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Here are Wall Street’s 20 favorite energy stocks as crude oil hits a 6-year high<blockquote>随着原油触及6年高点，华尔街最受欢迎的20只能源股</blockquote>

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S&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain<blockquote>标普500连续第五次创下收盘新高，连续第五个季度上涨</blockquote>

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11:27","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Here are Wall Street’s 20 favorite energy stocks as crude oil hits a 6-year high<blockquote>随着原油触及6年高点，华尔街最受欢迎的20只能源股</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109918984","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"The price of crude oil has recovered to its highest level in six years — way above break-even prices","content":"<p>The price of crude oil has recovered to its highest level in six years — way above break-even prices for U.S. shale producers. A delay in production increases by the OPEC+ group of oil producing nations has underlined the recent price push, but the prospect of a continuing economic recovery for the U.S. and other industrialized nations points to an opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>原油价格已回升至六年来的最高水平——远高于美国页岩油生产商的盈亏平衡价格。OPEC+产油国集团推迟增产凸显了近期价格上涨，但美国和其他工业化国家经济持续复苏的前景为投资者带来了机会。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a list of 20 energy stocks favored by Wall Street analysts, with price targets implying upside of up to 39%.</p><p><blockquote>以下是华尔街分析师青睐的20只能源股名单，目标价意味着上涨空间高达39%。</blockquote></p><p> Oil stocks are running behind oil prices</p><p><blockquote>石油股落后于油价</blockquote></p><p> These charts compare the percentage movement for continuous forward-month contracts for West Texas Intermediate Crude OilCRUDE OILto total returns for the energy sector of the S&amp;P Composite 1500 indexXX:SP1500:</p><p><blockquote>这些图表比较了西德克萨斯中质原油连续远期合约与标准普尔综合1500指数XX：SP1500能源板块总回报的百分比变动：</blockquote></p><p> First, year-to-date moves through 7:25 a.m. ET on July 6:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22fb14d2e3c8ee1ecb51529055810355\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">FACTSET</p><p><blockquote>首先，年初至今截至美国东部时间7月6日上午7:25：FACTSET</blockquote></p><p> Even with dividends reinvested, the energy sector of the S&amp;P 1500 has lagged the price action for oil. (The S&amp;P Composite 1500 index is made up of the S&amp;P 500SPX, the S&amp;P 400 Mid Cap IndexMIDand the S&amp;P Small Cap 600 IndexSML.)</p><p><blockquote>即使股息进行了再投资，标准普尔1500指数的能源板块也落后于石油价格走势。（S&amp;P综合1500指数由S&amp;P 500SPX、S&amp;P 400中型股指数Mid和S&amp;P小型股600指数SML组成。）</blockquote></p><p> Now look at the one-year chart:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f414e1c0b0d223ff866915a067f13e8\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">FACTSET</p><p><blockquote>现在看看一年期图表：FACTSET</blockquote></p><p> There’s an argument to be made that oil stocks are way behind the recent price action. West Texas Crude Oil for August deliveryCLQ1was trading above $76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange early on July 6. For U.S. shale oil producers, there’s a critical relationship between the spot price and their production break-even prices for new wells, which ranged between $46 and $58 a barrel according to a survey conducted in March by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. (You can see that reporthere, with the break-even prices on the second-to-last slide and break-even prices for existing wells on the last slide.)</p><p><blockquote>有一种观点认为，石油股远远落后于最近的价格走势。7月6日早些时候，纽约商品交易所8月交割的西德克萨斯原油CLQ1交易价格超过每桶76美元。对于美国页岩油生产商来说，现货价格与其新井的生产盈亏平衡价格之间存在着重要关系，根据达拉斯联邦储备银行3月份进行的一项调查，新井的生产盈亏平衡价格在每桶46美元至58美元之间。（您可以在那里看到该报告，倒数第二张幻灯片上显示了盈亏平衡价格，最后一张幻灯片上显示了现有井的盈亏平衡价格。）</blockquote></p><p> It’s easy to understand that when West Texas Crude was trading for about $48.50 at the end of 2020, many investors remained shy of oil producers and related stocks.</p><p><blockquote>很容易理解，当西德克萨斯原油在2020年底的交易价格约为48.50美元时，许多投资者仍然对石油生产商和相关股票持谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street’s favorite stocks of oil producers and related companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街最喜欢的石油生产商和相关公司的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> To screen for U.S.-listed oil stocks, we began with the S&amp;P 1500, in part because the S&amp;P 500 includes only 22 stocks. Some stocks dropped out of the large-cap benchmark index because their market values declined significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic, but more broadly they have been suffering since oil prices peaked in 2014.</p><p><blockquote>为了筛选在美国上市的石油股，我们从标准普尔1500指数开始，部分原因是标普500只包括22只股票。一些股票退出了大盘股基准指数，因为它们的市值在COVID-19大流行期间大幅下跌，但更广泛地说，自2014年油价见顶以来，它们一直在遭受损失。</blockquote></p><p> There are 64 stocks in the S&amp;P 1500. We then added the 17 pipeline limited partnerships held by the Alerian MLP ETF, which aren’t included in the S&amp;P indexes. The pipelines are generally considered income plays, but there are some tax complications that should be part of your research before considering them for investment.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔1500指数中有64只股票。然后，我们添加了Alerian MLP ETF持有的17家管道有限合伙企业，这些企业未包含在标准普尔指数中。管道通常被认为是收入游戏，但在考虑投资之前，有一些复杂的税务问题应该成为您研究的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Among the screen of 81 energy stocks, 36 have majority “buy” or equivalent ratings among a group of at least five analysts working for brokerage firms, according to data provided by FactSet. Here are the 20 for which consensus price targets imply the most upside over the next 12 months:</p><p><blockquote>FactSet提供的数据显示，在筛选的81只能源股中，有36只在至少5名经纪公司分析师中获得了“买入”或同等评级。以下是共识价格目标意味着未来12个月上涨空间最大的20只股票：</blockquote></p><p> You can click the tickers for more about each company.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d4f89036e78c12bf09a265a9238174d\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"892\">Many oil companies have been forced to cut their dividends during the pandemic, but Valero Energy Corp.VLOand Chevron Corp.CVXare among the exceptions. Both have dividend yields above 5%.As always, ratings and price targets aren’t enough. You need to do your own research and consider any company’s long-term prospects before investing.</p><p><blockquote>您可以单击股票代码了解有关每家公司的更多信息。许多石油公司在疫情期间被迫削减股息，但瓦莱罗能源公司VLO和雪佛龙公司CVX是例外。两者的股息收益率都超过5%。一如既往，评级和价格目标是不够的。在投资之前，您需要自己进行研究并考虑任何公司的长期前景。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here are Wall Street’s 20 favorite energy stocks as crude oil hits a 6-year high<blockquote>随着原油触及6年高点，华尔街最受欢迎的20只能源股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere are Wall Street’s 20 favorite energy stocks as crude oil hits a 6-year high<blockquote>随着原油触及6年高点，华尔街最受欢迎的20只能源股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Wacth</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-07 11:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The price of crude oil has recovered to its highest level in six years — way above break-even prices for U.S. shale producers. A delay in production increases by the OPEC+ group of oil producing nations has underlined the recent price push, but the prospect of a continuing economic recovery for the U.S. and other industrialized nations points to an opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>原油价格已回升至六年来的最高水平——远高于美国页岩油生产商的盈亏平衡价格。OPEC+产油国集团推迟增产凸显了近期价格上涨，但美国和其他工业化国家经济持续复苏的前景为投资者带来了机会。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a list of 20 energy stocks favored by Wall Street analysts, with price targets implying upside of up to 39%.</p><p><blockquote>以下是华尔街分析师青睐的20只能源股名单，目标价意味着上涨空间高达39%。</blockquote></p><p> Oil stocks are running behind oil prices</p><p><blockquote>石油股落后于油价</blockquote></p><p> These charts compare the percentage movement for continuous forward-month contracts for West Texas Intermediate Crude OilCRUDE OILto total returns for the energy sector of the S&amp;P Composite 1500 indexXX:SP1500:</p><p><blockquote>这些图表比较了西德克萨斯中质原油连续远期合约与标准普尔综合1500指数XX：SP1500能源板块总回报的百分比变动：</blockquote></p><p> First, year-to-date moves through 7:25 a.m. ET on July 6:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22fb14d2e3c8ee1ecb51529055810355\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">FACTSET</p><p><blockquote>首先，年初至今截至美国东部时间7月6日上午7:25：FACTSET</blockquote></p><p> Even with dividends reinvested, the energy sector of the S&amp;P 1500 has lagged the price action for oil. (The S&amp;P Composite 1500 index is made up of the S&amp;P 500SPX, the S&amp;P 400 Mid Cap IndexMIDand the S&amp;P Small Cap 600 IndexSML.)</p><p><blockquote>即使股息进行了再投资，标准普尔1500指数的能源板块也落后于石油价格走势。（S&amp;P综合1500指数由S&amp;P 500SPX、S&amp;P 400中型股指数Mid和S&amp;P小型股600指数SML组成。）</blockquote></p><p> Now look at the one-year chart:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f414e1c0b0d223ff866915a067f13e8\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">FACTSET</p><p><blockquote>现在看看一年期图表：FACTSET</blockquote></p><p> There’s an argument to be made that oil stocks are way behind the recent price action. West Texas Crude Oil for August deliveryCLQ1was trading above $76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange early on July 6. For U.S. shale oil producers, there’s a critical relationship between the spot price and their production break-even prices for new wells, which ranged between $46 and $58 a barrel according to a survey conducted in March by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. (You can see that reporthere, with the break-even prices on the second-to-last slide and break-even prices for existing wells on the last slide.)