 111.48 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的表现并不一定取决于第一天交易的成功。我们名单上的四家公司交易失败了，这意味着它们的股票在交易第一天就跌破了IPO价格。</blockquote></p><p>Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.</p><p><blockquote>典型案例：以星综合航运（ZIM）。这家轻资产航运公司于 1 月份上市，发行价为 15 美元，但当天收盘价为 11.50 美元。然而，到 5 月 19 日，以星公布第一季度收益为 5.896 亿美元，即每股收益 5.35 美元，其股价上涨了 295%。该公司还宣布派发每股 2 美元的特别现金股息。根据 FactSet 的数据，以星是过去 12 个月中表现第二好的 IPO，总回报率为 209.33%。周五收盘价为 46.40 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Another example isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading<b>.</b>Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.</p><p><blockquote>另一个例子是 isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors (ASO)：该公司于 10 月份上市，发行价为 13 美元，公开交易首日收盘价为 12.99 美元<b>.</b>Academy上市时盈利，这在IPO市场上实属罕见。今年 3 月，该公司报告称，截至 1 月 30 日的第四财季，其净利润增长 416%，达到 9150 万美元，即每股 97 美分。自 IPO 以来，其股价已上涨近两倍，周五交易价格为 36.53 美元。FactSet 表示，Academy Sports 排名第三，发行价总回报率为 181%。</blockquote></p><p>Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dedc209ede147958c015d3a586bb587\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"606\">Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的涨幅这些公司都是去年上市的，与 IPO 价格相比，总回报率很高。属于这一类别的还有 Corsair Gaming (CRSR)，这是一家为游戏玩家生产性能装备的加州公司，以及总部位于迪拜的 Dyalla Group (YALA)，后者生产一款在中东和北非使用的名为 Yalla 的语音聊天应用程序。在 9 月份 IPO 表现不佳后，这两只股票都强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p>Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.</p><p><blockquote>一些上榜的公司在首次亮相时股价飙升，但此后股价下跌。尽管如此，这些公司仍在盈利。</blockquote></p><p>ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce&nbsp;went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.</p><p><blockquote>考虑 BigCommerce (BIGC)，它提供云电子商务平台，供 SkullCandy、Savannah Bee Co 和 Cleveland Cavaliers 等客户使用。 BigCommerce 于 8 月上市，发行价为 24 美元，股价飙升 201%当天，收于 72.27 美元。自 IPO 以来，由于更广泛的技术抛售，该公司股价已下跌近 25%。</blockquote></p><p>The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司报告了一些积极的进展，例如 2 月份的一项交易，该交易将使 BigCommerce 客户能够在沃尔玛市场上直接销售。该公司还公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩。根据 FactSet 的数据，BigCommerce 的总回报率接近 127%。</blockquote></p><p>Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.</p><p><blockquote>其他公司自上市以来股价也大幅上涨。 Dream Finders Homes (DFH) 在高增长市场设计、建造和销售房屋，1 月份以每股 13 美元的价格首次交易时就已经盈利。首日股价飙升 61%，至 20.95 美元。3月份房价以2005年以来最快的速度增长，这对房地产股有所帮助。Dream Finders 股价自 IPO 以来已上涨近 52%，周五交易价格为 31.77 美元。Dream Finders 的发行价总回报率为 144.38%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/here-are-the-11-best-performing-ipos-of-the-year-51622472529?mod=hp_DAY_0\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/here-are-the-11-best-performing-ipos-of-the-year-51622472529?mod=hp_DAY_0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105273964","content_text":"The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.Barron’slooked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.Another example isAcademy Sports & Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading.Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 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n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167927358","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138620315,"gmtCreate":1621935788137,"gmtModify":1631888515372,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DPW\">$DPW Holdings, Inc.(DPW)$</a>🎃","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DPW\">$DPW Holdings, Inc.(DPW)$</a>🎃","text":"$DPW Holdings, Inc.(DPW)$🎃","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5f41e738f0c3e7cf8eb8215e78f9603","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138620315","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186404013,"gmtCreate":1623516398132,"gmtModify":1634032188018,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like pls","listText":"Comment and like pls","text":"Comment and like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186404013","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1974,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116580727,"gmtCreate":1622811782969,"gmtModify":1634097792966,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like comments.&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like comments.&nbsp;","text":"Pls like comments.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116580727","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115284206,"gmtCreate":1623005602305,"gmtModify":1634096324016,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115284206","repostId":"1120164826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120164826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622951745,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1120164826?