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2021-11-08

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Inflation data, US eases travel restrictions: What to know this week

2021-10-15

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抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-30

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2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains

2021-05-26

[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-13

Imagine u r selling something the world needs badly & yr price dun move much [邪恶] [邪恶] [邪恶] Comment pls thks

Moderna Delivers More Bad News

2021-05-13

Imagine u are selling something the world needs badly & yr price dun move much [邪恶] [邪恶] [邪恶] Comment old thks

Moderna Delivers More Bad News

2021-05-12

Is this gona trigger the correction? [疑问] [疑问] [疑问] Comment pls thks

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-12

Of course....anyway it's already here[喷血] [喷血] [喷血]

Should We Fear, Inflation Is Here

2021-05-09

Will they stop??? [白眼] [白眼] [白眼] Comment & like thks

What Happens to Stocks and Cryptocurrencies When the Fed Stops Raining Money?

2021-05-08

More likely doge to the 🌙 [贱笑] [贱笑] [贱笑] Like & comment thks

Elon Musk could make fireworks on 'SNL.' Investors are betting on it

2021-05-08

$1...here I come [开心] [开心] [开心] Comment & like thks

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-06

The sky's the limit [强] [强] [强] Like & comment thks

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2021-05-03

[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] Comment & like thks

Singapore Airlines raises $1.5B via aircraft deal

2021-05-02

Nowadays ppl are spoilt for choice [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] Comment & like thks

Warren Buffett Faces Impatient Investors as Berkshire Hathaway Returns Decline

2021-04-29

[开心] [开心] [开心] Comment & like thks

Amazon Earnings Will Be Fantastic. What That Means for the Stock.

2021-04-28

All due for a correction [白眼]

Microsoft sales grow on cloud strength, shares dip on heightened valuation

2021-04-26

Seriously.....[惊讶] [惊讶] [惊讶]