</p><p><blockquote>有一种观点认为，石油股远远落后于最近的价格走势。7月6日早些时候，纽约商品交易所8月交割的西德克萨斯原油CLQ1交易价格超过每桶76美元。对于美国页岩油生产商来说，现货价格与其新井的生产盈亏平衡价格之间存在着重要关系，根据达拉斯联邦储备银行3月份进行的一项调查，新井的生产盈亏平衡价格在每桶46美元至58美元之间。（您可以在那里看到该报告，倒数第二张幻灯片上显示了盈亏平衡价格，最后一张幻灯片上显示了现有井的盈亏平衡价格。）</blockquote></p><p> It’s easy to understand that when West Texas Crude was trading for about $48.50 at the end of 2020, many investors remained shy of oil producers and related stocks.</p><p><blockquote>很容易理解，当西德克萨斯原油在2020年底的交易价格约为48.50美元时，许多投资者仍然对石油生产商和相关股票持谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street’s favorite stocks of oil producers and related companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街最喜欢的石油生产商和相关公司的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> To screen for U.S.-listed oil stocks, we began with the S&amp;P 1500, in part because the S&amp;P 500 includes only 22 stocks. Some stocks dropped out of the large-cap benchmark index because their market values declined significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic, but more broadly they have been suffering since oil prices peaked in 2014.</p><p><blockquote>为了筛选在美国上市的石油股，我们从标准普尔1500指数开始，部分原因是标普500只包括22只股票。一些股票退出了大盘股基准指数，因为它们的市值在COVID-19大流行期间大幅下跌，但更广泛地说，自2014年油价见顶以来，它们一直在遭受损失。</blockquote></p><p> There are 64 stocks in the S&amp;P 1500. We then added the 17 pipeline limited partnerships held by the Alerian MLP ETF, which aren’t included in the S&amp;P indexes. The pipelines are generally considered income plays, but there are some tax complications that should be part of your research before considering them for investment.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔1500指数中有64只股票。然后，我们添加了Alerian MLP ETF持有的17家管道有限合伙企业，这些企业未包含在标准普尔指数中。管道通常被认为是收入游戏，但在考虑投资之前，有一些复杂的税务问题应该成为您研究的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Among the screen of 81 energy stocks, 36 have majority “buy” or equivalent ratings among a group of at least five analysts working for brokerage firms, according to data provided by FactSet. Here are the 20 for which consensus price targets imply the most upside over the next 12 months:</p><p><blockquote>FactSet提供的数据显示，在筛选的81只能源股中，有36只在至少5名经纪公司分析师中获得了“买入”或同等评级。以下是共识价格目标意味着未来12个月上涨空间最大的20只股票：</blockquote></p><p> You can click the tickers for more about each company.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d4f89036e78c12bf09a265a9238174d\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"892\">Many oil companies have been forced to cut their dividends during the pandemic, but Valero Energy Corp.VLOand Chevron Corp.CVXare among the exceptions. Both have dividend yields above 5%.As always, ratings and price targets aren’t enough. You need to do your own research and consider any company’s long-term prospects before investing.</p><p><blockquote>您可以单击股票代码了解有关每家公司的更多信息。许多石油公司在疫情期间被迫削减股息，但瓦莱罗能源公司VLO和雪佛龙公司CVX是例外。两者的股息收益率都超过5%。一如既往，评级和价格目标是不够的。在投资之前，您需要自己进行研究并考虑任何公司的长期前景。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-wall-streets-20-favorite-energy-stocks-as-crude-oil-hits-a-6-year-high-11625575911?mod=home-page\">Market Wacth</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-wall-streets-20-favorite-energy-stocks-as-crude-oil-hits-a-6-year-high-11625575911?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109918984","content_text":"The price of crude oil has recovered to its highest level in six years — way above break-even prices for U.S. shale producers. A delay in production increases by the OPEC+ group of oil producing nations has underlined the recent price push, but the prospect of a continuing economic recovery for the U.S. and other industrialized nations points to an opportunity for investors.\nBelow is a list of 20 energy stocks favored by Wall Street analysts, with price targets implying upside of up to 39%.\nOil stocks are running behind oil prices\nThese charts compare the percentage movement for continuous forward-month contracts for West Texas Intermediate Crude OilCRUDE OILto total returns for the energy sector of the S&P Composite 1500 indexXX:SP1500:\nFirst, year-to-date moves through 7:25 a.m. ET on July 6:FACTSET\nEven with dividends reinvested, the energy sector of the S&P 1500 has lagged the price action for oil. (The S&P Composite 1500 index is made up of the S&P 500SPX, the S&P 400 Mid Cap IndexMIDand the S&P Small Cap 600 IndexSML.)\nNow look at the one-year chart:FACTSET\nThere’s an argument to be made that oil stocks are way behind the recent price action. West Texas Crude Oil for August deliveryCLQ1was trading above $76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange early on July 6. For U.S. shale oil producers, there’s a critical relationship between the spot price and their production break-even prices for new wells, which ranged between $46 and $58 a barrel according to a survey conducted in March by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. (You can see that reporthere, with the break-even prices on the second-to-last slide and break-even prices for existing wells on the last slide.)\nIt’s easy to understand that when West Texas Crude was trading for about $48.50 at the end of 2020, many investors remained shy of oil producers and related stocks.\nWall Street’s favorite stocks of oil producers and related companies\nTo screen for U.S.-listed oil stocks, we began with the S&P 1500, in part because the S&P 500 includes only 22 stocks. Some stocks dropped out of the large-cap benchmark index because their market values declined significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic, but more broadly they have been suffering since oil prices peaked in 2014.\nThere are 64 stocks in the S&P 1500. We then added the 17 pipeline limited partnerships held by the Alerian MLP ETF, which aren’t included in the S&P indexes. The pipelines are generally considered income plays, but there are some tax complications that should be part of your research before considering them for investment.\nAmong the screen of 81 energy stocks, 36 have majority “buy” or equivalent ratings among a group of at least five analysts working for brokerage firms, according to data provided by FactSet. Here are the 20 for which consensus price targets imply the most upside over the next 12 months:\nYou can click the tickers for more about each company.Many oil companies have been forced to cut their dividends during the pandemic, but Valero Energy Corp.VLOand Chevron Corp.CVXare among the exceptions. Both have dividend yields above 5%.As always, ratings and price targets aren’t enough. You need to do your own research and consider any company’s long-term prospects before investing.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152855830,"gmtCreate":1625283041820,"gmtModify":1633941763764,"author":{"id":"3581731386003377","authorId":"3581731386003377","name":"Kainee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581731386003377","authorIdStr":"3581731386003377"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Upup","listText":"Upup","text":"Upup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152855830","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151485550,"gmtCreate":1625102594970,"gmtModify":1633944788227,"author":{"id":"3581731386003377","authorId":"3581731386003377","name":"Kainee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581731386003377","authorIdStr":"3581731386003377"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fb","listText":"Fb","text":"Fb","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151485550","repostId":"1143497043","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151485955,"gmtCreate":1625102565977,"gmtModify":1633944788842,"author":{"id":"3581731386003377","authorId":"3581731386003377","name":"Kainee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581731386003377","authorIdStr":"3581731386003377"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sp500","listText":"Sp500","text":"Sp500","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151485955","repostId":"1178516480","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178516480","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625094708,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178516480?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 07:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain<blockquote>标普500连续第五次创下收盘新高，连续第五个季度上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178516480","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as inves","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as investors ended the month and the quarter by largely shrugging off positive economic data and looking toward Friday’s highly anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-标普500周三连续第五次创下收盘新高，投资者在本月和本季度结束时基本上摆脱了积极的经济数据，并期待周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> In the last session of 2021’s first half, the indexes were languid and range-bound, with the blue-chip Dow posting gains, while the Nasdaq edged lower.