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120164826","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was publishe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>  <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>  <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>  <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在 Seeking Alpha 上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group 的股价已下跌约 30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整后 EBITDA 指引疲软（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的远期市盈率仍接近 100 倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock Editories，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>这个<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，ZG已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向 iHome 业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与 ZG 的抵押贷款部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门融合得很好。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG 似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一句话——很可怜。此外，第二季度指引疲软，该公司计划今年额外招聘 2,000 名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理性</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com的人，看看当前的“Zestimate”对我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家来说是多少。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量中排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与 Realtor.com 争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow 集团在房地产网站市场（至少根据独特访问量指标）的份额增加了 3 倍多：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一个页面然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的比较。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的类似网站评级中肯定还有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们可以说rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大和市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的……观点和活动需要转化为利润，这就是 Zillow 集团与其相当高的估值相比陷入困境的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow 于 5 月 4 日发布了第一季度每股收益报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP 每股净利润为 0.20 美元，超出预期 0.13 美元。收入为 12.2 亿美元，比上年增长 1.2 亿美元，同比增长 8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序的流量强劲，平均每月用户数量为 2.21 亿（同比增长 15%），第一季度访问量为 25 亿次（同比增长 19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>Q1 最有趣的细分市场是 iHome（或 ZG 评级“Zillow 提供的”），因为它约占收入的 57%，并且是 Zillow 指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）仅为平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome 业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向 iHome 几乎削弱了公司的主要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着 Zillow 的广告收入将面临更大的压力，而广告收入通常来自其 iHome 部门现在正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率仅为 4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前进</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导总额调整后 EBITDA（1.28 亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>会大幅下降</b>第一季度交付的调整后 EBITDA 总额为 1.81 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在 SEC 10-Q 文件中找到）为 259,346,000 股（同比增长高达 23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股份数量将继续增长至约 2.655 亿股（基于上述指引）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后 EBITDA 下降，完全稀释股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近进行了调整（请注意，自我 3 月份发表 Seeking Alpha 文章以来，该股已下跌约 30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7x。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>就 Zillow 的增长前景（或非增长）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较……）考虑到第二季度指引疲软。此外，我不清楚什么催化剂将是改善该公司未来极低的利润率。尤其是考虑到<b>Zillow 计划今年增聘 2,000 名员工</b>，使其员工人数增加了约40%。在我看来，当谈到提高利润率时，员工人数的增长将是一个重大的阻力。也就是说，Zillow 在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向 iHome 也意味着 ZG 现在面临着更多的宏观风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买 Zillow Group 的风险是一个近乎完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于 ZG 的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价是完美的，而且自那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了 30%，现在我将简单地给 ZG 一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>商品消息是，Zillow 的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成 5.51 亿美元的股票发行后，该季度末拥有 47 亿美元现金（高于 2020 年底的 39 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为 22.59 亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末2.655亿股稀释后的流通股，该公司的净现金估计为每股9.19美元。Zillow 可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接接触房地产市场而导致的较高风险状况。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可以瞬息万变，并可能抓住ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结与结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 Zillow 的第一季度报告无疑在连续基础上有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其已证明的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎完全不正常。尽管房地产市场火爆且高度升值，但第二季度调整后 EBITDA 环比下降……嗯，我就是看不懂现在的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对它感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以 ZG 的五年价格图表作为结尾，并指出我的 50 美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来发布的每股收益报告并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前的110美元水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-06 11:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>  <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>  <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>  <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在 Seeking Alpha 上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group 的股价已下跌约 30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整后 EBITDA 指引疲软（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的远期市盈率仍接近 100 倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock Editories，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>这个<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，ZG已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向 iHome 业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与 ZG 的抵押贷款部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门融合得很好。