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Separately, some travel restrictions are set to lift for those coming into the U.S. this week, offering a potential boost to a host of travel-related companies.Wall Street has been closely monitoring the incoming data on inflation during the reopening. Companies have struggled to meet a surge in demand as consumer mobilit","content":"<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d007acac6b3eac907b55cc31c798ff1\" tg-width=\"1878\" tg-height=\"2940\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Traders this week will receive another batch of economic data focused on inflation, helping to show whether price pressures have continued further during the economic recovery. Separately, some travel restrictions are set to lift for those coming into the U.S. this week, offering a potential boost to a host of travel-related companies.</p>\n<p>Wall Street has been closely monitoring the incoming data on inflation during the reopening. Companies have struggled to meet a surge in demand as consumer mobility picked up, leading to shortages and a slew of supply-chain related disruptions, which have in turn contributed to rising prices.</p>\n<p>The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index (CPI) due for release on Wednesday is expected to show that elevated inflation continued into October, with a variety of goods and services for consumers posting ongoing price increases.</p>\n<p>Consensus economists expect that the CPI rose 5.8% in October over last year, accelerating from September's 5.4% annual rate to reach the fastest rise since 1990. And on a month-over-month basis, the CPI likely rose 0.5% in October to pick up from September's 0.4% rate.</p>\n<p>“We will be watching for signs that the inflation problem is peaking,\" wrote David Donabedian, chief investment officer of CIBC Private Wealth U.S., in an email on Friday. \"But our expectation is for continued elevated readings, and we expect to be talking about high inflation six months from now. It is not going away.”</p>\n<p>Excluding more volatile food and energy prices, consensus economists are also expecting a pick-up in core categories. Over last year, the core CPI likely picked up to a 4.3% rate in October, up from September's 4.0% year-on-year increase. That would come in just below July's 4.5% year-over-year increase, which had been the biggest rise in the core rate since 1991.</p>\n<p>Some of the reopening-related categories that had seen a surge in prices earlier in the summer had cooled slightly in September, with the latest Delta variant wave of the pandemic dampening consumer demand for travel and related activities. But expect to see a rebound in October, some economists said.</p>\n<p>\"The acceleration in core CPI is likely to be led by services, with real activity starting to turn higher amid easing COVID concerns. Airline fares were still down nearly 25% from pre-pandemic levels in the September report, and we believe there will be scope for a sharp rebound this month,\" wrote <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> economist Michelle Meyer in a note. \"Transportation services should also be supported by a rebound in car and truck rental prices, and a modest increase in motor vehicle insurance prices. Lodging will be another beneficiary of the increase in travel.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b43701be1303941a051c63d2badfe537\" tg-width=\"6630\" tg-height=\"4353\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LOS ANGELES, CA - OCTOBER 21: Shoppers exit <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JWN\">Nordstrom</a> at The Grove on Thursday, Oct. 21, 2021 in Los Angeles, CA. Shoppers are enjoying the beautiful fall day. (Francine Orr / Los Angeles Times via <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTY\">Getty</a> Images)Francine Orr via Getty Images</p>\n<p>In terms of goods, however, Meyer noted that housing and furnishing, apparel and other supplies retailers may have cut prices in October to help pull forward holiday shopping, which could lead to softer overall gains in prices for these categories in Wednesday's CPI report.</p>\n<p>Still, inflationary pressures have remained much more pronounced and longer-lasting than some economists had anticipated. Supply chain shortages and rising commodities costs have led a variety of individual companies to announce price increases. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MDLZ\">Mondelez</a> (MDLZ), the maker of Oreo cookies and Ritz Crackers, said it was implementing 7% price increases in the U.S. in order to offset rising costs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLX\">Clorox</a> (CLX) said during its earnings call last week it was going to hike prices across 70% of its portfolio of cleaning and housing supplies by the end of the fiscal year. And the CEOs from a broad range of companies, from cosmetics company E.L.F Beauty (ELF) to outdoor recreational supplies company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VGL.AU\">Vista</a> Outdoor (VSTO), have recently discussed increasing price across their products in interviews on Yahoo Finance Live.</p>\n<p>For investors, the implications of these sustained inflationary pressures could mean tighter monetary policy and higher rates down the line. Federal Reserve officials tweaked their language on inflation in their monetary policy statement last Wednesday to show that they \"expected\" inflation to be transitory. This marked a departure from their previous assurances over the temporary nature of these price pressures.</p>\n<p>\"We said that supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic and the reopening of the economy have contributed to sizable price increases, and we said progress on vaccinations and an easing of supply constraints are expected to support continued gains in economic activity and employment as well as a reduction in inflation,\" Federal Reserve Chair Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> said during his post-FOMC meeting press conference last week. \"So, we're trying to explain what we mean and also acknowledging more uncertainty about 'transitory.'\"</p>\n<h2>US eases travel restrictions for vaccinated travelers</h2>\n<h2></h2>\n<p>On Monday, the U.S. is set to pare back travel restrictions on international visitors who show proof of vaccination, easing what had been months' worth of limitations on international tourism and inbound travel into the U.S.</p>\n<p>Both air and land border travel will be included in the changes. These restrictions had first been put in place in the early days of the pandemic during the Trump administration in March 2020, and were upheld by the Biden administration since January. Visitors from a plethora of countries had been impacted by these travel restrictions into the U.S. since the start of the pandemic, including from much of Europe and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a>. Foreign nationals entering the U.S. under the new rules will need to show proof of vaccination, and a negative COVID-19 test taken within three days if they are traveling by air.\"</p>\n<p>The easing of these restrictions lifts a weight on a number of companies within the airline and lodging industries. And already, a number of CEOs of these companies have underscored the potential pent-up demand that this would unlock.</p>\n<p>Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> such executive who pointed to the near-immediate reaction among consumers following the initial announcement of the easing restrictions by the White House last month.</p>\n<p>\"On Oct. 15, I believe it was that date that President Biden announced the reopening of the borders and asked the travelers come to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> States. Within <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> week of that announcement, we saw a 44% spike in nights booked for stays crossing borders coming into <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBCP\">United</a> States on Airbnb for stays Nov. 9 and later, which is when the borders were opened,\" said Chesky during the company's earnings call last week.</p>\n<p>This could also, however, cause some extended wait times and travel disruptions in the short-term, some executives warned.</p>\n<p>\"It's going to be a bit sloppy at first. I can assure you, there will be lines unfortunately... but we'll get it sorted out,\" Ed Bastian, CEO of Delta, reportedly said at a travel event last month.</p>\n<p>Data from the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) has showed a pick-up in the number of travelers checked in at U.S. airports over the past several months, pointing to a further jump in demand. On Nov. 4, traveler throughput was at more than 1.9 million, rising sharply from the 867,105 on the comparable day in 2020, but still coming in below the more than 2.5 million travelers counted on the comparable day of 2019.</p>\n<h2>Economic calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release </i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>NFIB Small Business Optimism index, October (99.3 expected, 99.1 in September); PPI Final Demand, month over month, October (0.6% expected, 0.5% in September); PPI excluding food and energy, month over month, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); PPI Final Demand, year over year, October (8.6% expected, 8.6% in September), PPI excluding food and energy, year over year, October (6.8% expected, 6.8% in September)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Nov. 5 (-3.3% during prior week); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 6 (265,000 expected, 269,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Oct. 30 (2.105 million during prior week); Consumer Price Index, month over month, October (0.4% expected, 0.2% in September); Consumer Price Index, year over year, October (5.8% expected, 5.4% in September); Consumer Price Index excluding food and energy, year over year, October (4.3%. expected, 4.0% in September); Wholesale Inventories, month over month, September final (1.1% expected, 1.1% in prior print); Monthly budget statement, October (-$61.5 billion in September)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday:</b> <i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>JOLTS Job Openings, September (10.439 million in August); University of Michigan Sentiment, November preliminary (72.4 expected, 71.7 in October)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h2>Earnings calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COTY\">Coty</a> Inc. (COTY) before market open; Clover Health Investment Corp. (CLOV), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REAL\">The RealReal</a> (REAL), Lemonade (LMND), Roblox (RBLX), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> (PYPL), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">Virgin Galactic</a> Holdings (SPCE), TripAdvisors (TRIP), SmileDirectClub (SDC), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> Holdings (AMC), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZNGA\">Zynga</a> (ZNGA) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Blue Apron (APRN), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">Workhorse</a> Group (WKHS), Palantir (PLTR) before market open; DoorDash (DASH), Poshmark (POSH), Coinbase (COIN), Vroom Inc. (VRM), fuboTV (FUBO), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">Plug Power</a> (PLUG), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WYNN\">Wynn</a> Resorts (WYNN), Nio (NIO) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>Disney (DIS), Opendoor Technologies (OPEN), Compass (COMP), Bumble (BMBL), Wish (WISH), Affirm Holdings (AFRM), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GNBC\">Green</a> Thumb Industries (GTII), SoFi Technologies (SOFI), Beyond Meat (BYND), Figs (FIGS), 23andMe Holdings (ME) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Tapestry (TPR), Yeti Holdings (YETI), Organon &amp; Co. (OGN) before market open; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLNKW\">Blink Charging Co.</a> (BLNK) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Bakkt Holdings (BKKT), Warby Parker (WRBY) before market open</p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation data, US eases travel restrictions: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation data, US eases travel restrictions: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-08 06:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inflation-data-us-eases-travel-restrictions-for-vaccinated-visitors-what-to-know-this-week-180012846.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders this week will receive another batch of economic data focused on inflation, helping to show whether price pressures have continued further during the economic recovery. Separately, some travel...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inflation-data-us-eases-travel-restrictions-for-vaccinated-visitors-what-to-know-this-week-180012846.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c2aece4b9a50fa60771d3a0b4727f3","relate_stocks":{"LUV":"西南航空","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust",".DJI":"道琼斯","JBLU":"捷蓝航空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","AAL":"美国航空","DAL":"达美航空",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inflation-data-us-eases-travel-restrictions-for-vaccinated-visitors-what-to-know-this-week-180012846.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2181238097","content_text":"Traders this week will receive another batch of economic data focused on inflation, helping to show whether price pressures have continued further during the economic recovery. Separately, some travel restrictions are set to lift for those coming into the U.S. this week, offering a potential boost to a host of travel-related companies.\nWall Street has been closely monitoring the incoming data on inflation during the reopening. Companies have struggled to meet a surge in demand as consumer mobility picked up, leading to shortages and a slew of supply-chain related disruptions, which have in turn contributed to rising prices.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index (CPI) due for release on Wednesday is expected to show that elevated inflation continued into October, with a variety of goods and services for consumers posting ongoing price increases.\nConsensus economists expect that the CPI rose 5.8% in October over last year, accelerating from September's 5.4% annual rate to reach the fastest rise since 1990. And on a month-over-month basis, the CPI likely rose 0.5% in October to pick up from September's 0.4% rate.\n“We will be watching for signs that the inflation problem is peaking,\" wrote David Donabedian, chief investment officer of CIBC Private Wealth U.S., in an email on Friday. \"But our expectation is for continued elevated readings, and we expect to be talking about high inflation six months from now. It is not going away.”\nExcluding more volatile food and energy prices, consensus economists are also expecting a pick-up in core categories. Over last year, the core CPI likely picked up to a 4.3% rate in October, up from September's 4.0% year-on-year increase. That would come in just below July's 4.5% year-over-year increase, which had been the biggest rise in the core rate since 1991.\nSome of the reopening-related categories that had seen a surge in prices earlier in the summer had cooled slightly in September, with the latest Delta variant wave of the pandemic dampening consumer demand for travel and related activities. But expect to see a rebound in October, some economists said.\n\"The acceleration in core CPI is likely to be led by services, with real activity starting to turn higher amid easing COVID concerns. Airline fares were still down nearly 25% from pre-pandemic levels in the September report, and we believe there will be scope for a sharp rebound this month,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note. \"Transportation services should also be supported by a rebound in car and truck rental prices, and a modest increase in motor vehicle insurance prices. Lodging will be another beneficiary of the increase in travel.\"\nLOS ANGELES, CA - OCTOBER 21: Shoppers exit Nordstrom at The Grove on Thursday, Oct. 21, 2021 in Los Angeles, CA. Shoppers are enjoying the beautiful fall day. (Francine Orr / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)Francine Orr via Getty Images\nIn terms of goods, however, Meyer noted that housing and furnishing, apparel and other supplies retailers may have cut prices in October to help pull forward holiday shopping, which could lead to softer overall gains in prices for these categories in Wednesday's CPI report.\nStill, inflationary pressures have remained much more pronounced and longer-lasting than some economists had anticipated. Supply chain shortages and rising commodities costs have led a variety of individual companies to announce price increases. Mondelez (MDLZ), the maker of Oreo cookies and Ritz Crackers, said it was implementing 7% price increases in the U.S. in order to offset rising costs. Clorox (CLX) said during its earnings call last week it was going to hike prices across 70% of its portfolio of cleaning and housing supplies by the end of the fiscal year. And the CEOs from a broad range of companies, from cosmetics company E.L.F Beauty (ELF) to outdoor recreational supplies company Vista Outdoor (VSTO), have recently discussed increasing price across their products in interviews on Yahoo Finance Live.\nFor investors, the implications of these sustained inflationary pressures could mean tighter monetary policy and higher rates down the line. Federal Reserve officials tweaked their language on inflation in their monetary policy statement last Wednesday to show that they \"expected\" inflation to be transitory. This marked a departure from their previous assurances over the temporary nature of these price pressures.\n\"We said that supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic and the reopening of the economy have contributed to sizable price increases, and we said progress on vaccinations and an easing of supply constraints are expected to support continued gains in economic activity and employment as well as a reduction in inflation,\" Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during his post-FOMC meeting press conference last week. \"So, we're trying to explain what we mean and also acknowledging more uncertainty about 'transitory.'\"\nUS eases travel restrictions for vaccinated travelers\n\nOn Monday, the U.S. is set to pare back travel restrictions on international visitors who show proof of vaccination, easing what had been months' worth of limitations on international tourism and inbound travel into the U.S.\nBoth air and land border travel will be included in the changes. These restrictions had first been put in place in the early days of the pandemic during the Trump administration in March 2020, and were upheld by the Biden administration since January. Visitors from a plethora of countries had been impacted by these travel restrictions into the U.S. since the start of the pandemic, including from much of Europe and China. Foreign nationals entering the U.S. under the new rules will need to show proof of vaccination, and a negative COVID-19 test taken within three days if they are traveling by air.\"\nThe easing of these restrictions lifts a weight on a number of companies within the airline and lodging industries. And already, a number of CEOs of these companies have underscored the potential pent-up demand that this would unlock.\nAirbnb CEO Brian Chesky was one such executive who pointed to the near-immediate reaction among consumers following the initial announcement of the easing restrictions by the White House last month.\n\"On Oct. 15, I believe it was that date that President Biden announced the reopening of the borders and asked the travelers come to United States. Within one week of that announcement, we saw a 44% spike in nights booked for stays crossing borders coming into United States on Airbnb for stays Nov. 9 and later, which is when the borders were opened,\" said Chesky during the company's earnings call last week.\nThis could also, however, cause some extended wait times and travel disruptions in the short-term, some executives warned.\n\"It's going to be a bit sloppy at first. I can assure you, there will be lines unfortunately... but we'll get it sorted out,\" Ed Bastian, CEO of Delta, reportedly said at a travel event last month.\nData from the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) has showed a pick-up in the number of travelers checked in at U.S. airports over the past several months, pointing to a further jump in demand. On Nov. 4, traveler throughput was at more than 1.9 million, rising sharply from the 867,105 on the comparable day in 2020, but still coming in below the more than 2.5 million travelers counted on the comparable day of 2019.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release \nTuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism index, October (99.3 expected, 99.1 in September); PPI Final Demand, month over month, October (0.6% expected, 0.5% in September); PPI excluding food and energy, month over month, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); PPI Final Demand, year over year, October (8.6% expected, 8.6% in September), PPI excluding food and energy, year over year, October (6.8% expected, 6.8% in September)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Nov. 5 (-3.3% during prior week); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 6 (265,000 expected, 269,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Oct. 30 (2.105 million during prior week); Consumer Price Index, month over month, October (0.4% expected, 0.2% in September); Consumer Price Index, year over year, October (5.8% expected, 5.4% in September); Consumer Price Index excluding food and energy, year over year, October (4.3%. expected, 4.0% in September); Wholesale Inventories, month over month, September final (1.1% expected, 1.1% in prior print); Monthly budget statement, October (-$61.5 billion in September)\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: JOLTS Job Openings, September (10.439 million in August); University of Michigan Sentiment, November preliminary (72.4 expected, 71.7 in October)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Coty Inc. (COTY) before market open; Clover Health Investment Corp. (CLOV), The RealReal (REAL), Lemonade (LMND), Roblox (RBLX), PayPal (PYPL), Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE), TripAdvisors (TRIP), SmileDirectClub (SDC), AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC), Zynga (ZNGA) after market close\nTuesday: Blue Apron (APRN), Workhorse Group (WKHS), Palantir (PLTR) before market open; DoorDash (DASH), Poshmark (POSH), Coinbase (COIN), Vroom Inc. (VRM), fuboTV (FUBO), Plug Power (PLUG), Wynn Resorts (WYNN), Nio (NIO) after market close\nWednesday: Disney (DIS), Opendoor Technologies (OPEN), Compass (COMP), Bumble (BMBL), Wish (WISH), Affirm Holdings (AFRM), Green Thumb Industries (GTII), SoFi Technologies (SOFI), Beyond Meat (BYND), Figs (FIGS), 23andMe Holdings (ME) after market close\nThursday: Tapestry (TPR), Yeti Holdings (YETI), Organon & Co. (OGN) before market open; Blink Charging Co. (BLNK) after market close\nFriday: Bakkt Holdings (BKKT), Warby Parker (WRBY) before market open","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825770133,"gmtCreate":1634259491547,"gmtModify":1634274409392,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825770133","repostId":"1129314610","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865626159,"gmtCreate":1632978169063,"gmtModify":1632978169913,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865626159","repostId":"1104172212","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104172212","pubTimestamp":1632965278,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104172212?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-30 09:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104172212","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.</li>\n <li>The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor.</li>\n <li>The key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The COVID-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. <b>We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening. Amid this backdrop, our outlook favors equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks.</b></p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>The post-lockdown recovery has transitioned from energetic youthfulness to awkward adolescence. It’s still growing, although at a slower pace, and there are worries about what happens next, particularly about monetary policy and the outlook for inflation. Theinflation spikehas been larger than expected, but we still think it istransitory, caused by base effects from when the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell during the lockdown last year and by temporary supply bottlenecks. Inflation may remain high over the remainder of 2021 but should decline in early 2022. This means that even though the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to begin tapering back on asset purchases before the end of the year, rate hikes are unlikely before the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>Another worry is thehighly contagious COVID-19 delta variant. The evidence so far is that vaccines are effective in preventing serious COVID-19 infections. Vaccination rates are accelerating globally, and emerging economies are catching up with developed markets. Infection rates appear to have peaked globally in early September. This means the reopening of economies should continue over the remainder of 2021. The onset of winter in the northern hemisphere will be a test, but the rollout of booster vaccination shots should help prevent widescale renewed lockdowns.</p>\n<p>The conclusions from our cycle, value and sentiment (CVS) investment decision-making process are broadly unchanged from our previous quarterly report. Global equities remain expensive, with the very expensive U.S. market offsetting better value elsewhere. Sentiment is slightly overbought, but not close to dangerous levels of euphoria. The strong cycle delivers a preference for equities over bonds for at least the next 12 months, despite expensive valuations. It also reinforces our preference for thevalue equity factor over the growth factorand for non-U.S. equities to outperform the U.S. market.</p>\n<p><b>Cycle still in recovery phase</b></p>\n<p>The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. Even so, we think the cycle is still in the recovery phase, although it is maturing. Despite strong growth, there is plenty of spare capacity. This can be seen in the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers in the United States. The chart below shows the ratio has recovered from the pandemic lows, but only to levels reached during the relatively mild recessions in the early 1990s and 2000s. We expect theU.S. labor-market recoveryshould still resemble a typical post-recession recovery over the next few quarters.</p>\n<p><b>U.S. EMPLOYMENT-POPULATION RATIO FOR PRIME-AGE WORKERS</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28a91fe2991463e2285879c32cb1b8c7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The U.S. recovery, however, is more advanced than that of other developed economies. The following chart shows how far GDP has recovered, relative to the pre-COVID-19 peak in 2019. GDP is 0.8% higher in the U.S., although this level is still short relative to the pre-COVID-19 trend. GDP is 2.5% below 2019 levels in the euro area and 4.5% below in the United Kingdom. We expect more cyclical upside for economic growth outside the U.S., and this should allow market leadership to rotate toward the rest of the world.</p>\n<p><b>GDP IN Q2 2021 RELATIVE TO PRE-COVID-19 PEAK IN 2019</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/577d1b96aef08b71c9bdb6665a21b2ac\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Two key indicators</b></p>\n<p>Last quarter, we listed two indicators that should offer a guide to the Fed’s expected reaction to the inflation spike.</p>\n<p>The first is five-year/five-year breakeven inflation expectations, based on the pricing of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). This is the market’s forecast for average inflation over five years in five years’ time. It tells us that investors expect inflation will average 2.17% in the five years from late 2026 to late 2031. The TIPS yields are based on the CPI, while the Fed targets inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) deflator. The two move together over time, but CPI inflation is generally around 0.25% higher than PCE inflation. A breakeven rate of 2.75% would suggest the market sees PCE inflation above 2.5% in five years’ time. Market inflation expectations are currently comfortably below the Fed’s worry point.</p>\n<p><b>WATCHPOINT INDICATOR #1: U.S. 5-YEAR/5-YEAR BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATE</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f3cf57b58f600fe6681e9015779e85\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The second indicator is the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker, and this has a less-comforting message about inflation risks. It reached 3.9% in August, which isclose to the 4% thresholdwhere we judge that the Fed will become concerned about the inflationary impact on the growth of wages. A breakdown shows that the spike has been mostly driven by wages for low-skilled, young people in the leisure and hospitality industry. This suggests the surge has been caused by temporary labor supply shortages and that wage pressures should subside as economic activity normalizes. This indicator, however, will be an important watchpoint over the next few months.</p>\n<p><b>WATCHPOINT INDICATOR #2: ATLANTA FED WAGE GROWTH TRACKER</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d3ff1ca26f6d29a28f919c65531c9a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Reopening trade still makes sense</b></p>\n<p>The reopening trade, which lifts long-term interest rates and favors cyclical and value stocks over technology and growth stocks, worked well for several months following the vaccine announcement last November. Value outperformed growth and yield curves steepened. The trade has reversed in recent months, however, amid fears that the delta variant might derail the economic recovery. The impact has been magnified by short covering in bond markets as investors, who have been short or underweight, have been forced by the rally to buy back into the market, pushing bond yields even lower.</p>\n<p>The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor. Financial stocks comprise the largest sector in the MSCI World Value Index, and they should benefit from further yield-curve steepening, which boosts the profitability of banks. Long-term interest rates should rise as global growth remains above trend, delta-variant fears fade, the short squeeze unwinds and central banks begin tapering back on bond purchases.</p>\n<p>The rotation in economic growth leadership away from the United States should also help the reopening trade. The rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks relative to the U.S., which has a higher weight to technology stocks.</p>\n<p>Emerging market (EM) equities have been poor performers since the vaccine announcement, but there are some encouraging signs. Initially, they were held back by the exposure to technology stocks in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. More recently, they have come under pressure from the slowdown in the Chinese economy and theregulatory crackdown on Chinese tech companies. The vaccine rollout across emerging markets has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon improve the growth outlook. The path of Chinese regulation is harder to predict, but it is now largely priced in, with Chinese technology companies underperforming their global peers by nearly 50% from February 2021 through mid-September.</p>\n<p>The resumption of the reopening trade should also result in U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded sideways since the vaccine announcement. It should weaken once investors have confidence that delta-variant risks are subsiding and realize that the Fed is likely to remain dovish as inflation risks decline. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. Dollar weakness should support the performance of non-U.S. markets, particularly emerging markets.</p>\n<p><b>Risks: variants, inflation, China weakness</b></p>\n<p>The key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter. The evidence so far is that vaccinations are highly effective in preventing serious illness. In Israel, booster shots appear to have slowed the rate of new cases.</p>\n<p>Another watchpoint is inflation and the response of central banks. Our expectation is that this year’s inflation spike is mostly transitory and that the major central banks, led by the Fed, are still two years from raising interest rates.</p>\n<p>Finally, there is the risk of a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.Credit growth has slowed this yearand the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) have trended lower. Monetary and fiscal policy have been eased, however, and senior officials have signaled that more stimulus is on the way. China policy direction and credit trends will be an important watchpoint over coming months.</p>\n<p><b>Regional snapshotsUnited States</b></p>\n<p>The U.S. economy is likely to sustain above-trend growth into 2022. However, the easiest gains appear in the rear-view mirror at the end of the third quarter as the recovery phase of the business cycle matures. This is most visible for corporate earnings, where S&amp;P 500® Index earnings-per-share already sit 20% above their previous cyclical high.</p>\n<p>Strong fundamentals have helped power the stock market to new highs. Early evidence that the delta-variant wave may be fading and the potential for greater vaccine access for children are positives for a more complete recovery in the quarters ahead. The Fedlooks poised to start tapering its asset purchasesaround the end of 2021. The timing of the first rate hike will then hinge on what happens to inflation next year. Our models suggest that inflation is likely to drop back below the Fed’s 2% target in 2022. If that is correct, the Fed is likely to remain on hold into the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>Wage inflation is a key risk to this view. It is running unusually strong for this stage of the cycle, and record hiring intentions from businesses could exhaust spare capacity in the year ahead. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise moderately from 1.37% in mid-September to 1.75% in coming months.</p>\n<p>Fiscal stimulus negotiations continue to grab headlines in Washington, D.C. Thetax provisions in these billsare likely to be the most impactful for financial markets. We estimate thathigher corporate taxescould subtract about four percentage points from S&amp;P 500 earnings growth in 2022. This could create volatility and opportunity in markets. Given our strong cyclical outlook, our bias continues to be a<i>risk-on</i>preference for equities over bonds for the medium-term.</p>\n<p><b>Eurozone</b></p>\n<p>Euro area growthslowed through the third quarter but looks on track for a return to above-trend growth over the fourth quarter and into 2022. Vaccination rates are high, and the euro area has more catch-up potential than other major economies, particularly the United States. The euro area is also set to receive more fiscal support than other regions, with the European Union’s pandemic recovery fund only just starting to disburse stimulus, which will provide significant support in southern Europe. Polls in advance of Germany’s federal election on Sept. 26 suggested the electorate was moving toward the political left, which means the new government is likely to support expansionary fiscal policy and a continued dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB).</p>\n<p>The MSCI EMU Index, which reflects the European Economic and Monetary Union, has performed broadly in line with the S&amp;P 500 so far in 2021. We think it has potential to outperform in coming quarters. Europe’s exposure to financials and cyclically sensitive sectors such as industrials, materials and energy, and its relatively small exposure to technology, gives it the potential to outperform as delta-variant fears subside, economic activity picks up and yield curves in Europe steepen.</p>\n<p><b>United Kingdom</b></p>\n<p>As of mid-year, UK GDP was still nearly 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak. We see plenty of scope for strong catch-up growth as borders are fully reopened and activity normalizes. Supply bottlenecks and labor shortages have triggered a sharp rise in underlying inflation and created concerns that the Bank of England (BoE) may start rate hikes in the first half of 2022. We think the BoE is unlikely to be that aggressive. We expect inflation to decline in early 2022 as supply constraints ease, which should convince the BoE to delay rate hikes.</p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 Index is the cheapest of the major developed equity markets in late 2021, and this should help it reflect higher returns than other markets over the next decade. Around 70% of UK corporate earnings come from offshore, so one near-term risk is that further strengthening of British sterling dampens earnings growth. The other risks are mostly around policy missteps, for example, early tightening by the Bank of England.</p>\n<p><b>Japan</b></p>\n<p>The Japanese economy is expected to get a shot in the arm as rising vaccination rates improve mobility and reduce the risk of further lockdowns, and as political leadership changes result in more fiscal stimulus: the Japanese election is due to be held before Nov. 28. Japanese equities look slightly more expensive than other regions such as the UK and Europe. We maintain our view that the Bank of Japan will significantly lag other central banks in normalizing policy.</p>\n<p><b>China</b></p>\n<p>We expect Chinese economic growth to berobust over the next 12 months, supported by a post-lockdown jump in consumer spending and incremental fiscal and monetary easing. Despite a big improvement in vaccination rates,COVID-19 outbreaks remain a riskgiven the Chinese government’s zero-tolerance approach. The major consumer technology companies have seen significant drops in stock prices recently due to more aggressive regulation. Some uncertainty remains around thepath of future regulation, especially as it relates to technology companies, and as a result we expect investors will remain cautious on Chinese equities in the coming months. The property market, particularly property developers as recently highlighted by Evergrande’s debt crisis, remains a risk that we are monitoring closely.</p>\n<p><b>Canada</b></p>\n<p>Canada leads the G71countries in terms of the vaccination rollout, which should minimize the risk of large-scale lockdowns over winter. The delta variant has taken an economic toll, however, with industry consensus projections now predicting 5% GDP growth in 2021 versus estimates of more than 6% just three months ago. Even so, growth remains above-trend and the odds of additional fiscal expenditures to support the economy have increased. This means that weaker growth due to COVID-19 is unlikely to change the Bank of Canada's (BoC) tightening bias.</p>\n<p>Tapering of asset purchasesshould be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2022. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated that the reinvestment phase of the bonds held by the central bank will commence once quantitative easing has ended. This should generate an estimated C$1 billion in weekly bond purchases, down from the current pace of C$2 billion. The BoC will likely only consider shrinking its balance sheet after it has started lifting interest rates. The BoC projects that the output gap will close sometime over the second half of 2022, and that rate hikes will be considered after economic slack has disappeared. We believe that the timeline may be a tad aggressive, and a delay to 2023 for liftoff is more likely. This would better align the Canadian central bank with its American counterpart.