</p><p><blockquote>在2021年上半年的最后一个交易日，股指低迷且区间震荡，蓝筹股道指上涨，而纳斯达克则小幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> All three indexes posted their fifth consecutive quarterly gains, with the S&amp;P rising 8.2%, the Nasdaq advancing 9.5% and the Dow rising 4.6%. The S&amp;P 500 registered its second-best first-half performance since 1998, rising 14.5%.</p><p><blockquote>三大指数均连续第五个季度上涨，标准普尔指数上涨8.2%，纳斯达克指数上涨9.5%，道指上涨4.6%。标普500上半年表现为1998年以来第二好，上涨14.5%。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s been a good quarter,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. “As of last night’s close, the S&amp;P has gained more than 14% year-to-date, topping the Dow and the Nasdaq. That indicates that the stock market is having a broad rally.”</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个不错的季度，”康涅狄格州费尔菲尔德Dakota Wealth的高级投资组合经理罗伯特·帕夫利克(Robert Pavlik)表示。“截至昨晚收盘，标普今年迄今已上涨超过14%，超过道指和纳斯达克。这表明股市正在出现广泛反弹。”</blockquote></p><p> For the month, the bellwether S&amp;P 500 notched its fifth consecutive advance, while the Dow snapped its four-month winning streak to end slightly lower. The Nasdaq also gained ground in June.</p><p><blockquote>本月，领头羊标普500连续第五次上涨，而道琼斯指数结束了四个月的连涨，小幅收低。纳斯达克在6月份也取得了进展。</blockquote></p><p> This month, investor appetite shifted away from economically sensitive cyclicals in favor of growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>本月，投资者的兴趣从对经济敏感的周期性股票转向成长型股票。</blockquote></p><p> “Leading sectors year-to-date are what you’d expect,” Pavlik added. “Energy, financials and industrials, and that speaks to an economic environment that’s in the early stages of a cycle.”</p><p><blockquote>“今年迄今为止的领先行业正如你所预期的那样，”帕夫利克补充道。“能源、金融和工业，这表明经济环境正处于周期的早期阶段。”</blockquote></p><p> “(Investors) started the switch back to growth (stocks) after people started to buy in to (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell’s comments that focus on transitory inflation,” Pavlik added.</p><p><blockquote>帕夫利克补充道：“在人们开始接受（美联储主席杰罗姆）鲍威尔关注暂时性通胀的言论后，（投资者）开始转向增长（股票）。”</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the reopening trades have gotten a bit long in the tooth and that’s leading people back to growth.”</p><p><blockquote>“一些重新开放的交易已经持续了一段时间，这正在引导人们恢复增长。”</blockquote></p><p> (Graphic: Growths stocks outperform value in June, narrow YTD gap, )</p><p><blockquote>（图：6月份成长股跑赢价值股，年初至今差距缩小，）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b82b4dfdc765d913811f9d8572e60f6\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“The overall stock market continues to be on a tear, with very consistent gains for quite some time,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. “Valuations, while certainly high by historical standards, have been at a fairly consistent level, benefiting from the economic recovery.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约Inverness Counsel首席投资策略师蒂姆·格里斯基(Tim Ghriskey)表示：“整体股市继续上涨，在相当长一段时间内持续上涨。”“虽然按照历史标准来看估值肯定很高，但受益于经济复苏，估值一直处于相当稳定的水平。”</blockquote></p><p> The private sector added 692,000 jobs in June, breezing past expectations, according to payroll processor ADP. The number is 92,000 higher than the private payroll adds economists predict from the Labor Department’s more comprehensive employment report due on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>根据薪资处理机构ADP的数据，私营部门6月份增加了692,000个就业岗位，轻松超出预期。这一数字比经济学家在劳工部周五发布的更全面的就业报告中预测的私人就业人数高出92,000人。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.22 points, or 0.61%, to 34,502.51, the S&amp;P 500 gained 5.7 points, or 0.13%, to 4,297.5 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 24.38 points, or 0.17%, to 14,503.95.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨210.22点，涨幅0.61%，至34,502.51点；标普500上涨5.7点，涨幅0.13%，至4,297.5点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌24.38点，涨幅0.17%，至14,503.95点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P, six ended the session higher, with energy enjoying the biggest percentage gain. Real estate was the day’s biggest loser.</p><p><blockquote>在标准普尔11个主要板块中，有6个板块收高，其中能源板块涨幅最大。房地产是当天最大的输家。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing Co gained 1.6% after Germany’s defense ministry announced it would buy five of the planemaker’s P-8A maritime control aircraft, coming on the heels of United Airlines unveiling its largest-ever order for new planes.</p><p><blockquote>德国国防部宣布将购买该飞机制造商的五架P-8A海上控制飞机，波音公司股价上涨1.6%，此前联合航空公布了有史以来最大的新飞机订单。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart jumped 2.7% after announcing on Tuesday that it would start selling a prescription-only insulin analog.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛周二宣布将开始销售仅限处方的胰岛素类似物，股价上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology advanced 2.5% ahead of its quarterly earnings release, but was relatively unchanged in after-hours trading following the chipmaker’s quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技在季度财报发布前上涨2.5%，但在芯片制造商公布季度业绩后，盘后交易中相对没有变化。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.19-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.35比1；在纳斯达克，1.19比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 36 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下20个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得70个新高和36个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.85 billion shares, compared with the 11.05 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为108.5亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110.5亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain<blockquote>标普500连续第五次创下收盘新高，连续第五个季度上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain<blockquote>标普500连续第五次创下收盘新高，连续第五个季度上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 07:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as investors ended the month and the quarter by largely shrugging off positive economic data and looking toward Friday’s highly anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-标普500周三连续第五次创下收盘新高，投资者在本月和本季度结束时基本上摆脱了积极的经济数据，并期待周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> In the last session of 2021’s first half, the indexes were languid and range-bound, with the blue-chip Dow posting gains, while the Nasdaq edged lower.</p><p><blockquote>在2021年上半年的最后一个交易日，股指低迷且区间震荡，蓝筹股道指上涨，而纳斯达克则小幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> All three indexes posted their fifth consecutive quarterly gains, with the S&amp;P rising 8.2%, the Nasdaq advancing 9.5% and the Dow rising 4.6%. The S&amp;P 500 registered its second-best first-half performance since 1998, rising 14.5%.</p><p><blockquote>三大指数均连续第五个季度上涨，标准普尔指数上涨8.2%，纳斯达克指数上涨9.5%，道指上涨4.6%。标普500上半年表现为1998年以来第二好，上涨14.5%。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s been a good quarter,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. “As of last night’s close, the S&amp;P has gained more than 14% year-to-date, topping the Dow and the Nasdaq. That indicates that the stock market is having a broad rally.”</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个不错的季度，”康涅狄格州费尔菲尔德Dakota Wealth的高级投资组合经理罗伯特·帕夫利克(Robert Pavlik)表示。“截至昨晚收盘，标普今年迄今已上涨超过14%，超过道指和纳斯达克。这表明股市正在出现广泛反弹。”</blockquote></p><p> For the month, the bellwether S&amp;P 500 notched its fifth consecutive advance, while the Dow snapped its four-month winning streak to end slightly lower. The Nasdaq also gained ground in June.</p><p><blockquote>本月，领头羊标普500连续第五次上涨，而道琼斯指数结束了四个月的连涨，小幅收低。纳斯达克在6月份也取得了进展。</blockquote></p><p> This month, investor appetite shifted away from economically sensitive cyclicals in favor of growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>本月，投资者的兴趣从对经济敏感的周期性股票转向成长型股票。</blockquote></p><p> “Leading sectors year-to-date are what you’d expect,” Pavlik added. “Energy, financials and industrials, and that speaks to an economic environment that’s in the early stages of a cycle.”</p><p><blockquote>“今年迄今为止的领先行业正如你所预期的那样，”帕夫利克补充道。“能源、金融和工业，这表明经济环境正处于周期的早期阶段。”</blockquote></p><p> “(Investors) started the switch back to growth (stocks) after people started to buy in to (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell’s comments that focus on transitory inflation,” Pavlik added.</p><p><blockquote>帕夫利克补充道：“在人们开始接受（美联储主席杰罗姆）鲍威尔关注暂时性通胀的言论后，（投资者）开始转向增长（股票）。”</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the reopening trades have gotten a bit long in the tooth and that’s leading people back to growth.”</p><p><blockquote>“一些重新开放的交易已经持续了一段时间，这正在引导人们恢复增长。”</blockquote></p><p> (Graphic: Growths stocks outperform value in June, narrow YTD gap, )</p><p><blockquote>（图：6月份成长股跑赢价值股，年初至今差距缩小，）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b82b4dfdc765d913811f9d8572e60f6\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“The overall stock market continues to be on a tear, with very consistent gains for quite some time,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. “Valuations, while certainly high by historical standards, have been at a fairly consistent level, benefiting from the economic recovery.