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG 似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一句话——很可怜。此外，第二季度指引疲软，该公司计划今年额外招聘 2,000 名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理性</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com的人，看看当前的“Zestimate”对我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家来说是多少。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量中排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与 Realtor.com 争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow 集团在房地产网站市场（至少根据独特访问量指标）的份额增加了 3 倍多：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一个页面然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的比较。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的类似网站评级中肯定还有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们可以说rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大和市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的……观点和活动需要转化为利润，这就是 Zillow 集团与其相当高的估值相比陷入困境的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow 于 5 月 4 日发布了第一季度每股收益报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP 每股净利润为 0.20 美元，超出预期 0.13 美元。收入为 12.2 亿美元，比上年增长 1.2 亿美元，同比增长 8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序的流量强劲，平均每月用户数量为 2.21 亿（同比增长 15%），第一季度访问量为 25 亿次（同比增长 19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>Q1 最有趣的细分市场是 iHome（或 ZG 评级“Zillow 提供的”），因为它约占收入的 57%，并且是 Zillow 指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）仅为平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome 业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向 iHome 几乎削弱了公司的主要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着 Zillow 的广告收入将面临更大的压力，而广告收入通常来自其 iHome 部门现在正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率仅为 4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前进</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导总额调整后 EBITDA（1.28 亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>会大幅下降</b>第一季度交付的调整后 EBITDA 总额为 1.81 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在 SEC 10-Q 文件中找到）为 259,346,000 股（同比增长高达 23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股份数量将继续增长至约 2.655 亿股（基于上述指引）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后 EBITDA 下降，完全稀释股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近进行了调整（请注意，自我 3 月份发表 Seeking Alpha 文章以来，该股已下跌约 30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7x。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>就 Zillow 的增长前景（或非增长）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较……）考虑到第二季度指引疲软。此外，我不清楚什么催化剂将是改善该公司未来极低的利润率。尤其是考虑到<b>Zillow 计划今年增聘 2,000 名员工</b>，使其员工人数增加了约40%。在我看来，当谈到提高利润率时，员工人数的增长将是一个重大的阻力。也就是说，Zillow 在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向 iHome 也意味着 ZG 现在面临着更多的宏观风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买 Zillow Group 的风险是一个近乎完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于 ZG 的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价是完美的，而且自那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了 30%，现在我将简单地给 ZG 一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>商品消息是，Zillow 的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成 5.51 亿美元的股票发行后，该季度末拥有 47 亿美元现金（高于 2020 年底的 39 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为 22.59 亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末2.655亿股稀释后的流通股，该公司的净现金估计为每股9.19美元。Zillow 可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接接触房地产市场而导致的较高风险状况。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可以瞬息万变，并可能抓住ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结与结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 Zillow 的第一季度报告无疑在连续基础上有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其已证明的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎完全不正常。尽管房地产市场火爆且高度升值，但第二季度调整后 EBITDA 环比下降……嗯，我就是看不懂现在的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对它感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以 ZG 的五年价格图表作为结尾，并指出我的 50 美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来发布的每股收益报告并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前的110美元水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"Z":"Zillow"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120164826","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.\nThat is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.\nYet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Zillow Group (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.\nInvestment Rationale\nLike many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.\nIndeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:\nSource:Statista\nBut of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:\nSource:SimilarWeb.com\nWhen it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.\nHowever, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.