</p>\n<p><b>Australia/New Zealand</b></p>\n<p>The Australian economy is set to return to life, with lockdowns likely to be eased in October and November. Consumer and business balance sheets continue to look healthy, which should facilitate a strong recovery. The reopening of the international border in 2022 will provide a further boost. Fiscal policy has supported the economy through the downturn, and there is potential for further stimulus in the lead-up to the federal election, which is due before the end of 2022. The Reserve Bank of Australia has begun the process of tapering its bond-purchase program, but we expect that a rise in the cash rate is unlikely until at least the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>New Zealand’s most recent lockdown will drag on Q3 GDP, but similar to Australia, we expect a solid rebound as the economy reopens. The government aims to provide a vaccine to all adults by the end of 2021, after which borders will gradually reopen. This will provide a boost, particularly to tourism-exposed sectors. Despite having recently put off hiking interest rates due to the recent lockdown, we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start raising rates this year. Even though they have significantly underperformed global equities this year, New Zealand equities still screen as relatively expensive compared to other regions.</p>\n<p><b>Asset-class preferences</b></p>\n<p>Our cycle, value and sentiment investment decision-making process in late September 2021 has a moderately positive medium-term view on global equities. Value is expensive across most markets except for UK equities, which are near fair value. The cycle is risk-asset supportive for the medium-term. The major economies still have spare capacity and inflation pressures appear transitory, caused by COVID-19-related supply shortages. Rate hikes by the U.S. Fed seem unlikely before the second half of 2023. Sentiment, after reaching overbought levels earlier in the year, has returned to more neutral levels.</p>\n<p><b>COMPOSITE CONTRARIAN INDICATOR: SENTIMENT SHIFTS TOWARD NEUTRAL</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c527955abbc9e770d200c1d709f80d8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>We prefer<b>non-U.S. equities</b>to U.S. equities. Stronger economic growth and steeper yield curves after the third-quarter slowdown should favor undervalued cyclical value stocks over expensive technology and growth stocks. Relative to the U.S., the rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks.</li>\n <li><b>Emerging markets equities</b>have been relatively poor performers this year, but there are some encouraging signs. The vaccine rollout across EM has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon boost the economic growth outlook.China’s regulatory crackdownhas caused significant underperformance by Chinese technology companies, but this should be less of a headwind going forward now that it is priced in.</li>\n <li><b>High yield</b>and<b>investment grade credit</b>are expensive on a spread basis but have support from a positive cycle view that accommodates corporate profit growth and keeps default rates low. U.S. dollar-denominated<b>emerging markets debt</b>is close to fair value in spread terms and will gain support on U.S. dollar weakness.</li>\n <li><b>Government bonds</b>are expensive, and yields should come under upward pressure as output gaps close and central banks look to taper back asset purchases. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise toward 1.75% in coming months.</li>\n <li><b>Real assets</b>: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have significantly outperformed Global Listed Infrastructure (GLI) so far this year, to the extent that REITS are now expensive relative to GLI. Both should benefit from the pandemic recovery, but GLI has some catch-up potential. GLI should benefit from the global re-opening boosting domestic and international travel.<b>Commodities</b>have been the best-performing asset class this year amid strong demand and supply bottlenecks. The gains have been led by industrial metals and energy. The pace of increase should ease as supply issues are resolved, butcommodities should retain supportfrom above-trend global demand.</li>\n <li>The<b>U.S. dollar</b>has been supported this year by expectations for early Fed tightening and U.S. economic growth leadership. It should weaken as global growth leadership rotates away from the U.S. and toward Europe and other developed economies. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. The main beneficiary is likely to be the<b>euro</b>, which is still undervalued. We also believe<b>British sterling</b>and the economically sensitive<i>commodity currencies</i>—the<b>Australian dollar</b>, the<b>New Zealand dollar</b>and the<b>Canadian dollar</b>—can make further gains, although these currencies are not undervalued from a longer-term perspective.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>ASSET PERFORMANCE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2021</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50e253becd38bd122d9fc211e7b0f583\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>1The Group of Seven is an inter-governmental political forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.</p>\n<p><b>Important Information</b></p>\n<p>The views in this Global Market Outlook report are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of September 27, 2021. While all material is deemed to be reliable, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.</p>\n<p>Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.</p>\n<p>Keep in mind that, like all investing, multi-asset investing does not assure a profit or protect against loss.</p>\n<p>No model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets. We remain cautious that rational analytical techniques cannot predict extremes in financial behavior, such as periods of financial euphoria or investor panic. Our models rest on the assumptions of normal and rational financial behavior. Forecasting models are inherently uncertain, subject to change at any time based on a variety of factors and can be inaccurate. Russell believes that the utility of this information is highest in evaluating the relative relationships of various components of a globally diversified portfolio. As such, the models may offer insights into the prudence of over or under weighting those components from time to time or under periods of extreme dislocation. The models are explicitly not intended as market timing signals.</p>\n<p>Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.</p>\n<p>Investment in global, international or emerging markets may be significantly affected by political or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in a particular country. Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation. Such securities may be less liquid and more volatile. Investments in emerging or developing markets involve exposure to economic structures that are generally less diverse and mature, and political systems with less stability than in more developed countries.</p>\n<p>Currency investing involves risks including fluctuations in currency values, whether the home currency or the foreign currency. They can either enhance or reduce the returns associated with foreign investments.</p>\n<p>Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation.</p>\n<p>Bond investors should carefully consider risks such as interest rate, credit, default and duration risks. Greater risk, such as increased volatility, limited liquidity, prepayment, non-payment and increased default risk, is inherent in portfolios that invest in high yield (“junk”) bonds or mortgage-backed securities, especially mortgage-backed securities with exposure to sub-prime mortgages. Generally, when interest rates rise, prices of fixed income securities fall. Interest rates in the United States are at, or near, historic lows, which may increase a Fund’s exposure to risks associated with rising rates. Investment in non-U.S. and emerging market securities is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations and to economic and political risks associated with such foreign countries.</p>\n<p>Performance quoted represents past performance and should not be viewed as a guarantee of future results.</p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500® Index, or the Standard &amp; Poor’s 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.</p>\n<p>The MSCI EMU Index (European Economic and Monetary Union) captures large and mid cap representation across the 10 developed markets countries in the EMU. With 246 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the EMU.</p>\n<p>Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.</p>\n<p>Copyright © Russell Investments 2021. All rights reserved. This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.</p>\n<p>Frank Russell Company is the owner of the Russell trademarks contained in this material and all trademark rights related to the Russell trademarks, which the members of the Russell Investments group of companies are permitted to use under license from Frank Russell Company. The members of the Russell Investments group of companies are not affiliated in any manner with Frank Russell Company or any entity operating under the “FTSE RUSSELL” brand.</p>\n<p>Products and services described on this website are intended for<b>United States residents only</b>. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities, or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type. The general information contained on this website should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax, and investment advice from a licensed professional. Persons outside the United States may find more information about products and services available within their jurisdictions by going to Russell Investments' Worldwide site.</p>\n<p>Russell Investments is committed to ensuring digital accessibility for people with disabilities. We are continually improving the user experience for everyone, and applying the relevant accessibility standards.</p>\n<p>Russell Investments' ownership is composed of a majority stake held by funds managed by TA Associates, with a significant minority stake held by funds managed by Reverence Capital Partners. Russell Investments' employees and Hamilton Lane Advisors, LLC also hold minority, non-controlling, ownership stakes.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-30 09:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.\nThe reopening trade should resume in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1104172212","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.\nThe reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor.\nThe key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter.\n\nThe COVID-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening. Amid this backdrop, our outlook favors equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks.\nIntroduction\nThe post-lockdown recovery has transitioned from energetic youthfulness to awkward adolescence. It’s still growing, although at a slower pace, and there are worries about what happens next, particularly about monetary policy and the outlook for inflation. Theinflation spikehas been larger than expected, but we still think it istransitory, caused by base effects from when the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell during the lockdown last year and by temporary supply bottlenecks. Inflation may remain high over the remainder of 2021 but should decline in early 2022. This means that even though the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to begin tapering back on asset purchases before the end of the year, rate hikes are unlikely before the second half of 2023.\nAnother worry is thehighly contagious COVID-19 delta variant. The evidence so far is that vaccines are effective in preventing serious COVID-19 infections. Vaccination rates are accelerating globally, and emerging economies are catching up with developed markets. Infection rates appear to have peaked globally in early September. This means the reopening of economies should continue over the remainder of 2021. The onset of winter in the northern hemisphere will be a test, but the rollout of booster vaccination shots should help prevent widescale renewed lockdowns.\nThe conclusions from our cycle, value and sentiment (CVS) investment decision-making process are broadly unchanged from our previous quarterly report. Global equities remain expensive, with the very expensive U.S. market offsetting better value elsewhere. Sentiment is slightly overbought, but not close to dangerous levels of euphoria. The strong cycle delivers a preference for equities over bonds for at least the next 12 months, despite expensive valuations. It also reinforces our preference for thevalue equity factor over the growth factorand for non-U.S. equities to outperform the U.S. market.\nCycle still in recovery phase\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. Even so, we think the cycle is still in the recovery phase, although it is maturing. Despite strong growth, there is plenty of spare capacity. This can be seen in the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers in the United States. The chart below shows the ratio has recovered from the pandemic lows, but only to levels reached during the relatively mild recessions in the early 1990s and 2000s. We expect theU.S. labor-market recoveryshould still resemble a typical post-recession recovery over the next few quarters.\nU.S. EMPLOYMENT-POPULATION RATIO FOR PRIME-AGE WORKERS\n\nThe U.S. recovery, however, is more advanced than that of other developed economies. The following chart shows how far GDP has recovered, relative to the pre-COVID-19 peak in 2019. GDP is 0.8% higher in the U.S., although this level is still short relative to the pre-COVID-19 trend. GDP is 2.5% below 2019 levels in the euro area and 4.5% below in the United Kingdom. We expect more cyclical upside for economic growth outside the U.S., and this should allow market leadership to rotate toward the rest of the world.\nGDP IN Q2 2021 RELATIVE TO PRE-COVID-19 PEAK IN 2019\n\nTwo key indicators\nLast quarter, we listed two indicators that should offer a guide to the Fed’s expected reaction to the inflation spike.\nThe first is five-year/five-year breakeven inflation expectations, based on the pricing of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). This is the market’s forecast for average inflation over five years in five years’ time. It tells us that investors expect inflation will average 2.17% in the five years from late 2026 to late 2031. The TIPS yields are based on the CPI, while the Fed targets inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) deflator. The two move together over time, but CPI inflation is generally around 0.25% higher than PCE inflation. A breakeven rate of 2.75% would suggest the market sees PCE inflation above 2.5% in five years’ time. Market inflation expectations are currently comfortably below the Fed’s worry point.\nWATCHPOINT INDICATOR #1: U.S. 5-YEAR/5-YEAR BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATE\n\nThe second indicator is the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker, and this has a less-comforting message about inflation risks. It reached 3.9% in August, which isclose to the 4% thresholdwhere we judge that the Fed will become concerned about the inflationary impact on the growth of wages. A breakdown shows that the spike has been mostly driven by wages for low-skilled, young people in the leisure and hospitality industry. This suggests the surge has been caused by temporary labor supply shortages and that wage pressures should subside as economic activity normalizes. This indicator, however, will be an important watchpoint over the next few months.\nWATCHPOINT INDICATOR #2: ATLANTA FED WAGE GROWTH TRACKER\n\nReopening trade still makes sense\nThe reopening trade, which lifts long-term interest rates and favors cyclical and value stocks over technology and growth stocks, worked well for several months following the vaccine announcement last November. Value outperformed growth and yield curves steepened. The trade has reversed in recent months, however, amid fears that the delta variant might derail the economic recovery. The impact has been magnified by short covering in bond markets as investors, who have been short or underweight, have been forced by the rally to buy back into the market, pushing bond yields even lower.\nThe reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor. Financial stocks comprise the largest sector in the MSCI World Value Index, and they should benefit from further yield-curve steepening, which boosts the profitability of banks. Long-term interest rates should rise as global growth remains above trend, delta-variant fears fade, the short squeeze unwinds and central banks begin tapering back on bond purchases.\nThe rotation in economic growth leadership away from the United States should also help the reopening trade. The rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks relative to the U.S., which has a higher weight to technology stocks.\nEmerging market (EM) equities have been poor performers since the vaccine announcement, but there are some encouraging signs. Initially, they were held back by the exposure to technology stocks in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. More recently, they have come under pressure from the slowdown in the Chinese economy and theregulatory crackdown on Chinese tech companies. The vaccine rollout across emerging markets has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon improve the growth outlook. The path of Chinese regulation is harder to predict, but it is now largely priced in, with Chinese technology companies underperforming their global peers by nearly 50% from February 2021 through mid-September.\nThe resumption of the reopening trade should also result in U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded sideways since the vaccine announcement. It should weaken once investors have confidence that delta-variant risks are subsiding and realize that the Fed is likely to remain dovish as inflation risks decline. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. Dollar weakness should support the performance of non-U.S. markets, particularly emerging markets.\nRisks: variants, inflation, China weakness\nThe key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter. The evidence so far is that vaccinations are highly effective in preventing serious illness. In Israel, booster shots appear to have slowed the rate of new cases.\nAnother watchpoint is inflation and the response of central banks. Our expectation is that this year’s inflation spike is mostly transitory and that the major central banks, led by the Fed, are still two years from raising interest rates.\nFinally, there is the risk of a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.Credit growth has slowed this yearand the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) have trended lower. Monetary and fiscal policy have been eased, however, and senior officials have signaled that more stimulus is on the way. China policy direction and credit trends will be an important watchpoint over coming months.\nRegional snapshotsUnited States\nThe U.S. economy is likely to sustain above-trend growth into 2022. However, the easiest gains appear in the rear-view mirror at the end of the third quarter as the recovery phase of the business cycle matures. This is most visible for corporate earnings, where S&P 500® Index earnings-per-share already sit 20% above their previous cyclical high.\nStrong fundamentals have helped power the stock market to new highs. Early evidence that the delta-variant wave may be fading and the potential for greater vaccine access for children are positives for a more complete recovery in the quarters ahead. The Fedlooks poised to start tapering its asset purchasesaround the end of 2021. The timing of the first rate hike will then hinge on what happens to inflation next year. Our models suggest that inflation is likely to drop back below the Fed’s 2% target in 2022. If that is correct, the Fed is likely to remain on hold into the second half of 2023.\nWage inflation is a key risk to this view. It is running unusually strong for this stage of the cycle, and record hiring intentions from businesses could exhaust spare capacity in the year ahead. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise moderately from 1.37% in mid-September to 1.75% in coming months.\nFiscal stimulus negotiations continue to grab headlines in Washington, D.C. Thetax provisions in these billsare likely to be the most impactful for financial markets. We estimate thathigher corporate taxescould subtract about four percentage points from S&P 500 earnings growth in 2022. This could create volatility and opportunity in markets. Given our strong cyclical outlook, our bias continues to be arisk-onpreference for equities over bonds for the medium-term.\nEurozone\nEuro area growthslowed through the third quarter but looks on track for a return to above-trend growth over the fourth quarter and into 2022. Vaccination rates are high, and the euro area has more catch-up potential than other major economies, particularly the United States. The euro area is also set to receive more fiscal support than other regions, with the European Union’s pandemic recovery fund only just starting to disburse stimulus, which will provide significant support in southern Europe. Polls in advance of Germany’s federal election on Sept. 26 suggested the electorate was moving toward the political left, which means the new government is likely to support expansionary fiscal policy and a continued dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB).\nThe MSCI EMU Index, which reflects the European Economic and Monetary Union, has performed broadly in line with the S&P 500 so far in 2021. We think it has potential to outperform in coming quarters. Europe’s exposure to financials and cyclically sensitive sectors such as industrials, materials and energy, and its relatively small exposure to technology, gives it the potential to outperform as delta-variant fears subside, economic activity picks up and yield curves in Europe steepen.\nUnited Kingdom\nAs of mid-year, UK GDP was still nearly 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak. We see plenty of scope for strong catch-up growth as borders are fully reopened and activity normalizes. Supply bottlenecks and labor shortages have triggered a sharp rise in underlying inflation and created concerns that the Bank of England (BoE) may start rate hikes in the first half of 2022. We think the BoE is unlikely to be that aggressive. We expect inflation to decline in early 2022 as supply constraints ease, which should convince the BoE to delay rate hikes.\nThe FTSE 100 Index is the cheapest of the major developed equity markets in late 2021, and this should help it reflect higher returns than other markets over the next decade. Around 70% of UK corporate earnings come from offshore, so one near-term risk is that further strengthening of British sterling dampens earnings growth. The other risks are mostly around policy missteps, for example, early tightening by the Bank of England.\nJapan\nThe Japanese economy is expected to get a shot in the arm as rising vaccination rates improve mobility and reduce the risk of further lockdowns, and as political leadership changes result in more fiscal stimulus: the Japanese election is due to be held before Nov. 28. Japanese equities look slightly more expensive than other regions such as the UK and Europe. We maintain our view that the Bank of Japan will significantly lag other central banks in normalizing policy.\nChina\nWe expect Chinese economic growth to berobust over the next 12 months, supported by a post-lockdown jump in consumer spending and incremental fiscal and monetary easing. Despite a big improvement in vaccination rates,COVID-19 outbreaks remain a riskgiven the Chinese government’s zero-tolerance approach. The major consumer technology companies have seen significant drops in stock prices recently due to more aggressive regulation. Some uncertainty remains around thepath of future regulation, especially as it relates to technology companies, and as a result we expect investors will remain cautious on Chinese equities in the coming months. The property market, particularly property developers as recently highlighted by Evergrande’s debt crisis, remains a risk that we are monitoring closely.\nCanada\nCanada leads the G71countries in terms of the vaccination rollout, which should minimize the risk of large-scale lockdowns over winter. The delta variant has taken an economic toll, however, with industry consensus projections now predicting 5% GDP growth in 2021 versus estimates of more than 6% just three months ago. Even so, growth remains above-trend and the odds of additional fiscal expenditures to support the economy have increased. This means that weaker growth due to COVID-19 is unlikely to change the Bank of Canada's (BoC) tightening bias.\nTapering of asset purchasesshould be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2022. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated that the reinvestment phase of the bonds held by the central bank will commence once quantitative easing has ended. This should generate an estimated C$1 billion in weekly bond purchases, down from the current pace of C$2 billion. The BoC will likely only consider shrinking its balance sheet after it has started lifting interest rates. The BoC projects that the output gap will close sometime over the second half of 2022, and that rate hikes will be considered after economic slack has disappeared. We believe that the timeline may be a tad aggressive, and a delay to 2023 for liftoff is more likely. This would better align the Canadian central bank with its American counterpart.\nAustralia/New Zealand\nThe Australian economy is set to return to life, with lockdowns likely to be eased in October and November. Consumer and business balance sheets continue to look healthy, which should facilitate a strong recovery. The reopening of the international border in 2022 will provide a further boost. Fiscal policy has supported the economy through the downturn, and there is potential for further stimulus in the lead-up to the federal election, which is due before the end of 2022. The Reserve Bank of Australia has begun the process of tapering its bond-purchase program, but we expect that a rise in the cash rate is unlikely until at least the second half of 2023.\nNew Zealand’s most recent lockdown will drag on Q3 GDP, but similar to Australia, we expect a solid rebound as the economy reopens. The government aims to provide a vaccine to all adults by the end of 2021, after which borders will gradually reopen. This will provide a boost, particularly to tourism-exposed sectors. Despite having recently put off hiking interest rates due to the recent lockdown, we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start raising rates this year. Even though they have significantly underperformed global equities this year, New Zealand equities still screen as relatively expensive compared to other regions.\nAsset-class preferences\nOur cycle, value and sentiment investment decision-making process in late September 2021 has a moderately positive medium-term view on global equities. Value is expensive across most markets except for UK equities, which are near fair value. The cycle is risk-asset supportive for the medium-term. The major economies still have spare capacity and inflation pressures appear transitory, caused by COVID-19-related supply shortages. Rate hikes by the U.S. Fed seem unlikely before the second half of 2023. Sentiment, after reaching overbought levels earlier in the year, has returned to more neutral levels.\nCOMPOSITE CONTRARIAN INDICATOR: SENTIMENT SHIFTS TOWARD NEUTRAL\n\n\nWe prefernon-U.S. equitiesto U.S. equities. Stronger economic growth and steeper yield curves after the third-quarter slowdown should favor undervalued cyclical value stocks over expensive technology and growth stocks. Relative to the U.S., the rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks.\nEmerging markets equitieshave been relatively poor performers this year, but there are some encouraging signs. The vaccine rollout across EM has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon boost the economic growth outlook.China’s regulatory crackdownhas caused significant underperformance by Chinese technology companies, but this should be less of a headwind going forward now that it is priced in.\nHigh yieldandinvestment grade creditare expensive on a spread basis but have support from a positive cycle view that accommodates corporate profit growth and keeps default rates low. U.S. dollar-denominatedemerging markets debtis close to fair value in spread terms and will gain support on U.S. dollar weakness.\nGovernment bondsare expensive, and yields should come under upward pressure as output gaps close and central banks look to taper back asset purchases. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise toward 1.75% in coming months.\nReal assets: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have significantly outperformed Global Listed Infrastructure (GLI) so far this year, to the extent that REITS are now expensive relative to GLI. Both should benefit from the pandemic recovery, but GLI has some catch-up potential. GLI should benefit from the global re-opening boosting domestic and international travel.Commoditieshave been the best-performing asset class this year amid strong demand and supply bottlenecks. The gains have been led by industrial metals and energy. The pace of increase should ease as supply issues are resolved, butcommodities should retain supportfrom above-trend global demand.\nTheU.S. dollarhas been supported this year by expectations for early Fed tightening and U.S. economic growth leadership. It should weaken as global growth leadership rotates away from the U.S. and toward Europe and other developed economies. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. The main beneficiary is likely to be theeuro, which is still undervalued. We also believeBritish sterlingand the economically sensitivecommodity currencies—theAustralian dollar, theNew Zealand dollarand theCanadian dollar—can make further gains, although these currencies are not undervalued from a longer-term perspective.\n\nASSET PERFORMANCE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2021\n\n1The Group of Seven is an inter-governmental political forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.\nImportant Information\nThe views in this Global Market Outlook report are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of September 27, 2021. While all material is deemed to be reliable, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.\nPlease remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.\nKeep in mind that, like all investing, multi-asset investing does not assure a profit or protect against loss.\nNo model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets. We remain cautious that rational analytical techniques cannot predict extremes in financial behavior, such as periods of financial euphoria or investor panic. Our models rest on the assumptions of normal and rational financial behavior. 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Russell Investments' employees and Hamilton Lane Advisors, LLC also hold minority, non-controlling, ownership stakes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":136243011,"gmtCreate":1622023460333,"gmtModify":1634184580032,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136243011","repostId":"2138311976","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":191581560,"gmtCreate":1620889620250,"gmtModify":1634195523325,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Imagine u r selling something the world needs badly &amp; yr price dun move much&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;Comment pls thks","listText":"Imagine u r selling something the world needs badly &amp; yr price dun move much&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;Comment pls thks","text":"Imagine u r selling something the world needs badly & yr price dun move much [邪恶] [邪恶] [邪恶] Comment pls thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191581560","repostId":"1116870280","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116870280","pubTimestamp":1620889433,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116870280?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-13 15:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna Delivers More Bad News","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116870280","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMRNA could generate $19 billion in COVID-19 revenue this year. This is likely a high waterm","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>MRNA could generate $19 billion in COVID-19 revenue this year. This is likely a high watermark.</li>\n <li>Management did not give an indication of its 2022P revenue. No news is bad news, and management delivered more of it.</li>\n <li>The 2022 COVID-19 market is expected fall. Suspension of IP rights and potential competition from CVAC may not be priced in.</li>\n <li>Sell MRNA.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Moderna(NASDAQ:MRNA)reportedQ1 revenue of $1.94 billion and GAAP EPS of $2.84. The company missed on revenue, yet beat on earnings. The stock is practically flat post-earnings. I had the following takeaways on the quarter.</p>\n<p><b>2021 Advance Purchase Orders Are Impressive</b></p>\n<p>In Q4 2020 Moderna and Pfizer(NYSE:PFE)were first to receive Emergency Use Authorization for a COVID-19 vaccine. With Johnson &amp; Johnson(NYSE:JNJ), AstraZeneca(NASDAQ:AZN)and Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)waiting in the wings, Moderna moved quickly to secure vaccine supply deals. As more people get vaccinated, there will be fewer remaining to get vaccinated. The COVID-19 vaccine market is expected to fall over time; the more supply deals cut by Moderna and Pfizer, means less opportunity for competitors.</p>\n<p>Q1 revenue of $1.9 billion was multiples higher than the $571 million reported in Q4.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b51d2b977eaa2c39a112aeaec804c8f\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: Author's work</p>\n<p>About 89% of total revenue was derived from product sales. Meanwhile, revenue from grants and collaborations has become less pronounced. Product sales represent customer deposits recorded as deferred revenue; revenue is recorded upon customer acceptance and control of the transferred product.</p>\n<p>Last quarter Modernaannounced it had securedover $18 billion in advance purchase agreements (\"APAs\"). This quarter APAssigned for deliveryin 2021 exceeded $19 billion:</p>\n<blockquote>\n At the end of 2021, we had cash and cash investments of $8.2 billion. David will give you more details in a few minutes. We increased our 2021 supply forecast once again. We now believe that we should be able to supply 800 million doses in 2021, and we are still aiming for 1 billion doses for the year. The total advanced purchase agreement signed for delivery in 2021 have been increased to $19.2 billion.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Revenue should grow by leaps and bounds for the rest of 2021 as Moderna makes good on APAs. Bernsteinanalysts projectthe 2021 COVID-19 vaccine market at $39 billion, falling to $23 billion in 2020. With tens of billions in APAs between them, Pfizer and Moderna may not leave much opportunity for competitors this year.</p>\n<p><b>Still No Revenue Projection For 2022</b></p>\n<p>Moderna has an equity market capitalization of $64 billion. The math to support that valuation remains unclear. I believe MRNA should be valued based on recurring revenue, which would be closer to 2022P revenue. I have been awaiting management to give an indication of 2022P revenue. How else could you justify the company's robust valuation? On the earnings call management gave no such indication. However, the company was willing to discuss itsincreased supplyfor 2022:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We have announced in the Company's statement issued October 8, 2020 that during the pandemic, Moderna will not enforce COVID-19-related patents. You can find that statement on our website. We believe that the best way to end the pandemic is what we're currently doing: first, to maximize supply in 2021 to protect as many people as we can; second, to build additional capacity, which we have announced last week to get up to 3 billion doses of authorized mRNA vaccines for 2022, 2023 and beyond; and third, to continue to adapt the vaccine to have the highest efficacy vaccine with variant-specific booster, for which we announced a very encouraging clinical results yesterday.\n</blockquote>\n<p>How many deliveries and how much revenue increased supply will likely lead to remains a mystery. No news is bad news, in my opinion. I previously projected Modernawould generate about$5 billion in 2022 revenue, representing 22% share of the 2022 COVID-19 vaccine market. This represents a range of possibilities. Until management indicates otherwise, we may have to go with my numbers.</p>\n<p>MRNA's $64 billion market capitalization would represent over 12x 2022P revenue, which is untenable in my opinion. Merck(NYSE:MRK)and AstraZeneca cashed out of their early investments in the company.Insiders are bailing outof the stock, which seems to support my position that MRNA is woefully overvalued.</p>\n<p><b>Headwinds Lie Ahead</b></p>\n<p>The 2022 COVID-19 vaccine market is expected to fall hard in 2022. That likely portends Moderna's revenue will fall Y/Y as well. It is a good thing the company is racking up supply deals; it has a golden opportunity to squirrel away billions in capital to help fund other drugs. The Biden administrationrecently announcedsupport for suspending COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property (\"IP\") rights. Such a move could allow lesser-developed countries to manufacture vaccines locally, speeding up access to vaccines.</p>\n<p>It could take a while for lesser-developed countries to build up the capabilities to manufacture and distribute a vaccine. However, I believe suspending IP rights could eventually lead to generic competition and hurt pricing power for Moderna and Pfizer. This scenario does not appear to be priced into the shares. That said, CureVac(NASDAQ:CVAC)expects regulatory approvalfor its COVID-19 vaccine within weeks. CureVac uses the same mRNA therapeutics employed by Pfizer and Moderna; it has strategic collaborations with GlaxoSmithKline(NYSE:GSK)and Bayer(OTCPK:BAYZF)to help manufacture and distribute the vaccine. If it wins approval, CureVac could potentially shake up the COVID-19 supply board by Q1 2022.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>2021 revenue is likely a high water market for MRNA. Competition from generic suppliers or CureVac could create headwinds. Sell MRNA.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna Delivers More Bad News</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna Delivers More Bad News\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-13 15:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427745-moderna-delivers-more-bad-news><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMRNA could generate $19 billion in COVID-19 revenue this year. This is likely a high watermark.\nManagement did not give an indication of its 2022P revenue. No news is bad news, and management...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427745-moderna-delivers-more-bad-news\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427745-moderna-delivers-more-bad-news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1116870280","content_text":"Summary\n\nMRNA could generate $19 billion in COVID-19 revenue this year. This is likely a high watermark.\nManagement did not give an indication of its 2022P revenue. No news is bad news, and management delivered more of it.\nThe 2022 COVID-19 market is expected fall. Suspension of IP rights and potential competition from CVAC may not be priced in.\nSell MRNA.\n\nModerna(NASDAQ:MRNA)reportedQ1 revenue of $1.94 billion and GAAP EPS of $2.84. The company missed on revenue, yet beat on earnings. The stock is practically flat post-earnings. I had the following takeaways on the quarter.\n2021 Advance Purchase Orders Are Impressive\nIn Q4 2020 Moderna and Pfizer(NYSE:PFE)were first to receive Emergency Use Authorization for a COVID-19 vaccine. With Johnson & Johnson(NYSE:JNJ), AstraZeneca(NASDAQ:AZN)and Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)waiting in the wings, Moderna moved quickly to secure vaccine supply deals. As more people get vaccinated, there will be fewer remaining to get vaccinated. The COVID-19 vaccine market is expected to fall over time; the more supply deals cut by Moderna and Pfizer, means less opportunity for competitors.\nQ1 revenue of $1.9 billion was multiples higher than the $571 million reported in Q4.\nSource: Author's work\nAbout 89% of total revenue was derived from product sales. Meanwhile, revenue from grants and collaborations has become less pronounced. Product sales represent customer deposits recorded as deferred revenue; revenue is recorded upon customer acceptance and control of the transferred product.