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约Inverness Counsel首席投资策略师蒂姆·格里斯基(Tim Ghriskey)表示：“整体股市继续上涨，在相当长一段时间内持续上涨。”“虽然按照历史标准来看估值肯定很高，但受益于经济复苏，估值一直处于相当稳定的水平。”</blockquote></p><p> The private sector added 692,000 jobs in June, breezing past expectations, according to payroll processor ADP. The number is 92,000 higher than the private payroll adds economists predict from the Labor Department’s more comprehensive employment report due on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>根据薪资处理机构ADP的数据，私营部门6月份增加了692,000个就业岗位，轻松超出预期。这一数字比经济学家在劳工部周五发布的更全面的就业报告中预测的私人就业人数高出92,000人。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.22 points, or 0.61%, to 34,502.51, the S&amp;P 500 gained 5.7 points, or 0.13%, to 4,297.5 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 24.38 points, or 0.17%, to 14,503.95.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨210.22点，涨幅0.61%，至34,502.51点；标普500上涨5.7点，涨幅0.13%，至4,297.5点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌24.38点，涨幅0.17%，至14,503.95点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P, six ended the session higher, with energy enjoying the biggest percentage gain. Real estate was the day’s biggest loser.</p><p><blockquote>在标准普尔11个主要板块中，有6个板块收高，其中能源板块涨幅最大。房地产是当天最大的输家。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing Co gained 1.6% after Germany’s defense ministry announced it would buy five of the planemaker’s P-8A maritime control aircraft, coming on the heels of United Airlines unveiling its largest-ever order for new planes.</p><p><blockquote>德国国防部宣布将购买该飞机制造商的五架P-8A海上控制飞机，波音公司股价上涨1.6%，此前联合航空公布了有史以来最大的新飞机订单。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart jumped 2.7% after announcing on Tuesday that it would start selling a prescription-only insulin analog.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛周二宣布将开始销售仅限处方的胰岛素类似物，股价上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology advanced 2.5% ahead of its quarterly earnings release, but was relatively unchanged in after-hours trading following the chipmaker’s quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技在季度财报发布前上涨2.5%，但在芯片制造商公布季度业绩后，盘后交易中相对没有变化。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.19-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.35比1；在纳斯达克，1.19比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 36 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下20个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得70个新高和36个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.85 billion shares, compared with the 11.05 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为108.5亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110.5亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/sp-500-notches-fifth-straight-record-closing-high-fifth-straight-quarterly-gain-idUSKCN2E619R\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/sp-500-notches-fifth-straight-record-closing-high-fifth-straight-quarterly-gain-idUSKCN2E619R","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178516480","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as investors ended the month and the quarter by largely shrugging off positive economic data and looking toward Friday’s highly anticipated employment report.\nIn the last session of 2021’s first half, the indexes were languid and range-bound, with the blue-chip Dow posting gains, while the Nasdaq edged lower.\nAll three indexes posted their fifth consecutive quarterly gains, with the S&P rising 8.2%, the Nasdaq advancing 9.5% and the Dow rising 4.6%. The S&P 500 registered its second-best first-half performance since 1998, rising 14.5%.\n“It’s been a good quarter,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. “As of last night’s close, the S&P has gained more than 14% year-to-date, topping the Dow and the Nasdaq. That indicates that the stock market is having a broad rally.”\nFor the month, the bellwether S&P 500 notched its fifth consecutive advance, while the Dow snapped its four-month winning streak to end slightly lower. The Nasdaq also gained ground in June.\nThis month, investor appetite shifted away from economically sensitive cyclicals in favor of growth stocks.\n“Leading sectors year-to-date are what you’d expect,” Pavlik added. “Energy, financials and industrials, and that speaks to an economic environment that’s in the early stages of a cycle.”\n“(Investors) started the switch back to growth (stocks) after people started to buy in to (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell’s comments that focus on transitory inflation,” Pavlik added.\n“Some of the reopening trades have gotten a bit long in the tooth and that’s leading people back to growth.”\n(Graphic: Growths stocks outperform value in June, narrow YTD gap, )\n“The overall stock market continues to be on a tear, with very consistent gains for quite some time,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. “Valuations, while certainly high by historical standards, have been at a fairly consistent level, benefiting from the economic recovery.”\nThe private sector added 692,000 jobs in June, breezing past expectations, according to payroll processor ADP. The number is 92,000 higher than the private payroll adds economists predict from the Labor Department’s more comprehensive employment report due on Friday.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.22 points, or 0.61%, to 34,502.51, the S&P 500 gained 5.7 points, or 0.13%, to 4,297.5 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 24.38 points, or 0.17%, to 14,503.95.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P, six ended the session higher, with energy enjoying the biggest percentage gain. Real estate was the day’s biggest loser.\nBoeing Co gained 1.6% after Germany’s defense ministry announced it would buy five of the planemaker’s P-8A maritime control aircraft, coming on the heels of United Airlines unveiling its largest-ever order for new planes.\nWalmart jumped 2.7% after announcing on Tuesday that it would start selling a prescription-only insulin analog.\nMicron Technology advanced 2.5% ahead of its quarterly earnings release, but was relatively unchanged in after-hours trading following the chipmaker’s quarterly results.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.19-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 36 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.85 billion shares, compared with the 11.05 billion average over the last 20 trading 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stocks","listText":"June stocks","text":"June stocks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115070961","repostId":"2141128874","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":140106358,"gmtCreate":1625634340074,"gmtModify":1633938845307,"author":{"id":"3581731386003377","authorId":"3581731386003377","name":"Kainee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581731386003377","idStr":"3581731386003377"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140106358","repostId":"1109918984","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109918984","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625628447,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109918984?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-07 11:27","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Here are Wall Street’s 20 favorite energy stocks as crude oil hits a 6-year high<blockquote>随着原油触及6年高点，华尔街最受欢迎的20只能源股</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109918984","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"The price of crude oil has recovered to its highest level in six years — way above break-even prices","content":"<p>The price of crude oil has recovered to its highest level in six years — way above break-even prices for U.S. shale producers. A delay in production increases by the OPEC+ group of oil producing nations has underlined the recent price push, but the prospect of a continuing economic recovery for the U.S. and other industrialized nations points to an opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>原油价格已回升至六年来的最高水平——远高于美国页岩油生产商的盈亏平衡价格。OPEC+产油国集团推迟增产凸显了近期价格上涨，但美国和其他工业化国家经济持续复苏的前景为投资者带来了机会。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a list of 20 energy stocks favored by Wall Street analysts, with price targets implying upside of up to 39%.</p><p><blockquote>以下是华尔街分析师青睐的20只能源股名单，目标价意味着上涨空间高达39%。</blockquote></p><p> Oil stocks are running behind oil prices</p><p><blockquote>石油股落后于油价</blockquote></p><p> These charts compare the percentage movement for continuous forward-month contracts for West Texas Intermediate Crude OilCRUDE OILto total returns for the energy sector of the S&amp;P Composite 1500 indexXX:SP1500:</p><p><blockquote>这些图表比较了西德克萨斯中质原油连续远期合约与标准普尔综合1500指数XX：SP1500能源板块总回报的百分比变动：</blockquote></p><p> First, year-to-date moves through 7:25 a.m. ET on July 6:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22fb14d2e3c8ee1ecb51529055810355\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">FACTSET</p><p><blockquote>首先，年初至今截至美国东部时间7月6日上午7:25：FACTSET</blockquote></p><p> Even with dividends reinvested, the energy sector of the S&amp;P 1500 has lagged the price action for oil. (The S&amp;P Composite 1500 index is made up of the S&amp;P 500SPX, the S&amp;P 400 Mid Cap IndexMIDand the S&amp;P Small Cap 600 IndexSML.)