\nQ1 Earnings\nZillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).\nThe most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.\nHowever, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:\nSource: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report\nAs can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?\nGoing Forward\nThe chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:\nSource: Zillow's Q1 EPS report\nAt the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that will be down considerably from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.\nIn addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).\nValuation\nSo we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.\nYet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March Zillow: Take Profits), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.\nThat is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.\nMeantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.\nRisks\nThe risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.\nThe goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.\nThat compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.\nSummary & Conclusion\nWhile Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.\nI will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.\nData byYCharts","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"Z":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119951711,"gmtCreate":1622514887433,"gmtModify":1634100913013,"author":{"id":"3582794706430345","authorId":"3582794706430345","name":"RedNinja","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6883ac54d2355d36e4a87487915f5837","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582794706430345","authorIdStr":"3582794706430345"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment pls.tq","listText":"Comment pls.tq","text":"Comment pls.tq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119951711","repostId":"1105273964","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105273964","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622511256,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105273964?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 09:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的 11 家 IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105273964","media":"Barron's","summary":"The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac, which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its ","content":"<p>The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股市场最近为那些能够在公司上市前获得股票的投资者带来了一些巨大的首日收益。</blockquote></p><p>But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.<i>Barron’s</i>looked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能得到这类机会。大多数散户投资者必须等到公司开始公开交易才能购买股票。<i>巴伦</i>查看过去 12 个月内上市的企业，寻找一些表现强劲的企业。</blockquote></p><p>First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们搜索通过传统首次公开募股上市的公司：这意味着我们过滤掉了与特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并的企业。然后，我们搜索了在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克上市的公司。我们还关注市值至少为 10 亿美元的实体。我们将搜索范围缩小到股票发行价总回报率最高的公司..</blockquote></p><p>That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .</p><p><blockquote>这样我们就有了11个名字。排名第一的是 CureVac（股票代码：CVAC），这是 screen 上表现最好的 IPO，总回报率为 596.75%。CureVac专注于信使RNA或mRNA技术，这是几个领先的新冠肺炎疫苗项目的基础。这家德国生物技术公司 8 月份以每股 16 美元的价格上市，首日股价飙升 249%，收于 55.90 美元。一月份，CureVac 与拜耳达成协议，加速其 Covid-19 候选疫苗的开发和供应。该公司基于 mRNA 的 Covid-19 疫苗目前正在进行临床试验，2b/3 期数据预计将于今年夏天公布。自首次公开募股以来，该股已上涨近一倍，周五收于 111.48 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的表现并不一定取决于第一天交易的成功。我们名单上的四家公司交易失败了，这意味着它们的股票在交易第一天就跌破了IPO价格。</blockquote></p><p>Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.</p><p><blockquote>典型案例：以星综合航运（ZIM）。这家轻资产航运公司于 1 月份上市，发行价为 15 美元，但当天收盘价为 11.50 美元。然而，到 5 月 19 日，以星公布第一季度收益为 5.896 亿美元，即每股收益 5.35 美元，其股价上涨了 295%。该公司还宣布派发每股 2 美元的特别现金股息。根据 FactSet 的数据，以星是过去 12 个月中表现第二好的 IPO，总回报率为 209.33%。周五收盘价为 46.40 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Another example isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading<b>.</b>Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.</p><p><blockquote>另一个例子是 isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors (ASO)：该公司于 10 月份上市，发行价为 13 美元，公开交易首日收盘价为 12.99 美元<b>.</b>Academy上市时盈利，这在IPO市场上实属罕见。今年 3 月，该公司报告称，截至 1 月 30 日的第四财季，其净利润增长 416%，达到 9150 万美元，即每股 97 美分。自 IPO 以来，其股价已上涨近两倍，周五交易价格为 36.53 美元。FactSet 表示，Academy Sports 排名第三，发行价总回报率为 181%。</blockquote></p><p>Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dedc209ede147958c015d3a586bb587\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"606\">Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的涨幅这些公司都是去年上市的，与 IPO 价格相比，总回报率很高。属于这一类别的还有 Corsair Gaming (CRSR)，这是一家为游戏玩家生产性能装备的加州公司，以及总部位于迪拜的 Dyalla Group (YALA)，后者生产一款在中东和北非使用的名为 Yalla 的语音聊天应用程序。在 9 月份 IPO 表现不佳后，这两只股票都强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p>Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.</p><p><blockquote>一些上榜的公司在首次亮相时股价飙升，但此后股价下跌。尽管如此，这些公司仍在盈利。