\nLast quarter Modernaannounced it had securedover $18 billion in advance purchase agreements (\"APAs\"). This quarter APAssigned for deliveryin 2021 exceeded $19 billion:\n\n At the end of 2021, we had cash and cash investments of $8.2 billion. David will give you more details in a few minutes. We increased our 2021 supply forecast once again. We now believe that we should be able to supply 800 million doses in 2021, and we are still aiming for 1 billion doses for the year. The total advanced purchase agreement signed for delivery in 2021 have been increased to $19.2 billion.\n\nRevenue should grow by leaps and bounds for the rest of 2021 as Moderna makes good on APAs. Bernsteinanalysts projectthe 2021 COVID-19 vaccine market at $39 billion, falling to $23 billion in 2020. With tens of billions in APAs between them, Pfizer and Moderna may not leave much opportunity for competitors this year.\nStill No Revenue Projection For 2022\nModerna has an equity market capitalization of $64 billion. The math to support that valuation remains unclear. I believe MRNA should be valued based on recurring revenue, which would be closer to 2022P revenue. I have been awaiting management to give an indication of 2022P revenue. How else could you justify the company's robust valuation? On the earnings call management gave no such indication. However, the company was willing to discuss itsincreased supplyfor 2022:\n\n We have announced in the Company's statement issued October 8, 2020 that during the pandemic, Moderna will not enforce COVID-19-related patents. You can find that statement on our website. We believe that the best way to end the pandemic is what we're currently doing: first, to maximize supply in 2021 to protect as many people as we can; second, to build additional capacity, which we have announced last week to get up to 3 billion doses of authorized mRNA vaccines for 2022, 2023 and beyond; and third, to continue to adapt the vaccine to have the highest efficacy vaccine with variant-specific booster, for which we announced a very encouraging clinical results yesterday.\n\nHow many deliveries and how much revenue increased supply will likely lead to remains a mystery. No news is bad news, in my opinion. I previously projected Modernawould generate about$5 billion in 2022 revenue, representing 22% share of the 2022 COVID-19 vaccine market. This represents a range of possibilities. Until management indicates otherwise, we may have to go with my numbers.\nMRNA's $64 billion market capitalization would represent over 12x 2022P revenue, which is untenable in my opinion. Merck(NYSE:MRK)and AstraZeneca cashed out of their early investments in the company.Insiders are bailing outof the stock, which seems to support my position that MRNA is woefully overvalued.\nHeadwinds Lie Ahead\nThe 2022 COVID-19 vaccine market is expected to fall hard in 2022. That likely portends Moderna's revenue will fall Y/Y as well. It is a good thing the company is racking up supply deals; it has a golden opportunity to squirrel away billions in capital to help fund other drugs. The Biden administrationrecently announcedsupport for suspending COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property (\"IP\") rights. Such a move could allow lesser-developed countries to manufacture vaccines locally, speeding up access to vaccines.\nIt could take a while for lesser-developed countries to build up the capabilities to manufacture and distribute a vaccine. However, I believe suspending IP rights could eventually lead to generic competition and hurt pricing power for Moderna and Pfizer. This scenario does not appear to be priced into the shares. That said, CureVac(NASDAQ:CVAC)expects regulatory approvalfor its COVID-19 vaccine within weeks. CureVac uses the same mRNA therapeutics employed by Pfizer and Moderna; it has strategic collaborations with GlaxoSmithKline(NYSE:GSK)and Bayer(OTCPK:BAYZF)to help manufacture and distribute the vaccine. If it wins approval, CureVac could potentially shake up the COVID-19 supply board by Q1 2022.\nConclusion\n2021 revenue is likely a high water market for MRNA. Competition from generic suppliers or CureVac could create headwinds. Sell MRNA.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":641,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":191581903,"gmtCreate":1620889562702,"gmtModify":1634195523668,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Imagine u are selling something the world needs badly &amp; yr price dun move much&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;Comment old thks","listText":"Imagine u are selling something the world needs badly &amp; yr price dun move much&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;Comment old thks","text":"Imagine u are selling something the world needs badly & yr price dun move much [邪恶] [邪恶] [邪恶] Comment old thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191581903","repostId":"1116870280","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116870280","pubTimestamp":1620889433,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116870280?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-13 15:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna Delivers More Bad News","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116870280","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMRNA could generate $19 billion in COVID-19 revenue this year. This is likely a high waterm","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>MRNA could generate $19 billion in COVID-19 revenue this year. This is likely a high watermark.</li>\n <li>Management did not give an indication of its 2022P revenue. No news is bad news, and management delivered more of it.</li>\n <li>The 2022 COVID-19 market is expected fall. Suspension of IP rights and potential competition from CVAC may not be priced in.</li>\n <li>Sell MRNA.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Moderna(NASDAQ:MRNA)reportedQ1 revenue of $1.94 billion and GAAP EPS of $2.84. The company missed on revenue, yet beat on earnings. The stock is practically flat post-earnings. I had the following takeaways on the quarter.</p>\n<p><b>2021 Advance Purchase Orders Are Impressive</b></p>\n<p>In Q4 2020 Moderna and Pfizer(NYSE:PFE)were first to receive Emergency Use Authorization for a COVID-19 vaccine. With Johnson &amp; Johnson(NYSE:JNJ), AstraZeneca(NASDAQ:AZN)and Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)waiting in the wings, Moderna moved quickly to secure vaccine supply deals. As more people get vaccinated, there will be fewer remaining to get vaccinated. The COVID-19 vaccine market is expected to fall over time; the more supply deals cut by Moderna and Pfizer, means less opportunity for competitors.</p>\n<p>Q1 revenue of $1.9 billion was multiples higher than the $571 million reported in Q4.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b51d2b977eaa2c39a112aeaec804c8f\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: Author's work</p>\n<p>About 89% of total revenue was derived from product sales. Meanwhile, revenue from grants and collaborations has become less pronounced. Product sales represent customer deposits recorded as deferred revenue; revenue is recorded upon customer acceptance and control of the transferred product.</p>\n<p>Last quarter Modernaannounced it had securedover $18 billion in advance purchase agreements (\"APAs\"). This quarter APAssigned for deliveryin 2021 exceeded $19 billion:</p>\n<blockquote>\n At the end of 2021, we had cash and cash investments of $8.2 billion. David will give you more details in a few minutes. We increased our 2021 supply forecast once again. We now believe that we should be able to supply 800 million doses in 2021, and we are still aiming for 1 billion doses for the year. The total advanced purchase agreement signed for delivery in 2021 have been increased to $19.2 billion.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Revenue should grow by leaps and bounds for the rest of 2021 as Moderna makes good on APAs. Bernsteinanalysts projectthe 2021 COVID-19 vaccine market at $39 billion, falling to $23 billion in 2020. With tens of billions in APAs between them, Pfizer and Moderna may not leave much opportunity for competitors this year.</p>\n<p><b>Still No Revenue Projection For 2022</b></p>\n<p>Moderna has an equity market capitalization of $64 billion. The math to support that valuation remains unclear. I believe MRNA should be valued based on recurring revenue, which would be closer to 2022P revenue. I have been awaiting management to give an indication of 2022P revenue. How else could you justify the company's robust valuation? On the earnings call management gave no such indication. However, the company was willing to discuss itsincreased supplyfor 2022:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We have announced in the Company's statement issued October 8, 2020 that during the pandemic, Moderna will not enforce COVID-19-related patents. You can find that statement on our website. We believe that the best way to end the pandemic is what we're currently doing: first, to maximize supply in 2021 to protect as many people as we can; second, to build additional capacity, which we have announced last week to get up to 3 billion doses of authorized mRNA vaccines for 2022, 2023 and beyond; and third, to continue to adapt the vaccine to have the highest efficacy vaccine with variant-specific booster, for which we announced a very encouraging clinical results yesterday.\n</blockquote>\n<p>How many deliveries and how much revenue increased supply will likely lead to remains a mystery. No news is bad news, in my opinion. I previously projected Modernawould generate about$5 billion in 2022 revenue, representing 22% share of the 2022 COVID-19 vaccine market. This represents a range of possibilities. Until management indicates otherwise, we may have to go with my numbers.</p>\n<p>MRNA's $64 billion market capitalization would represent over 12x 2022P revenue, which is untenable in my opinion. Merck(NYSE:MRK)and AstraZeneca cashed out of their early investments in the company.Insiders are bailing outof the stock, which seems to support my position that MRNA is woefully overvalued.</p>\n<p><b>Headwinds Lie Ahead</b></p>\n<p>The 2022 COVID-19 vaccine market is expected to fall hard in 2022. That likely portends Moderna's revenue will fall Y/Y as well. It is a good thing the company is racking up supply deals; it has a golden opportunity to squirrel away billions in capital to help fund other drugs. The Biden administrationrecently announcedsupport for suspending COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property (\"IP\") rights. Such a move could allow lesser-developed countries to manufacture vaccines locally, speeding up access to vaccines.</p>\n<p>It could take a while for lesser-developed countries to build up the capabilities to manufacture and distribute a vaccine. However, I believe suspending IP rights could eventually lead to generic competition and hurt pricing power for Moderna and Pfizer. This scenario does not appear to be priced into the shares. That said, CureVac(NASDAQ:CVAC)expects regulatory approvalfor its COVID-19 vaccine within weeks. CureVac uses the same mRNA therapeutics employed by Pfizer and Moderna; it has strategic collaborations with GlaxoSmithKline(NYSE:GSK)and Bayer(OTCPK:BAYZF)to help manufacture and distribute the vaccine. If it wins approval, CureVac could potentially shake up the COVID-19 supply board by Q1 2022.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>2021 revenue is likely a high water market for MRNA. Competition from generic suppliers or CureVac could create headwinds. Sell MRNA.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna Delivers More Bad News</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna Delivers More Bad News\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-13 15:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427745-moderna-delivers-more-bad-news><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMRNA could generate $19 billion in COVID-19 revenue this year. This is likely a high watermark.\nManagement did not give an indication of its 2022P revenue. No news is bad news, and management...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427745-moderna-delivers-more-bad-news\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427745-moderna-delivers-more-bad-news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1116870280","content_text":"Summary\n\nMRNA could generate $19 billion in COVID-19 revenue this year. This is likely a high watermark.\nManagement did not give an indication of its 2022P revenue. No news is bad news, and management delivered more of it.\nThe 2022 COVID-19 market is expected fall. Suspension of IP rights and potential competition from CVAC may not be priced in.\nSell MRNA.\n\nModerna(NASDAQ:MRNA)reportedQ1 revenue of $1.94 billion and GAAP EPS of $2.84. The company missed on revenue, yet beat on earnings. The stock is practically flat post-earnings. I had the following takeaways on the quarter.\n2021 Advance Purchase Orders Are Impressive\nIn Q4 2020 Moderna and Pfizer(NYSE:PFE)were first to receive Emergency Use Authorization for a COVID-19 vaccine. With Johnson & Johnson(NYSE:JNJ), AstraZeneca(NASDAQ:AZN)and Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)waiting in the wings, Moderna moved quickly to secure vaccine supply deals. As more people get vaccinated, there will be fewer remaining to get vaccinated. The COVID-19 vaccine market is expected to fall over time; the more supply deals cut by Moderna and Pfizer, means less opportunity for competitors.\nQ1 revenue of $1.9 billion was multiples higher than the $571 million reported in Q4.\nSource: Author's work\nAbout 89% of total revenue was derived from product sales. Meanwhile, revenue from grants and collaborations has become less pronounced. Product sales represent customer deposits recorded as deferred revenue; revenue is recorded upon customer acceptance and control of the transferred product.\nLast quarter Modernaannounced it had securedover $18 billion in advance purchase agreements (\"APAs\"). This quarter APAssigned for deliveryin 2021 exceeded $19 billion:\n\n At the end of 2021, we had cash and cash investments of $8.2 billion. David will give you more details in a few minutes. We increased our 2021 supply forecast once again. We now believe that we should be able to supply 800 million doses in 2021, and we are still aiming for 1 billion doses for the year. The total advanced purchase agreement signed for delivery in 2021 have been increased to $19.2 billion.\n\nRevenue should grow by leaps and bounds for the rest of 2021 as Moderna makes good on APAs. Bernsteinanalysts projectthe 2021 COVID-19 vaccine market at $39 billion, falling to $23 billion in 2020. With tens of billions in APAs between them, Pfizer and Moderna may not leave much opportunity for competitors this year.\nStill No Revenue Projection For 2022\nModerna has an equity market capitalization of $64 billion. The math to support that valuation remains unclear. I believe MRNA should be valued based on recurring revenue, which would be closer to 2022P revenue. I have been awaiting management to give an indication of 2022P revenue. How else could you justify the company's robust valuation? On the earnings call management gave no such indication. However, the company was willing to discuss itsincreased supplyfor 2022:\n\n We have announced in the Company's statement issued October 8, 2020 that during the pandemic, Moderna will not enforce COVID-19-related patents. You can find that statement on our website. We believe that the best way to end the pandemic is what we're currently doing: first, to maximize supply in 2021 to protect as many people as we can; second, to build additional capacity, which we have announced last week to get up to 3 billion doses of authorized mRNA vaccines for 2022, 2023 and beyond; and third, to continue to adapt the vaccine to have the highest efficacy vaccine with variant-specific booster, for which we announced a very encouraging clinical results yesterday.\n\nHow many deliveries and how much revenue increased supply will likely lead to remains a mystery. No news is bad news, in my opinion. I previously projected Modernawould generate about$5 billion in 2022 revenue, representing 22% share of the 2022 COVID-19 vaccine market. This represents a range of possibilities. Until management indicates otherwise, we may have to go with my numbers.\nMRNA's $64 billion market capitalization would represent over 12x 2022P revenue, which is untenable in my opinion. Merck(NYSE:MRK)and AstraZeneca cashed out of their early investments in the company.Insiders are bailing outof the stock, which seems to support my position that MRNA is woefully overvalued.\nHeadwinds Lie Ahead\nThe 2022 COVID-19 vaccine market is expected to fall hard in 2022. That likely portends Moderna's revenue will fall Y/Y as well. It is a good thing the company is racking up supply deals; it has a golden opportunity to squirrel away billions in capital to help fund other drugs. The Biden administrationrecently announcedsupport for suspending COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property (\"IP\") rights. Such a move could allow lesser-developed countries to manufacture vaccines locally, speeding up access to vaccines.\nIt could take a while for lesser-developed countries to build up the capabilities to manufacture and distribute a vaccine. However, I believe suspending IP rights could eventually lead to generic competition and hurt pricing power for Moderna and Pfizer. This scenario does not appear to be priced into the shares. That said, CureVac(NASDAQ:CVAC)expects regulatory approvalfor its COVID-19 vaccine within weeks. CureVac uses the same mRNA therapeutics employed by Pfizer and Moderna; it has strategic collaborations with GlaxoSmithKline(NYSE:GSK)and Bayer(OTCPK:BAYZF)to help manufacture and distribute the vaccine. If it wins approval, CureVac could potentially shake up the COVID-19 supply board by Q1 2022.\nConclusion\n2021 revenue is likely a high water market for MRNA. Competition from generic suppliers or CureVac could create headwinds. Sell MRNA.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":193800323,"gmtCreate":1620777989862,"gmtModify":1634196441372,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is this gona trigger the correction?&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;Comment pls thks","listText":"Is this gona trigger the correction?&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;Comment pls thks","text":"Is this gona trigger the correction? [疑问] [疑问] [疑问] Comment pls thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193800323","repostId":"1183118890","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":781,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":193172085,"gmtCreate":1620777794947,"gmtModify":1634196444697,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Of course....anyway it's already here[喷血]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;","listText":"Of course....anyway it's already here[喷血]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;","text":"Of course....anyway it's already here[喷血] [喷血] [喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193172085","repostId":"1171091038","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171091038","pubTimestamp":1620745886,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171091038?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-11 23:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should We Fear, Inflation Is Here","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171091038","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech in","content":"<p>It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech investors are taking notice with Monday’s Nasdaq 100 slump the largest since mid-March, while China’s producer prices&nbsp;accelerated&nbsp;overnight.&nbsp;VIX futures are higher with broad risk aversion setting up for European equities to catch up to the late downbeat U.S. session.</p>\n<p>At least investor jitters that rising inflation could lift bond yields, and sap equities’ appeal could take comfort from real yields. The 10-year U.S. inflation-adjusted benchmark tumbled to three-month lows, keeping nominal yields in check as breakevens&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;to multi-year highs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8047b97c104b947668ce19b34f7fd4a\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"716\"></p>\n<p>Financial conditions reached another&nbsp;record, while evidence of stocks’ rotation remains: S&amp;P 500 energy and financials advanced over the past 5 sessions, value is outperforming growth –- particularly in&nbsp;Europe&nbsp;-- and the RTY/NDX is well, steady –- much like 10-year nominal yields around 1.60%.</p>\n<p>U.S. labor market frictions look to be adding to inflation fears, with JOLTs data, a leading indicator of hiring, likely to signal workers’ growing pricing power. And the NFIB small business optimism will be watched today for supply side constraints –- last month, job openings that were “hard to fill” reached at least a four-decade high. Of course, labor market dislocations remain and a handful of Fed speakers today will no doubt look to assuage inflation fears and discount near-term tapering risks. Not like Bill&nbsp;Dudley.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98df6b5f32251d558127766afc21fad8\" tg-width=\"1257\" tg-height=\"710\"></p>\n<p>Whether the Fed falls too far behind the curve remains up for debate. Markets, on the other hand, aren’t as comfortable looking through transitory inflation as evidence builds and expectations climb -- that could become a self-fulfilling prophecy after all.</p>","source":"lsy1583725640930","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should We Fear, Inflation Is Here</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould We Fear, Inflation Is Here\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-11 23:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/should-we-fear-inflation-here><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech investors are taking notice with Monday’s Nasdaq 100 slump the largest since mid-March, while China’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/should-we-fear-inflation-here\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/should-we-fear-inflation-here","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171091038","content_text":"It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech investors are taking notice with Monday’s Nasdaq 100 slump the largest since mid-March, while China’s producer prices accelerated overnight. VIX futures are higher with broad risk aversion setting up for European equities to catch up to the late downbeat U.S. session.\nAt least investor jitters that rising inflation could lift bond yields, and sap equities’ appeal could take comfort from real yields. The 10-year U.S. inflation-adjusted benchmark tumbled to three-month lows, keeping nominal yields in check as breakevens jumped to multi-year highs.\n\nFinancial conditions reached another record, while evidence of stocks’ rotation remains: S&P 500 energy and financials advanced over the past 5 sessions, value is outperforming growth –- particularly in Europe -- and the RTY/NDX is well, steady –- much like 10-year nominal yields around 1.60%.\nU.S. labor market frictions look to be adding to inflation fears, with JOLTs data, a leading indicator of hiring, likely to signal workers’ growing pricing power. And the NFIB small business optimism will be watched today for supply side constraints –- last month, job openings that were “hard to fill” reached at least a four-decade high. Of course, labor market dislocations remain and a handful of Fed speakers today will no doubt look to assuage inflation fears and discount near-term tapering risks. Not like Bill Dudley.\n\nWhether the Fed falls too far behind the curve remains up for debate. Markets, on the other hand, aren’t as comfortable looking through transitory inflation as evidence builds and expectations climb -- that could become a self-fulfilling prophecy after all.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":190066407,"gmtCreate":1620554960609,"gmtModify":1634198056292,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will they stop???&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","listText":"Will they stop???&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","text":"Will they stop??? [白眼] [白眼] [白眼] Comment & like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190066407","repostId":"1122089368","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122089368","pubTimestamp":1620457397,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122089368?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 15:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Happens to Stocks and Cryptocurrencies When the Fed Stops Raining Money?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122089368","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"To veterans of financial bubbles, there is plenty familiar about the present. Stock valuations are t","content":"<p>To veterans of financial bubbles, there is plenty familiar about the present. Stock valuations are their richest since the dot-com bubble in 2000. Home prices are back to their pre-financial crisis peak. Risky companies can borrow at the lowest rates on record. Individual investors are pouring money into green energy and cryptocurrency.</p><p>This boom has some legitimate explanations, from the advances in digital commerce to fiscally greased growth that will likely be the strongest since 1983.</p><p>But there is one driver above all: the Federal Reserve. Easy monetary policy has regularly fueled financial booms, and it is exceptionally easy now. The Fed has kept interest rates near zero for the past year and signaled rates won’t change for at least two more years. It is buying hundreds of billions of dollars of bonds. As a result, the 10-year Treasury bond yield is well below inflation—that is, real yields are deeply negative —for only the second time in 40 years.</p><p>There are good reasons why rates are so low. The Fed acted in response to a pandemic that at its most intense threatened even more damage than the 2007-09 financial crisis. Yet in great part thanks to the Fed and Congress, which has passed some $5 trillion in fiscal stimulus, this recovery looks much healthier than the last. That could undermine the reasons for such low rates, threatening the underpinnings of market.</p><p>“Equity markets at a minimum are priced to perfection on the assumption rates will be low for a long time,” said Harvard University economist Jeremy Stein, who served as a Fed governor alongside now-chairman Jerome Powell. “And certainly you get the sense the Fed is trying really hard to say, ‘Everything is fine, we’re in no rush to raise rates.’ But while I don’t think we’re headed for sustained high inflation it’s completely possible we’ll have several quarters of hot readings on inflation.”</p><p>Since stocks’ valuations are only justified if interest rates stay extremely low, how do they reprice if the Fed has to tighten monetary policy to combat inflation and bond yields rise one to 1.5 percentage points, he asked. “You could get a serious correction in asset prices.”</p><p><b>‘A bit frothy’</b></p><p>The Fed has been here before. In the late 1990s its willingness to cut rates in response to the Asian financial crisis and the near collapse of the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management was seen by some as an implicit market backstop, inflating the ensuing dot-com bubble. Its low-rate policy in the wake of that collapsed bubble was then blamed for driving up housing prices. Both times Fed officials defended their policy, arguing that to raise rates (or not cut them) simply to prevent bubbles would compromise their main goals of low unemployment and inflation, and do more harm than letting the bubble deflate on its own.</p><p>As for this year, in a report this week the central bank warned asset “valuations are generally high” and “vulnerable to significant declines should investor risk appetite fall, progress on containing the virus disappoint, or the recovery stall.” On April 28 Mr. Powell acknowledged markets look “a bit frothy” and the Fed might be one of the reasons: “I won’t say it has nothing to do with monetary policy, but it has a tremendous amount to do with vaccination and reopening of the economy.” But he gave no hint the Fed was about to dial back its stimulus: “The economy is a long way from our goals.” A Labor Department report Friday showing that far fewer jobs were created in April than Wall Street expected underlined that.</p><p>The Fed’s choices are heavily influenced by the financial crisis. While the Fed cut rates to near zero and bought bonds then as well, it was battling powerful headwinds as households, banks, and governments sought to pay down debts. That held back spending and pushed inflation below the Fed’s 2% target. Deeper-seated forces such as aging populations also held down growth and interest rates, a combination some dubbed “secular stagnation.”</p><p>The pandemic shutdown a year ago triggered a hit to economic output that was initially worse than the financial crisis. But after two months, economic activity began to recover as restrictions eased and businesses adapted to social distancing. The Fed initiated new lending programs and Congress passed the $2.2 trillion Cares Act. Vaccines arrived sooner than expected. The U.S. economy is likely to hit its pre-pandemic size in the current quarter, two years faster than after the financial crisis.</p><p>And yet even as the outlook has improved, the fiscal and monetary taps remain wide open. Democrats first proposed an additional $3 trillion in stimulus last May when output was expected to fall 6% last year. It actually fell less than half that, but Democrats, after winning both the White House and Congress, pressed ahead with the same size stimulus.</p><p>The Fed began buying bonds in March, 2020 to counter chaotic conditions in markets. In late summer, with markets functioning normally, it extended the program while tilting the rationale toward keeping bond yields low.</p><p>At the same time it unveiled a new framework: After years of inflation running below 2%, it would aim to push inflation not just back to 2% but higher, so that over time average and expected inflation would both stabilize at 2%. To that end, it promised not to raise rates until full employment had been restored and inflation was 2% and headed higher. Officials predicted that would not happen before 2024 and have since stuck to that guidance despite a significantly improving outlook.</p><p><b>Running of the bulls</b></p><p>This injection of unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus into an economy already rebounding thanks to vaccinations is why Wall Street strategists are their most bullish on stocks since before the last financial crisis, according to a survey byBank of AmericaCorp.While profit forecasts have risen briskly, stocks have risen more. The S&amp;P 500 stock index now trades at about 22 times the coming year’s profits, according to FactSet, a level only exceeded at the peak of the dot-com boom in 2000.</p><p>Other asset markets are similarly stretched. Investors are willing to buy the bonds of junk-rated companies at the lowest yields since at least 1995, and the narrowest spread above safe Treasurys since 2007, according to Bloomberg Barclays data. Residential and commercial property prices, adjusted for inflation, are around the peak reached in 2006.</p><p>Stock and property valuations are more justifiable today than in 2000 or in 2006 because the returns on riskless Treasury bonds are so much lower. In that sense, the Fed’s policies are working precisely as intended: improving both the economic outlook, which is good for profits, housing demand, and corporate creditworthiness; and the appetite for risk.</p><p>Nonetheless, low rates are no longer sufficient to justify some asset valuations. Instead, bulls invoke alternative metrics.</p><p>Bank of America recently noted companies with relatively low carbon emissions and higher water efficiency earn higher valuations. These valuations aren’t the result of superior cash flow or profit prospects, but a tidal wave of funds invested according to environmental, social and governance, or ESG, criteria.</p><p>Conventional valuation is also useless for cryptocurrencies which earn no interest, rent or dividends. Instead, advocates claim digital currencies will displace the fiat currencies issued by central banks as a transaction medium and store of value. “Crypto has the potential to be as revolutionary and widely adopted as the internet,” claims the prospectus of the initial public offering of crypto exchangeCoinbase GlobalInc.,in language reminiscent of internet-related IPOs more than two decades earlier. Cryptocurrencies as of April 29 were worth more than $2 trillion, according to CoinDesk, an information service, roughly equivalent to all U.S. dollars in circulation.</p><p>Financial innovation is also at work, as it has been in past financial booms. Portfolio insurance, a strategy designed to hedge against market losses, amplified selling during the 1987 stock market crash. In the 1990s, internet stockbrokers fueled tech stocks and in the 2000s, subprime mortgage derivatives helped finance housing. The equivalent today are zero commission brokers such as Robinhood Markets Inc., fractional ownership and social media, all of which have empowered individual investors.</p><p>Such investors increasingly influence the overall market’s direction, according to a recent report by the Bank for International Settlements, a consortium of the world’s central banks. It found, for example, that since 2017 trading volume in exchange-traded funds that track the S&amp;P 500, a favorite of institutional investors, has flattened while the volume in its component stocks, which individual investors prefer, has climbed. Individuals, it noted, are more likely to buy a company’s shares for reasons unrelated to its underlying business—because, for example, its name is similar to another stock that is on the rise.</p><p>While such speculation is often blamed on the Fed, drawing a direct line is difficult. Not so with fiscal stimulus. Jim Bianco, the head of financial research firm Bianco Research, said flows into exchange-traded funds and mutual funds jumped in March as the Treasury distributed $1,400 stimulus checks. “The first thing you do with your check is deposit it in your account and in 2021 that’s your brokerage account,” said Mr. Bianco.</p><p><b>Facing the future</b></p><p>It’s impossible to predict how, or even whether, this all ends. It doesn’t have to: High-priced stocks could eventually earn the profits necessary to justify today’s valuations, especially with the economy’s current head of steam. In he meantime, more extreme pockets of speculation may collapse under their own weight as profits disappoint or competition emerges.</p><p>Bitcoin once threatened to displace the dollar; now numerous competitors purport to do the same.TeslaInc.was once about the only stock you could buy to bet on electric vehicles; now there is China’s NIO Inc.,NikolaCorp., andFiskerInc.,not to mention established manufacturers such as Volkswagen AG andGeneral MotorsCo.that are rolling out ever more electric models.</p><p>But for assets across the board to fall would likely involve some sort of macroeconomic event, such as a recession, financial crisis, or inflation.</p><p>The Fed report this past week said the virus remains the biggest threat to the economy and thus the financial system. April’s jobs disappointment was a reminder of how unsettled the economic outlook remains. Still, with the virus in retreat, a recession seems unlikely now. A financial crisis linked to some hidden fragility can’t be ruled out. Still, banks have so much capital and mortgage underwriting is so tight that something similar to the 2007-09 financial crisis, which began with defaulting mortgages, seems remote. If junk bonds, cryptocoins or tech stocks are bought primarily with borrowed money, a plunge in their values could precipitate a wave of forced selling, bankruptcies and potentially a crisis. But that doesn’t seem to have happened. The recent collapse of Archegos Capital Management from reversals on derivatives-based stock investments inflicted losses on its lenders. But it didn’t threaten their survival or trigger contagion to similarly situated firms.</p><p>“Where’s the second Archegos?” said Mr. Bianco. “There hasn’t been one yet.”</p><p>That leaves inflation. Fear of inflation is widespread now with shortages of semiconductors, lumber, and workers all putting upward pressure on prices and costs. Most forecasters, and the Fed, think those pressures will ease once the economy has reopened and normal spending patterns resume. Nonetheless, the difference between yields on regular and inflation-indexed bond yields suggest investors are expecting inflation in coming years to average about 2.5%. That is hardly a repeat of the 1970s, and compatible with the Fed’s new goal of average 2% inflation over the long term. Nonetheless, it would be a clear break from the sub-2% range of the last decade.</p><p>Slightly higher inflation would result in the Fed setting short-term interest rates also slightly higher, which need not hurt stock valuations. More worrisome: Long-term bond yields, which are critical to stock values, might rise significantly more. Since the late 1990s, bond and stock prices have tended to move in opposite directions. That is because when inflation isn’t a concern, economic shocks tend to drive both bond yields (which move in the opposite direction to prices) and stock prices down. Bonds thus act as an insurance policy against losses on stocks, for which investors are willing to accept lower yields. If inflation becomes a problem again, then bonds lose that insurance value and their yields will rise. In recent months that stock-bond correlation, in place for most of the last few decades, began to disappear, said Brian Sack, a former Fed economist who is now with hedge fund D.E. Shaw &amp; Co. LP. He attributes that, in part, to inflation concerns.</p><p>The many years since inflation dominated the financial landscape have led investors to price assets as if inflation never will have that sway again. They may be right. But if the unprecedented combination of monetary and fiscal stimulus succeeds in jolting the economy out of the last decade’s pattern, that complacency could prove quite costly.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Happens to Stocks and Cryptocurrencies When the Fed Stops Raining Money?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Happens to Stocks and Cryptocurrencies When the Fed Stops Raining Money?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-08 15:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-happens-to-stocks-and-cryptocurrencies-when-the-fed-stops-raining-money-11620446420?mod=itp_wsj><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>To veterans of financial bubbles, there is plenty familiar about the present. Stock valuations are their richest since the dot-com bubble in 2000. Home prices are back to their pre-financial crisis ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-happens-to-stocks-and-cryptocurrencies-when-the-fed-stops-raining-money-11620446420?mod=itp_wsj\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-happens-to-stocks-and-cryptocurrencies-when-the-fed-stops-raining-money-11620446420?mod=itp_wsj","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122089368","content_text":"To veterans of financial bubbles, there is plenty familiar about the present. Stock valuations are their richest since the dot-com bubble in 2000. Home prices are back to their pre-financial crisis peak. Risky companies can borrow at the lowest rates on record. Individual investors are pouring money into green energy and cryptocurrency.This boom has some legitimate explanations, from the advances in digital commerce to fiscally greased growth that will likely be the strongest since 1983.But there is one driver above all: the Federal Reserve. Easy monetary policy has regularly fueled financial booms, and it is exceptionally easy now. The Fed has kept interest rates near zero for the past year and signaled rates won’t change for at least two more years. It is buying hundreds of billions of dollars of bonds. As a result, the 10-year Treasury bond yield is well below inflation—that is, real yields are deeply negative —for only the second time in 40 years.There are good reasons why rates are so low. The Fed acted in response to a pandemic that at its most intense threatened even more damage than the 2007-09 financial crisis. Yet in great part thanks to the Fed and Congress, which has passed some $5 trillion in fiscal stimulus, this recovery looks much healthier than the last. That could undermine the reasons for such low rates, threatening the underpinnings of market.