</p><p><blockquote>即使股息进行了再投资，标准普尔1500指数的能源板块也落后于石油价格走势。（S&amp;P综合1500指数由S&amp;P 500SPX、S&amp;P 400中型股指数Mid和S&amp;P小型股600指数SML组成。）</blockquote></p><p> Now look at the one-year chart:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f414e1c0b0d223ff866915a067f13e8\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">FACTSET</p><p><blockquote>现在看看一年期图表：FACTSET</blockquote></p><p> There’s an argument to be made that oil stocks are way behind the recent price action. West Texas Crude Oil for August deliveryCLQ1was trading above $76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange early on July 6. For U.S. shale oil producers, there’s a critical relationship between the spot price and their production break-even prices for new wells, which ranged between $46 and $58 a barrel according to a survey conducted in March by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. (You can see that reporthere, with the break-even prices on the second-to-last slide and break-even prices for existing wells on the last slide.)</p><p><blockquote>有一种观点认为，石油股远远落后于最近的价格走势。7月6日早些时候，纽约商品交易所8月交割的西德克萨斯原油CLQ1交易价格超过每桶76美元。对于美国页岩油生产商来说，现货价格与其新井的生产盈亏平衡价格之间存在着重要关系，根据达拉斯联邦储备银行3月份进行的一项调查，新井的生产盈亏平衡价格在每桶46美元至58美元之间。（您可以在那里看到该报告，倒数第二张幻灯片上显示了盈亏平衡价格，最后一张幻灯片上显示了现有井的盈亏平衡价格。）</blockquote></p><p> It’s easy to understand that when West Texas Crude was trading for about $48.50 at the end of 2020, many investors remained shy of oil producers and related stocks.</p><p><blockquote>很容易理解，当西德克萨斯原油在2020年底的交易价格约为48.50美元时，许多投资者仍然对石油生产商和相关股票持谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street’s favorite stocks of oil producers and related companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街最喜欢的石油生产商和相关公司的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> To screen for U.S.-listed oil stocks, we began with the S&amp;P 1500, in part because the S&amp;P 500 includes only 22 stocks. Some stocks dropped out of the large-cap benchmark index because their market values declined significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic, but more broadly they have been suffering since oil prices peaked in 2014.</p><p><blockquote>为了筛选在美国上市的石油股，我们从标准普尔1500指数开始，部分原因是标普500只包括22只股票。一些股票退出了大盘股基准指数，因为它们的市值在COVID-19大流行期间大幅下跌，但更广泛地说，自2014年油价见顶以来，它们一直在遭受损失。</blockquote></p><p> There are 64 stocks in the S&amp;P 1500. We then added the 17 pipeline limited partnerships held by the Alerian MLP ETF, which aren’t included in the S&amp;P indexes. The pipelines are generally considered income plays, but there are some tax complications that should be part of your research before considering them for investment.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔1500指数中有64只股票。然后，我们添加了Alerian MLP ETF持有的17家管道有限合伙企业，这些企业未包含在标准普尔指数中。管道通常被认为是收入游戏，但在考虑投资之前，有一些复杂的税务问题应该成为您研究的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Among the screen of 81 energy stocks, 36 have majority “buy” or equivalent ratings among a group of at least five analysts working for brokerage firms, according to data provided by FactSet. Here are the 20 for which consensus price targets imply the most upside over the next 12 months:</p><p><blockquote>FactSet提供的数据显示，在筛选的81只能源股中，有36只在至少5名经纪公司分析师中获得了“买入”或同等评级。以下是共识价格目标意味着未来12个月上涨空间最大的20只股票：</blockquote></p><p> You can click the tickers for more about each company.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d4f89036e78c12bf09a265a9238174d\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"892\">Many oil companies have been forced to cut their dividends during the pandemic, but Valero Energy Corp.VLOand Chevron Corp.CVXare among the exceptions. Both have dividend yields above 5%.As always, ratings and price targets aren’t enough. You need to do your own research and consider any company’s long-term prospects before investing.</p><p><blockquote>您可以单击股票代码了解有关每家公司的更多信息。许多石油公司在疫情期间被迫削减股息，但瓦莱罗能源公司VLO和雪佛龙公司CVX是例外。两者的股息收益率都超过5%。一如既往，评级和价格目标是不够的。在投资之前，您需要自己进行研究并考虑任何公司的长期前景。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here are Wall Street’s 20 favorite energy stocks as crude oil hits a 6-year high<blockquote>随着原油触及6年高点，华尔街最受欢迎的20只能源股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere are Wall Street’s 20 favorite energy stocks as crude oil hits a 6-year high<blockquote>随着原油触及6年高点，华尔街最受欢迎的20只能源股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Wacth</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-07 11:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The price of crude oil has recovered to its highest level in six years — way above break-even prices for U.S. shale producers. A delay in production increases by the OPEC+ group of oil producing nations has underlined the recent price push, but the prospect of a continuing economic recovery for the U.S. and other industrialized nations points to an opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>原油价格已回升至六年来的最高水平——远高于美国页岩油生产商的盈亏平衡价格。OPEC+产油国集团推迟增产凸显了近期价格上涨，但美国和其他工业化国家经济持续复苏的前景为投资者带来了机会。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a list of 20 energy stocks favored by Wall Street analysts, with price targets implying upside of up to 39%.</p><p><blockquote>以下是华尔街分析师青睐的20只能源股名单，目标价意味着上涨空间高达39%。</blockquote></p><p> Oil stocks are running behind oil prices</p><p><blockquote>石油股落后于油价</blockquote></p><p> These charts compare the percentage movement for continuous forward-month contracts for West Texas Intermediate Crude OilCRUDE OILto total returns for the energy sector of the S&amp;P Composite 1500 indexXX:SP1500:</p><p><blockquote>这些图表比较了西德克萨斯中质原油连续远期合约与标准普尔综合1500指数XX：SP1500能源板块总回报的百分比变动：</blockquote></p><p> First, year-to-date moves through 7:25 a.m. ET on July 6:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22fb14d2e3c8ee1ecb51529055810355\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">FACTSET</p><p><blockquote>首先，年初至今截至美国东部时间7月6日上午7:25：FACTSET</blockquote></p><p> Even with dividends reinvested, the energy sector of the S&amp;P 1500 has lagged the price action for oil. (The S&amp;P Composite 1500 index is made up of the S&amp;P 500SPX, the S&amp;P 400 Mid Cap IndexMIDand the S&amp;P Small Cap 600 IndexSML.)</p><p><blockquote>即使股息进行了再投资，标准普尔1500指数的能源板块也落后于石油价格走势。（S&amp;P综合1500指数由S&amp;P 500SPX、S&amp;P 400中型股指数Mid和S&amp;P小型股600指数SML组成。）</blockquote></p><p> Now look at the one-year chart:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f414e1c0b0d223ff866915a067f13e8\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">FACTSET</p><p><blockquote>现在看看一年期图表：FACTSET</blockquote></p><p> There’s an argument to be made that oil stocks are way behind the recent price action. West Texas Crude Oil for August deliveryCLQ1was trading above $76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange early on July 6. For U.S. shale oil producers, there’s a critical relationship between the spot price and their production break-even prices for new wells, which ranged between $46 and $58 a barrel according to a survey conducted in March by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. (You can see that reporthere, with the break-even prices on the second-to-last slide and break-even prices for existing wells on the last slide.)</p><p><blockquote>有一种观点认为，石油股远远落后于最近的价格走势。7月6日早些时候，纽约商品交易所8月交割的西德克萨斯原油CLQ1交易价格超过每桶76美元。对于美国页岩油生产商来说，现货价格与其新井的生产盈亏平衡价格之间存在着重要关系，根据达拉斯联邦储备银行3月份进行的一项调查，新井的生产盈亏平衡价格在每桶46美元至58美元之间。（您可以在那里看到该报告，倒数第二张幻灯片上显示了盈亏平衡价格，最后一张幻灯片上显示了现有井的盈亏平衡价格。）</blockquote></p><p> It’s easy to understand that when West Texas Crude was trading for about $48.50 at the end of 2020, many investors remained shy of oil producers and related stocks.</p><p><blockquote>很容易理解，当西德克萨斯原油在2020年底的交易价格约为48.50美元时，许多投资者仍然对石油生产商和相关股票持谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street’s favorite stocks of oil producers and related companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街最喜欢的石油生产商和相关公司的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> To screen for U.S.-listed oil stocks, we began with the S&amp;P 1500, in part because the S&amp;P 500 includes only 22 stocks. Some stocks dropped out of the large-cap benchmark index because their market values declined significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic, but more broadly they have been suffering since oil prices peaked in 2014.</p><p><blockquote>为了筛选在美国上市的石油股，我们从标准普尔1500指数开始，部分原因是标普500只包括22只股票。一些股票退出了大盘股基准指数，因为它们的市值在COVID-19大流行期间大幅下跌，但更广泛地说，自2014年油价见顶以来，它们一直在遭受损失。</blockquote></p><p> There are 64 stocks in the S&amp;P 1500. We then added the 17 pipeline limited partnerships held by the Alerian MLP ETF, which aren’t included in the S&amp;P indexes. The pipelines are generally considered income plays, but there are some tax complications that should be part of your research before considering them for investment.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔1500指数中有64只股票。然后，我们添加了Alerian MLP ETF持有的17家管道有限合伙企业，这些企业未包含在标准普尔指数中。