</blockquote></p><p>ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce&nbsp;went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.</p><p><blockquote>考虑 BigCommerce (BIGC)，它提供云电子商务平台，供 SkullCandy、Savannah Bee Co 和 Cleveland Cavaliers 等客户使用。 BigCommerce 于 8 月上市，发行价为 24 美元，股价飙升 201%当天，收于 72.27 美元。自 IPO 以来，由于更广泛的技术抛售，该公司股价已下跌近 25%。</blockquote></p><p>The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司报告了一些积极的进展，例如 2 月份的一项交易，该交易将使 BigCommerce 客户能够在沃尔玛市场上直接销售。该公司还公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩。根据 FactSet 的数据，BigCommerce 的总回报率接近 127%。</blockquote></p><p>Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.</p><p><blockquote>其他公司自上市以来股价也大幅上涨。 Dream Finders Homes (DFH) 在高增长市场设计、建造和销售房屋，1 月份以每股 13 美元的价格首次交易时就已经盈利。首日股价飙升 61%，至 20.95 美元。3月份房价以2005年以来最快的速度增长，这对房地产股有所帮助。Dream Finders 股价自 IPO 以来已上涨近 52%，周五交易价格为 31.77 美元。Dream Finders 的发行价总回报率为 144.38%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的 11 家 IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的 11 家 IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-01 09:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股市场最近为那些能够在公司上市前获得股票的投资者带来了一些巨大的首日收益。</blockquote></p><p>But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.<i>Barron’s</i>looked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能得到这类机会。大多数散户投资者必须等到公司开始公开交易才能购买股票。<i>巴伦</i>查看过去 12 个月内上市的企业，寻找一些表现强劲的企业。</blockquote></p><p>First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们搜索通过传统首次公开募股上市的公司：这意味着我们过滤掉了与特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并的企业。然后，我们搜索了在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克上市的公司。我们还关注市值至少为 10 亿美元的实体。我们将搜索范围缩小到股票发行价总回报率最高的公司..</blockquote></p><p>That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .</p><p><blockquote>这样我们就有了11个名字。排名第一的是 CureVac（股票代码：CVAC），这是 screen 上表现最好的 IPO，总回报率为 596.75%。CureVac专注于信使RNA或mRNA技术，这是几个领先的新冠肺炎疫苗项目的基础。这家德国生物技术公司 8 月份以每股 16 美元的价格上市，首日股价飙升 249%，收于 55.90 美元。一月份，CureVac 与拜耳达成协议，加速其 Covid-19 候选疫苗的开发和供应。该公司基于 mRNA 的 Covid-19 疫苗目前正在进行临床试验，2b/3 期数据预计将于今年夏天公布。自首次公开募股以来，该股已上涨近一倍，周五收于 111.48 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的表现并不一定取决于第一天交易的成功。我们名单上的四家公司交易失败了，这意味着它们的股票在交易第一天就跌破了IPO价格。</blockquote></p><p>Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.</p><p><blockquote>典型案例：以星综合航运（ZIM）。这家轻资产航运公司于 1 月份上市，发行价为 15 美元，但当天收盘价为 11.50 美元。然而，到 5 月 19 日，以星公布第一季度收益为 5.896 亿美元，即每股收益 5.35 美元，其股价上涨了 295%。该公司还宣布派发每股 2 美元的特别现金股息。根据 FactSet 的数据，以星是过去 12 个月中表现第二好的 IPO，总回报率为 209.33%。周五收盘价为 46.40 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Another example isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading<b>.</b>Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.</p><p><blockquote>另一个例子是 isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors (ASO)：该公司于 10 月份上市，发行价为 13 美元，公开交易首日收盘价为 12.99 美元<b>.</b>Academy上市时盈利，这在IPO市场上实属罕见。今年 3 月，该公司报告称，截至 1 月 30 日的第四财季，其净利润增长 416%，达到 9150 万美元，即每股 97 美分。自 IPO 以来，其股价已上涨近两倍，周五交易价格为 36.53 美元。FactSet 表示，Academy Sports 排名第三，发行价总回报率为 181%。</blockquote></p><p>Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dedc209ede147958c015d3a586bb587\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"606\">Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的涨幅这些公司都是去年上市的，与 IPO 价格相比，总回报率很高。属于这一类别的还有 Corsair Gaming (CRSR)，这是一家为游戏玩家生产性能装备的加州公司，以及总部位于迪拜的 Dyalla Group (YALA)，后者生产一款在中东和北非使用的名为 Yalla 的语音聊天应用程序。在 9 月份 IPO 表现不佳后，这两只股票都强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p>Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.</p><p><blockquote>一些上榜的公司在首次亮相时股价飙升，但此后股价下跌。尽管如此，这些公司仍在盈利。</blockquote></p><p>ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce&nbsp;went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.</p><p><blockquote>考虑 BigCommerce (BIGC)，它提供云电子商务平台，供 SkullCandy、Savannah Bee Co 和 Cleveland Cavaliers 等客户使用。 BigCommerce 于 8 月上市，发行价为 24 美元，股价飙升 201%当天，收于 72.27 美元。自 IPO 以来，由于更广泛的技术抛售，该公司股价已下跌近 25%。</blockquote></p><p>The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司报告了一些积极的进展，例如 2 月份的一项交易，该交易将使 BigCommerce 客户能够在沃尔玛市场上直接销售。该公司还公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩。根据 FactSet 的数据，BigCommerce 的总回报率接近 127%。</blockquote></p><p>Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.</p><p><blockquote>其他公司自上市以来股价也大幅上涨。 Dream Finders Homes (DFH) 在高增长市场设计、建造和销售房屋，1 月份以每股 13 美元的价格首次交易时就已经盈利。首日股价飙升 61%，至 20.95 美元。3月份房价以2005年以来最快的速度增长，这对房地产股有所帮助。Dream Finders 股价自 IPO 以来已上涨近 52%，周五交易价格为 31.77 美元。Dream Finders 的发行价总回报率为 144.38%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/here-are-the-11-best-performing-ipos-of-the-year-51622472529?mod=hp_DAY_0\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/here-are-the-11-best-performing-ipos-of-the-year-51622472529?mod=hp_DAY_0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105273964","content_text":"The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.Barron’slooked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.Another example isAcademy Sports & Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading.Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. 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