“Equity markets at a minimum are priced to perfection on the assumption rates will be low for a long time,” said Harvard University economist Jeremy Stein, who served as a Fed governor alongside now-chairman Jerome Powell. “And certainly you get the sense the Fed is trying really hard to say, ‘Everything is fine, we’re in no rush to raise rates.’ But while I don’t think we’re headed for sustained high inflation it’s completely possible we’ll have several quarters of hot readings on inflation.”Since stocks’ valuations are only justified if interest rates stay extremely low, how do they reprice if the Fed has to tighten monetary policy to combat inflation and bond yields rise one to 1.5 percentage points, he asked. “You could get a serious correction in asset prices.”‘A bit frothy’The Fed has been here before. In the late 1990s its willingness to cut rates in response to the Asian financial crisis and the near collapse of the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management was seen by some as an implicit market backstop, inflating the ensuing dot-com bubble. Its low-rate policy in the wake of that collapsed bubble was then blamed for driving up housing prices. Both times Fed officials defended their policy, arguing that to raise rates (or not cut them) simply to prevent bubbles would compromise their main goals of low unemployment and inflation, and do more harm than letting the bubble deflate on its own.As for this year, in a report this week the central bank warned asset “valuations are generally high” and “vulnerable to significant declines should investor risk appetite fall, progress on containing the virus disappoint, or the recovery stall.” On April 28 Mr. Powell acknowledged markets look “a bit frothy” and the Fed might be one of the reasons: “I won’t say it has nothing to do with monetary policy, but it has a tremendous amount to do with vaccination and reopening of the economy.” But he gave no hint the Fed was about to dial back its stimulus: “The economy is a long way from our goals.” A Labor Department report Friday showing that far fewer jobs were created in April than Wall Street expected underlined that.The Fed’s choices are heavily influenced by the financial crisis. While the Fed cut rates to near zero and bought bonds then as well, it was battling powerful headwinds as households, banks, and governments sought to pay down debts. That held back spending and pushed inflation below the Fed’s 2% target. Deeper-seated forces such as aging populations also held down growth and interest rates, a combination some dubbed “secular stagnation.”The pandemic shutdown a year ago triggered a hit to economic output that was initially worse than the financial crisis. But after two months, economic activity began to recover as restrictions eased and businesses adapted to social distancing. The Fed initiated new lending programs and Congress passed the $2.2 trillion Cares Act. Vaccines arrived sooner than expected. The U.S. economy is likely to hit its pre-pandemic size in the current quarter, two years faster than after the financial crisis.And yet even as the outlook has improved, the fiscal and monetary taps remain wide open. Democrats first proposed an additional $3 trillion in stimulus last May when output was expected to fall 6% last year. It actually fell less than half that, but Democrats, after winning both the White House and Congress, pressed ahead with the same size stimulus.The Fed began buying bonds in March, 2020 to counter chaotic conditions in markets. In late summer, with markets functioning normally, it extended the program while tilting the rationale toward keeping bond yields low.At the same time it unveiled a new framework: After years of inflation running below 2%, it would aim to push inflation not just back to 2% but higher, so that over time average and expected inflation would both stabilize at 2%. To that end, it promised not to raise rates until full employment had been restored and inflation was 2% and headed higher. Officials predicted that would not happen before 2024 and have since stuck to that guidance despite a significantly improving outlook.Running of the bullsThis injection of unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus into an economy already rebounding thanks to vaccinations is why Wall Street strategists are their most bullish on stocks since before the last financial crisis, according to a survey byBank of AmericaCorp.While profit forecasts have risen briskly, stocks have risen more. The S&P 500 stock index now trades at about 22 times the coming year’s profits, according to FactSet, a level only exceeded at the peak of the dot-com boom in 2000.Other asset markets are similarly stretched. Investors are willing to buy the bonds of junk-rated companies at the lowest yields since at least 1995, and the narrowest spread above safe Treasurys since 2007, according to Bloomberg Barclays data. Residential and commercial property prices, adjusted for inflation, are around the peak reached in 2006.Stock and property valuations are more justifiable today than in 2000 or in 2006 because the returns on riskless Treasury bonds are so much lower. In that sense, the Fed’s policies are working precisely as intended: improving both the economic outlook, which is good for profits, housing demand, and corporate creditworthiness; and the appetite for risk.Nonetheless, low rates are no longer sufficient to justify some asset valuations. Instead, bulls invoke alternative metrics.Bank of America recently noted companies with relatively low carbon emissions and higher water efficiency earn higher valuations. These valuations aren’t the result of superior cash flow or profit prospects, but a tidal wave of funds invested according to environmental, social and governance, or ESG, criteria.Conventional valuation is also useless for cryptocurrencies which earn no interest, rent or dividends. Instead, advocates claim digital currencies will displace the fiat currencies issued by central banks as a transaction medium and store of value. “Crypto has the potential to be as revolutionary and widely adopted as the internet,” claims the prospectus of the initial public offering of crypto exchangeCoinbase GlobalInc.,in language reminiscent of internet-related IPOs more than two decades earlier. Cryptocurrencies as of April 29 were worth more than $2 trillion, according to CoinDesk, an information service, roughly equivalent to all U.S. dollars in circulation.Financial innovation is also at work, as it has been in past financial booms. Portfolio insurance, a strategy designed to hedge against market losses, amplified selling during the 1987 stock market crash. In the 1990s, internet stockbrokers fueled tech stocks and in the 2000s, subprime mortgage derivatives helped finance housing. The equivalent today are zero commission brokers such as Robinhood Markets Inc., fractional ownership and social media, all of which have empowered individual investors.Such investors increasingly influence the overall market’s direction, according to a recent report by the Bank for International Settlements, a consortium of the world’s central banks. It found, for example, that since 2017 trading volume in exchange-traded funds that track the S&P 500, a favorite of institutional investors, has flattened while the volume in its component stocks, which individual investors prefer, has climbed. Individuals, it noted, are more likely to buy a company’s shares for reasons unrelated to its underlying business—because, for example, its name is similar to another stock that is on the rise.While such speculation is often blamed on the Fed, drawing a direct line is difficult. Not so with fiscal stimulus. Jim Bianco, the head of financial research firm Bianco Research, said flows into exchange-traded funds and mutual funds jumped in March as the Treasury distributed $1,400 stimulus checks. “The first thing you do with your check is deposit it in your account and in 2021 that’s your brokerage account,” said Mr. Bianco.Facing the futureIt’s impossible to predict how, or even whether, this all ends. It doesn’t have to: High-priced stocks could eventually earn the profits necessary to justify today’s valuations, especially with the economy’s current head of steam. In he meantime, more extreme pockets of speculation may collapse under their own weight as profits disappoint or competition emerges.Bitcoin once threatened to displace the dollar; now numerous competitors purport to do the same.TeslaInc.was once about the only stock you could buy to bet on electric vehicles; now there is China’s NIO Inc.,NikolaCorp., andFiskerInc.,not to mention established manufacturers such as Volkswagen AG andGeneral MotorsCo.that are rolling out ever more electric models.But for assets across the board to fall would likely involve some sort of macroeconomic event, such as a recession, financial crisis, or inflation.The Fed report this past week said the virus remains the biggest threat to the economy and thus the financial system. April’s jobs disappointment was a reminder of how unsettled the economic outlook remains. Still, with the virus in retreat, a recession seems unlikely now. A financial crisis linked to some hidden fragility can’t be ruled out. Still, banks have so much capital and mortgage underwriting is so tight that something similar to the 2007-09 financial crisis, which began with defaulting mortgages, seems remote. If junk bonds, cryptocoins or tech stocks are bought primarily with borrowed money, a plunge in their values could precipitate a wave of forced selling, bankruptcies and potentially a crisis. But that doesn’t seem to have happened. The recent collapse of Archegos Capital Management from reversals on derivatives-based stock investments inflicted losses on its lenders. But it didn’t threaten their survival or trigger contagion to similarly situated firms.“Where’s the second Archegos?” said Mr. Bianco. “There hasn’t been one yet.”That leaves inflation. Fear of inflation is widespread now with shortages of semiconductors, lumber, and workers all putting upward pressure on prices and costs. Most forecasters, and the Fed, think those pressures will ease once the economy has reopened and normal spending patterns resume. Nonetheless, the difference between yields on regular and inflation-indexed bond yields suggest investors are expecting inflation in coming years to average about 2.5%. That is hardly a repeat of the 1970s, and compatible with the Fed’s new goal of average 2% inflation over the long term. Nonetheless, it would be a clear break from the sub-2% range of the last decade.Slightly higher inflation would result in the Fed setting short-term interest rates also slightly higher, which need not hurt stock valuations. More worrisome: Long-term bond yields, which are critical to stock values, might rise significantly more. Since the late 1990s, bond and stock prices have tended to move in opposite directions. That is because when inflation isn’t a concern, economic shocks tend to drive both bond yields (which move in the opposite direction to prices) and stock prices down. Bonds thus act as an insurance policy against losses on stocks, for which investors are willing to accept lower yields. If inflation becomes a problem again, then bonds lose that insurance value and their yields will rise. In recent months that stock-bond correlation, in place for most of the last few decades, began to disappear, said Brian Sack, a former Fed economist who is now with hedge fund D.E. Shaw & Co. LP. He attributes that, in part, to inflation concerns.The many years since inflation dominated the financial landscape have led investors to price assets as if inflation never will have that sway again. They may be right. But if the unprecedented combination of monetary and fiscal stimulus succeeds in jolting the economy out of the last decade’s pattern, that complacency could prove quite costly.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":107127752,"gmtCreate":1620455780076,"gmtModify":1634198603232,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More likely doge to the 🌙&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;Like &amp; comment thks","listText":"More likely doge to the 🌙&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;Like &amp; comment thks","text":"More likely doge to the 🌙 [贱笑] [贱笑] [贱笑] Like & comment thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107127752","repostId":"1140579879","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140579879","pubTimestamp":1620453263,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140579879?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 13:54","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk could make fireworks on 'SNL.' Investors are betting on it","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140579879","media":"CNN","summary":"New York (CNN Business)Live from New York, it's ... a market-moving corporate liability.\nThis weeken","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Live from New York, it's ... a market-moving corporate liability.</p>\n<p>This weekend, Tesla CEO Elon Musk is hosting \"Saturday Night Live,\" which, in case the name wasn't clear enough, is broadcast live. That means NBC relying on Musk to filter his thoughts in real time, despite little evidence, historically, of him holding back on just about anything he wants to say — even when under scrutiny by federal regulators.</p>\n<p>Wall Street is already betting that Musk will take the opportunity to play a little investing game.</p>\n<p>The cryptocurrency dogecoin, one of Musk's favorite market playthings, has been trading higher in anticipation of the SNL appearance. And Tesla stock, which fell into bear territory after hitting record highs in January, was up 1.5% Friday.</p>\n<p>Dogecoin was trading at around 65 cents on Friday, just shy of its all-time high of 69 cents. The shiba inu-themed digital currency that began as a joke has surged more than 12,000% since January, fueled in no small measure by Musk's tweets. Just a few words from Musk on Twitter, where he boasts more than 53 million followers, caused the crypto to spike 100%.</p>\n<p>\"Musk will undoubtedly have a sketch on cryptocurrencies that will probably go viral for days and further motivate his army of followers to try to send Dogecoin to the moon,\" wrote Ed Moya, a senior market analyst with online trading firm Oanda.</p>\n<p>Last week, Musk dubbed himself the \"dogefather\" in a brief tweet promoting his SNL appearance. The coin shot up more than 30%.</p>\n<p>So far, Musk has managed to tweet and say just about anything he wants — including his skepticism about Covid-19 and threats to workers who consider unionizing — without serious repercussions. He settled securities fraud charges with the SEC in 2018 by paying a fine, and is currently appealing a ruling in March from the National Labor Relations board that ordered Tesla to delete a three-year-old tweet discouraging unionization.</p>\n<p>He famously smoked weed and played with a samurai sword on Joe Rogan's podcast in 2018, a move that displeased shareholders and prompted two high-level executive departures. NASA, which had contracted Musk's SpaceX to carry astronauts to the International Space Station, ordered a safety review of the company amid concerns about Musk's behavior, according to multiple news reports.</p>\n<p>But Tesla's 2020 stock performance was so robust — shares rose by more than 700% — few if any investors seem bothered by his tendency toward erratic behavior.</p>\n<p>Still, several cast members on SNL publicly expressed their concerns about giving Musk an even bigger platform as host of the show.</p>\n<p>Musk, the self-annointed \"Technoking\" of Tesla, is often described as eccentric visionary, or, just as often, a reckless businessman with Peter Pan syndrome and a penchant for trolling his rivals. In either case, he is fundamentally unpredictable.</p>\n<p>He said it best himself in a promotional video released by SNL on Thursday. \"I'm a wild card, so there's no telling what I may do.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk could make fireworks on 'SNL.' Investors are betting on it</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk could make fireworks on 'SNL.' Investors are betting on it\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-08 13:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/07/investing/elon-musk-dogecoin-snl/index.html><strong>CNN</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Live from New York, it's ... a market-moving corporate liability.\nThis weekend, Tesla CEO Elon Musk is hosting \"Saturday Night Live,\" which, in case the name wasn't clear enough...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/07/investing/elon-musk-dogecoin-snl/index.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/07/investing/elon-musk-dogecoin-snl/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140579879","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Live from New York, it's ... a market-moving corporate liability.\nThis weekend, Tesla CEO Elon Musk is hosting \"Saturday Night Live,\" which, in case the name wasn't clear enough, is broadcast live. That means NBC relying on Musk to filter his thoughts in real time, despite little evidence, historically, of him holding back on just about anything he wants to say — even when under scrutiny by federal regulators.\nWall Street is already betting that Musk will take the opportunity to play a little investing game.\nThe cryptocurrency dogecoin, one of Musk's favorite market playthings, has been trading higher in anticipation of the SNL appearance. And Tesla stock, which fell into bear territory after hitting record highs in January, was up 1.5% Friday.\nDogecoin was trading at around 65 cents on Friday, just shy of its all-time high of 69 cents. The shiba inu-themed digital currency that began as a joke has surged more than 12,000% since January, fueled in no small measure by Musk's tweets. Just a few words from Musk on Twitter, where he boasts more than 53 million followers, caused the crypto to spike 100%.\n\"Musk will undoubtedly have a sketch on cryptocurrencies that will probably go viral for days and further motivate his army of followers to try to send Dogecoin to the moon,\" wrote Ed Moya, a senior market analyst with online trading firm Oanda.\nLast week, Musk dubbed himself the \"dogefather\" in a brief tweet promoting his SNL appearance. The coin shot up more than 30%.\nSo far, Musk has managed to tweet and say just about anything he wants — including his skepticism about Covid-19 and threats to workers who consider unionizing — without serious repercussions. He settled securities fraud charges with the SEC in 2018 by paying a fine, and is currently appealing a ruling in March from the National Labor Relations board that ordered Tesla to delete a three-year-old tweet discouraging unionization.\nHe famously smoked weed and played with a samurai sword on Joe Rogan's podcast in 2018, a move that displeased shareholders and prompted two high-level executive departures. NASA, which had contracted Musk's SpaceX to carry astronauts to the International Space Station, ordered a safety review of the company amid concerns about Musk's behavior, according to multiple news reports.\nBut Tesla's 2020 stock performance was so robust — shares rose by more than 700% — few if any investors seem bothered by his tendency toward erratic behavior.\nStill, several cast members on SNL publicly expressed their concerns about giving Musk an even bigger platform as host of the show.\nMusk, the self-annointed \"Technoking\" of Tesla, is often described as eccentric visionary, or, just as often, a reckless businessman with Peter Pan syndrome and a penchant for trolling his rivals. In either case, he is fundamentally unpredictable.\nHe said it best himself in a promotional video released by SNL on Thursday. \"I'm a wild card, so there's no telling what I may do.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":107124983,"gmtCreate":1620455615342,"gmtModify":1634198604301,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$1...here I come&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","listText":"$1...here I come&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","text":"$1...here I come [开心] [开心] [开心] Comment & like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107124983","repostId":"1160802774","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":105303845,"gmtCreate":1620267108587,"gmtModify":1634206510478,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The sky's the limit&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;Like &amp; comment thks","listText":"The sky's the limit&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;Like &amp; comment thks","text":"The sky's the limit [强] [强] [强] Like & comment thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105303845","repostId":"2133652936","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":108511574,"gmtCreate":1620040211998,"gmtModify":1634208327473,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","listText":"[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","text":"[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] Comment & like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108511574","repostId":"1139413897","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139413897","pubTimestamp":1620037100,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139413897?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-03 18:18","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Airlines raises $1.5B via aircraft deal","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139413897","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Singapore Airlines Ltd. will continue to explore additional means of raising liquidity to weather th","content":"<p>Singapore Airlines Ltd. will continue to explore additional means of raising liquidity to weather the fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic that crimped demand for business and leisure travel worldwide.</p>\n<p>The airline said Monday that it has raised 2.0 billion Singapore dollars (US$1.5 billion) via the sale-and-lease back of 11 aircraft, including seven Airbus A350-900s and four Boeing 787-10S.</p>\n<p>SIA that it continues to have access to more than S$2.1 billion in committed credit lines, along with an option to raise up to S$6.2 billion in additional mandatory convertible bonds before its annual general meeting in July.</p>\n<p>Like carriers around the world, Singapore Airlines has been hit hard by the pandemic and suffered heavy losses as demand for air travel dried up. For the third quarter ended December, the company posted a net loss of S$142 million compared with profit of S$315 million a year earlier.</p>\n<p>\"The additional liquidity from the sale-and-lease back transactions reinforces our ability to navigate the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic from a position of strength,\" Chief Executive Goh Choon Phong said.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Airlines raises $1.5B via aircraft deal</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Airlines raises $1.5B via aircraft deal\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-03 18:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/singapore-airlines-raises-15b-via-aircraft-deal-2021-05-03?mod=newsviewer_click><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Singapore Airlines Ltd. will continue to explore additional means of raising liquidity to weather the fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic that crimped demand for business and leisure travel worldwide.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/singapore-airlines-raises-15b-via-aircraft-deal-2021-05-03?mod=newsviewer_click\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"C6L.SI":"新加坡航空公司"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/singapore-airlines-raises-15b-via-aircraft-deal-2021-05-03?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1139413897","content_text":"Singapore Airlines Ltd. will continue to explore additional means of raising liquidity to weather the fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic that crimped demand for business and leisure travel worldwide.\nThe airline said Monday that it has raised 2.0 billion Singapore dollars (US$1.5 billion) via the sale-and-lease back of 11 aircraft, including seven Airbus A350-900s and four Boeing 787-10S.\nSIA that it continues to have access to more than S$2.1 billion in committed credit lines, along with an option to raise up to S$6.2 billion in additional mandatory convertible bonds before its annual general meeting in July.\nLike carriers around the world, Singapore Airlines has been hit hard by the pandemic and suffered heavy losses as demand for air travel dried up. For the third quarter ended December, the company posted a net loss of S$142 million compared with profit of S$315 million a year earlier.\n\"The additional liquidity from the sale-and-lease back transactions reinforces our ability to navigate the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic from a position of strength,\" Chief Executive Goh Choon Phong said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":101597501,"gmtCreate":1619921344403,"gmtModify":1634209119544,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nowadays ppl are spoilt for choice&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","listText":"Nowadays ppl are spoilt for choice&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","text":"Nowadays ppl are spoilt for choice [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] Comment & like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101597501","repostId":"1105099718","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105099718","pubTimestamp":1619897946,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105099718?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-02 03:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett Faces Impatient Investors as Berkshire Hathaway Returns Decline","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105099718","media":"WSJ","summary":"Institutional shareholders are pressing for change on climate and governance at the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate. Professional money managers are turning up the heat on Warren Buffett’sBerkshire Hathaway Inc.BRK.B-0.95%. California Public Employees’ Retirement System and Neuberger Berman have demanded that the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate bring in new directors and provide more disclosures on climate risks and executive. While many of the complaints aren’t new and none of the shareholder proposals are","content":"<p>Institutional shareholders are pressing for change on climate and governance at the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate</p><p>Professional money managers are turning up the heat on Warren Buffett’s<u>Berkshire Hathaway</u>&nbsp;Inc.BRK.B -0.95%</p><p>California Public Employees’ Retirement System and Neuberger Berman have demanded that the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate bring in new directors and provide more disclosures on climate risks and executive<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1dd969e4b237144cd02112f41464d169\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"1396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Leading up to Berkshire’s annual meeting on Saturday, proxy advisers Glass Lewis &amp; Co. and Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. have recommended that investors withhold their votes for board members.</p><p>While many of the complaints aren’t new and none of the shareholder proposals are likely to pass, Berkshire’s lackluster returns in recent years have made it more vulnerable to criticism amid a growing wave of investor interest in corporate sustainability issues.</p><p>The shareholder movement to press companies on climate change, social progress and governance continues to gain steam in the U.S., emerging as<u>a key selling point for money managers in their efforts to keep client money</u>.</p><p>Under Mr. Buffett’s leadership,<u>the firm boasts 20% compounded annualized gains from 1965 to 2020</u>, outperforming the S&amp;P 500’s 10.2% gains including dividends during the period. Berkshire’s total returns over the past three- and five-year periods were 12% and 14%, respectively, compared with the index’s 19% and 18%.</p><p>“Berkshire has gotten a pass in part because of its historically strong financial performance,” said Simiso Nzima, head of corporate governance at Calpers.</p><p></p><p>Berkshire has continued to stress its continued focus on the long game. Mr. Buffett, who is chief executive and chairman of the company, built up<u>a diverse portfolio of mostly U.S. businesses and investments meant to perform over decades</u>, not to compete with a volatile market buoyed by booming tech stocks.</p><p>Calpers, the nation’s largest public-pension fund with $444 billion in assets, co-sponsored a shareholder proposal imploring Berkshire to provide more disclosures on climate-related risks and opportunities.</p><p>The pension fund is also withholding its votes to re-elect members of the board’s audit and governance committees on grounds of failing to meet shareholder demands over climate-risk disclosures. It said it was concerned that the board lacks new members, doesn’t engage with shareholders and isn’t letting investors vote on executive pay plans.</p><p>“If you don’t refresh the board, you don’t have a next generation of directors able to learn from the long-serving directors before they leave the board,” Mr. Nzima said.</p><p>Berkshire declined to comment ahead of the company’s Saturday meeting.</p><p>Neuberger, a privately held money manager with more than $429 billion in assets, also said it would vote for several shareholder-led proposals related to environmental, social and corporate-governance issues, often abbreviated as ESG.</p><p>“One would think that if companies have a responsibility to look out for the environment or deliver good on social issues and governance, that Berkshire might be a leader in these areas,” said Michelle Giordano, a Neuberger analyst who follows the company. “But it doesn’t seem like they are.”</p><p></p><p>Berkshire said in its annual proxy statement that while it agreed companies had a responsibility to manage&nbsp;climate risks, it preferred to let its various operating units commit to their own environmental policies. Mandates from a small corporate office, the company wrote, would infringe upon the autonomy that has helped those businesses thrive under Berkshire’s ownership. Berkshire Hathaway Energy, for instance, already produces<u>a sustainability report</u>.</p><p>Calpers has also pledged to support a proposal requiring the company to report its efforts to diversify its staff.</p><p>Berkshire said the diversity-report proposal improperly suggests that “there is a standardized technique for each of Berkshire’s more than 60 operating businesses to address diversity, equity and inclusion.”</p><p>“It would be unreasonable to ask for uniform, quantitative reporting for the purposes of comparing such dissimilar operations in different geographic locations,” Berkshire wrote.</p><p>Glass Lewis and ISS recommended shareholders vote for the ESG proposals and withhold votes for certain directors.</p><p>“This year there’s a lot more attention given from mainstream investors on ESG issues,” said Courteney Keatinge, a senior director of ESG research at Glass Lewis.</p><p>Another factor is at play: Berkshire shares are slowly changing hands.</p><p>Mr. Buffett’s longstanding plan to shrink his stake in the company over time has shifted more Berkshire shares to big institutional investors, said Lawrence Cunningham, a law professor at George Washington University who has written extensively about the company.</p><p>About 70% of Berkshire’s shares are owned by individuals, many of whom are longtime holders loyal to Mr. Buffett, Mr. Cunningham said. And many don’t care whether Berkshire lacks a corporate sustainability report or an investor-relations team at the ready to answer their questions.</p><p>“Berkshire’s unusual and valued family of individual shareholders may add to your understanding of our reluctance to court Wall Street analysts and institutional investors,” Mr. Buffett wrote in his most recent letter to shareholders. “We already have the investors we want and don’t think that they, on balance, would be upgraded by replacements.”</p><p>The gradual uptick in institutional ownership, though, might already be empowering professional managers to press Berkshire on governance matters.&nbsp;When Mr. Buffett and his estate sell off his remaining shares, it is likely those money managers will hold an even bigger stake in the company, Mr. Cunningham said.</p><p>“There will be a dawning of significant leadership and structural change, and these holders are preparing for that battle,” Mr. Cunningham said.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett Faces Impatient Investors as Berkshire Hathaway Returns Decline</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett Faces Impatient Investors as Berkshire Hathaway Returns Decline\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-02 03:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/warren-buffett-faces-impatient-investors-as-berkshire-hathaway-returns-decline-11619794480><strong>WSJ</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Institutional shareholders are pressing for change on climate and governance at the Omaha, Neb., conglomerateProfessional money managers are turning up the heat on Warren Buffett’sBerkshire Hathaway ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/warren-buffett-faces-impatient-investors-as-berkshire-hathaway-returns-decline-11619794480\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daaa666333c3b9bf0b940ffed4c1c369","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/warren-buffett-faces-impatient-investors-as-berkshire-hathaway-returns-decline-11619794480","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105099718","content_text":"Institutional shareholders are pressing for change on climate and governance at the Omaha, Neb., conglomerateProfessional money managers are turning up the heat on Warren Buffett’sBerkshire Hathaway Inc.BRK.B -0.95%California Public Employees’ Retirement System and Neuberger Berman have demanded that the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate bring in new directors and provide more disclosures on climate risks and executiveLeading up to Berkshire’s annual meeting on Saturday, proxy advisers Glass Lewis & Co. and Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. have recommended that investors withhold their votes for board members.While many of the complaints aren’t new and none of the shareholder proposals are likely to pass, Berkshire’s lackluster returns in recent years have made it more vulnerable to criticism amid a growing wave of investor interest in corporate sustainability issues.The shareholder movement to press companies on climate change, social progress and governance continues to gain steam in the U.S., emerging asa key selling point for money managers in their efforts to keep client money.Under Mr. Buffett’s leadership,the firm boasts 20% compounded annualized gains from 1965 to 2020, outperforming the S&P 500’s 10.2% gains including dividends during the period. Berkshire’s total returns over the past three- and five-year periods were 12% and 14%, respectively, compared with the index’s 19% and 18%.“Berkshire has gotten a pass in part because of its historically strong financial performance,” said Simiso Nzima, head of corporate governance at Calpers.Berkshire has continued to stress its continued focus on the long game. Mr. Buffett, who is chief executive and chairman of the company, built upa diverse portfolio of mostly U.S. businesses and investments meant to perform over decades, not to compete with a volatile market buoyed by booming tech stocks.Calpers, the nation’s largest public-pension fund with $444 billion in assets, co-sponsored a shareholder proposal imploring Berkshire to provide more disclosures on climate-related risks and opportunities.The pension fund is also withholding its votes to re-elect members of the board’s audit and governance committees on grounds of failing to meet shareholder demands over climate-risk disclosures. It said it was concerned that the board lacks new members, doesn’t engage with shareholders and isn’t letting investors vote on executive pay plans.“If you don’t refresh the board, you don’t have a next generation of directors able to learn from the long-serving directors before they leave the board,” Mr. Nzima said.Berkshire declined to comment ahead of the company’s Saturday meeting.Neuberger, a privately held money manager with more than $429 billion in assets, also said it would vote for several shareholder-led proposals related to environmental, social and corporate-governance issues, often abbreviated as ESG.“One would think that if companies have a responsibility to look out for the environment or deliver good on social issues and governance, that Berkshire might be a leader in these areas,” said Michelle Giordano, a Neuberger analyst who follows the company. “But it doesn’t seem like they are.”Berkshire said in its annual proxy statement that while it agreed companies had a responsibility to manage climate risks, it preferred to let its various operating units commit to their own environmental policies. Mandates from a small corporate office, the company wrote, would infringe upon the autonomy that has helped those businesses thrive under Berkshire’s ownership. Berkshire Hathaway Energy, for instance, already producesa sustainability report.Calpers has also pledged to support a proposal requiring the company to report its efforts to diversify its staff.Berkshire said the diversity-report proposal improperly suggests that “there is a standardized technique for each of Berkshire’s more than 60 operating businesses to address diversity, equity and inclusion.”“It would be unreasonable to ask for uniform, quantitative reporting for the purposes of comparing such dissimilar operations in different geographic locations,” Berkshire wrote.Glass Lewis and ISS recommended shareholders vote for the ESG proposals and withhold votes for certain directors.“This year there’s a lot more attention given from mainstream investors on ESG issues,” said Courteney Keatinge, a senior director of ESG research at Glass Lewis.Another factor is at play: Berkshire shares are slowly changing hands.Mr. Buffett’s longstanding plan to shrink his stake in the company over time has shifted more Berkshire shares to big institutional investors, said Lawrence Cunningham, a law professor at George Washington University who has written extensively about the company.About 70% of Berkshire’s shares are owned by individuals, many of whom are longtime holders loyal to Mr. Buffett, Mr. Cunningham said. And many don’t care whether Berkshire lacks a corporate sustainability report or an investor-relations team at the ready to answer their questions.“Berkshire’s unusual and valued family of individual shareholders may add to your understanding of our reluctance to court Wall Street analysts and institutional investors,” Mr. Buffett wrote in his most recent letter to shareholders. “We already have the investors we want and don’t think that they, on balance, would be upgraded by replacements.”The gradual uptick in institutional ownership, though, might already be empowering professional managers to press Berkshire on governance matters. When Mr. Buffett and his estate sell off his remaining shares, it is likely those money managers will hold an even bigger stake in the company, Mr. Cunningham said.“There will be a dawning of significant leadership and structural change, and these holders are preparing for that battle,” Mr. Cunningham said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":109481004,"gmtCreate":1619709910808,"gmtModify":1634210508336,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;&nbsp; Comment &amp; like thks","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;&nbsp; Comment &amp; like thks","text":"[开心] [开心] [开心] Comment & like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109481004","repostId":"1169827391","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169827391","pubTimestamp":1619664680,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169827391?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 10:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Earnings Will Be Fantastic. What That Means for the Stock.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169827391","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock in Amazon.com has barely budged since the e-commerce and cloud- computing giant reported stell","content":"<p>Stock in Amazon.com has barely budged since the e-commerce and cloud- computing giant reported stellar fourth-quarter results that were overshadowed by the news that CEO Jeff Bezos will shift into the role of&nbsp; executive chairman, with Amazon Web Services chief Andy Jassy taking over the top slot.