管道通常被认为是收入游戏，但在考虑投资之前，有一些复杂的税务问题应该成为您研究的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Among the screen of 81 energy stocks, 36 have majority “buy” or equivalent ratings among a group of at least five analysts working for brokerage firms, according to data provided by FactSet. Here are the 20 for which consensus price targets imply the most upside over the next 12 months:</p><p><blockquote>FactSet提供的数据显示，在筛选的81只能源股中，有36只在至少5名经纪公司分析师中获得了“买入”或同等评级。以下是共识价格目标意味着未来12个月上涨空间最大的20只股票：</blockquote></p><p> You can click the tickers for more about each company.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d4f89036e78c12bf09a265a9238174d\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"892\">Many oil companies have been forced to cut their dividends during the pandemic, but Valero Energy Corp.VLOand Chevron Corp.CVXare among the exceptions. Both have dividend yields above 5%.As always, ratings and price targets aren’t enough. You need to do your own research and consider any company’s long-term prospects before investing.</p><p><blockquote>您可以单击股票代码了解有关每家公司的更多信息。许多石油公司在疫情期间被迫削减股息，但瓦莱罗能源公司VLO和雪佛龙公司CVX是例外。两者的股息收益率都超过5%。一如既往，评级和价格目标是不够的。在投资之前，您需要自己进行研究并考虑任何公司的长期前景。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-wall-streets-20-favorite-energy-stocks-as-crude-oil-hits-a-6-year-high-11625575911?mod=home-page\">Market Wacth</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-wall-streets-20-favorite-energy-stocks-as-crude-oil-hits-a-6-year-high-11625575911?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109918984","content_text":"The price of crude oil has recovered to its highest level in six years — way above break-even prices for U.S. shale producers. A delay in production increases by the OPEC+ group of oil producing nations has underlined the recent price push, but the prospect of a continuing economic recovery for the U.S. and other industrialized nations points to an opportunity for investors.\nBelow is a list of 20 energy stocks favored by Wall Street analysts, with price targets implying upside of up to 39%.\nOil stocks are running behind oil prices\nThese charts compare the percentage movement for continuous forward-month contracts for West Texas Intermediate Crude OilCRUDE OILto total returns for the energy sector of the S&P Composite 1500 indexXX:SP1500:\nFirst, year-to-date moves through 7:25 a.m. ET on July 6:FACTSET\nEven with dividends reinvested, the energy sector of the S&P 1500 has lagged the price action for oil. (The S&P Composite 1500 index is made up of the S&P 500SPX, the S&P 400 Mid Cap IndexMIDand the S&P Small Cap 600 IndexSML.)\nNow look at the one-year chart:FACTSET\nThere’s an argument to be made that oil stocks are way behind the recent price action. West Texas Crude Oil for August deliveryCLQ1was trading above $76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange early on July 6. For U.S. shale oil producers, there’s a critical relationship between the spot price and their production break-even prices for new wells, which ranged between $46 and $58 a barrel according to a survey conducted in March by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. (You can see that reporthere, with the break-even prices on the second-to-last slide and break-even prices for existing wells on the last slide.)\nIt’s easy to understand that when West Texas Crude was trading for about $48.50 at the end of 2020, many investors remained shy of oil producers and related stocks.\nWall Street’s favorite stocks of oil producers and related companies\nTo screen for U.S.-listed oil stocks, we began with the S&P 1500, in part because the S&P 500 includes only 22 stocks. Some stocks dropped out of the large-cap benchmark index because their market values declined significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic, but more broadly they have been suffering since oil prices peaked in 2014.\nThere are 64 stocks in the S&P 1500. We then added the 17 pipeline limited partnerships held by the Alerian MLP ETF, which aren’t included in the S&P indexes. The pipelines are generally considered income plays, but there are some tax complications that should be part of your research before considering them for investment.\nAmong the screen of 81 energy stocks, 36 have majority “buy” or equivalent ratings among a group of at least five analysts working for brokerage firms, according to data provided by FactSet. Here are the 20 for which consensus price targets imply the most upside over the next 12 months:\nYou can click the tickers for more about each company.Many oil companies have been forced to cut their dividends during the pandemic, but Valero Energy Corp.VLOand Chevron Corp.CVXare among the exceptions. Both have dividend yields above 5%.As always, ratings and price targets aren’t enough. 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11:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 would be below 1,600 without these 3 pillars and those supports are now weakening<blockquote>如果没有这三大支柱，标普500将低于1,600点，而这些支撑现在正在减弱</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162130057","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Investors may need to consider private equity to capture the returns that publicly traded stocks hav","content":"<p>Investors may need to consider private equity to capture the returns that publicly traded stocks have provided</p><p><blockquote>投资者可能需要考虑私募股权来获取公开交易股票提供的回报</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab21eb0dc365f342dd26c49af9020305\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Stock prices can’t indefinitely grow faster than the economy. This provides a crucial reality check for U.S. stock-market bulls, many of whom believe stocks can continue outperforming the U.S. economy in perpetuity. Over the past decade, for example, the S&amp;P 500SPX,+0.88%on an inflation-adjusted total-return basis has outperformed real U.S. GDP by an annualized margin of 11.9% to 2.0%.</p><p><blockquote>股价不可能无限期地快于经济增长。这为美国股市多头提供了一个至关重要的现实检验，他们中的许多人认为股市可以永远跑赢美国经济。例如，在过去十年中，标准普尔500SPX指数（经通胀调整后的总回报率为+0.88%）的表现优于美国实际GDP，年化幅度为11.9%至2.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Going forward, it could be the other way around, according to an argument advanced some years ago by Robert Arnott, founder of&nbsp;Research Affiliates, and William Bernstein, co-principal at&nbsp;Efficient Frontier Advisors. They pointed out that a portion of economic growth is attributable to non-public companies, such as startups and the like — a category they refer to as “entrepreneurial capitalism.”</p><p><blockquote>根据Research Affiliates创始人罗伯特·阿诺特(Robert Arnott)和Efficient Frontier Advisors联席负责人威廉·伯恩斯坦(William Bernstein)几年前提出的观点，展望未来，情况可能会恰恰相反。他们指出，经济增长的一部分归功于非上市公司，如初创公司等——他们将这一类别称为“创业资本主义”。</blockquote></p><p> By definition, economic growth that non-public companies generate will not show up in the stock market— which only reflects the performance of publicly traded corporations. Arnott and Bernstein estimate that share prices historically have grown about two annualized percentage points slower than the overall economy.</p><p><blockquote>根据定义，非上市公司产生的经济增长不会出现在股票市场上——股票市场只反映上市公司的表现。阿诺特和伯恩斯坦估计，历史上股价的年化增长速度比整体经济慢约两个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Such slippage has dire implications for the U.S. stock market’s future return. But I want to first discuss why the stock market’s stunning performance over the past decade was not due to economic growth. Instead, the bulk of that performance was due to three factors:</p><p><blockquote>这种下滑对美国股市未来的回报产生了可怕的影响。但我想首先讨论一下，为什么过去十年股市的惊人表现不是因为经济增长。相反，这一表现主要归功于三个因素：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Valuation changes: The S&amp;P 500’s price/earnings ratio has doubled over the past decade.</li>  <li>Increasing profit margins: The S&amp;P 500’s operating margin over the past four quarters has averaged nearly two percentage points higher than it was a decade ago, according to data from Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices.</li>  <li>Net buybacks: Over the past decade corporations have repurchased more shares than new shares they have issued. This has reduced the number of shares outstanding, and increased earnings per share.</li> </ul> To appreciate the impact of these three factors, consider that the S&amp;P 500 now would trade below 1,600 if there had been no change at all over the past decade with each of these three dimensions. While the chance of such a perfect storm is so low that you might be inclined to dismiss it out of hand, Bernstein said in an interview that he wouldn’t discount the possibility.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>估值变化：标普500的市盈率在过去十年翻了一番。</li><li>利润率不断提高：根据标普道琼斯指数高级指数分析师Howard Silverblatt的数据，标普500过去四个季度的营业利润率平均比十年前高出近两个百分点。</li><li>净回购：在过去十年中，企业回购的股票多于其发行的新股。这减少了流通股数量，增加了每股收益。</li></ul>为了理解这三个因素的影响，请考虑一下，如果这三个维度在过去十年中没有任何变化，标普500现在的交易价格将低于1,600点。虽然这种完美风暴的可能性如此之低，以至于你可能会倾向于立即忽视它，但伯恩斯坦在接受采访时表示，他不会忽视这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Projecting the future</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预测未来</b></blockquote></p><p> The picture this analysis paints about the U.S. stock market’s future isn’t pretty, assuming the U.S. economy grows at the same pace over the next decade as the last. In that case, the only way the market can produce annualized returns greater than the low single-digits is for the P/E ratio and profit margins to continue rising or for net buybacks to continue reducing the number of shares outstanding — or for some combination of these three factors to occur.