</p>\n<p>The combination of that pending change, along with uncertainty over how the reopening of the economy will affect shopping behavior, has some investors a little uneasy about the stock’s near-term prospects.</p>\n<p>They will get a fresh look at the situation after the close of trading on Thursday, when Amazon (ticker: AMZN) posts its results for the March quarter. Amazon has told investors to expect revenue of $100 billion to $106 billion, with operating income of between $3 billion and $6.5 billion, and about $2 billion in costs related to Covid-19. The Wall Street consensus calls for revenue of $104.5 billion, with profits of $9.54 a share.</p>\n<p>The Street also clearly expects the quarter’s results to show continued strength in e-commerce. According to FactSet, Wall Street analysts expect online-stores revenue of $51.5 billion, up 41% from a year ago, with third-party sales of $21.7 billion, up 50%. Subscription revenues are expected to be $7.3 billion, up 32%, while revenue from physical stores is expected to be $4.3 billion, down 8%. AWS revenues are projected at $13.2 billion, up 29%.</p>\n<p>One open question is what forecasts the company will make for the June quarter as parts of the country begin to return to more normal economic activity. The Street is projecting June quarter revenue of $108.7 billion and profits of $10.81 a share.</p>\n<p>In an earnings preview note, Truist analyst Youssef Squali&nbsp;reiterated a Buy rating on the stock and a target of $3,750 for the share price. The stock closed Tuesday at $3,417.43, up 4.9% year to date.</p>\n<p>He expects revenue to come in at the high end of the range Amazon predicted, saying e-commerce demand has remained strong both in the U.S. and internationally, given that the pandemic has been slow to subside. Conversations with people in the industry and strong earning disclosed last week by Snap bode well for Amazon’s ad business, which is lumped into a category called “other,” he wrote. He also thinks the market continues to underestimate the long-term growth potential of the dominance of the company’s two key businesses—e-commerce and AWS—as well as the company’s “emerging leadership in online advertising.”</p>\n<p>Stifel analyst Scott Devitt&nbsp;is similarly bullish, repeating a Buy rating and $4,000 target price. He sees 40% top-line growth, a little ahead of the Street consensus. “The focus on the report will largely center on the outlook as Amazon laps the difficult prior year compares from the onset of the pandemic,” he wrote in a research note.</p>\n<p>“Growth in a post-Covid environment remains largely uncertain for Amazon and across the e-commerce landscape,” Devitt said. “Our [June quarter] revenue estimates are ahead of consensus as we see tailwinds stemming from strong growth in new Prime members and diversification across geographies and categories supporting the retail business as economies recover.” He also said AWS and the ad business are well positioned for a recovery.</p>\n<p>Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter likewise maintained an Outperform rating and $4,000 target. He thinks the company will post more revenue and operating income than it had forecast, an outperformance resulting from market-share gains in e-commerce.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>“We believe that a more stable economy, continued imposition of shelter-in-place orders in many of Amazon’s markets, continued expansion into the very large grocery segment, and outstanding execution likely drove strong results in Q1,” he said. “In addition, Amazon Pharmacy (launched February 2) represents a U.S. [addressable market] of around $600 billion, so any market share gains could provide further upside.”</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Earnings Will Be Fantastic. What That Means for the Stock.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Earnings Will Be Fantastic. What That Means for the Stock.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-29 10:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-is-likely-to-post-blowout-profits-the-question-is-what-follows-51619556363?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stock in Amazon.com has barely budged since the e-commerce and cloud- computing giant reported stellar fourth-quarter results that were overshadowed by the news that CEO Jeff Bezos will shift into the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-is-likely-to-post-blowout-profits-the-question-is-what-follows-51619556363?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-is-likely-to-post-blowout-profits-the-question-is-what-follows-51619556363?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169827391","content_text":"Stock in Amazon.com has barely budged since the e-commerce and cloud- computing giant reported stellar fourth-quarter results that were overshadowed by the news that CEO Jeff Bezos will shift into the role of  executive chairman, with Amazon Web Services chief Andy Jassy taking over the top slot.\nThe combination of that pending change, along with uncertainty over how the reopening of the economy will affect shopping behavior, has some investors a little uneasy about the stock’s near-term prospects.\nThey will get a fresh look at the situation after the close of trading on Thursday, when Amazon (ticker: AMZN) posts its results for the March quarter. Amazon has told investors to expect revenue of $100 billion to $106 billion, with operating income of between $3 billion and $6.5 billion, and about $2 billion in costs related to Covid-19. The Wall Street consensus calls for revenue of $104.5 billion, with profits of $9.54 a share.\nThe Street also clearly expects the quarter’s results to show continued strength in e-commerce. According to FactSet, Wall Street analysts expect online-stores revenue of $51.5 billion, up 41% from a year ago, with third-party sales of $21.7 billion, up 50%. Subscription revenues are expected to be $7.3 billion, up 32%, while revenue from physical stores is expected to be $4.3 billion, down 8%. AWS revenues are projected at $13.2 billion, up 29%.\nOne open question is what forecasts the company will make for the June quarter as parts of the country begin to return to more normal economic activity. The Street is projecting June quarter revenue of $108.7 billion and profits of $10.81 a share.\nIn an earnings preview note, Truist analyst Youssef Squali reiterated a Buy rating on the stock and a target of $3,750 for the share price. The stock closed Tuesday at $3,417.43, up 4.9% year to date.\nHe expects revenue to come in at the high end of the range Amazon predicted, saying e-commerce demand has remained strong both in the U.S. and internationally, given that the pandemic has been slow to subside. Conversations with people in the industry and strong earning disclosed last week by Snap bode well for Amazon’s ad business, which is lumped into a category called “other,” he wrote. He also thinks the market continues to underestimate the long-term growth potential of the dominance of the company’s two key businesses—e-commerce and AWS—as well as the company’s “emerging leadership in online advertising.”\nStifel analyst Scott Devitt is similarly bullish, repeating a Buy rating and $4,000 target price. He sees 40% top-line growth, a little ahead of the Street consensus. “The focus on the report will largely center on the outlook as Amazon laps the difficult prior year compares from the onset of the pandemic,” he wrote in a research note.\n“Growth in a post-Covid environment remains largely uncertain for Amazon and across the e-commerce landscape,” Devitt said. “Our [June quarter] revenue estimates are ahead of consensus as we see tailwinds stemming from strong growth in new Prime members and diversification across geographies and categories supporting the retail business as economies recover.” He also said AWS and the ad business are well positioned for a recovery.\nWedbush analyst Michael Pachter likewise maintained an Outperform rating and $4,000 target. He thinks the company will post more revenue and operating income than it had forecast, an outperformance resulting from market-share gains in e-commerce. \n“We believe that a more stable economy, continued imposition of shelter-in-place orders in many of Amazon’s markets, continued expansion into the very large grocery segment, and outstanding execution likely drove strong results in Q1,” he said. “In addition, Amazon Pharmacy (launched February 2) represents a U.S. [addressable market] of around $600 billion, so any market share gains could provide further upside.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":100169422,"gmtCreate":1619590213066,"gmtModify":1634211501638,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All due for a correction&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;","listText":"All due for a correction&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;","text":"All due for a correction [白眼]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100169422","repostId":"1157918353","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157918353","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619566409,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157918353?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-28 07:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft sales grow on cloud strength, shares dip on heightened valuation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157918353","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Microsoft exceeded analysts’ estimates on the top and bottom lines, as well as revenue guidance.Windows revenue growth from device makers was higher than the company had predicted.Azure cloud revenue growth was flat from the prior quarter.Microsoft shares moved 2.6% lower in extended trading Tuesday after the software maker announced fiscal third-quarter earnings and quarterly revenue guidance that came in stronger than analysts had expected. The company’s operating margin narrowed somewhat as c","content":"<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Microsoft exceeded analysts’ estimates on the top and bottom lines, as well as revenue guidance.</li>\n <li>Windows revenue growth from device makers was higher than the company had predicted.</li>\n <li>Azure cloud revenue growth was flat from the prior quarter.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Microsoft&nbsp;shares moved 2.6% lower in extended trading Tuesday after the software maker announced fiscal third-quarter earnings and quarterly revenue guidance that came in stronger than analysts had expected. The company’s operating margin narrowed somewhat as cloud became a larger part of its business.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37e56904b785cd612b360cb4662adcab\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p>\n<p>Here’s how the company did:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Earnings:</b>$1.95 per share, adjusted, vs. $1.78 per share as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv.</li>\n <li><b>Revenue:</b>$41.71 billion, vs. $41.03 billion as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The software and hardware maker posted 19% annualized revenue growth for the quarter, which ended March 31, according to a&nbsp;statement. That’s the biggest quarterly increase the company has posted since 2018, thanks in part to&nbsp;gains in PC sales&nbsp;resulting from coronavirus-driven shortages last year.</p>\n<p>The company said its Azure public cloud, which competes with market leader&nbsp;Amazon&nbsp;Web Services, grew 50%, faster than the 46% growth analysts had expected, according to a CNBC review of 14 equity research notes. In&nbsp;the prior quarter&nbsp;Azure revenue grew 50%. Microsoft does not disclose Azure revenue in dollars.</p>\n<p>With respect to guidance, Microsoft is expecting $43.6 billion to $44.5 billion in revenue in the fiscal fourth quarter, said Amy Hood, Microsoft’s finance chief, on a conference call with analysts. At the middle of the range that would represent 16% growth, more than the $42.98 billion consensus estimate among analysts polled by Refinitiv.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04deaac8d015743ca14f06c8b77bd26e\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1549\"></p>\n<p>Microsoft’s Intelligent Cloud segment delivered $15.12 billion in revenue in the fiscal third quarter. That was up 23% year over year and above the FactSet consensus estimate of $14.92 billion. Intelligent Cloud contains Azure, Windows Server, SQL Server, Visual Studio, GitHub and Enterprise Services.</p>\n<p>The Productivity and Business Processes segment, containing Office, Dynamics and LinkedIn, contributed $13.55 billion in revenue, up 15% and more than the $13.49 billion FactSet consensus. The Teams chat and calling app reached 145 million daily active users, up from&nbsp;115 million&nbsp;in October, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said on the call.</p>\n<p>The company’s More Personal Computing unit, which includes Windows, gaming, devices and search, came up with $13.04 billion in revenue. That was up almost 19% and higher than the $12.55 billion consensus. Technology research company Gartner&nbsp;estimated&nbsp;earlier this month that PC manufacturers shipped nearly 70 million units in the quarter, 32% more than in the year-ago quarter, the fastest growth since Gartner started tracking the PC market in 2000.</p>\n<p>That benefits Microsoft’s sales of Windows licenses to PC makers, which were up 10%. There are now over 1.3 billion monthly active devices running the Windows 10 operating system, Nadella said.</p>\n<p>The outcome was greater than Microsoft itself had forecast. In January, Hood called for Windows license revenue from device makers to be up in the low single digits.</p>\n<p>The PC market endured “significant ongoing constraints in the supply chain,” Hood said on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>At the same time, the gross margin for Microsoft’s broad Commercial Cloud category of products — including Azure, commercial subscriptions to the Office 365 productivity bundle, cloud-based Dynamics 365 enterprise applications and commercial parts of LinkedIn — narrowed to 70% from 71%. The number is important to investors who want to see that Microsoft can continue to make Azure more profitable.</p>\n<p>The operating margin for the Intelligent Cloud segment that includes Azure also narrowed to 42.5% from about 44.5%. Microsoft’s overall operating margin came in at 40.9%, down from 41.6%.</p>\n<p>Microsoft&nbsp;said&nbsp;in the quarter it had won a U.S. Army contract worth up to $21.9 billion over a decade for augmented reality headsets based on its latest HoloLens device. The company also&nbsp;issued patches&nbsp;to address vulnerabilities in its Exchange Server on-premises email and calendar software that Chinese hackers exploited. It also&nbsp;closed&nbsp;the $8.1 billion acquisition of video game maker ZeniMax Media.</p>\n<p>Notwithstanding the after-hours move, Microsoft shares are up 18% year to date, compared with a gain of around 12% for the S&amp;P 500 over the same time period.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft sales grow on cloud strength, shares dip on heightened valuation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft sales grow on cloud strength, shares dip on heightened valuation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-28 07:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Microsoft exceeded analysts’ estimates on the top and bottom lines, as well as revenue guidance.</li>\n <li>Windows revenue growth from device makers was higher than the company had predicted.</li>\n <li>Azure cloud revenue growth was flat from the prior quarter.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Microsoft&nbsp;shares moved 2.6% lower in extended trading Tuesday after the software maker announced fiscal third-quarter earnings and quarterly revenue guidance that came in stronger than analysts had expected. The company’s operating margin narrowed somewhat as cloud became a larger part of its business.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37e56904b785cd612b360cb4662adcab\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p>\n<p>Here’s how the company did:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Earnings:</b>$1.95 per share, adjusted, vs. $1.78 per share as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv.</li>\n <li><b>Revenue:</b>$41.71 billion, vs. $41.03 billion as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The software and hardware maker posted 19% annualized revenue growth for the quarter, which ended March 31, according to a&nbsp;statement. That’s the biggest quarterly increase the company has posted since 2018, thanks in part to&nbsp;gains in PC sales&nbsp;resulting from coronavirus-driven shortages last year.</p>\n<p>The company said its Azure public cloud, which competes with market leader&nbsp;Amazon&nbsp;Web Services, grew 50%, faster than the 46% growth analysts had expected, according to a CNBC review of 14 equity research notes. In&nbsp;the prior quarter&nbsp;Azure revenue grew 50%. Microsoft does not disclose Azure revenue in dollars.</p>\n<p>With respect to guidance, Microsoft is expecting $43.6 billion to $44.5 billion in revenue in the fiscal fourth quarter, said Amy Hood, Microsoft’s finance chief, on a conference call with analysts. At the middle of the range that would represent 16% growth, more than the $42.98 billion consensus estimate among analysts polled by Refinitiv.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04deaac8d015743ca14f06c8b77bd26e\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1549\"></p>\n<p>Microsoft’s Intelligent Cloud segment delivered $15.12 billion in revenue in the fiscal third quarter. That was up 23% year over year and above the FactSet consensus estimate of $14.92 billion. Intelligent Cloud contains Azure, Windows Server, SQL Server, Visual Studio, GitHub and Enterprise Services.</p>\n<p>The Productivity and Business Processes segment, containing Office, Dynamics and LinkedIn, contributed $13.55 billion in revenue, up 15% and more than the $13.49 billion FactSet consensus. The Teams chat and calling app reached 145 million daily active users, up from&nbsp;115 million&nbsp;in October, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said on the call.</p>\n<p>The company’s More Personal Computing unit, which includes Windows, gaming, devices and search, came up with $13.04 billion in revenue. That was up almost 19% and higher than the $12.55 billion consensus. Technology research company Gartner&nbsp;estimated&nbsp;earlier this month that PC manufacturers shipped nearly 70 million units in the quarter, 32% more than in the year-ago quarter, the fastest growth since Gartner started tracking the PC market in 2000.</p>\n<p>That benefits Microsoft’s sales of Windows licenses to PC makers, which were up 10%. There are now over 1.3 billion monthly active devices running the Windows 10 operating system, Nadella said.</p>\n<p>The outcome was greater than Microsoft itself had forecast. In January, Hood called for Windows license revenue from device makers to be up in the low single digits.</p>\n<p>The PC market endured “significant ongoing constraints in the supply chain,” Hood said on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>At the same time, the gross margin for Microsoft’s broad Commercial Cloud category of products — including Azure, commercial subscriptions to the Office 365 productivity bundle, cloud-based Dynamics 365 enterprise applications and commercial parts of LinkedIn — narrowed to 70% from 71%. The number is important to investors who want to see that Microsoft can continue to make Azure more profitable.</p>\n<p>The operating margin for the Intelligent Cloud segment that includes Azure also narrowed to 42.5% from about 44.5%. Microsoft’s overall operating margin came in at 40.9%, down from 41.6%.</p>\n<p>Microsoft&nbsp;said&nbsp;in the quarter it had won a U.S. Army contract worth up to $21.9 billion over a decade for augmented reality headsets based on its latest HoloLens device. The company also&nbsp;issued patches&nbsp;to address vulnerabilities in its Exchange Server on-premises email and calendar software that Chinese hackers exploited. It also&nbsp;closed&nbsp;the $8.1 billion acquisition of video game maker ZeniMax Media.</p>\n<p>Notwithstanding the after-hours move, Microsoft shares are up 18% year to date, compared with a gain of around 12% for the S&amp;P 500 over the same time period.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157918353","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nMicrosoft exceeded analysts’ estimates on the top and bottom lines, as well as revenue guidance.\nWindows revenue growth from device makers was higher than the company had predicted.\nAzure cloud revenue growth was flat from the prior quarter.\n\nMicrosoft shares moved 2.6% lower in extended trading Tuesday after the software maker announced fiscal third-quarter earnings and quarterly revenue guidance that came in stronger than analysts had expected. The company’s operating margin narrowed somewhat as cloud became a larger part of its business.\n\nHere’s how the company did:\n\nEarnings:$1.95 per share, adjusted, vs. $1.78 per share as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv.\nRevenue:$41.71 billion, vs. $41.03 billion as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv.\n\nThe software and hardware maker posted 19% annualized revenue growth for the quarter, which ended March 31, according to a statement. That’s the biggest quarterly increase the company has posted since 2018, thanks in part to gains in PC sales resulting from coronavirus-driven shortages last year.\nThe company said its Azure public cloud, which competes with market leader Amazon Web Services, grew 50%, faster than the 46% growth analysts had expected, according to a CNBC review of 14 equity research notes. In the prior quarter Azure revenue grew 50%. Microsoft does not disclose Azure revenue in dollars.\nWith respect to guidance, Microsoft is expecting $43.6 billion to $44.5 billion in revenue in the fiscal fourth quarter, said Amy Hood, Microsoft’s finance chief, on a conference call with analysts. At the middle of the range that would represent 16% growth, more than the $42.98 billion consensus estimate among analysts polled by Refinitiv.\n\nMicrosoft’s Intelligent Cloud segment delivered $15.12 billion in revenue in the fiscal third quarter. That was up 23% year over year and above the FactSet consensus estimate of $14.92 billion. Intelligent Cloud contains Azure, Windows Server, SQL Server, Visual Studio, GitHub and Enterprise Services.\nThe Productivity and Business Processes segment, containing Office, Dynamics and LinkedIn, contributed $13.55 billion in revenue, up 15% and more than the $13.49 billion FactSet consensus. The Teams chat and calling app reached 145 million daily active users, up from 115 million in October, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said on the call.\nThe company’s More Personal Computing unit, which includes Windows, gaming, devices and search, came up with $13.04 billion in revenue. That was up almost 19% and higher than the $12.55 billion consensus. Technology research company Gartner estimated earlier this month that PC manufacturers shipped nearly 70 million units in the quarter, 32% more than in the year-ago quarter, the fastest growth since Gartner started tracking the PC market in 2000.\nThat benefits Microsoft’s sales of Windows licenses to PC makers, which were up 10%. There are now over 1.3 billion monthly active devices running the Windows 10 operating system, Nadella said.\nThe outcome was greater than Microsoft itself had forecast. In January, Hood called for Windows license revenue from device makers to be up in the low single digits.\nThe PC market endured “significant ongoing constraints in the supply chain,” Hood said on Tuesday.\nAt the same time, the gross margin for Microsoft’s broad Commercial Cloud category of products — including Azure, commercial subscriptions to the Office 365 productivity bundle, cloud-based Dynamics 365 enterprise applications and commercial parts of LinkedIn — narrowed to 70% from 71%. The number is important to investors who want to see that Microsoft can continue to make Azure more profitable.\nThe operating margin for the Intelligent Cloud segment that includes Azure also narrowed to 42.5% from about 44.5%. Microsoft’s overall operating margin came in at 40.9%, down from 41.6%.\nMicrosoft said in the quarter it had won a U.S. Army contract worth up to $21.9 billion over a decade for augmented reality headsets based on its latest HoloLens device. The company also issued patches to address vulnerabilities in its Exchange Server on-premises email and calendar software that Chinese hackers exploited. It also closed the $8.1 billion acquisition of video game maker ZeniMax Media.\nNotwithstanding the after-hours move, Microsoft shares are up 18% year to date, compared with a gain of around 12% for the S&P 500 over the same time period.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":374870135,"gmtCreate":1619441414127,"gmtModify":1634273471552,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seriously.....[惊讶]&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;","listText":"Seriously.....[惊讶]&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;","text":"Seriously.....[惊讶] [惊讶] [惊讶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374870135","repostId":"1131997434","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":865626159,"gmtCreate":1632978169063,"gmtModify":1632978169913,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865626159","repostId":"1104172212","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104172212","pubTimestamp":1632965278,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104172212?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-30 09:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104172212","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.</li>\n <li>The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor.</li>\n <li>The key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The COVID-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. <b>We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening. Amid this backdrop, our outlook favors equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks.</b></p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>The post-lockdown recovery has transitioned from energetic youthfulness to awkward adolescence. It’s still growing, although at a slower pace, and there are worries about what happens next, particularly about monetary policy and the outlook for inflation. Theinflation spikehas been larger than expected, but we still think it istransitory, caused by base effects from when the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell during the lockdown last year and by temporary supply bottlenecks. Inflation may remain high over the remainder of 2021 but should decline in early 2022. This means that even though the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to begin tapering back on asset purchases before the end of the year, rate hikes are unlikely before the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>Another worry is thehighly contagious COVID-19 delta variant. The evidence so far is that vaccines are effective in preventing serious COVID-19 infections. Vaccination rates are accelerating globally, and emerging economies are catching up with developed markets. Infection rates appear to have peaked globally in early September. This means the reopening of economies should continue over the remainder of 2021. The onset of winter in the northern hemisphere will be a test, but the rollout of booster vaccination shots should help prevent widescale renewed lockdowns.</p>\n<p>The conclusions from our cycle, value and sentiment (CVS) investment decision-making process are broadly unchanged from our previous quarterly report. Global equities remain expensive, with the very expensive U.S. market offsetting better value elsewhere. Sentiment is slightly overbought, but not close to dangerous levels of euphoria. The strong cycle delivers a preference for equities over bonds for at least the next 12 months, despite expensive valuations. It also reinforces our preference for thevalue equity factor over the growth factorand for non-U.S. equities to outperform the U.S. market.</p>\n<p><b>Cycle still in recovery phase</b></p>\n<p>The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. Even so, we think the cycle is still in the recovery phase, although it is maturing. Despite strong growth, there is plenty of spare capacity. This can be seen in the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers in the United States. The chart below shows the ratio has recovered from the pandemic lows, but only to levels reached during the relatively mild recessions in the early 1990s and 2000s. We expect theU.S. labor-market recoveryshould still resemble a typical post-recession recovery over the next few quarters.</p>\n<p><b>U.S. EMPLOYMENT-POPULATION RATIO FOR PRIME-AGE WORKERS</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28a91fe2991463e2285879c32cb1b8c7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The U.S. recovery, however, is more advanced than that of other developed economies. The following chart shows how far GDP has recovered, relative to the pre-COVID-19 peak in 2019. GDP is 0.8% higher in the U.S., although this level is still short relative to the pre-COVID-19 trend. GDP is 2.5% below 2019 levels in the euro area and 4.5% below in the United Kingdom. We expect more cyclical upside for economic growth outside the U.S., and this should allow market leadership to rotate toward the rest of the world.</p>\n<p><b>GDP IN Q2 2021 RELATIVE TO PRE-COVID-19 PEAK IN 2019</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/577d1b96aef08b71c9bdb6665a21b2ac\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Two key indicators</b></p>\n<p>Last quarter, we listed two indicators that should offer a guide to the Fed’s expected reaction to the inflation spike.</p>\n<p>The first is five-year/five-year breakeven inflation expectations, based on the pricing of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). This is the market’s forecast for average inflation over five years in five years’ time. It tells us that investors expect inflation will average 2.17% in the five years from late 2026 to late 2031. The TIPS yields are based on the CPI, while the Fed targets inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) deflator. The two move together over time, but CPI inflation is generally around 0.25% higher than PCE inflation. A breakeven rate of 2.75% would suggest the market sees PCE inflation above 2.5% in five years’ time. Market inflation expectations are currently comfortably below the Fed’s worry point.</p>\n<p><b>WATCHPOINT INDICATOR #1: U.S. 5-YEAR/5-YEAR BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATE</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f3cf57b58f600fe6681e9015779e85\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The second indicator is the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker, and this has a less-comforting message about inflation risks. It reached 3.9% in August, which isclose to the 4% thresholdwhere we judge that the Fed will become concerned about the inflationary impact on the growth of wages. A breakdown shows that the spike has been mostly driven by wages for low-skilled, young people in the leisure and hospitality industry. This suggests the surge has been caused by temporary labor supply shortages and that wage pressures should subside as economic activity normalizes. This indicator, however, will be an important watchpoint over the next few months.</p>\n<p><b>WATCHPOINT INDICATOR #2: ATLANTA FED WAGE GROWTH TRACKER</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d3ff1ca26f6d29a28f919c65531c9a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Reopening trade still makes sense</b></p>\n<p>The reopening trade, which lifts long-term interest rates and favors cyclical and value stocks over technology and growth stocks, worked well for several months following the vaccine announcement last November. Value outperformed growth and yield curves steepened. The trade has reversed in recent months, however, amid fears that the delta variant might derail the economic recovery. The impact has been magnified by short covering in bond markets as investors, who have been short or underweight, have been forced by the rally to buy back into the market, pushing bond yields even lower.</p>\n<p>The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor. Financial stocks comprise the largest sector in the MSCI World Value Index, and they should benefit from further yield-curve steepening, which boosts the profitability of banks. Long-term interest rates should rise as global growth remains above trend, delta-variant fears fade, the short squeeze unwinds and central banks begin tapering back on bond purchases.</p>\n<p>The rotation in economic growth leadership away from the United States should also help the reopening trade. The rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks relative to the U.S., which has a higher weight to technology stocks.</p>\n<p>Emerging market (EM) equities have been poor performers since the vaccine announcement, but there are some encouraging signs. Initially, they were held back by the exposure to technology stocks in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. More recently, they have come under pressure from the slowdown in the Chinese economy and theregulatory crackdown on Chinese tech companies. The vaccine rollout across emerging markets has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon improve the growth outlook. The path of Chinese regulation is harder to predict, but it is now largely priced in, with Chinese technology companies underperforming their global peers by nearly 50% from February 2021 through mid-September.</p>\n<p>The resumption of the reopening trade should also result in U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded sideways since the vaccine announcement. It should weaken once investors have confidence that delta-variant risks are subsiding and realize that the Fed is likely to remain dovish as inflation risks decline. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. Dollar weakness should support the performance of non-U.S. markets, particularly emerging markets.</p>\n<p><b>Risks: variants, inflation, China weakness</b></p>\n<p>The key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter. The evidence so far is that vaccinations are highly effective in preventing serious illness. In Israel, booster shots appear to have slowed the rate of new cases.</p>\n<p>Another watchpoint is inflation and the response of central banks. Our expectation is that this year’s inflation spike is mostly transitory and that the major central banks, led by the Fed, are still two years from raising interest rates.</p>\n<p>Finally, there is the risk of a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.Credit growth has slowed this yearand the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) have trended lower. Monetary and fiscal policy have been eased, however, and senior officials have signaled that more stimulus is on the way. China policy direction and credit trends will be an important watchpoint over coming months.</p>\n<p><b>Regional snapshotsUnited States</b></p>\n<p>The U.S. economy is likely to sustain above-trend growth into 2022. However, the easiest gains appear in the rear-view mirror at the end of the third quarter as the recovery phase of the business cycle matures. This is most visible for corporate earnings, where S&amp;P 500® Index earnings-per-share already sit 20% above their previous cyclical high.</p>\n<p>Strong fundamentals have helped power the stock market to new highs. Early evidence that the delta-variant wave may be fading and the potential for greater vaccine access for children are positives for a more complete recovery in the quarters ahead. The Fedlooks poised to start tapering its asset purchasesaround the end of 2021. The timing of the first rate hike will then hinge on what happens to inflation next year. Our models suggest that inflation is likely to drop back below the Fed’s 2% target in 2022. If that is correct, the Fed is likely to remain on hold into the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>Wage inflation is a key risk to this view. It is running unusually strong for this stage of the cycle, and record hiring intentions from businesses could exhaust spare capacity in the year ahead. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise moderately from 1.37% in mid-September to 1.75% in coming months.</p>\n<p>Fiscal stimulus negotiations continue to grab headlines in Washington, D.C. Thetax provisions in these billsare likely to be the most impactful for financial markets. We estimate thathigher corporate taxescould subtract about four percentage points from S&amp;P 500 earnings growth in 2022. This could create volatility and opportunity in markets. Given our strong cyclical outlook, our bias continues to be a<i>risk-on</i>preference for equities over bonds for the medium-term.</p>\n<p><b>Eurozone</b></p>\n<p>Euro area growthslowed through the third quarter but looks on track for a return to above-trend growth over the fourth quarter and into 2022. Vaccination rates are high, and the euro area has more catch-up potential than other major economies, particularly the United States. The euro area is also set to receive more fiscal support than other regions, with the European Union’s pandemic recovery fund only just starting to disburse stimulus, which will provide significant support in southern Europe. Polls in advance of Germany’s federal election on Sept. 26 suggested the electorate was moving toward the political left, which means the new government is likely to support expansionary fiscal policy and a continued dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB).</p>\n<p>The MSCI EMU Index, which reflects the European Economic and Monetary Union, has performed broadly in line with the S&amp;P 500 so far in 2021. We think it has potential to outperform in coming quarters. Europe’s exposure to financials and cyclically sensitive sectors such as industrials, materials and energy, and its relatively small exposure to technology, gives it the potential to outperform as delta-variant fears subside, economic activity picks up and yield curves in Europe steepen.</p>\n<p><b>United Kingdom</b></p>\n<p>As of mid-year, UK GDP was still nearly 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak. We see plenty of scope for strong catch-up growth as borders are fully reopened and activity normalizes. Supply bottlenecks and labor shortages have triggered a sharp rise in underlying inflation and created concerns that the Bank of England (BoE) may start rate hikes in the first half of 2022. We think the BoE is unlikely to be that aggressive. We expect inflation to decline in early 2022 as supply constraints ease, which should convince the BoE to delay rate hikes.</p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 Index is the cheapest of the major developed equity markets in late 2021, and this should help it reflect higher returns than other markets over the next decade. Around 70% of UK corporate earnings come from offshore, so one near-term risk is that further strengthening of British sterling dampens earnings growth. The other risks are mostly around policy missteps, for example, early tightening by the Bank of England.</p>\n<p><b>Japan</b></p>\n<p>The Japanese economy is expected to get a shot in the arm as rising vaccination rates improve mobility and reduce the risk of further lockdowns, and as political leadership changes result in more fiscal stimulus: the Japanese election is due to be held before Nov. 28. Japanese equities look slightly more expensive than other regions such as the UK and Europe. We maintain our view that the Bank of Japan will significantly lag other central banks in normalizing policy.</p>\n<p><b>China</b></p>\n<p>We expect Chinese economic growth to berobust over the next 12 months, supported by a post-lockdown jump in consumer spending and incremental fiscal and monetary easing. Despite a big improvement in vaccination rates,COVID-19 outbreaks remain a riskgiven the Chinese government’s zero-tolerance approach. The major consumer technology companies have seen significant drops in stock prices recently due to more aggressive regulation. Some uncertainty remains around thepath of future regulation, especially as it relates to technology companies, and as a result we expect investors will remain cautious on Chinese equities in the coming months. The property market, particularly property developers as recently highlighted by Evergrande’s debt crisis, remains a risk that we are monitoring closely.</p>\n<p><b>Canada</b></p>\n<p>Canada leads the G71countries in terms of the vaccination rollout, which should minimize the risk of large-scale lockdowns over winter. The delta variant has taken an economic toll, however, with industry consensus projections now predicting 5% GDP growth in 2021 versus estimates of more than 6% just three months ago. Even so, growth remains above-trend and the odds of additional fiscal expenditures to support the economy have increased. This means that weaker growth due to COVID-19 is unlikely to change the Bank of Canada's (BoC) tightening bias.</p>\n<p>Tapering of asset purchasesshould be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2022. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated that the reinvestment phase of the bonds held by the central bank will commence once quantitative easing has ended. This should generate an estimated C$1 billion in weekly bond purchases, down from the current pace of C$2 billion. The BoC will likely only consider shrinking its balance sheet after it has started lifting interest rates. The BoC projects that the output gap will close sometime over the second half of 2022, and that rate hikes will be considered after economic slack has disappeared. We believe that the timeline may be a tad aggressive, and a delay to 2023 for liftoff is more likely. This would better align the Canadian central bank with its American counterpart.</p>\n<p><b>Australia/New Zealand</b></p>\n<p>The Australian economy is set to return to life, with lockdowns likely to be eased in October and November. Consumer and business balance sheets continue to look healthy, which should facilitate a strong recovery. The reopening of the international border in 2022 will provide a further boost. Fiscal policy has supported the economy through the downturn, and there is potential for further stimulus in the lead-up to the federal election, which is due before the end of 2022. The Reserve Bank of Australia has begun the process of tapering its bond-purchase program, but we expect that a rise in the cash rate is unlikely until at least the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>New Zealand’s most recent lockdown will drag on Q3 GDP, but similar to Australia, we expect a solid rebound as the economy reopens. The government aims to provide a vaccine to all adults by the end of 2021, after which borders will gradually reopen. This will provide a boost, particularly to tourism-exposed sectors. Despite having recently put off hiking interest rates due to the recent lockdown, we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start raising rates this year. Even though they have significantly underperformed global equities this year, New Zealand equities still screen as relatively expensive compared to other regions.</p>\n<p><b>Asset-class preferences</b></p>\n<p>Our cycle, value and sentiment investment decision-making process in late September 2021 has a moderately positive medium-term view on global equities. Value is expensive across most markets except for UK equities, which are near fair value. The cycle is risk-asset supportive for the medium-term. The major economies still have spare capacity and inflation pressures appear transitory, caused by COVID-19-related supply shortages. Rate hikes by the U.S. Fed seem unlikely before the second half of 2023. Sentiment, after reaching overbought levels earlier in the year, has returned to more neutral levels.</p>\n<p><b>COMPOSITE CONTRARIAN INDICATOR: SENTIMENT SHIFTS TOWARD NEUTRAL</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c527955abbc9e770d200c1d709f80d8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>We prefer<b>non-U.S. equities</b>to U.S. equities. Stronger economic growth and steeper yield curves after the third-quarter slowdown should favor undervalued cyclical value stocks over expensive technology and growth stocks. Relative to the U.S., the rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks.</li>\n <li><b>Emerging markets equities</b>have been relatively poor performers this year, but there are some encouraging signs. The vaccine rollout across EM has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon boost the economic growth outlook.China’s regulatory crackdownhas caused significant underperformance by Chinese technology companies, but this should be less of a headwind going forward now that it is priced in.</li>\n <li><b>High yield</b>and<b>investment grade credit</b>are expensive on a spread basis but have support from a positive cycle view that accommodates corporate profit growth and keeps default rates low. U.S. dollar-denominated<b>emerging markets debt</b>is close to fair value in spread terms and will gain support on U.S. dollar weakness.</li>\n <li><b>Government bonds</b>are expensive, and yields should come under upward pressure as output gaps close and central banks look to taper back asset purchases. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise toward 1.75% in coming months.</li>\n <li><b>Real assets</b>: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have significantly outperformed Global Listed Infrastructure (GLI) so far this year, to the extent that REITS are now expensive relative to GLI. Both should benefit from the pandemic recovery, but GLI has some catch-up potential. GLI should benefit from the global re-opening boosting domestic and international travel.<b>Commodities</b>have been the best-performing asset class this year amid strong demand and supply bottlenecks. The gains have been led by industrial metals and energy. The pace of increase should ease as supply issues are resolved, butcommodities should retain supportfrom above-trend global demand.</li>\n <li>The<b>U.S. dollar</b>has been supported this year by expectations for early Fed tightening and U.S. economic growth leadership. It should weaken as global growth leadership rotates away from the U.S. and toward Europe and other developed economies. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. The main beneficiary is likely to be the<b>euro</b>, which is still undervalued. We also believe<b>British sterling</b>and the economically sensitive<i>commodity currencies</i>—the<b>Australian dollar</b>, the<b>New Zealand dollar</b>and the<b>Canadian dollar</b>—can make further gains, although these currencies are not undervalued from a longer-term perspective.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>ASSET PERFORMANCE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2021</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50e253becd38bd122d9fc211e7b0f583\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>1The Group of Seven is an inter-governmental political forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.</p>\n<p><b>Important Information</b></p>\n<p>The views in this Global Market Outlook report are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of September 27, 2021. While all material is deemed to be reliable, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.</p>\n<p>Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.</p>\n<p>Keep in mind that, like all investing, multi-asset investing does not assure a profit or protect against loss.</p>\n<p>No model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets. We remain cautious that rational analytical techniques cannot predict extremes in financial behavior, such as periods of financial euphoria or investor panic. Our models rest on the assumptions of normal and rational financial behavior. Forecasting models are inherently uncertain, subject to change at any time based on a variety of factors and can be inaccurate. Russell believes that the utility of this information is highest in evaluating the relative relationships of various components of a globally diversified portfolio. As such, the models may offer insights into the prudence of over or under weighting those components from time to time or under periods of extreme dislocation. The models are explicitly not intended as market timing signals.</p>\n<p>Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.</p>\n<p>Investment in global, international or emerging markets may be significantly affected by political or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in a particular country. Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation. Such securities may be less liquid and more volatile. Investments in emerging or developing markets involve exposure to economic structures that are generally less diverse and mature, and political systems with less stability than in more developed countries.</p>\n<p>Currency investing involves risks including fluctuations in currency values, whether the home currency or the foreign currency. They can either enhance or reduce the returns associated with foreign investments.</p>\n<p>Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation.</p>\n<p>Bond investors should carefully consider risks such as interest rate, credit, default and duration risks. Greater risk, such as increased volatility, limited liquidity, prepayment, non-payment and increased default risk, is inherent in portfolios that invest in high yield (“junk”) bonds or mortgage-backed securities, especially mortgage-backed securities with exposure to sub-prime mortgages. Generally, when interest rates rise, prices of fixed income securities fall. Interest rates in the United States are at, or near, historic lows, which may increase a Fund’s exposure to risks associated with rising rates. Investment in non-U.S. and emerging market securities is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations and to economic and political risks associated with such foreign countries.</p>\n<p>Performance quoted represents past performance and should not be viewed as a guarantee of future results.</p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500® Index, or the Standard &amp; Poor’s 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.</p>\n<p>The MSCI EMU Index (European Economic and Monetary Union) captures large and mid cap representation across the 10 developed markets countries in the EMU. With 246 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the EMU.</p>\n<p>Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.</p>\n<p>Copyright © Russell Investments 2021. All rights reserved. This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.</p>\n<p>Frank Russell Company is the owner of the Russell trademarks contained in this material and all trademark rights related to the Russell trademarks, which the members of the Russell Investments group of companies are permitted to use under license from Frank Russell Company. The members of the Russell Investments group of companies are not affiliated in any manner with Frank Russell Company or any entity operating under the “FTSE RUSSELL” brand.</p>\n<p>Products and services described on this website are intended for<b>United States residents only</b>. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities, or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type. The general information contained on this website should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax, and investment advice from a licensed professional. Persons outside the United States may find more information about products and services available within their jurisdictions by going to Russell Investments' Worldwide site.</p>\n<p>Russell Investments is committed to ensuring digital accessibility for people with disabilities. We are continually improving the user experience for everyone, and applying the relevant accessibility standards.</p>\n<p>Russell Investments' ownership is composed of a majority stake held by funds managed by TA Associates, with a significant minority stake held by funds managed by Reverence Capital Partners. Russell Investments' employees and Hamilton Lane Advisors, LLC also hold minority, non-controlling, ownership stakes.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-30 09:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.\nThe reopening trade should resume in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1104172212","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.\nThe reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor.\nThe key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter.\n\nThe COVID-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening. Amid this backdrop, our outlook favors equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks.\nIntroduction\nThe post-lockdown recovery has transitioned from energetic youthfulness to awkward adolescence. It’s still growing, although at a slower pace, and there are worries about what happens next, particularly about monetary policy and the outlook for inflation. Theinflation spikehas been larger than expected, but we still think it istransitory, caused by base effects from when the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell during the lockdown last year and by temporary supply bottlenecks. Inflation may remain high over the remainder of 2021 but should decline in early 2022. This means that even though the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to begin tapering back on asset purchases before the end of the year, rate hikes are unlikely before the second half of 2023.\nAnother worry is thehighly contagious COVID-19 delta variant. The evidence so far is that vaccines are effective in preventing serious COVID-19 infections. Vaccination rates are accelerating globally, and emerging economies are catching up with developed markets. Infection rates appear to have peaked globally in early September. This means the reopening of economies should continue over the remainder of 2021. The onset of winter in the northern hemisphere will be a test, but the rollout of booster vaccination shots should help prevent widescale renewed lockdowns.\nThe conclusions from our cycle, value and sentiment (CVS) investment decision-making process are broadly unchanged from our previous quarterly report. Global equities remain expensive, with the very expensive U.S. market offsetting better value elsewhere. Sentiment is slightly overbought, but not close to dangerous levels of euphoria. The strong cycle delivers a preference for equities over bonds for at least the next 12 months, despite expensive valuations. It also reinforces our preference for thevalue equity factor over the growth factorand for non-U.S. equities to outperform the U.S. market.\nCycle still in recovery phase\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. Even so, we think the cycle is still in the recovery phase, although it is maturing. Despite strong growth, there is plenty of spare capacity. This can be seen in the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers in the United States. The chart below shows the ratio has recovered from the pandemic lows, but only to levels reached during the relatively mild recessions in the early 1990s and 2000s. We expect theU.S. labor-market recoveryshould still resemble a typical post-recession recovery over the next few quarters.\nU.S. EMPLOYMENT-POPULATION RATIO FOR PRIME-AGE WORKERS\n\nThe U.S. recovery, however, is more advanced than that of other developed economies. The following chart shows how far GDP has recovered, relative to the pre-COVID-19 peak in 2019. GDP is 0.8% higher in the U.S., although this level is still short relative to the pre-COVID-19 trend. GDP is 2.5% below 2019 levels in the euro area and 4.5% below in the United Kingdom. We expect more cyclical upside for economic growth outside the U.S., and this should allow market leadership to rotate toward the rest of the world.\nGDP IN Q2 2021 RELATIVE TO PRE-COVID-19 PEAK IN 2019\n\nTwo key indicators\nLast quarter, we listed two indicators that should offer a guide to the Fed’s expected reaction to the inflation spike.\nThe first is five-year/five-year breakeven inflation expectations, based on the pricing of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). This is the market’s forecast for average inflation over five years in five years’ time. It tells us that investors expect inflation will average 2.17% in the five years from late 2026 to late 2031. The TIPS yields are based on the CPI, while the Fed targets inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) deflator. The two move together over time, but CPI inflation is generally around 0.25% higher than PCE inflation. A breakeven rate of 2.75% would suggest the market sees PCE inflation above 2.5% in five years’ time. Market inflation expectations are currently comfortably below the Fed’s worry point.\nWATCHPOINT INDICATOR #1: U.S. 5-YEAR/5-YEAR BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATE\n\nThe second indicator is the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker, and this has a less-comforting message about inflation risks. It reached 3.9% in August, which isclose to the 4% thresholdwhere we judge that the Fed will become concerned about the inflationary impact on the growth of wages. A breakdown shows that the spike has been mostly driven by wages for low-skilled, young people in the leisure and hospitality industry. This suggests the surge has been caused by temporary labor supply shortages and that wage pressures should subside as economic activity normalizes. This indicator, however, will be an important watchpoint over the next few months.\nWATCHPOINT INDICATOR #2: ATLANTA FED WAGE GROWTH TRACKER\n\nReopening trade still makes sense\nThe reopening trade, which lifts long-term interest rates and favors cyclical and value stocks over technology and growth stocks, worked well for several months following the vaccine announcement last November. Value outperformed growth and yield curves steepened. The trade has reversed in recent months, however, amid fears that the delta variant might derail the economic recovery. The impact has been magnified by short covering in bond markets as investors, who have been short or underweight, have been forced by the rally to buy back into the market, pushing bond yields even lower.\nThe reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor. Financial stocks comprise the largest sector in the MSCI World Value Index, and they should benefit from further yield-curve steepening, which boosts the profitability of banks. Long-term interest rates should rise as global growth remains above trend, delta-variant fears fade, the short squeeze unwinds and central banks begin tapering back on bond purchases.\nThe rotation in economic growth leadership away from the United States should also help the reopening trade. The rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks relative to the U.S., which has a higher weight to technology stocks.\nEmerging market (EM) equities have been poor performers since the vaccine announcement, but there are some encouraging signs. Initially, they were held back by the exposure to technology stocks in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. More recently, they have come under pressure from the slowdown in the Chinese economy and theregulatory crackdown on Chinese tech companies. The vaccine rollout across emerging markets has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon improve the growth outlook. The path of Chinese regulation is harder to predict, but it is now largely priced in, with Chinese technology companies underperforming their global peers by nearly 50% from February 2021 through mid-September.\nThe resumption of the reopening trade should also result in U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded sideways since the vaccine announcement. It should weaken once investors have confidence that delta-variant risks are subsiding and realize that the Fed is likely to remain dovish as inflation risks decline. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. Dollar weakness should support the performance of non-U.S. markets, particularly emerging markets.\nRisks: variants, inflation, China weakness\nThe key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter. The evidence so far is that vaccinations are highly effective in preventing serious illness. In Israel, booster shots appear to have slowed the rate of new cases.\nAnother watchpoint is inflation and the response of central banks. Our expectation is that this year’s inflation spike is mostly transitory and that the major central banks, led by the Fed, are still two years from raising interest rates.\nFinally, there is the risk of a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.Credit growth has slowed this yearand the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) have trended lower. Monetary and fiscal policy have been eased, however, and senior officials have signaled that more stimulus is on the way. China policy direction and credit trends will be an important watchpoint over coming months.\nRegional snapshotsUnited States\nThe U.S. economy is likely to sustain above-trend growth into 2022. However, the easiest gains appear in the rear-view mirror at the end of the third quarter as the recovery phase of the business cycle matures. This is most visible for corporate earnings, where S&P 500® Index earnings-per-share already sit 20% above their previous cyclical high.\nStrong fundamentals have helped power the stock market to new highs. Early evidence that the delta-variant wave may be fading and the potential for greater vaccine access for children are positives for a more complete recovery in the quarters ahead. The Fedlooks poised to start tapering its asset purchasesaround the end of 2021. The timing of the first rate hike will then hinge on what happens to inflation next year. Our models suggest that inflation is likely to drop back below the Fed’s 2% target in 2022. If that is correct, the Fed is likely to remain on hold into the second half of 2023.\nWage inflation is a key risk to this view. It is running unusually strong for this stage of the cycle, and record hiring intentions from businesses could exhaust spare capacity in the year ahead. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise moderately from 1.37% in mid-September to 1.75% in coming months.\nFiscal stimulus negotiations continue to grab headlines in Washington, D.C. Thetax provisions in these billsare likely to be the most impactful for financial markets. We estimate thathigher corporate taxescould subtract about four percentage points from S&P 500 earnings growth in 2022. This could create volatility and opportunity in markets. Given our strong cyclical outlook, our bias continues to be arisk-onpreference for equities over bonds for the medium-term.\nEurozone\nEuro area growthslowed through the third quarter but looks on track for a return to above-trend growth over the fourth quarter and into 2022. Vaccination rates are high, and the euro area has more catch-up potential than other major economies, particularly the United States. The euro area is also set to receive more fiscal support than other regions, with the European Union’s pandemic recovery fund only just starting to disburse stimulus, which will provide significant support in southern Europe. Polls in advance of Germany’s federal election on Sept. 26 suggested the electorate was moving toward the political left, which means the new government is likely to support expansionary fiscal policy and a continued dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB).\nThe MSCI EMU Index, which reflects the European Economic and Monetary Union, has performed broadly in line with the S&P 500 so far in 2021. We think it has potential to outperform in coming quarters. Europe’s exposure to financials and cyclically sensitive sectors such as industrials, materials and energy, and its relatively small exposure to technology, gives it the potential to outperform as delta-variant fears subside, economic activity picks up and yield curves in Europe steepen.\nUnited Kingdom\nAs of mid-year, UK GDP was still nearly 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak. We see plenty of scope for strong catch-up growth as borders are fully reopened and activity normalizes. Supply bottlenecks and labor shortages have triggered a sharp rise in underlying inflation and created concerns that the Bank of England (BoE) may start rate hikes in the first half of 2022. We think the BoE is unlikely to be that aggressive. We expect inflation to decline in early 2022 as supply constraints ease, which should convince the BoE to delay rate hikes.\nThe FTSE 100 Index is the cheapest of the major developed equity markets in late 2021, and this should help it reflect higher returns than other markets over the next decade. Around 70% of UK corporate earnings come from offshore, so one near-term risk is that further strengthening of British sterling dampens earnings growth. The other risks are mostly around policy missteps, for example, early tightening by the Bank of England.\nJapan\nThe Japanese economy is expected to get a shot in the arm as rising vaccination rates improve mobility and reduce the risk of further lockdowns, and as political leadership changes result in more fiscal stimulus: the Japanese election is due to be held before Nov. 28. Japanese equities look slightly more expensive than other regions such as the UK and Europe. We maintain our view that the Bank of Japan will significantly lag other central banks in normalizing policy.\nChina\nWe expect Chinese economic growth to berobust over the next 12 months, supported by a post-lockdown jump in consumer spending and incremental fiscal and monetary easing. Despite a big improvement in vaccination rates,COVID-19 outbreaks remain a riskgiven the Chinese government’s zero-tolerance approach. The major consumer technology companies have seen significant drops in stock prices recently due to more aggressive regulation. Some uncertainty remains around thepath of future regulation, especially as it relates to technology companies, and as a result we expect investors will remain cautious on Chinese equities in the coming months. The property market, particularly property developers as recently highlighted by Evergrande’s debt crisis, remains a risk that we are monitoring closely.\nCanada\nCanada leads the G71countries in terms of the vaccination rollout, which should minimize the risk of large-scale lockdowns over winter. The delta variant has taken an economic toll, however, with industry consensus projections now predicting 5% GDP growth in 2021 versus estimates of more than 6% just three months ago. Even so, growth remains above-trend and the odds of additional fiscal expenditures to support the economy have increased. This means that weaker growth due to COVID-19 is unlikely to change the Bank of Canada's (BoC) tightening bias.\nTapering of asset purchasesshould be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2022. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated that the reinvestment phase of the bonds held by the central bank will commence once quantitative easing has ended. This should generate an estimated C$1 billion in weekly bond purchases, down from the current pace of C$2 billion. The BoC will likely only consider shrinking its balance sheet after it has started lifting interest rates. The BoC projects that the output gap will close sometime over the second half of 2022, and that rate hikes will be considered after economic slack has disappeared. We believe that the timeline may be a tad aggressive, and a delay to 2023 for liftoff is more likely. This would better align the Canadian central bank with its American counterpart.\nAustralia/New Zealand\nThe Australian economy is set to return to life, with lockdowns likely to be eased in October and November. Consumer and business balance sheets continue to look healthy, which should facilitate a strong recovery. The reopening of the international border in 2022 will provide a further boost. Fiscal policy has supported the economy through the downturn, and there is potential for further stimulus in the lead-up to the federal election, which is due before the end of 2022. The Reserve Bank of Australia has begun the process of tapering its bond-purchase program, but we expect that a rise in the cash rate is unlikely until at least the second half of 2023.\nNew Zealand’s most recent lockdown will drag on Q3 GDP, but similar to Australia, we expect a solid rebound as the economy reopens. The government aims to provide a vaccine to all adults by the end of 2021, after which borders will gradually reopen. This will provide a boost, particularly to tourism-exposed sectors. Despite having recently put off hiking interest rates due to the recent lockdown, we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start raising rates this year. Even though they have significantly underperformed global equities this year, New Zealand equities still screen as relatively expensive compared to other regions.\nAsset-class preferences\nOur cycle, value and sentiment investment decision-making process in late September 2021 has a moderately positive medium-term view on global equities. Value is expensive across most markets except for UK equities, which are near fair value. The cycle is risk-asset supportive for the medium-term. The major economies still have spare capacity and inflation pressures appear transitory, caused by COVID-19-related supply shortages. Rate hikes by the U.S. Fed seem unlikely before the second half of 2023. Sentiment, after reaching overbought levels earlier in the year, has returned to more neutral levels.\nCOMPOSITE CONTRARIAN INDICATOR: SENTIMENT SHIFTS TOWARD NEUTRAL\n\n\nWe prefernon-U.S. equitiesto U.S. equities. Stronger economic growth and steeper yield curves after the third-quarter slowdown should favor undervalued cyclical value stocks over expensive technology and growth stocks. Relative to the U.S., the rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks.\nEmerging markets equitieshave been relatively poor performers this year, but there are some encouraging signs. The vaccine rollout across EM has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon boost the economic growth outlook.China’s regulatory crackdownhas caused significant underperformance by Chinese technology companies, but this should be less of a headwind going forward now that it is priced in.\nHigh yieldandinvestment grade creditare expensive on a spread basis but have support from a positive cycle view that accommodates corporate profit growth and keeps default rates low. U.S. dollar-denominatedemerging markets debtis close to fair value in spread terms and will gain support on U.S. dollar weakness.\nGovernment bondsare expensive, and yields should come under upward pressure as output gaps close and central banks look to taper back asset purchases. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise toward 1.75% in coming months.\nReal assets: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have significantly outperformed Global Listed Infrastructure (GLI) so far this year, to the extent that REITS are now expensive relative to GLI. Both should benefit from the pandemic recovery, but GLI has some catch-up potential. GLI should benefit from the global re-opening boosting domestic and international travel.Commoditieshave been the best-performing asset class this year amid strong demand and supply bottlenecks. The gains have been led by industrial metals and energy. The pace of increase should ease as supply issues are resolved, butcommodities should retain supportfrom above-trend global demand.\nTheU.S. dollarhas been supported this year by expectations for early Fed tightening and U.S. economic growth leadership. It should weaken as global growth leadership rotates away from the U.S. and toward Europe and other developed economies. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. The main beneficiary is likely to be theeuro, which is still undervalued. We also believeBritish sterlingand the economically sensitivecommodity currencies—theAustralian dollar, theNew Zealand dollarand theCanadian dollar—can make further gains, although these currencies are not undervalued from a longer-term perspective.\n\nASSET PERFORMANCE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2021\n\n1The Group of Seven is an inter-governmental political forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.\nImportant Information\nThe views in this Global Market Outlook report are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of September 27, 2021. While all material is deemed to be reliable, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.\nPlease remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.\nKeep in mind that, like all investing, multi-asset investing does not assure a profit or protect against loss.\nNo model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets. We remain cautious that rational analytical techniques cannot predict extremes in financial behavior, such as periods of financial euphoria or investor panic. Our models rest on the assumptions of normal and rational financial behavior. Forecasting models are inherently uncertain, subject to change at any time based on a variety of factors and can be inaccurate. Russell believes that the utility of this information is highest in evaluating the relative relationships of various components of a globally diversified portfolio. As such, the models may offer insights into the prudence of over or under weighting those components from time to time or under periods of extreme dislocation. The models are explicitly not intended as market timing signals.\nForecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.\nInvestment in global, international or emerging markets may be significantly affected by political or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in a particular country. Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation. Such securities may be less liquid and more volatile. Investments in emerging or developing markets involve exposure to economic structures that are generally less diverse and mature, and political systems with less stability than in more developed countries.\nCurrency investing involves risks including fluctuations in currency values, whether the home currency or the foreign currency. They can either enhance or reduce the returns associated with foreign investments.\nInvestments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation.\nBond investors should carefully consider risks such as interest rate, credit, default and duration risks. Greater risk, such as increased volatility, limited liquidity, prepayment, non-payment and increased default risk, is inherent in portfolios that invest in high yield (“junk”) bonds or mortgage-backed securities, especially mortgage-backed securities with exposure to sub-prime mortgages. Generally, when interest rates rise, prices of fixed income securities fall. Interest rates in the United States are at, or near, historic lows, which may increase a Fund’s exposure to risks associated with rising rates. Investment in non-U.S. and emerging market securities is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations and to economic and political risks associated with such foreign countries.\nPerformance quoted represents past performance and should not be viewed as a guarantee of future results.\nThe FTSE 100 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.\nThe S&P 500® Index, or the Standard & Poor’s 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.\nThe MSCI EMU Index (European Economic and Monetary Union) captures large and mid cap representation across the 10 developed markets countries in the EMU. With 246 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the EMU.\nIndexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.\nCopyright © Russell Investments 2021. All rights reserved. This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.\nFrank Russell Company is the owner of the Russell trademarks contained in this material and all trademark rights related to the Russell trademarks, which the members of the Russell Investments group of companies are permitted to use under license from Frank Russell Company. The members of the Russell Investments group of companies are not affiliated in any manner with Frank Russell Company or any entity operating under the “FTSE RUSSELL” brand.\nProducts and services described on this website are intended forUnited States residents only. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities, or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type. The general information contained on this website should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax, and investment advice from a licensed professional. Persons outside the United States may find more information about products and services available within their jurisdictions by going to Russell Investments' Worldwide site.\nRussell Investments is committed to ensuring digital accessibility for people with disabilities. We are continually improving the user experience for everyone, and applying the relevant accessibility standards.\nRussell Investments' ownership is composed of a majority stake held by funds managed by TA Associates, with a significant minority stake held by funds managed by Reverence Capital Partners. Russell Investments' employees and Hamilton Lane Advisors, LLC also hold minority, non-controlling, ownership stakes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":105303845,"gmtCreate":1620267108587,"gmtModify":1634206510478,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The sky's the limit&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;Like &amp; comment thks","listText":"The sky's the limit&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;Like &amp; comment thks","text":"The sky's the limit [强] [强] [强] Like & comment thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105303845","repostId":"2133652936","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845861657,"gmtCreate":1636329151703,"gmtModify":1636329152136,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845861657","repostId":"2181238097","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825770133,"gmtCreate":1634259491547,"gmtModify":1634274409392,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825770133","repostId":"1129314610","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129314610","pubTimestamp":1634253682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129314610?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 07:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129314610","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since earl","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">UnitedHealth</a> climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.</p>\n<p>The technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&amp;P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc rising.</p>\n<p>Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&amp;P bank index jumped 1.5%.</p>\n<p>Also, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.</p>\n<p>Adding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.</p>\n<p>Data from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.</p>\n<p>“Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz &amp; Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.</p>\n<p>“Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&amp;P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.</p>\n<p>While the S&amp;P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.</p>\n<p>Gains were broad-based, with all but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&amp;P 500 sector rising more than 1%.</p>\n<p>Shares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.</p>\n<p>U.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1601381805984","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-15 07:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including Morgan Stanley and UnitedHealth climbed following strong results, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129314610","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including Morgan Stanley and UnitedHealth climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.\nThe technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of Microsoft Corp and Apple Inc rising.\nShares of Citigroup, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and Morgan Stanley also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&P bank index jumped 1.5%.\nAlso, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.\nAdding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.\nData from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.\n“Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.\n“Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the Nasdaq Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.\nWhile the S&P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.\nGains were broad-based, with all but one S&P 500 sector rising more than 1%.\nShares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.\nU.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":191581903,"gmtCreate":1620889562702,"gmtModify":1634195523668,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Imagine u are selling something the world needs badly &amp; yr price dun move much&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;Comment old thks","listText":"Imagine u are selling something the world needs badly &amp; yr price dun move much&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;Comment old thks","text":"Imagine u are selling something the world needs badly & yr price dun move much [邪恶] [邪恶] [邪恶] Comment old thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191581903","repostId":"1116870280","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":193800323,"gmtCreate":1620777989862,"gmtModify":1634196441372,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is this gona trigger the correction?