</p><p><blockquote>假设美国经济在未来十年以与上一个十年相同的速度增长，这份分析描绘的美国股市未来的图景并不美好。在这种情况下，市场能够产生高于低个位数的年化回报的唯一方法是市盈率和利润率继续上升，或者净回购继续减少已发行股票数量——或者这三个因素的某种组合。</blockquote></p><p> More likely, these three tailwinds will become headwinds. P/E ratios&nbsp;already are at or near the high end of their historical distribution, and they can’t go up forever. Profit margins also are at or near record levels and,as I argued earlier this week, there are good reasons to expect those margins to decline in coming years. While it’s possible that buybacks will outpace share issuance in coming years, that’s hardly a sure bet. Over the past 12 months, for example, there have been negative net buybacks — i.e. more shares have been issued than repurchased. In fact, Arnott pointed out in an email, for most of U.S. stock market history net buybacks have been negative.</p><p><blockquote>更有可能的是，这三个顺风会变成逆风。市盈率已经处于或接近历史分布的高端，而且不可能永远上升。利润率也处于或接近创纪录水平，正如我本周早些时候所说，有充分的理由预计这些利润率在未来几年将下降。虽然未来几年回购可能会超过股票发行，但这并不是一个确定的赌注。例如，在过去12个月中，净回购为负，即发行的股票多于回购的股票。事实上，阿诺特在一封电子邮件中指出，在美国股市历史的大部分时间里，净回购都是负数。</blockquote></p><p> One can also wonder if an even-greater share of economic growth in coming years will accrue to non-public equity. Andrew Karolyi, dean of Cornell University’s SC Johnson College of Business, said in an interview that private equity now plays a much bigger role than in the past. One possible future, he said, is that the growth of the public stock market lags that of the overall economy by an increasing amount.</p><p><blockquote>人们还可能想知道，未来几年，非公募股权是否会在经济增长中占据更大的份额。康奈尔大学SC Johnson商学院院长Andrew Karolyi在接受采访时表示，私募股权现在发挥的作用比过去大得多。他说，一个可能的未来是，公开股票市场的增长越来越落后于整体经济。</blockquote></p><p> One measure of the declining economic importance of the public corporation is the decreasing number of publicly traded companies, as reflected in the chart below. This decline has been overlooked by many on Wall Street, given their focus on the red-hot IPO market. But, as Karolyi pointed out, even as more companies are coming to market, there have also been an increasing number of delistings.</p><p><blockquote>上市公司经济重要性下降的一个衡量标准是上市公司数量的减少，如下图所示。鉴于华尔街的许多人专注于炙手可热的IPO市场，这种下降被他们忽视了。但是，正如卡罗利指出的那样，尽管越来越多的公司上市，但退市的数量也在增加。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3de45fd68cb24b2bdf2791d1f6b9fac0\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"922\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For example, according to Refinitiv, through the end of May 2021 there was more than $1.6 trillion in domestic M&amp;A activity, almost 50% higher than the previous calendar year that held the record for the most M&amp;A activity for the first five months. We need to focus on both IPOs and delistings, Karolyi argued, just as demographers can only analyze population trends by focusing on births and deaths.</p><p><blockquote>例如，根据路孚特的数据，截至2021年5月底，国内M&amp;A活动超过1.6万亿美元，比保持前五个月M&amp;A活动最多记录的上一年高出近50%。卡罗利认为，我们需要同时关注IPO和退市，就像人口学家只能通过关注出生和死亡来分析人口趋势一样。</blockquote></p><p> “The role of publicly traded corporations in the overall economy may be changing,” Karolyi said. Their possible life cycle paths are expanding to include many that don’t end in becoming publicly traded, for example, or waiting much longer before doing so. Given the abundant liquidity in the private equity market, he added, it may very well become the preferred exit strategy for many companies that previously would have gone public.</p><p><blockquote>“上市公司在整体经济中的作用可能正在发生变化，”卡罗利说。例如，它们可能的生命周期路径正在扩大，包括许多不会以公开交易或等待更长时间才能公开交易而告终的公司。他补充说，鉴于私募股权市场流动性充裕，这很可能成为许多此前上市公司的首选退出策略。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line? The past decade was extraordinary for publicly traded U.S. stocks. Don’t expect that to continue indefinitely.</p><p><blockquote>底线？过去十年对于公开交易的美国股票来说是不平凡的。不要指望这种情况会无限期地持续下去。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 would be below 1,600 without these 3 pillars and those supports are now weakening<blockquote>如果没有这三大支柱，标普500将低于1,600点，而这些支撑现在正在减弱</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 would be below 1,600 without these 3 pillars and those supports are now weakening<blockquote>如果没有这三大支柱，标普500将低于1,600点，而这些支撑现在正在减弱</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-05 11:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors may need to consider private equity to capture the returns that publicly traded stocks have provided</p><p><blockquote>投资者可能需要考虑私募股权来获取公开交易股票提供的回报</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab21eb0dc365f342dd26c49af9020305\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Stock prices can’t indefinitely grow faster than the economy. This provides a crucial reality check for U.S. stock-market bulls, many of whom believe stocks can continue outperforming the U.S. economy in perpetuity. Over the past decade, for example, the S&amp;P 500SPX,+0.88%on an inflation-adjusted total-return basis has outperformed real U.S. GDP by an annualized margin of 11.9% to 2.0%.</p><p><blockquote>股价不可能无限期地快于经济增长。这为美国股市多头提供了一个至关重要的现实检验，他们中的许多人认为股市可以永远跑赢美国经济。例如，在过去十年中，标准普尔500SPX指数（经通胀调整后的总回报率为+0.88%）的表现优于美国实际GDP，年化幅度为11.9%至2.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Going forward, it could be the other way around, according to an argument advanced some years ago by Robert Arnott, founder of&nbsp;Research Affiliates, and William Bernstein, co-principal at&nbsp;Efficient Frontier Advisors. They pointed out that a portion of economic growth is attributable to non-public companies, such as startups and the like — a category they refer to as “entrepreneurial capitalism.”</p><p><blockquote>根据Research Affiliates创始人罗伯特·阿诺特(Robert Arnott)和Efficient Frontier Advisors联席负责人威廉·伯恩斯坦(William Bernstein)几年前提出的观点，展望未来，情况可能会恰恰相反。他们指出，经济增长的一部分归功于非上市公司，如初创公司等——他们将这一类别称为“创业资本主义”。</blockquote></p><p> By definition, economic growth that non-public companies generate will not show up in the stock market— which only reflects the performance of publicly traded corporations. Arnott and Bernstein estimate that share prices historically have grown about two annualized percentage points slower than the overall economy.</p><p><blockquote>根据定义，非上市公司产生的经济增长不会出现在股票市场上——股票市场只反映上市公司的表现。阿诺特和伯恩斯坦估计，历史上股价的年化增长速度比整体经济慢约两个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Such slippage has dire implications for the U.S. stock market’s future return. But I want to first discuss why the stock market’s stunning performance over the past decade was not due to economic growth. Instead, the bulk of that performance was due to three factors:</p><p><blockquote>这种下滑对美国股市未来的回报产生了可怕的影响。但我想首先讨论一下，为什么过去十年股市的惊人表现不是因为经济增长。相反，这一表现主要归功于三个因素：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Valuation changes: The S&amp;P 500’s price/earnings ratio has doubled over the past decade.</li>  <li>Increasing profit margins: The S&amp;P 500’s operating margin over the past four quarters has averaged nearly two percentage points higher than it was a decade ago, according to data from Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices.</li>  <li>Net buybacks: Over the past decade corporations have repurchased more shares than new shares they have issued. This has reduced the number of shares outstanding, and increased earnings per share.</li> </ul> To appreciate the impact of these three factors, consider that the S&amp;P 500 now would trade below 1,600 if there had been no change at all over the past decade with each of these three dimensions. While the chance of such a perfect storm is so low that you might be inclined to dismiss it out of hand, Bernstein said in an interview that he wouldn’t discount the possibility.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>估值变化：标普500的市盈率在过去十年翻了一番。</li><li>利润率不断提高：根据标普道琼斯指数高级指数分析师Howard Silverblatt的数据，标普500过去四个季度的营业利润率平均比十年前高出近两个百分点。</li><li>净回购：在过去十年中，企业回购的股票多于其发行的新股。这减少了流通股数量，增加了每股收益。</li></ul>为了理解这三个因素的影响，请考虑一下，如果这三个维度在过去十年中没有任何变化，标普500现在的交易价格将低于1,600点。虽然这种完美风暴的可能性如此之低，以至于你可能会倾向于立即忽视它，但伯恩斯坦在接受采访时表示，他不会忽视这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Projecting the future</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预测未来</b></blockquote></p><p> The picture this analysis paints about the U.S. stock market’s future isn’t pretty, assuming the U.S. economy grows at the same pace over the next decade as the last. In that case, the only way the market can produce annualized returns greater than the low single-digits is for the P/E ratio and profit margins to continue rising or for net buybacks to continue reducing the number of shares outstanding — or for some combination of these three factors to occur.</p><p><blockquote>假设美国经济在未来十年以与上一个十年相同的速度增长，这份分析描绘的美国股市未来的图景并不美好。在这种情况下，市场能够产生高于低个位数的年化回报的唯一方法是市盈率和利润率继续上升，或者净回购继续减少已发行股票数量——或者这三个因素的某种组合。