&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;Comment pls thks","listText":"Is this gona trigger the correction?&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;Comment pls thks","text":"Is this gona trigger the correction? [疑问] [疑问] [疑问] Comment pls thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193800323","repostId":"1183118890","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":781,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":107124983,"gmtCreate":1620455615342,"gmtModify":1634198604301,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$1...here I come&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","listText":"$1...here I come&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","text":"$1...here I come [开心] [开心] [开心] Comment & like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107124983","repostId":"1160802774","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160802774","pubTimestamp":1620442206,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160802774?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 10:50","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Dogecoin price’s ‘make-or-break’ moment looms with Elon Musk set to host ‘Saturday Night Live’","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160802774","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"Nikki Beesetti started investing in crypto back in 2017 and paid off her final semester at Purdue Un","content":"<p>Nikki Beesetti started investing in crypto back in 2017 and paid off her final semester at Purdue University with proceeds from the sale of a single bitcoin that she bought on a whim, which had surged to nearly $20,000.</p><p>Now, the product manager for a startup in New York is dabbling in dogecoin&nbsp;,and sees this weekend as a possible make-or-break moment for the parody coin that has seen a stratospheric, nearly 13,000% rise in 2021.</p><p>“This Saturday is going to be a total make-or-break for dogecoin,” Beesetti told MarketWatch in a phone interview.</p><p>“If he can really get the messaging right, dogecoin can really take off…or it’s going to crash to wherever it’s going to crash to,” she said.</p><p>The 25-year-old investor is one of a number of relatively young traders who are piling into speculative altcoins like dogecoin as the so-called joke asset mints millionaires and draws some concerns about a bubble forming in the nascent crypto complex.</p><p>Musk will host NBC’s late-night live television comedy sketch show, “Saturday Night Live,” this weekend and his coming appearance has already drawn&nbsp;cheers and jeers.</p><p>Musk has been one of the biggest cheerleaders for dogecoin and crypto broadly. The self-appointed “Technoking” of Tesla&nbsp;has been mostly using his massive social media following to pump up the price of doge,&nbsp;tweeting back on April 1&nbsp;that he would use his SpaceX rockets to put a physical Doge coin on the literal moon, echoing the social media goal of taking the coin’s price “to the moon.”</p><p>Beesetti said that she first got involved in dogecoin — she also invests in technology stocks and exchange-traded funds — at the prompting of Musk’s social-media missives from last summer.</p><p>She bought dogecoin when it was trading at 3/10ths of a penny and she kept dollar-cost averaging her position in the digital asset created in 2013 even as it hit around 1 cent last August.</p><p>Musk has become a rallying point for dogecoin holders on sites like Reddit and his coming appearance on “SNL” is a hotly anticipated moment inside and outside crypto markets, which had largely been centered on bitcoin&nbsp;and Ethereum&nbsp;,the two largest cryptos in the world.</p><p>Dogecoin has long held the reputation as a joke currency in the digital-asset realm but it is hard to deny that its surging value has gripped Main Street and Wall Street’s attention — at least momentarily.</p><p>Former “SNL” cast member and comedian David Spade on Thursday tweeted that he wondered if Musk’s appearance on the sketch show would equate to a 90-minute infomercial for doge, adding, perhaps tongue in cheek that he was buying dogecoin.</p><p>Oddsmakers at betting platformSportsBettingDime.com&nbsp;have established a number of prop bets about Musk’s appearance on “Saturday Night Live,” including which if any crypto he mentions first on the show.</p><p>Which cryptocurrency does Musk mention first:</p><p>1. Bitcoin: -200</p><p>2. Dogecoin: +600</p><p>3. FIELD: +450</p><p>4. Does Not Mention Bitcoin: +400</p><p>Beesetti said that she sold about $8,000 worth of dogecoin recently to buy a pair of Gucci shoes, an iPhone and upped her position in Ether thar runs on the Ethereum protocol but has otherwise been a steady holder of doge.</p><p>The investor wouldn’t offer specific figures but said that her holdings currently range from 50,000 to 100,000 dogecoin.</p><p>Perhaps unlike some investors in doge, she is under no illusion that it has utility but submits to the possibility that momentum could build in a parody asset to such an extent that it forges its own legitimacy.</p><p>“Doge doesn’t have intrinsic value,” Beesetti said. “The value becomes real if you and a collective group of people believe in it. And in this case, there are more groups and people than before who believe.”</p><p>That said, reality could hit meme coin holders hard come Sunday morning, at least one analyst said.</p><p>“Post-SNL, some crypto traders could abandon short-term&nbsp;Dogecoin&nbsp;bets once it becomes clear that it is not skyrocketing to the moon or at the heavily eyed $1 level,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a research note.</p><p>The analyst also notes that strong conviction of dogecoin investors,known as hodlers in the crypto world, could defy logic and keep prices buoyant.</p><p>“The retail-army of traders that have been committed to Doge might remain stubbornly hodlers, so we shouldn’t be surprised if a sell the event reaction does not happen,” the Oanda strategist said.</p><p>How it all plays out for dogecoin is anyone’s guess.</p><p>“It’s just a meme currency but sometimes the most entertaining outcome becomes the reality,” Beesetti said.</p><p>That meme currency has enjoyed a spectacular ride compared against most other assets. Gold futures&nbsp;are down 3% so far this year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;and the S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;are up by nearly 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq Composite Index&nbsp;has gained about over 6% so far this year.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dogecoin price’s ‘make-or-break’ moment looms with Elon Musk set to host ‘Saturday Night Live’</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDogecoin price’s ‘make-or-break’ moment looms with Elon Musk set to host ‘Saturday Night Live’\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-08 10:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-total-make-or-break-for-dogecoin-says-one-crypto-investor-as-elon-musk-prepares-to-host-saturday-night-live-11620413674?mod=associated-press><strong>Marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nikki Beesetti started investing in crypto back in 2017 and paid off her final semester at Purdue University with proceeds from the sale of a single bitcoin that she bought on a whim, which had surged...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-total-make-or-break-for-dogecoin-says-one-crypto-investor-as-elon-musk-prepares-to-host-saturday-night-live-11620413674?mod=associated-press\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-total-make-or-break-for-dogecoin-says-one-crypto-investor-as-elon-musk-prepares-to-host-saturday-night-live-11620413674?mod=associated-press","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160802774","content_text":"Nikki Beesetti started investing in crypto back in 2017 and paid off her final semester at Purdue University with proceeds from the sale of a single bitcoin that she bought on a whim, which had surged to nearly $20,000.Now, the product manager for a startup in New York is dabbling in dogecoin ,and sees this weekend as a possible make-or-break moment for the parody coin that has seen a stratospheric, nearly 13,000% rise in 2021.“This Saturday is going to be a total make-or-break for dogecoin,” Beesetti told MarketWatch in a phone interview.“If he can really get the messaging right, dogecoin can really take off…or it’s going to crash to wherever it’s going to crash to,” she said.The 25-year-old investor is one of a number of relatively young traders who are piling into speculative altcoins like dogecoin as the so-called joke asset mints millionaires and draws some concerns about a bubble forming in the nascent crypto complex.Musk will host NBC’s late-night live television comedy sketch show, “Saturday Night Live,” this weekend and his coming appearance has already drawn cheers and jeers.Musk has been one of the biggest cheerleaders for dogecoin and crypto broadly. The self-appointed “Technoking” of Tesla has been mostly using his massive social media following to pump up the price of doge, tweeting back on April 1 that he would use his SpaceX rockets to put a physical Doge coin on the literal moon, echoing the social media goal of taking the coin’s price “to the moon.”Beesetti said that she first got involved in dogecoin — she also invests in technology stocks and exchange-traded funds — at the prompting of Musk’s social-media missives from last summer.She bought dogecoin when it was trading at 3/10ths of a penny and she kept dollar-cost averaging her position in the digital asset created in 2013 even as it hit around 1 cent last August.Musk has become a rallying point for dogecoin holders on sites like Reddit and his coming appearance on “SNL” is a hotly anticipated moment inside and outside crypto markets, which had largely been centered on bitcoin and Ethereum ,the two largest cryptos in the world.Dogecoin has long held the reputation as a joke currency in the digital-asset realm but it is hard to deny that its surging value has gripped Main Street and Wall Street’s attention — at least momentarily.Former “SNL” cast member and comedian David Spade on Thursday tweeted that he wondered if Musk’s appearance on the sketch show would equate to a 90-minute infomercial for doge, adding, perhaps tongue in cheek that he was buying dogecoin.Oddsmakers at betting platformSportsBettingDime.com have established a number of prop bets about Musk’s appearance on “Saturday Night Live,” including which if any crypto he mentions first on the show.Which cryptocurrency does Musk mention first:1. Bitcoin: -2002. Dogecoin: +6003. FIELD: +4504. Does Not Mention Bitcoin: +400Beesetti said that she sold about $8,000 worth of dogecoin recently to buy a pair of Gucci shoes, an iPhone and upped her position in Ether thar runs on the Ethereum protocol but has otherwise been a steady holder of doge.The investor wouldn’t offer specific figures but said that her holdings currently range from 50,000 to 100,000 dogecoin.Perhaps unlike some investors in doge, she is under no illusion that it has utility but submits to the possibility that momentum could build in a parody asset to such an extent that it forges its own legitimacy.“Doge doesn’t have intrinsic value,” Beesetti said. “The value becomes real if you and a collective group of people believe in it. And in this case, there are more groups and people than before who believe.”That said, reality could hit meme coin holders hard come Sunday morning, at least one analyst said.“Post-SNL, some crypto traders could abandon short-term Dogecoin bets once it becomes clear that it is not skyrocketing to the moon or at the heavily eyed $1 level,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a research note.The analyst also notes that strong conviction of dogecoin investors,known as hodlers in the crypto world, could defy logic and keep prices buoyant.“The retail-army of traders that have been committed to Doge might remain stubbornly hodlers, so we shouldn’t be surprised if a sell the event reaction does not happen,” the Oanda strategist said.How it all plays out for dogecoin is anyone’s guess.“It’s just a meme currency but sometimes the most entertaining outcome becomes the reality,” Beesetti said.That meme currency has enjoyed a spectacular ride compared against most other assets. Gold futures are down 3% so far this year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 index are up by nearly 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq Composite Index has gained about over 6% so far this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":108511574,"gmtCreate":1620040211998,"gmtModify":1634208327473,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","listText":"[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","text":"[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] Comment & like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108511574","repostId":"1139413897","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":191581560,"gmtCreate":1620889620250,"gmtModify":1634195523325,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Imagine u r selling something the world needs badly &amp; yr price dun move much&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;Comment pls thks","listText":"Imagine u r selling something the world needs badly &amp; yr price dun move much&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;[邪恶]&nbsp;Comment pls thks","text":"Imagine u r selling something the world needs badly & yr price dun move much [邪恶] [邪恶] [邪恶] Comment pls thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191581560","repostId":"1116870280","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116870280","pubTimestamp":1620889433,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116870280?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-13 15:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna Delivers More Bad News","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116870280","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMRNA could generate $19 billion in COVID-19 revenue this year. This is likely a high waterm","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>MRNA could generate $19 billion in COVID-19 revenue this year. This is likely a high watermark.</li>\n <li>Management did not give an indication of its 2022P revenue. No news is bad news, and management delivered more of it.</li>\n <li>The 2022 COVID-19 market is expected fall. Suspension of IP rights and potential competition from CVAC may not be priced in.</li>\n <li>Sell MRNA.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Moderna(NASDAQ:MRNA)reportedQ1 revenue of $1.94 billion and GAAP EPS of $2.84. The company missed on revenue, yet beat on earnings. The stock is practically flat post-earnings. I had the following takeaways on the quarter.</p>\n<p><b>2021 Advance Purchase Orders Are Impressive</b></p>\n<p>In Q4 2020 Moderna and Pfizer(NYSE:PFE)were first to receive Emergency Use Authorization for a COVID-19 vaccine. With Johnson &amp; Johnson(NYSE:JNJ), AstraZeneca(NASDAQ:AZN)and Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)waiting in the wings, Moderna moved quickly to secure vaccine supply deals. As more people get vaccinated, there will be fewer remaining to get vaccinated. The COVID-19 vaccine market is expected to fall over time; the more supply deals cut by Moderna and Pfizer, means less opportunity for competitors.</p>\n<p>Q1 revenue of $1.9 billion was multiples higher than the $571 million reported in Q4.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b51d2b977eaa2c39a112aeaec804c8f\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: Author's work</p>\n<p>About 89% of total revenue was derived from product sales. Meanwhile, revenue from grants and collaborations has become less pronounced. Product sales represent customer deposits recorded as deferred revenue; revenue is recorded upon customer acceptance and control of the transferred product.</p>\n<p>Last quarter Modernaannounced it had securedover $18 billion in advance purchase agreements (\"APAs\"). This quarter APAssigned for deliveryin 2021 exceeded $19 billion:</p>\n<blockquote>\n At the end of 2021, we had cash and cash investments of $8.2 billion. David will give you more details in a few minutes. We increased our 2021 supply forecast once again. We now believe that we should be able to supply 800 million doses in 2021, and we are still aiming for 1 billion doses for the year. The total advanced purchase agreement signed for delivery in 2021 have been increased to $19.2 billion.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Revenue should grow by leaps and bounds for the rest of 2021 as Moderna makes good on APAs. Bernsteinanalysts projectthe 2021 COVID-19 vaccine market at $39 billion, falling to $23 billion in 2020. With tens of billions in APAs between them, Pfizer and Moderna may not leave much opportunity for competitors this year.</p>\n<p><b>Still No Revenue Projection For 2022</b></p>\n<p>Moderna has an equity market capitalization of $64 billion. The math to support that valuation remains unclear. I believe MRNA should be valued based on recurring revenue, which would be closer to 2022P revenue. I have been awaiting management to give an indication of 2022P revenue. How else could you justify the company's robust valuation? On the earnings call management gave no such indication. However, the company was willing to discuss itsincreased supplyfor 2022:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We have announced in the Company's statement issued October 8, 2020 that during the pandemic, Moderna will not enforce COVID-19-related patents. You can find that statement on our website. We believe that the best way to end the pandemic is what we're currently doing: first, to maximize supply in 2021 to protect as many people as we can; second, to build additional capacity, which we have announced last week to get up to 3 billion doses of authorized mRNA vaccines for 2022, 2023 and beyond; and third, to continue to adapt the vaccine to have the highest efficacy vaccine with variant-specific booster, for which we announced a very encouraging clinical results yesterday.\n</blockquote>\n<p>How many deliveries and how much revenue increased supply will likely lead to remains a mystery. No news is bad news, in my opinion. I previously projected Modernawould generate about$5 billion in 2022 revenue, representing 22% share of the 2022 COVID-19 vaccine market. This represents a range of possibilities. Until management indicates otherwise, we may have to go with my numbers.</p>\n<p>MRNA's $64 billion market capitalization would represent over 12x 2022P revenue, which is untenable in my opinion. Merck(NYSE:MRK)and AstraZeneca cashed out of their early investments in the company.Insiders are bailing outof the stock, which seems to support my position that MRNA is woefully overvalued.</p>\n<p><b>Headwinds Lie Ahead</b></p>\n<p>The 2022 COVID-19 vaccine market is expected to fall hard in 2022. That likely portends Moderna's revenue will fall Y/Y as well. It is a good thing the company is racking up supply deals; it has a golden opportunity to squirrel away billions in capital to help fund other drugs. The Biden administrationrecently announcedsupport for suspending COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property (\"IP\") rights. Such a move could allow lesser-developed countries to manufacture vaccines locally, speeding up access to vaccines.</p>\n<p>It could take a while for lesser-developed countries to build up the capabilities to manufacture and distribute a vaccine. However, I believe suspending IP rights could eventually lead to generic competition and hurt pricing power for Moderna and Pfizer. This scenario does not appear to be priced into the shares. That said, CureVac(NASDAQ:CVAC)expects regulatory approvalfor its COVID-19 vaccine within weeks. CureVac uses the same mRNA therapeutics employed by Pfizer and Moderna; it has strategic collaborations with GlaxoSmithKline(NYSE:GSK)and Bayer(OTCPK:BAYZF)to help manufacture and distribute the vaccine. If it wins approval, CureVac could potentially shake up the COVID-19 supply board by Q1 2022.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>2021 revenue is likely a high water market for MRNA. Competition from generic suppliers or CureVac could create headwinds. Sell MRNA.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna Delivers More Bad News</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna Delivers More Bad News\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-13 15:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427745-moderna-delivers-more-bad-news><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMRNA could generate $19 billion in COVID-19 revenue this year. This is likely a high watermark.\nManagement did not give an indication of its 2022P revenue. No news is bad news, and management...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427745-moderna-delivers-more-bad-news\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427745-moderna-delivers-more-bad-news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1116870280","content_text":"Summary\n\nMRNA could generate $19 billion in COVID-19 revenue this year. This is likely a high watermark.\nManagement did not give an indication of its 2022P revenue. No news is bad news, and management delivered more of it.\nThe 2022 COVID-19 market is expected fall. Suspension of IP rights and potential competition from CVAC may not be priced in.\nSell MRNA.\n\nModerna(NASDAQ:MRNA)reportedQ1 revenue of $1.94 billion and GAAP EPS of $2.84. The company missed on revenue, yet beat on earnings. The stock is practically flat post-earnings. I had the following takeaways on the quarter.\n2021 Advance Purchase Orders Are Impressive\nIn Q4 2020 Moderna and Pfizer(NYSE:PFE)were first to receive Emergency Use Authorization for a COVID-19 vaccine. With Johnson & Johnson(NYSE:JNJ), AstraZeneca(NASDAQ:AZN)and Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)waiting in the wings, Moderna moved quickly to secure vaccine supply deals. As more people get vaccinated, there will be fewer remaining to get vaccinated. The COVID-19 vaccine market is expected to fall over time; the more supply deals cut by Moderna and Pfizer, means less opportunity for competitors.\nQ1 revenue of $1.9 billion was multiples higher than the $571 million reported in Q4.\nSource: Author's work\nAbout 89% of total revenue was derived from product sales. Meanwhile, revenue from grants and collaborations has become less pronounced. Product sales represent customer deposits recorded as deferred revenue; revenue is recorded upon customer acceptance and control of the transferred product.\nLast quarter Modernaannounced it had securedover $18 billion in advance purchase agreements (\"APAs\"). This quarter APAssigned for deliveryin 2021 exceeded $19 billion:\n\n At the end of 2021, we had cash and cash investments of $8.2 billion. David will give you more details in a few minutes. We increased our 2021 supply forecast once again. We now believe that we should be able to supply 800 million doses in 2021, and we are still aiming for 1 billion doses for the year. The total advanced purchase agreement signed for delivery in 2021 have been increased to $19.2 billion.\n\nRevenue should grow by leaps and bounds for the rest of 2021 as Moderna makes good on APAs. Bernsteinanalysts projectthe 2021 COVID-19 vaccine market at $39 billion, falling to $23 billion in 2020. With tens of billions in APAs between them, Pfizer and Moderna may not leave much opportunity for competitors this year.\nStill No Revenue Projection For 2022\nModerna has an equity market capitalization of $64 billion. The math to support that valuation remains unclear. I believe MRNA should be valued based on recurring revenue, which would be closer to 2022P revenue. I have been awaiting management to give an indication of 2022P revenue. How else could you justify the company's robust valuation? On the earnings call management gave no such indication. However, the company was willing to discuss itsincreased supplyfor 2022:\n\n We have announced in the Company's statement issued October 8, 2020 that during the pandemic, Moderna will not enforce COVID-19-related patents. You can find that statement on our website. We believe that the best way to end the pandemic is what we're currently doing: first, to maximize supply in 2021 to protect as many people as we can; second, to build additional capacity, which we have announced last week to get up to 3 billion doses of authorized mRNA vaccines for 2022, 2023 and beyond; and third, to continue to adapt the vaccine to have the highest efficacy vaccine with variant-specific booster, for which we announced a very encouraging clinical results yesterday.\n\nHow many deliveries and how much revenue increased supply will likely lead to remains a mystery. No news is bad news, in my opinion. I previously projected Modernawould generate about$5 billion in 2022 revenue, representing 22% share of the 2022 COVID-19 vaccine market. This represents a range of possibilities. Until management indicates otherwise, we may have to go with my numbers.\nMRNA's $64 billion market capitalization would represent over 12x 2022P revenue, which is untenable in my opinion. Merck(NYSE:MRK)and AstraZeneca cashed out of their early investments in the company.Insiders are bailing outof the stock, which seems to support my position that MRNA is woefully overvalued.\nHeadwinds Lie Ahead\nThe 2022 COVID-19 vaccine market is expected to fall hard in 2022. That likely portends Moderna's revenue will fall Y/Y as well. It is a good thing the company is racking up supply deals; it has a golden opportunity to squirrel away billions in capital to help fund other drugs. The Biden administrationrecently announcedsupport for suspending COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property (\"IP\") rights. Such a move could allow lesser-developed countries to manufacture vaccines locally, speeding up access to vaccines.\nIt could take a while for lesser-developed countries to build up the capabilities to manufacture and distribute a vaccine. However, I believe suspending IP rights could eventually lead to generic competition and hurt pricing power for Moderna and Pfizer. This scenario does not appear to be priced into the shares. That said, CureVac(NASDAQ:CVAC)expects regulatory approvalfor its COVID-19 vaccine within weeks. CureVac uses the same mRNA therapeutics employed by Pfizer and Moderna; it has strategic collaborations with GlaxoSmithKline(NYSE:GSK)and Bayer(OTCPK:BAYZF)to help manufacture and distribute the vaccine. If it wins approval, CureVac could potentially shake up the COVID-19 supply board by Q1 2022.\nConclusion\n2021 revenue is likely a high water market for MRNA. Competition from generic suppliers or CureVac could create headwinds. Sell MRNA.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":641,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":193172085,"gmtCreate":1620777794947,"gmtModify":1634196444697,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Of course....anyway it's already here[喷血]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;","listText":"Of course....anyway it's already here[喷血]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;","text":"Of course....anyway it's already here[喷血] [喷血] [喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193172085","repostId":"1171091038","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":190066407,"gmtCreate":1620554960609,"gmtModify":1634198056292,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will they stop???&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","listText":"Will they stop???&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","text":"Will they stop??? [白眼] [白眼] [白眼] Comment & like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190066407","repostId":"1122089368","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":107127752,"gmtCreate":1620455780076,"gmtModify":1634198603232,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More likely doge to the 🌙&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;Like &amp; comment thks","listText":"More likely doge to the 🌙&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;Like &amp; comment thks","text":"More likely doge to the 🌙 [贱笑] [贱笑] [贱笑] Like & comment thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107127752","repostId":"1140579879","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":109481004,"gmtCreate":1619709910808,"gmtModify":1634210508336,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;&nbsp; Comment &amp; like thks","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;&nbsp; Comment &amp; like thks","text":"[开心] [开心] [开心] Comment & like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109481004","repostId":"1169827391","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":136243011,"gmtCreate":1622023460333,"gmtModify":1634184580032,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136243011","repostId":"2138311976","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":100169422,"gmtCreate":1619590213066,"gmtModify":1634211501638,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All due for a correction&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;","listText":"All due for a correction&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;","text":"All due for a correction [白眼]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100169422","repostId":"1157918353","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":374870135,"gmtCreate":1619441414127,"gmtModify":1634273471552,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seriously.....[惊讶]&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;","listText":"Seriously.....[惊讶]&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;","text":"Seriously.....[惊讶] [惊讶] [惊讶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374870135","repostId":"1131997434","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131997434","pubTimestamp":1619440997,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131997434?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-26 20:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Reasons Roblox Is a Monster Growth Stock in the Making","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131997434","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)has emerged as a popular online platform for kids to connect with friends and play ","content":"<p><b>Roblox</b>(NYSE:RBLX)has emerged as a popular online platform for kids to connect with friends and play games. Growth was explosive during the pandemic -- it ended 2020 with 32.6 million daily active users who spent an average of 2.6 hours per day on the platform.</p>\n<p>While growth is expected to cool off after such a strong year, there are three reasons to expect Roblox can deliver market-smashing returns over the long term.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/513ef8ccdffef4eda86889bea5592ecf\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>IMAGE SOURCE: ROBLOX.</p>\n<p>1. Roblox is building a moat</p>\n<p>The company is already showing signs of benefiting fromnetwork effects, a common competitive advantage among social-media platforms. What it means is that a platform's value is dependent on how many people use it. The more people join, the more appealing it is for others to sign up too.</p>\n<p>In its S-1 registration filing, Roblox attributes its growth to the increasing number of social connections being made on the platform.&nbsp;The company expects daily active users to reach between 37.6 million to 39.6 million in the first quarter, representing a year-over-year growth rate of 59% to 68%, although growth is expected to significantly slow down for the full year following a sharp acceleration in engagement during the pandemic.</p>\n<p>A telling sign of Roblox's staying power is that there are eight million developers on the platform making content. These developers created more than 20 million experiences, and all of that content is driving high engagement.&nbsp;In 2020, users spent 30 billion hours on Roblox, more than double the previous year.</p>\n<p>Another factor that will lead to further growth is the fact Roblox is free to join.It generates revenue&nbsp;when users purchase virtual currency that can be spent on additional content. This drove $923 million in revenue last year, nearly doubling the prior-year total.</p>\n<p>2. Expanding to older users</p>\n<p>Currently, Roblox appeals mainly to kids, but the company has a big opportunity if it can bring in older users. Most users are under the age of 12 with only 15% above the age of 25.&nbsp;Roblox is already seeing progress to widen its reach. Last year, daily active users between the age of 17 to 24 grew faster than those under 13.</p>\n<p>To appeal to older age groups, the company is making investments in higher-fidelity avatars, more realistic experiences, 3D spatial audio technology, and other features.&nbsp;This could make Roblox a more dynamic platform for business uses and educational experiences.&nbsp;As the installed base of users expands, Roblox could also see more partnerships with top consumer brands for marketing new products, thereby opening up other ways for the company to make money.</p>\n<p>Roblox is just scratching the surface of its potential.&nbsp;Consider that the average person who plays video games is between 35 and 44 years old, according to the Entertainment Association of America, much older than the average user on Roblox.&nbsp;<b>Sony</b>'s&nbsp;PlayStation network has over 100 million monthly active users,&nbsp;and some of the top video game producers have many times that number.</p>\n<p>There's a big market out there for Roblox to pursue. But it might take time for the company to advance its technology to provide more sophisticated experiences that would appeal to older age groups. This is where the company's cash resources will come in handy.</p>\n<p>3. The business model is working</p>\n<p>Roblox has beenfree-cash-flowpositive each year since 2018, and that's despite investments in infrastructure and prioritizing compensation for developers and creators.&nbsp;It spent $328 million in developer exchange fees last year, or roughly a third of total revenue. Roblox still managed to generate $411 million in free cash flow&nbsp;and expects to generate more than $300 million in cash from operations in 2021. This shows the business can invest in the future without burning a hole in its pocket.</p>\n<p>If the company has success in expanding to other use cases, that would be a big bonus for investors, because Roblox should do fine sticking to games and educational experiences. There are more than two billion people around the world who play games.&nbsp;That's a huge opportunity, which is enough reason thisgrowth stockcould deliver wealth-building returns.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Reasons Roblox Is a Monster Growth Stock in the Making</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Reasons Roblox Is a Monster Growth Stock in the Making\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-26 20:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/26/3-reasons-roblox-is-a-monster-growth-stock-in-the/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)has emerged as a popular online platform for kids to connect with friends and play games. Growth was explosive during the pandemic -- it ended 2020 with 32.6 million daily active ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/26/3-reasons-roblox-is-a-monster-growth-stock-in-the/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/26/3-reasons-roblox-is-a-monster-growth-stock-in-the/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131997434","content_text":"Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)has emerged as a popular online platform for kids to connect with friends and play games. Growth was explosive during the pandemic -- it ended 2020 with 32.6 million daily active users who spent an average of 2.6 hours per day on the platform.\nWhile growth is expected to cool off after such a strong year, there are three reasons to expect Roblox can deliver market-smashing returns over the long term.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: ROBLOX.\n1. Roblox is building a moat\nThe company is already showing signs of benefiting fromnetwork effects, a common competitive advantage among social-media platforms. What it means is that a platform's value is dependent on how many people use it. The more people join, the more appealing it is for others to sign up too.\nIn its S-1 registration filing, Roblox attributes its growth to the increasing number of social connections being made on the platform. The company expects daily active users to reach between 37.6 million to 39.6 million in the first quarter, representing a year-over-year growth rate of 59% to 68%, although growth is expected to significantly slow down for the full year following a sharp acceleration in engagement during the pandemic.\nA telling sign of Roblox's staying power is that there are eight million developers on the platform making content. These developers created more than 20 million experiences, and all of that content is driving high engagement. In 2020, users spent 30 billion hours on Roblox, more than double the previous year.\nAnother factor that will lead to further growth is the fact Roblox is free to join.It generates revenue when users purchase virtual currency that can be spent on additional content. This drove $923 million in revenue last year, nearly doubling the prior-year total.\n2. Expanding to older users\nCurrently, Roblox appeals mainly to kids, but the company has a big opportunity if it can bring in older users. Most users are under the age of 12 with only 15% above the age of 25. Roblox is already seeing progress to widen its reach. Last year, daily active users between the age of 17 to 24 grew faster than those under 13.\nTo appeal to older age groups, the company is making investments in higher-fidelity avatars, more realistic experiences, 3D spatial audio technology, and other features. This could make Roblox a more dynamic platform for business uses and educational experiences. As the installed base of users expands, Roblox could also see more partnerships with top consumer brands for marketing new products, thereby opening up other ways for the company to make money.\nRoblox is just scratching the surface of its potential. Consider that the average person who plays video games is between 35 and 44 years old, according to the Entertainment Association of America, much older than the average user on Roblox. Sony's PlayStation network has over 100 million monthly active users, and some of the top video game producers have many times that number.\nThere's a big market out there for Roblox to pursue. But it might take time for the company to advance its technology to provide more sophisticated experiences that would appeal to older age groups. This is where the company's cash resources will come in handy.\n3. The business model is working\nRoblox has beenfree-cash-flowpositive each year since 2018, and that's despite investments in infrastructure and prioritizing compensation for developers and creators. It spent $328 million in developer exchange fees last year, or roughly a third of total revenue. Roblox still managed to generate $411 million in free cash flow and expects to generate more than $300 million in cash from operations in 2021. This shows the business can invest in the future without burning a hole in its pocket.\nIf the company has success in expanding to other use cases, that would be a big bonus for investors, because Roblox should do fine sticking to games and educational experiences. There are more than two billion people around the world who play games. That's a huge opportunity, which is enough reason thisgrowth stockcould deliver wealth-building returns.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":101597501,"gmtCreate":1619921344403,"gmtModify":1634209119544,"author":{"id":"3582503329600891","authorId":"3582503329600891","name":"88_TWB_88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00cb7ae6d4c8f5f282b6f3a594a2c648","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nowadays ppl are spoilt for choice&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","listText":"Nowadays ppl are spoilt for choice&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;Comment &amp; like thks","text":"Nowadays ppl are spoilt for choice [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] Comment & like thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101597501","repostId":"1105099718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}