</blockquote></p><p> More likely, these three tailwinds will become headwinds. P/E ratios&nbsp;already are at or near the high end of their historical distribution, and they can’t go up forever. Profit margins also are at or near record levels and,as I argued earlier this week, there are good reasons to expect those margins to decline in coming years. While it’s possible that buybacks will outpace share issuance in coming years, that’s hardly a sure bet. Over the past 12 months, for example, there have been negative net buybacks — i.e. more shares have been issued than repurchased. In fact, Arnott pointed out in an email, for most of U.S. stock market history net buybacks have been negative.</p><p><blockquote>更有可能的是，这三个顺风会变成逆风。市盈率已经处于或接近历史分布的高端，而且不可能永远上升。利润率也处于或接近创纪录水平，正如我本周早些时候所说，有充分的理由预计这些利润率在未来几年将下降。虽然未来几年回购可能会超过股票发行，但这并不是一个确定的赌注。例如，在过去12个月中，净回购为负，即发行的股票多于回购的股票。事实上，阿诺特在一封电子邮件中指出，在美国股市历史的大部分时间里，净回购都是负数。</blockquote></p><p> One can also wonder if an even-greater share of economic growth in coming years will accrue to non-public equity. Andrew Karolyi, dean of Cornell University’s SC Johnson College of Business, said in an interview that private equity now plays a much bigger role than in the past. One possible future, he said, is that the growth of the public stock market lags that of the overall economy by an increasing amount.</p><p><blockquote>人们还可能想知道，未来几年，非公募股权是否会在经济增长中占据更大的份额。康奈尔大学SC Johnson商学院院长Andrew Karolyi在接受采访时表示，私募股权现在发挥的作用比过去大得多。他说，一个可能的未来是，公开股票市场的增长越来越落后于整体经济。</blockquote></p><p> One measure of the declining economic importance of the public corporation is the decreasing number of publicly traded companies, as reflected in the chart below. This decline has been overlooked by many on Wall Street, given their focus on the red-hot IPO market. But, as Karolyi pointed out, even as more companies are coming to market, there have also been an increasing number of delistings.</p><p><blockquote>上市公司经济重要性下降的一个衡量标准是上市公司数量的减少，如下图所示。鉴于华尔街的许多人专注于炙手可热的IPO市场，这种下降被他们忽视了。但是，正如卡罗利指出的那样，尽管越来越多的公司上市，但退市的数量也在增加。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3de45fd68cb24b2bdf2791d1f6b9fac0\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"922\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For example, according to Refinitiv, through the end of May 2021 there was more than $1.6 trillion in domestic M&amp;A activity, almost 50% higher than the previous calendar year that held the record for the most M&amp;A activity for the first five months. We need to focus on both IPOs and delistings, Karolyi argued, just as demographers can only analyze population trends by focusing on births and deaths.</p><p><blockquote>例如，根据路孚特的数据，截至2021年5月底，国内M&amp;A活动超过1.6万亿美元，比保持前五个月M&amp;A活动最多记录的上一年高出近50%。卡罗利认为，我们需要同时关注IPO和退市，就像人口学家只能通过关注出生和死亡来分析人口趋势一样。</blockquote></p><p> “The role of publicly traded corporations in the overall economy may be changing,” Karolyi said. Their possible life cycle paths are expanding to include many that don’t end in becoming publicly traded, for example, or waiting much longer before doing so. Given the abundant liquidity in the private equity market, he added, it may very well become the preferred exit strategy for many companies that previously would have gone public.</p><p><blockquote>“上市公司在整体经济中的作用可能正在发生变化，”卡罗利说。例如，它们可能的生命周期路径正在扩大，包括许多不会以公开交易或等待更长时间才能公开交易而告终的公司。他补充说，鉴于私募股权市场流动性充裕，这很可能成为许多此前上市公司的首选退出策略。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line? The past decade was extraordinary for publicly traded U.S. stocks. Don’t expect that to continue indefinitely.</p><p><blockquote>底线？过去十年对于公开交易的美国股票来说是不平凡的。不要指望这种情况会无限期地持续下去。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-would-be-below-1-600-without-these-3-pillars-and-those-supports-are-now-weakening-11622781972?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-would-be-below-1-600-without-these-3-pillars-and-those-supports-are-now-weakening-11622781972?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162130057","content_text":"Investors may need to consider private equity to capture the returns that publicly traded stocks have provided\nGETTY IMAGES\nStock prices can’t indefinitely grow faster than the economy. This provides a crucial reality check for U.S. stock-market bulls, many of whom believe stocks can continue outperforming the U.S. economy in perpetuity. Over the past decade, for example, the S&P 500SPX,+0.88%on an inflation-adjusted total-return basis has outperformed real U.S. GDP by an annualized margin of 11.9% to 2.0%.\nGoing forward, it could be the other way around, according to an argument advanced some years ago by Robert Arnott, founder of Research Affiliates, and William Bernstein, co-principal at Efficient Frontier Advisors. They pointed out that a portion of economic growth is attributable to non-public companies, such as startups and the like — a category they refer to as “entrepreneurial capitalism.”\nBy definition, economic growth that non-public companies generate will not show up in the stock market— which only reflects the performance of publicly traded corporations. Arnott and Bernstein estimate that share prices historically have grown about two annualized percentage points slower than the overall economy.\nSuch slippage has dire implications for the U.S. stock market’s future return. But I want to first discuss why the stock market’s stunning performance over the past decade was not due to economic growth. Instead, the bulk of that performance was due to three factors:\n\nValuation changes: The S&P 500’s price/earnings ratio has doubled over the past decade.\nIncreasing profit margins: The S&P 500’s operating margin over the past four quarters has averaged nearly two percentage points higher than it was a decade ago, according to data from Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices.\nNet buybacks: Over the past decade corporations have repurchased more shares than new shares they have issued. This has reduced the number of shares outstanding, and increased earnings per share.\n\nTo appreciate the impact of these three factors, consider that the S&P 500 now would trade below 1,600 if there had been no change at all over the past decade with each of these three dimensions. While the chance of such a perfect storm is so low that you might be inclined to dismiss it out of hand, Bernstein said in an interview that he wouldn’t discount the possibility.\nProjecting the future\nThe picture this analysis paints about the U.S. stock market’s future isn’t pretty, assuming the U.S. economy grows at the same pace over the next decade as the last. In that case, the only way the market can produce annualized returns greater than the low single-digits is for the P/E ratio and profit margins to continue rising or for net buybacks to continue reducing the number of shares outstanding — or for some combination of these three factors to occur.\nMore likely, these three tailwinds will become headwinds. P/E ratios already are at or near the high end of their historical distribution, and they can’t go up forever. Profit margins also are at or near record levels and,as I argued earlier this week, there are good reasons to expect those margins to decline in coming years. While it’s possible that buybacks will outpace share issuance in coming years, that’s hardly a sure bet. Over the past 12 months, for example, there have been negative net buybacks — i.e. more shares have been issued than repurchased. In fact, Arnott pointed out in an email, for most of U.S. stock market history net buybacks have been negative.\nOne can also wonder if an even-greater share of economic growth in coming years will accrue to non-public equity. Andrew Karolyi, dean of Cornell University’s SC Johnson College of Business, said in an interview that private equity now plays a much bigger role than in the past. One possible future, he said, is that the growth of the public stock market lags that of the overall economy by an increasing amount.\nOne measure of the declining economic importance of the public corporation is the decreasing number of publicly traded companies, as reflected in the chart below. This decline has been overlooked by many on Wall Street, given their focus on the red-hot IPO market. But, as Karolyi pointed out, even as more companies are coming to market, there have also been an increasing number of delistings.\n\nFor example, according to Refinitiv, through the end of May 2021 there was more than $1.6 trillion in domestic M&A activity, almost 50% higher than the previous calendar year that held the record for the most M&A activity for the first five months. We need to focus on both IPOs and delistings, Karolyi argued, just as demographers can only analyze population trends by focusing on births and deaths.\n“The role of publicly traded corporations in the overall economy may be changing,” Karolyi said. Their possible life cycle paths are expanding to include many that don’t end in becoming publicly traded, for example, or waiting much longer before doing so. Given the abundant liquidity in the private equity market, he added, it may very well become the preferred exit strategy for many companies that previously would have gone public.\nThe bottom line? The past decade was extraordinary for publicly traded U.S. stocks. 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